Brian Skorney

Sam Fazeli × Brian Skorney × Yaron Werber × Jake Becraft

Biotech’s washout is intensifying: 16 of 18 2024 IPOs trade below issue at a median 61% decline, despite Jake Becraft seeing fundamentals intact.Weak commercialization economics reinforce M&A dependence; Pfizer’s planned BD activity and obesity interest, plus Jazz-Chimerix and AbbVie-Gubra, point to catalysts while Pliant and Biohaven test differentiation.

Graig Suvannavejh × Tim Opler × Yaron Werber × Paul Matteis × Brian Skorney

Biotech is decisively outperforming, with XBI +24% YTD versus +9% for the S&P 500, as Graig sees FDA headwinds turning into tailwinds alongside 14 IPOs and $300B+ of pharma revenue at LOE risk.Reverse mergers now rival traditional IPOs, while J&J’s $785M Sail deal and $2.6B acquisition option reinforce hot in vivo CAR-T M&A.Alnylam’s roughly 30% TTR sell-off and Novo’s ZEUS miss leave upcoming data and year-end M&A as key tests.

Josh Schimmer × Brian Skorney × Eric Schmidt × Brad Loncar

Scribe’s IPO raised roughly $120M for a TGA-cleared PCSK9 gene-silencing therapy, reopening the very-early-stage biotech window.Six biotech reverse mergers paired with $200M-plus PIPEs, including Xometry’s nearly $200M transaction into InMed, show a faster, increasingly IPO-like financing route.Next week’s RP1 and deramiocel AdComs could clarify whether FDA flexibility is emerging or negative findings signal a more stringent posture.

Yaron Werber × Tess Cameron × SamFazeli × Brian Skorney

AI is driving biotech’s tape: SMH is up 66% year-to-date versus IBB at 1% and XBI at 8%, while BIOSECURE and expanded COINS-style screening could redirect China dealmaking toward Europe.Ivonescimab cut death risk 34% in HARMONi-6, while daraxonrasib extended survival to 13.2 versus 6.7 months; SERENA-4 and CDK4 readouts, translatability, toxicity, and in vivo CAR-T durability warrant monitoring.

Chris Garabedian × Brian Skorney × Graig Suvannavejh × Jason Kelly

Biotech capital markets are recovering: Cardigan is the 11th 2026 IPO filing, while Endpoints sentiment reached 96 and finance/investment stakeholders reached 120.Ginkgo’s cell-engineering thesis, Lilly’s up-to-$3.8B vaccine buying, Apogee’s up-to-$1.3B financing, and ASCO’s RESOLUTE 302 readout leave regulation and tolerability to monitor.

Grace Colón × Josh Schimmer × Eric Schmidt × Brian Skorney

Novo’s CagriSema delivered 12.6% placebo-adjusted weight loss in REDEFINE 2, broadly in line with Zepbound, but the stock fell roughly 8–10%.Policy risks include MFN pricing, tariffs and vaccine trust, while PBM reform, IRA fixes and the tax bill offer upside; a report expected the week of April 7 could be a catalyst.

Tess Cameron × Josh Schimmer × Brian Skorney × Adam Feuerstein

Roughly 200 tracked public biotechs trade at negative enterprise value, while Taysha’s revival below cash contrasts with Cargo Therapeutics’ failed experiment and raises capital-allocation questions.Solid reported about 110% average microdystrophin expression in three Duchenne patients and planned a midyear FDA discussion, but its $200 million pre-data financing at $4 per share raised pricing concerns.

Josh Schimmer × Sam Fazeli × Brian Skorney × Yaron Werber × John Crowley

BIO CEO John Crowley says rising US trial costs and regulatory uncertainty make capital flowing to China “perfectly rational.”His FDA prescription—stability, consistency, transparency, and modernization—puts “the next 6 months” in focus.MFN codification could be “devastating” and “unmanageable” before Section 232 action due by the last week of March, while ReGenix’s PLAG1 integration tests AAV safety.

Sam Fazeli × Paul Matteis × Brian Skorney × Tess Cameron

Biotech enters JPM week with XBI at 125.53, as specialist-backed companies with fundamental progress—not indiscriminate buying—drove 2025 returns.Merck’s rumored $28–32bn Revolution Medicines bid could bring cash into the sector despite a rich EV/sales multiple, while Aktis’s $318m data-free IPO shows financing appetite; CMS MFN policy, anti-drug-antibody diligence, and upcoming clinical data remain risks.

Josh Schimmer × Brian Skorney × Paul Matteis × Graig Suvannavejh

Biotech enters 2026 on launches rather than dreams, with limited pricing pressure, more M&A, XBI still cheap over five years, and rates the key macro risk.IPO expectations range from 15 to roughly 50 or more, but preclinical FOMO remains a crash signal; meanwhile, FDA turnover makes uniQure’s reversal a test of whether prespecified agreements still carry weight, while Capricor and Praxis offer near-term approval catalysts.