- The author argues MSTR has shifted from a Bitcoin-accretion vehicle into a funding source for Strategy’s preferred-stock dividend obligations.
- BTC Yield has declined since June despite higher Bitcoin reserves and prices, suggesting the metric no longer supports accretive MSTR share issuance.
- Strategy holds ~$4.9B cash, raised primarily through MSTR ATM sales, and repurchased $2B of discounted STRC; at par, the author expects new STRC issuance to resume.
- Potential MSCI removal could create billions in MSTR selling pressure; the author favors direct Bitcoin exposure over a stock that can be issued to fund dividends.
Investment pitches
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