- Growth and technology look oversold—RSI near 30 and prices below lower Bollinger Bands—while energy, staples, and healthcare appear overbought, creating a potential rotation setup.
- The 10-year yield below 5% could support long-duration technology; a decline in Brent from near $118, potentially as geopolitical tensions ease, could weaken energy’s leadership.
- The rotation model must reclaim its 50-day moving average. The author favors trimming winners to target weights, gradually adding quality growth such as GOOGL and MSFT, and using stops below the 200-day average.
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