- Author shorted semis after a rapid range-to-breakout move without a meaningful pullback, expecting failure and a retracement into the prior range.
- The move has fully retraced; author covered 95% of the short and plans to close the remaining house-money runner tomorrow.
- Author is not broadly bullish: AI-hardware competition is rising, much is priced in, and backlog supports demand visibility—not earnings, margins, or valuation.
Investment pitches
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