Eric Schmidt × Yaron Werber × Tess Cameron × Sam Fazeli

Biotech M&A is setting records across stages: Alkermes appears to have won Avadel at $2.4B, while J&J paid $3B for Phase 1 Halda, the highest-priced Phase 1 acquisition ever per Tess Cameron.Competition is intensifying as pharma prices in 2026-27 patent cliffs, but 82% of surveyed companies worry about FDA function; early-program delays could last two or three years, while falling drug prices make volume response a key watchpoint.

Graig Suvannavejh × Paul Matteis × Brian Skorney × Yaron Werber × Chris Garabedian × Adam Feuerstein

George Tidmarsh’s CBER departure and UniQure’s rejected filing after FDA alignment expose a widening gap between flexible guidance and unpredictable execution.UniQure reported 80% disease slowing at two years and 75% at three years for high dose, while Sarepta’s failed ESSENCE study and December’s Stoke meeting will test evidence standards and early-filing appetite.

Chris Garabedian × Josh Schimmer × Nina Kjellson × Mike Yee × Tim Opler

Summit’s PD-1×VEGF bispecific missed overall survival at p=0.0575, sending shares down 25% despite a PFS hit and 20% lower mortality risk in Western patients.Tim Opler sees VEGF×PD-1 becoming oncology’s backbone, while Pfizer’s 3SBio license and Seagen acquisition give it control for ADC combinations.Macro uncertainty favors discounted commercial-stage M&A, and Gilead’s June 19 lenacapavir PDUFA will test FDA functionality.

Chris Garabedian × Brad Loncar × Eric Schmidt × Paul Matteis × Tess Cameron

Biotech markets face policy and macro instability as rising bond yields and a weaker dollar overshadow a temporary tariff-pause rally.With private capital confronting scarce company formation and weaker public comparables, catalysts must prove their case, while royalty financing offers earlier funding but can leave debt-like repayment obligations when programs fail.

Daphne Zohar × John Maraganore × Mike Yee × Sam Fazeli × John Crowley

Biotech entered JPM at “five out of 10,” with macro steering capital and Metsera’s obesity IPO testing a discriminating window.J&J’s $14.6 billion Intra-Cellular Therapies acquisition—following $1.22 billion raised and approximately 13× value creation—shows pharma’s appetite for derisked CNS assets, while China’s speed and cost make FDA trial reform a potential catalyst.

Ben Horowitz × Peter Diamandis × Salim Ismail

Washington’s shift from “complete war with the industry” to “aggressive pro-tech” could release blocked exits and revive crypto development, but Stargate’s quoted $500 million and $500 billion figures remain unclear while energy constrains AI infrastructure.DeepSeek’s roughly 100-times-lower token cost and AI-driven drug design strengthen the case for decentralized innovation, yet founders still need operational discipline, physical trials, and supply chains that remain overwhelmingly Chinese.