[BidClub_]
Hard Fork · · 59 分钟

Billy Evans 到底怎么回事?《You Can See Everything》剧透版指南

Max ReadErin GriffithRob CopelandJohn Carreyrou

股票创投/私募生物医药投资技术
YouTube ↗
TL;DR
  • Billy Evans 的血检初创公司已融资约300万美元,但 Rob Copeland 没找到可用产品。Haemanthus 主打宠物检测,单次约1美元,而兽医处可能要收500美元。Evans 把美国农业部(USDA)的往来函件当作监管层面的背书;Copeland 向该机构核实时,对方说:“这不是那个意思。”
  • 争议创始人东山再起并非不可能,但欺诈定罪带来了另一道融资门槛。Erin Griffith 区分了风投圈“故意唱反调式投资”的习惯与投资已被判欺诈的人;她认为,赦免可以提供一套投资人讲给有限合伙人(LP)听的说法。Copeland 则反驳称,金融家想证明记者错了,本身就可能招来资金支持。
  • Theranos 最有力的造假证据,仍是宣传能力与实际检测之间的落差。John Carreyrou 对比了“一滴血完成数百项检测”的承诺与只能做12类检测的 Edison;Theranos 已出具的相关检测结果最终全部作废。纪录片里拆解的设备是尚未完工的 miniLab,从未用于真实患者。
  • Carreyrou 将最初真诚的雄心,与之后的欺诈和蓄意掩盖区分开来。他将决定性的转折定在2013年秋季 Walgreens 上线:Theranos 当时使用改装过的 Siemens 设备,却声称拥有自研技术。Holmes 持有约90%的投票权、与 Sunny Balwani 协同经营公司,Theranos 又对吹哨人施压,这些都不支持“她只是被蒙在鼓里”的说法。
  • CoreWeave 显示,AI 的融资逻辑可能在技术前景尘埃落定前就先出问题。Copeland 提到,公司在51座数据中心对应约700亿美元负债,偿债成本开始翻倍。企业讨论的借款需求最高达10万亿美元;他预计,财务层面的故事会比技术层面的进展“更快展开”。
  • SpaceX 与 Tesla 可能合并,或会增强 Musk 的控制力并延长其投资续航空间。Griffith 从 Tesla 股东更有能力反对的角度解读这番探索,尤其是对机器人等支出的反对。Copeland 强调,此前的整合目前为止对 Musk 有利,同时提醒:“记者当证券分析师,往往很糟糕。”
  • 这部纪录片让人同情 Holmes,却没有因此替她卸下责任。Carreyrou 认为,她知道最初与 A24 的安排可能带来利润,也认为 Evans 既有感情投入,也有趁势获利的一面。不过,他仍认为她11年3个月的刑期“或许”过重,也觉得她入狱前的痛苦是真实的。
摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. Haemanthus 有融资,但运营层面的说法仍未得到验证

  • Copeland 起初以为有关 Evans 血检初创公司的线索是恶作剧:“我以为自己被骗了。”Haemanthus 得名于血百合,计划以低价提供宠物检测——单次约1美元,而兽医做一次可能要收500美元。公司融资约300万美元,Copeland 认为这笔钱不足以支撑整个项目,而且公司还没有“任何能真正发挥作用的产品”。

  • 所谓监管优势经不起一次直接核实。Evans 把一封日期为2024年10月的 USDA 函件发给 Copeland,称其证明公司可以继续推进。Copeland 打电话向该机构核实,对方说:“这不是那个意思。”Evans 也曾邀请他参观实验室,但当 Copeland 追问能看到什么时,Evans 承认实验室还没运转起来。

  • 推介材料里没有 Holmes,Copeland 当时的印象是她与这家公司无关;纪录片呈现的却是两人一起开发项目。Copeland 还从设备照片里看到 Theranos 的影子,照片中的设备看起来“可疑地一模一样”;Evans 则长篇大论介绍自己的科学资历,以及参与创立一家自动驾驶汽车雷达公司的经历。Copeland 怀疑纪录片中拍到的2023年融资电话是否认真:他称 Haemanthus 真正起步是在2024年前后,而他报道期间,公司仍在奥斯汀的一栋住宅里运营。Griffith 提到,Holmes 并未列在专利上。

  • Evans 曾接触 Jim Breyer 和 Michael Dell,但 Copeland 没有采访到任何投资人;记录显示,一名奥斯汀塔帕斯餐厅老板是 Evans 所说的朋友。Griffith 强调,Breyer 公开拒绝投资很不寻常。投资人通常不会批评自己拒绝投资的公司,因为他们想维持“创始人友好”的形象;这种惯例当年也让人不愿对 Theranos 发出警告。

2. 真挚情感与机会主义可以并存

  • Griffith 认为,Evans 的求情信已是纪录片为 Holmes 辩护的早期版本。在 Holmes 收集的100多封支持信中,Evans 写了8页单倍行距,把她描述成被误解而非蓄意欺骗的人:“Liz 根本不会推销东西。她只是对某些事情深信不疑,深到让人着迷。与其说她是表演者,不如说她是狂热信徒。”

  • Copeland 看到的则是另一种表现:Evans 会主动回答没人问的问题。被问到认识 Holmes 时是否还在和别人约会,他抢着说:“我当时同时和3个人约会。”在 Copeland 看来,这像是接受过基础媒体培训的企业高管,回答自己希望别人问的问题。他声称自己坦诚,却也会有所隐瞒。

  • 被问到两人是否相爱时,Griffith 回答是;她觉得两人的关系是“整部电影里最真实的东西”。Copeland 对整体关系没那么笃定,但两人因为炒蛋起争执时,他认出了熟悉感。“他们肯定以前一起做过鸡蛋”——在他看来,这段日常互动带着真实的共同生活痕迹。

  • Carreyrou 后来回答 Evans 究竟是受骗者还是机会主义者时说:“我觉得两者都是。”他认为 Holmes 借助这位富有继承人的支持,而 Evans 则看到了事业机会,也看到了从电影中赚钱的可能。这并不排除爱意,也不排除他真心替她愤愤不平。但对 Carreyrou 来说,片中出现的数字替身“让人觉得是在利用她”。

3. 东山再起需要投资人愿意为“洗白故事”买单

  • Griffith 从风投押注争议创始人的案例中看到先例。Andreessen Horowitz 投资了 Andy Rubin;Rubin 曾在被指有性行为不端后离开 Google。该机构还向 Adam Neumann 的 WeWork、WeLive 和 Flow 项目提供了超过3亿美元资金。这类交易可以传递一种信号:投资人不在乎媒体批评或取消文化。但 Griffith 很难找到涉及欺诈定罪的类似案例。Nikola 前 CEO Trevor Milton 在获得 Trump 赦免后创办了新的航空项目;她不知道该项目是否融到了多少资金。她还提到,Nikola 那段广受关注的卡车视频里,卡车其实是沿着山坡往下滚,并非自行行驶。

  • Copeland 反驳称,金融家尤其喜欢证明记者和评论员错了。新一轮批评可能激发这种冲动,而非浇灭兴趣:“我能想象某个世界里,这事能成。”Griffith 认为,赦免可能成为关键,因为它能给投资人、以及这些投资人的有限合伙人,提供一套容易讲清楚的理由。

  • Read 从 Evans 越来越偏反动的形象,以及 Jessica Reed Krauss 称 Holmes 是“最早的 MAGA”这句话里,看到了政治因素。电影显示 Evans 在运营 Holmes 的 Twitter 账号;他声称要么文字由她提供,要么自己只是代她发帖,但单条帖文究竟是谁写的仍不确定。Griffith 区分了高度沉浸网络的评论风格与 Holmes 式的励志语言。这段讨论也说明,要把 Holmes 的公众形象和 Evans 对它的经营彻底分开并不容易。

  • 被问到 Holmes 在监狱里是否可能有手机时,Copeland 说,手机在监狱里是公开的秘密;看守会睁一只眼闭一只眼,因为囚犯忙着刷 TikTok,就不太会惹事。他援引了自己报道 Martin Shkreli 和 Sam Bankman-Fried 时了解到的情况。

4. CoreWeave 把 AI 基建变成融资问题

  • Copeland 把 CoreWeave 描述为 AI 中间商:采购处理器、把它们装进数据中心,再把算力出租给 Anthropic 等客户。快速扩张让公司在51座数据中心对应约700亿美元负债。他说,公司股价大幅下跌,偿债成本开始翻倍——对于一家以市场持续向上为前提的企业,这是熟悉的融资难题。

  • 被问到这是否预示更广泛的基建支出问题时,Copeland 称这是一个早期信号。企业讨论的借款需求最高达10万亿美元,但融资在这轮扩张刚起步时就已显露压力。在他看来,CoreWeave 代表了市场中更广泛的一部分,财务后果会比技术后果更快显现。

  • Griffith 将此与 Anthropic 的 IPO 联系起来:投资人正在检验 AI 需求究竟是否近乎无限,还是会受客户支付意愿限制,这将影响基础设施供应商。Copeland 对比了讨论中的 Anthropic 约1.5万亿美元发行规模与 CoreWeave 约400亿美元的体量。他强调,这些都是体量可观的交易对手;Ken Griffin 最近对 AI 泡沫的警告,也让他更关注哪些环节可能先出问题。

5. Musk 探索合并的核心在于控制权

  • Griffith 报道称,SpaceX 的财报电话会确认,公司正在探索与 Tesla 合并的可能性,并将成立独立董事委员会。Musk 对此的解释——“因为我是利益冲突方,不能参与讨论”——道出了其中的治理张力。有关潜在交易的讨论,也紧随 SpaceX 进入公开市场可能让两家公司更容易合并的猜测而来。

  • Copeland 提醒:“记者当证券分析师,往往很糟糕。”xAI 与 SpaceX 的合并推动了 IPO,目前为止也运作顺利。Griffith 将这条脉络追溯到 Tesla 收购 SolarCity:当时有人批评这是强势企业去救一家较弱的企业。她的解读是,SpaceX 与 Tesla 合并可能让 Musk 重获控制权,也为机器人等高成本投资争取更长的投入时间。

  • Read 提到的另一则独立新闻,是 Joel Kaplan 离开 Meta,结束15年任期。他将 Kaplan 描述为公司的保守派中间人,帮助 Meta 在一系列政治争议中逐步右转。Read 认为,疲惫和财富更可能是离职原因,而不是预见共和党将在选举中失利;他提到的 Rubio 2028,只是明确的猜测。Copeland 补充说,接替 Kaplan 的是前 Goldman Sachs 银行家 Dina Powell McCormick。

6. Theranos 的技术失败具体、可量化,也遭到隐瞒

  • 被问到最有力的造假证据是什么时,Carreyrou 从 Holmes 在2014至2015年的明确说法谈起:用一滴指尖血完成数百项检测。Edison 只能做12类检测,但 Theranos 对外出具的这些检测结果最终全部作废。问题既在于宣称的检测能力有多夸张,也在于实际做出的少数检测是否可信。

  • 纪录片里拆解设备的场景,还涉及另一个区别:Holmes 展示的是 miniLab,而非用于患者检测的 Edison。miniLab 原本要整合更多组件和功能,但始终没有完成,也从未被认为可靠到足以用于患者检测。Carreyrou 补充了一个更具体的限定:“我不认为 miniLab 上曾有任何一项检测通过验证。”

  • Carreyrou 不认为 Holmes 从 Stanford 辍学时就打算欺骗人。她想效仿 Steve Jobs,创办一家成功的公司,也希望自己的想法能奏效。在他的叙述中,后来是偷工减料、谎言逐渐累积。“从一开始就不是一场彻头彻尾的骗局”——这个区分保留了她最初的雄心,但不构成对之后行为的开脱。

  • 他将完整意义上的欺诈定在2013年秋季 Walgreens 上线时。Theranos 当时尚未准备就绪,于是改装 Siemens 设备来处理指尖血样。预先稀释血样,又叠加了机器自身的稀释过程,可能导致准确性问题。除了可靠性问题,被隐瞒的替代方案也很关键:公司实际依赖一家有百年历史的德国集团提供的设备,却声称自己拥有突破性技术。

7. 掩盖行为与投票权控制,驳斥了无力做主的创始人说法

  • Carreyrou 最早接触到的核心消息人士,是前实验室主任 Adam Rosendorff;他回忆,自己大约在2015年2月联系了对方。Rosendorff 建议他找 Tyler Shultz 佐证:Tyler 曾是公司员工,提出过担忧,也是 Theranos 董事 George Shultz 的孙子。约2个月没有收到回复后,Tyler 突然打到 Carreyrou 在《华尔街日报》的办公桌上。

  • Tyler 先向 Holmes 提出担忧,后来又遭遇 Balwani 的怒火和律师施压;他的祖父也拒绝相信他。Theranos 随后在 George Shultz 家中突袭 Tyler,试图让他作出承认、签署撤回说法的文件,并交出其他消息人士的身份。他父母的律师费高到几乎破产;Tyler 睡觉时会把刀放在枕头下。Carreyrou 称这是“冷酷无情的掩盖行动”,而不是双方对被误解的说法存在分歧。

  • Holmes 还试图通过 Rupert Murdoch 阻止报道;Murdoch 是 Theranos 最大的单一投资人,投入了1.25亿美元。Carreyrou 回忆,Holmes 在2015年9月拜访 Murdoch 的办公室,距离报道刊发不到1个月,目的是请他压下报道。他的新闻编辑部就在会面地点楼下3层。

  • Read 以魔鬼代言人的口吻追问:这一切有没有可能都是 Sunny 一手造成的?Carreyrou 斩钉截铁地回答:“不可能。”他指出,多年来的短信显示,两人共同经营公司。更重要的是,Holmes 是 CEO、董事会主席,并掌握约90%的投票权。“她掌控着这家公司”;按他的说法,她也在主导这场掩盖行动。

8. Carreyrou 认为,纪录片的模糊处理又成了一种精心设计的辩护

  • 纪录片后半段追问,Holmes 是否知道最初与 A24 的交易会让她和 Evans 获利。Carreyrou 的结论斩钉截铁:“她不可能不知道。”这是他对电影内容的判断,并非纪录片新提供的证据,但也影响了他对两人解释的怀疑。

  • 他同样认为,Holmes 面对 Abbott and Costello 的《谁在一垒?》时表现出的困惑,是在“装傻”。他的推理来自电影的铺陈:Fielder 先提出,她感知世界的方式可能与众不同,因此别人把她的无辜陈述误解成谎言。Carreyrou 认为,她之后的表现恰好支持了这套说辞:“这样做对我有利。”

  • Read 追问,Carreyrou 为什么这么肯定。Carreyrou 提到自己观察 Holmes 接受 SEC 询问、出庭作证,以及她如何回应他的报道——包括他第一篇报道刊发约10天后,她在一场会议上的对抗性发言。他的判断仍留有余地:“大多数时候,她很清楚自己在做什么。”他基本不接受“感知方式不同,所以才说出那些重大谎言”这一替代解释。

9. 同情并不能消解责任问题

  • Carreyrou 明确表示自己同情 Holmes。他回忆她的刑期是11年3个月,认为判得很重,也“或许”与罪行不成比例。他觉得片中 Holmes 与律师谈论入狱时表现出的痛苦是真实的;当时 Evans 正在旁边与 Fielder 交谈。Read 形容,这部电影让观众产生同情,同时保留了那些足以解释她为何入狱的定罪证据。

  • 被问到这个故事为何仍值得关注时,Carreyrou 回到 Holmes 自己的选择:入狱前34天,她邀请电影人进入家中,重讲故事、改写历史,并希望人们同情她。他怀疑最终成片比她预想的更不利。重新引发的关注也让观众去找事实报道:他的出版社刚下单再印1万册《Bad Blood》,他欢迎观众继续追查故事背后的真实经过。

  • 最后一位听众问,持续回避会不会演变成一个人真的无法认清现实。Carreyrou 再次否定这种解释:他认为 Holmes 知道自己撒了谎,也知道自己做错了。Davila 法官关于她究竟是无法还是不愿承担责任的提问之所以引起共鸣,是因为她多次放弃了表现悔意的机会。对 Carreyrou 来说,悬而未决的问题是:她至今仍拒绝承认自己造成的伤害。

完整逐字稿
Max Read

It’s been a week since I’ve seen You Can See Everything, the new documentary about Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes, and I still want to talk about it. From what I’m hearing, most of you want to talk about it too, and I’m not surprised. As we discussed on the episode last week, Elizabeth Holmes has proven to be one of the most enduringly fascinating characters our culture has produced. On top of that, the documentary introduces us to a new fascinating and emblematic character: Holmes’s domineering, sniffling, gun-toting romantic partner, Billy Evans.

The movie raises a lot of questions about Holmes. Is she a sociopath, neurodivergent, self-aware, or controlled by the men in her life? But it raises as many questions about Evans: Who is this guy? Where does he come from, and why does he care so much about his scrambled eggs? What is he like when the cameras are off, and what is he getting out of this relationship? For that matter, what is she getting out of it?

We’re going to take on these 2 characters one at a time by talking with people who have reported on them. First, I talked to Times finance reporter Rob Copeland, who spoke extensively with Billy while reporting on his blood-testing startup last year, and whose reaction to You Can See Everything surprised me. We were joined by Erin Griffith, who reported on the Theranos trial, to discuss the fascinating character of Billy, the mystery of their relationship, and the response to the film in Silicon Valley. Then John Carreyrou came back to answer your questions about Elizabeth Holmes, Theranos, and the truth of what she knows.

One final note: While we were gentle last week, this episode is filled with spoilers. If you haven’t seen You Can See Everything, I suggest you hit pause now. But if you have, sit back and relax. I’m joined by finance reporter Rob Copeland, who interviewed Billy Evans about his new startup last year, and tech writer Erin Griffith, who reported on Elizabeth Holmes’s trial for The Times. Welcome to Hard Fork, guys.

Erin Griffith

Hey.

Rob Copeland

Thank you.

1. Billy Evans Builds Haemanthus

Max Read

One of the biggest surprises of this movie is that the person who dominates it over 3 hours is not Elizabeth Holmes, the subject, nor Nathan Fielder, the director-documentarian. It’s this guy Billy Evans, Elizabeth Holmes’s romantic partner and also a business partner. Billy is basically the protagonist, certainly of the second half of the movie. I don’t think this is the right phrase, but he’s kind of the breakout star, to the extent that a sniffling, reactionary, quasi-manic force in a 3-hour documentary can be referred to as the breakout star.

He’s the person I had the most questions about when I emerged. So, Rob, you spoke with Billy for an article you wrote last May called “Elizabeth Holmes’s Partner Has a New Blood-Testing Startup.” I want to get into that story and the connection to Theranos, but maybe we can start by you telling us how that story came together.

Rob Copeland

Sure. This might be crazy if you’ve seen the movie now, but about a year ago, someone told me they’d heard that Billy Evans had a blood-testing startup, and I thought that was the wildest thing I’d ever heard. I thought I was being scammed. I thought, “Be more creative than Elizabeth Holmes doing it all over again.”

Max Read

So you hear that he’s running a blood-testing startup and you start making calls.

Rob Copeland

I start making calls, and someone had sort of tipped me off that he had asked them for money. This person obviously took the meeting for the same reason we would: “I can’t believe this is happening.” I will say that last year, when I got wind that there was such a thing as Theranos 2.0, although that wasn’t what they were calling it by that time, I thought I’d call Billy Evans and he would tell me to jump off a bridge. In fact, he was extremely charming.

When I called him and said, “I want to talk about your startup,” he said, “Which startup?” as a joke. I mean, maybe the one that involves blood testing, but yeah.

Erin Griffith

Yeah.

Max Read

Tell me a little more about this business. We know it’s called Haemanthus, which is the name of a flower also known as the blood lily, and it’s really intended for pets.

Rob Copeland

Correct. The idea was you could take a sample from your pet instead of having to go to a vet and spend, say, $500 on a blood test. You could do it for a dollar a test.

Max Read

And presumably the reason they’re starting with pets is that there’s a lower regulatory threshold for them.

Rob Copeland

Well, Max, I’m glad you asked, because I just so happen to have here a piece of paper that Billy sent me, which was evidence in his mind that this was a lower-regulated business. It’s dated October 2024, and it’s correspondence with the USDA. He said that this is evidence that they’re allowed to do this. I called the USDA. They said, “That’s not what that means.”

Max Read

What do you think was different between the Billy you talked to and the Billy that we see in the movie, if anything?

Rob Copeland

I would say the big similarity is that Billy has a tendency to say, “You can ask me anything you want,” that he is an open book, and then proceeds not to tell you everything you do want to know.

The big difference between what I was talking about and what was on screen was that on screen he’s so open about how Elizabeth is involved in this. I would have had no idea last year, while I was speaking to him, that they had already filmed months or years of footage of the two of them starting this thing together.

Max Read

Yeah.

Rob Copeland

My impression was that she had nothing to do with this company, that they didn’t bring her up in meetings. It was like she who must not be named. She’s certainly not mentioned in the deck, and Billy will give you long speeches about how qualified he is to start this, what a brilliant scientist he is, and how he helped start this company that helps do radar for self-driving cars.

It was like the biggest inside joke, right? A blood-testing startup from Elizabeth Holmes’s partner. The photographs they’re providing look suspiciously identical to the Theranos device, but, oh goodness gracious, don’t make the connection. I thought I was breaking the biggest story in the history of technology, business, and media. It turned out that Billy had been filming a documentary, memorializing it for 2 years.

Max Read

Just to put this in the context of the film: In 2023, we see them in San Diego. They’re both on the phone with what we understand to be potential investors in this new thing they’re starting up. Elizabeth goes to jail. Billy continues working on it. Around 2025, Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, the directors of the documentary, start visiting him in Austin again. It’s around this same time that you’re discovering that this startup is coming out, and you eventually publish the piece. What was his reaction to your piece?

Rob Copeland

He was not thrilled with the piece, I think it’s fair to say.

Erin Griffith

I mean, he probably was fighting it all along the way, right? I’m assuming that if they wanted this documentary to be the big reveal of Theranos 2.0, your story would’ve messed that up.

Rob Copeland

Yeah, he kept trying to push the story down the line. He kept saying, “Oh, you can come visit the lab. You can do a great story of the lab.” And then I would say, “Okay, what’s in the lab?” He’d say, “Well, the lab isn’t working yet.”

At that point, I’m sitting with my editors and saying, “What are we going to see in Austin?” To be clear, this startup had raised somewhere around $3 million, which, much respect to Mr. Evans, is just not enough to start a blood-testing company. Think of all the—

Erin Griffith

Well, you’ve got to start somewhere. I mean, I think Theranos’s first checks were probably very small, too, and then they eventually built up to, you know, $100 million from Murdoch.

Max Read

I would love to start with $3 million, personally. Did you talk to anybody who did invest in this business?

Rob Copeland

I didn’t speak to anyone who did, although we did find records of at least 1 person who had invested in it. He runs a tapas restaurant in downtown Austin, and Billy described him to me as a friend.

Max Read

Mm.

Rob Copeland

So it seems like it was at that level.

Max Read

But to your point, Rob, what we’re hearing is a company that’s raised $3 million, which is 2 orders of magnitude lower than it would take to think of yourself as a tech player. As far as we know, there are not many notable investors except for this gentleman who owns a tapas bar in Austin. I’m trying to think of the right way to ask this question: Is this a real company?

Rob Copeland

If I were Elizabeth, I would say, “Look, what is a real company? What do you mean by ‘real’?” It’s a real company in the sense that it did successfully raise money.

It’s not a real company in the sense that it has a product that does anything. What really struck me, too, was the gall. Billy was going after huge investors. He was going after Jim Breyer, one of the first backers of Facebook, and Michael Dell, probably the most famous investor not named Elon Musk in Texas. He really thought he was going to be able to raise money from the top tier for this.

Erin Griffith

What I thought was so notable about your story, too, is that in Silicon Valley, there’s this unspoken rule: If you pass on a company, you might tell your friends, “Oh, we didn’t invest in that,” but it sends a really negative signal to the company, and you don’t want to be seen as not founder-friendly. No investor would ever publicly tell The New York Times or anyone in the media, “I declined to invest in this company.” In fact, that’s what stopped investors the first time around with Theranos 1.0 from speaking out and saying, “I looked at this company, but it didn’t pass the smell test for me.” They’re all worried about coming off as not founder-friendly.

Erin Griffith

The fact that you have someone like Jim Breyer on the record saying, “We looked at this company and we thought it was no good, so we passed,” is extremely unusual.

Rob Copeland

Well, I think it also speaks to the fact that Billy is not someone anyone thought they had to protect.

Erin Griffith

Yes.

Rob Copeland

There’s not a future relationship with Billy Evans that anybody necessarily wanted.

Erin Griffith

Well, okay, one other question I had: Isn’t part of Elizabeth’s punishment as a convicted felon that she can’t be involved in securities?

Rob Copeland

She can’t be an officer, for sure.

Erin Griffith

Yeah.

Rob Copeland

Can she informally advise her partner on his company? How could you enforce that, right?

Max Read

Well, certainly, if it was illegal, you wouldn’t want to have a lot of footage of the two of you making investment calls on behalf of the company.

Rob Copeland

If those calls were made in 2023, I do question their veracity, because this company was not raising money in 2023.

Erin Griffith

Wait, what do you mean?

Rob Copeland

If those calls were filmed in 2023—

Erin Griffith

Yeah.

Rob Copeland

There was no Theranos 2.0. Maybe they were casual phone calls, but those were not serious “we’re about to raise money” calls. The real Haemanthus starts around 2024, about a year later. They don’t have offices. As of last year, they were still working out of a house in Austin. It’s still a very, very early startup.

Max Read

Mm-hmm. And at this point, Elizabeth Holmes is in prison, so this is entirely—I mean, with the exception of whatever advice she’s giving him during their visiting days—this is entirely Billy.

Rob Copeland

Correct, yeah.

Erin Griffith

And they have a patent, and she’s not on it.

Max Read

Right. Let me take this in a slightly different direction. Having now seen the movie, and this question is for both of you: What did you make of their relationship?

Erin Griffith

We talked about this a little bit last week, but it was so reminiscent of her relationship with Sunny Balwani, especially when it comes down to the fact that they’re starting the same company all over again. It’s clear that the movie wants you to make that connection.

When I was preparing for this podcast, I went back and looked at the eight-page, single-spaced letter Billy wrote to the court ahead of Holmes’s sentencing to essentially argue for her to get a lower sentence. There were over 100 letters that she collected from a bunch of people, and it was really fascinating because it was kind of the first look into her personal life. There were a lot of photos in his letter.

One thing that really stuck out to me was that even then, he was participating in this narrative that the movie continues: She’s this sort of weird person who doesn’t really relate to others in the same way, and that’s why she was a bit of a miscommunicator with investors. He had this line in the letter about how so many things written about her were untrue, including the fact that she’s a good salesperson. He writes, “Liz has no ability to sell something. She simply believes in things with such depth that it is alluring. She’s more of a zealot than a showman.”

That fits into the movie a little bit, because the movie is showing us how she believes her own reality. So you’re like, “Okay, I sort of see the narrative that you’re making,” and it actually is kind of proven out in the movie.

Max Read

Yeah.

Rob Copeland

I think I had a slightly different take. One, I didn’t necessarily buy their relationship 100%, but as someone who interviews people for a living, he did something very recognizable: He volunteered answers to questions that were not asked. Nathan asks him if he was dating other people when he met Elizabeth, and all of a sudden he’s volunteering, “I was dating three people, actually.”

He has a PR strategy to answer the question he wishes he’d been asked. It’s sort of our job as journalists to get around that or to just repeat the question, but that seems very B-list corporate executive who’s just done one day of PR training to me.

Erin Griffith

Probably at 2X speed, right?

Max Read

Yeah.

Rob Copeland

For sure. Whereas Elizabeth was at least a difficult person to interview, really, if you were trying to get anything through to her, because she’s just looking at you and not blinking.

Max Read

Do you guys think—I’m just going to come out and ask it—do you guys think they’re in love?

Erin Griffith

Yeah. Maybe I’m just a sucker who got taken along for a ride by Nathan Fielder and Elizabeth Holmes, but I felt like their relationship was genuine. It was maybe the most genuine thing in the whole movie.

Rob Copeland

I thought, honestly, they had definitely made eggs together before. He knew how long that was going to take, and I related to that.

Max Read

Having made eggs with somebody in the past, you were able to recognize that exact dynamic.

Rob Copeland

And, by the way, for the record, he’s wrong. You shouldn’t overbeat scrambled eggs. It makes them tough. She was doing a better job.

Max Read

This is the kind of hard-hitting stuff—

Erin Griffith

Justice.

Max Read

—you can only get on Hard Fork: how to make eggs.

2. Could Theranos Rise Again

One reason I want to ask about the love stuff is that, Rob, something that has come together in our conversations for me is the sense that part of what Billy gets out of this relationship is attention, notoriety, and access to people he might not otherwise have. In many ways, it sounds like Haemanthus is a sort of circus show. It doesn’t have a ton of money. The only thing it offers is kind of an inside joke, as you were saying.

So I wanted to ask you, Erin, as somebody who reports on the world of investing in Silicon Valley: Is there any chance they could build this into something bigger than a joke?

Erin Griffith

There has been this trend in the last few years of big Silicon Valley venture capital firms doing what can be characterized as a troll investment: writing a big check to someone who has either been canceled or embroiled in controversy. There have been a few of these deals lately. A lot of them are coming from Andreessen Horowitz. They gave money to Andy Rubin, who was pushed out of Google after being accused of sexual impropriety with some colleagues. They gave over $300 million to Adam Neumann for his WeWork, WeLive, Flow company.

There’s a history of firms investing in a controversial founder as a way to make a stand, to say, “We don’t care about the media or the zeitgeist or cancel culture or anything like that. We are going to back founders no matter what.” I could see somebody taking that side of the bet.

That said, I did do a little search, and I haven’t seen too many examples of VC firms doing this for people who are actually convicted of fraud.

Max Read

Yeah.

Erin Griffith

She’s a felon. The only example I can find is Trevor Milton, who was the CEO of Nikola, the self-driving truck company that famously posted that video of its truck driving itself, but in fact it was rolling down a hill. That guy was pardoned by Trump, and he now has a new company called Cyberjet Aircraft. They were going out trying to raise some money. He’s the CEO of that company, and I don’t know if they’ve actually raised a lot of money.

Billy McFarland from Fyre Fest has not been successful in trying to raise money. I do think there’s a chance they draw a line at someone who has actually been convicted of fraud. TBD on Sam Bankman-Fried whenever he gets out, or if he’s working on FTX 2.0 with Caroline Ellison from prison.

Max Read

Yeah. Speaking of the great love stories of our time.

Rob Copeland

Can I add something? Sorry, just one thing I sort of disagree with you on, Erin, is—

Erin Griffith

Please.

Rob Copeland

I think we underestimate a little bit how much they love to prove journalists wrong—at least on Wall Street, for sure—

Erin Griffith

Yes.

Rob Copeland

—and pundits wrong. The fact that this film has reignited a whole bunch of people like us talking about, “Oh my gosh, can you believe what she did? Can you believe she actually…” No, guys, I swear she was found guilty by a jury of her peers. That just pushes that button, right, to flip back at you. I’ve definitely been hearing from people who want me to know that she’s not all that bad. I could see a universe in which it works.

Erin Griffith

I think the thing it would hinge on is if she gets a pardon, because then that’s just an easy way to tell that story to investors and for them to tell it to their LPs.

Max Read

One theme of the movie, and one thing consistent with what you’re talking about, is that there’s a political edge to this. Part of the journey we see Billy take over the course of the film is from this overprotective but, let’s be honest, controlling sort of supportive partner to this jaw-grinding, gun-toting reactionary who’s defending Charlie Kirk over the dinner table.

Jessica Reed Kraus, who runs a blog called House Inhabit, which I’m not quite sure how to put it other than to say it’s a MAGA gossip blog, has declared Elizabeth Holmes the original MAGA. There are these vague efforts to grab onto Holmes, aided by Billy, as a kind of Trumpian figure, a figure for the tech right. Maybe if anybody’s going to do it, it would be Andreessen Horowitz, but I agree with you that there needs to be some kind of pardon or mechanism they can use to tell the story.

Rob Copeland

A MAGA gossip blog is what Erin calls me on Slack when she’s angry. That’s what it is.

Max Read

Speaking of the Charlie Kirk scene, one of the big real-world revelations in the movie—maybe “big” is overstating it, but it certainly feels big in the movie—is that Elizabeth Holmes’s Twitter account, which has been active during the time she’s been in prison and has gotten strangely combative and conservative, is being run by Billy. Billy is sort of claiming either that she’s sending him the specific words or that he’s just tweeting on her behalf. I imagine, Rob, you had no idea this was happening while you were interviewing him.

Rob Copeland

I had no idea, and it would’ve been so off the wall, truly.

Max Read

There’s one tweet in particular that doesn’t quite play a role in the movie, but bears on something that happens in it. I’m going to read this and then some other tweets, and I want you guys to tell me whether you think they’re tweets from Elizabeth Holmes or from Billy Evans. The first tweet: “Charlie Kirk talked profoundly about forgiveness, its power. I keep thinking about that today and what it means to rise in the face of the unforgivable.” Is that Elizabeth Holmes or Billy Evans?

Erin Griffith

That sounds like her. It’s pretty obvious, especially having watched the movie, which tweets are coming from Holmes and which ones are coming from Billy.

Max Read

Okay, here’s one.

Erin Griffith

There’s one that’s very online-brain, and the other is kind of fortune-cookie inspirational stuff.

Max Read

She posts a photo of Daenerys from Game of Thrones. Daenerys is the dragon princess who emerges from flames, having birthed dragons to retake her throne, and she says, “They can bruise and bloody me, but still I rise.” Is that Elizabeth or Billy?

Erin Griffith

Given that she didn’t even know about Abbott and Costello, I feel like she probably hasn’t seen Game of Thrones. Maybe, but it feels like Billy.

Max Read

That’s a Billy one. Okay, one about Zohran Mamdani. What are the odds that Zohran Mam—

Erin Griffith

I’m just going to say Billy.

Max Read

Okay, I’m not going to read it. It’s Billy.

Rob Copeland

How does she even know? Wait, is she—oh, this is the councilman she really liked?

Max Read

Okay, here’s one. It’s a question: “Ever feel like a book was written for you?” It’s a, I’m pretty sure, AI-generated image of a hardcover book titled How to Fit into Society When You’re an Alien from an Alternate Universe.

Erin Griffith

This speaks to the narrative I was talking about, that Billy’s trying to put out there about her—how she’s just so strange and unknowable and weird. In a way, it kind of feels like him. And we know at least that she did not AI-generate—

Max Read

Yeah.

Erin Griffith

—a book from prison.

Max Read

Okay, I’m going to do one more. Thank you for playing along with this game. It just says, “Never forget who you are.”

Erin Griffith

That sounds like her.

Rob Copeland

I was going to say Billy.

Max Read

I do wonder—

Erin Griffith

It depends on if you see it with menace or with, like, inspiration. Right?

Max Read

I do wonder a little bit—I don’t want to speculate too much about this—but there is a suggestion in the way they talk about her and Billy’s closeness with her, even in prison, that she has a phone somewhere in jail.

Rob Copeland

I’ve actually done some reporting on this with—don’t know if you’ve ever heard of this young man, Martin Shkreli—who is in prison. I did a bit of reporting around SBF, too. Everyone has a phone in prison. It’s the biggest unspoken secret. The guards love when you have phones because then they don’t have to worry. The safest thing you could do is just watch stupid TikTok all day.

Max Read

Wow. That’s a really powerful thought for all of us to have when we scroll tonight: the guards are happy when we’re not doing anything interesting.

Guys, thank you for coming and talking about Billy Evans, Elizabeth Holmes, and You Can See Everything With Me.

3. CoreWeave's Debt Comes Due

I’ve asked my guests to bring a piece of news they’re tracking this week and tell us a little bit about why they think it’s important. Rob, what are you following this week, and why is it important?

Rob Copeland

I am all of a sudden obsessed with this company you haven’t heard of called CoreWeave. CoreWeave is a—

Erin Griffith

Oh, I know CoreWeave.

Rob Copeland

Pardon me, Erin, but get your own topic.

Max Read

Tell me about—

Erin Griffith

Welcome to AI infra.

Max Read

Yeah. Tell me about CoreWeave, Rob.

Rob Copeland

CoreWeave is an AI middleman, essentially. They buy the compute—the processors. They stick it into warehouses, and they lease the space to companies whose names you might have heard of, like Anthropic or these other huge AI startups. The problem is that, to grow so fast, they’ve taken on a huge amount of debt. They have something like $70 billion in liabilities across 51 different data centers, and their stock is suddenly in a free fall.

They’re starting to have to pay twice as much to service their debt. It’s a classic Wall Street financing story of a company that grew and grew and grew and grew and just assumed the market would go one direction: up. Spoiler alert: there’s always another side.

Erin Griffith

Do you think they’re a canary in the coal mine for all this crazy infrastructure spending that’s been happening over the last 4 years?

Rob Copeland

They’re definitely an early sign of that. What I will say is that everyone, myself included, is super into AI as a tech story—as in, what can Muse do? But—

Erin Griffith

Sure.

Rob Copeland

—from my seat, it’s a financing story as much as anything else.

Rob Copeland

These companies have said that they need to borrow as much as $10 trillion to get this to work. We’re nowhere near even beginning that climb, and we’re already starting to see the market shake a little.

Max Read

So this is not the kind of thing, in your estimation, where CoreWeave could go down, but everything else keeps going up and to the right?

Rob Copeland

No. They’re very much a proxy for a certain part of the market at large. The financial aspect of this story, in my opinion, is going to play out faster than the technological side.

Erin Griffith

And I think this really ties into—I’m working on a story on this now—Anthropic’s IPO as well. Everyone’s looking to Anthropic to see: Is this demand for AI unlimited, or are there limits? Is it elastic? Are people limited in what they’re willing to pay? Because that then trickles down to the likes of CoreWeave, right?

Rob Copeland

When we say “trickles,” by the way, Anthropic is so huge, with this $1.5 trillion or so offering. CoreWeave is a $40 billion company. This isn’t trickling down to a nobody. These are real-size companies.

Max Read

Right, it’s not Humantis.

Rob Copeland

Wow, shots fired over here at the Hard Fork studios.

Max Read

It’s roughly 10,000 Humantises.

Rob Copeland

Exactly. And even this week, Ken Griffin, one of the most famous hedge fund investors, said that he thought we’re in an AI bubble. When you start hearing that, from my seat, you just start waiting to see what falls first.

Max Read

Well, that’s a cheery piece of news, Rob. Thank you. Erin, what are you tracking this week?

4. Musk Moves to Merge Empires

Erin Griffith

I’m interested in Elon Musk’s empire consolidation continuing. Ever since SpaceX decided it was going to rush into the public markets, there’s been speculation that the whole point is to set the company up so it can more easily merge with Tesla. Earlier this week, on SpaceX’s earnings call, Elon Musk basically confirmed that. He said they’re setting up committees of independent directors to explore a potential merger between giant SpaceX and giant Tesla. And he had this really amazing quote: “Because I’m a conflicted party, I can’t actually be in the discussions.” For someone in that position, it’s very, very funny to me.

Max Read

Someone should make a three-hour documentary about this guy.

Erin Griffith

Four hours, in fact, is the Musk documentary. Rob, I’m sure you have pretty strong views on this as well, so I’d love to hear your thoughts.

Rob Copeland

My strongest view, as always—and this is copyright—is that reporters make terrible securities analysts. So, you know, don’t listen to us. What I will say is we all laughed at xAI and SpaceX merging earlier this year. It was a hugely positive thing for the IPO. It’s worked out by every possible standard so far, so it’s easy to laugh at this stuff. I do have a—

Erin Griffith

The track record of Musk consolidating his empire is exactly that story, going all the way back to when Tesla bought SolarCity. Everyone was kind of mad about it. It made no sense. He was just using one of his good businesses to rescue a struggling business. But, like you said, it has really all worked out for him in the end, and I think people seeing that track record are very willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.

Really, what’s driving this, I think, is that Elon Musk does not have control of Tesla in the same way that he does of SpaceX. Shareholders are able to push back a lot more. They have a little more leverage than they do with SpaceX, so I think merging them would give him the opportunity to get that control back. If he wants to throw a ton of money and lose a ton of money in the short term investing in robots for Tesla, he has more runway to do that if he’s got more control.

5. Meta's Conservative Whisperer Leaves

Max Read

I want to share the story I’m tracking, which is that Joel Kaplan, Meta’s global policy chief, is leaving the company after 15 years. Kaplan is, to me at least, a really fascinating figure. He was a Scalia clerk. He participated in the infamous Brooks Brothers riot during the 2000 election. Most famously to people who aren’t committed Facebookologists, he was—and is—a close friend of Brett Kavanaugh’s, and he sat behind the Supreme Court justice during his confirmation hearings. This was, of course, when Christine Blasey Ford accused him of rape.

His role at Facebook has been a sort of conservative whisperer. Facebook, for the first 15 years of its existence, probably got more criticism from the right than it did from the left. There were all these, in my opinion, manufactured controversies about censorship, shadow banning, and trending topics. Kaplan’s legacy, I think, was helping them navigate those, mostly by shifting the company externally and internally a little bit to the right.

It would be sort of satisfying, I think, if you’re politically on the left, to imagine that Kaplan is leaving because the Republicans are going to get blown out in the midterms. But it seems much more likely that he’s just leaving because it’s been 15 years, the job is probably exhausting, he’s made a bundle of money, and why stick around?

Erin Griffith

Where do you think he’s going to land? Probably somewhere in the Trump administration?

Max Read

It’s a good question. I suspect he’s a Rubio 2028 guy. I’m going to put that marker down right now. But for the next few months, the open guest house on Kauai at Mark’s estate is probably where he’s going to go.

Erin Griffith

Do you have a group chat with the other Facebookologists, as you called yourself?

Max Read

No, I like to keep notes to myself. I’ve got a nice little corkboard in my garage and some red yarn so I can connect things. I don’t need to talk to people about this stuff.

Erin Griffith

Where do they go when they leave Facebook, then? Do you have a little separate island for them?

Max Read

Yeah. I’ve got a couple of different filing cabinets. Don’t worry about what I’m doing in my private time.

Rob Copeland

By the way, what struck me was that he’s being replaced by Dina Powell McCormick, who has been there—I think she gets a new job every month there. She’s a former Goldman Sachs banker, a big Wall Street figure, one of the most charming salespeople on the street. I saw her last at a conference in May, where she was trying to convince me to try the glasses they came out with.

Erin Griffith

They’re her glasses.

Rob Copeland

Even she, a truly gifted salesperson, could not convince one person at that party to put those glasses on.

Max Read

As Rob is talking about how charming he finds these people, I just want to remind you that this conversation started with a discussion of how charming he found Billy Evans, as you’re trying to adjust in your head Rob’s ability to suss out charisma.

John, welcome back to Hard Fork.

John Carreyrou

Thanks for having me again. This is becoming a regular thing.

6. John Carreyrou Reopens Theranos

Max Read

Yeah, I’m enjoying it. We saw this movie last week. We both enjoyed it. We had a great conversation about it on Friday, and since then the movie has actually come out, and there’s been a frenzy over Elizabeth Holmes and some of the stuff that comes out in the movie.

Max Read

I’m wondering what your experience of that has been like. You had been saying you were done with the Elizabeth Holmes story, and here you are right back in it.

John Carreyrou

It’s been surreal. This movie has gone completely viral, and it feels like the story has only become bigger in terms of its public impact. Even at the height of my newspaper reporting for The Wall Street Journal in 2015 and 2016, the height of the publicity around the book in 2018, or the coverage of the trial, I never felt like quite as many people were being read into the story and paying attention as they are now.

Max Read

I was talking with some of our production staff, and they were saying they’ve been going to bookstores to pick up a copy. It’s sold out here in New York, and it’s flying off the shelves in airport bookstores. Have you heard any of this?

John Carreyrou

Before walking into the studio, I got an email from my editor at Knopf telling me they had just printed another batch of 10,000 copies. It’s been great. I like the fact that people are going to what I like to think is the definitive account of what happened. They don’t want to stop at just seeing the film. A lot of people understand that this is art, and they also want to get at the underlying facts and understand what happened.

Max Read

Last week we talked about the movie. We did our best to avoid spoilers, because a lot of amazing, insane, unrepeatable stuff happens in the second half of the movie. Is there anything you’ve been thinking about since, or that you wish we could have talked about last week, now that this is a spoilers episode?

John Carreyrou

The second half of the film, for those who have seen it, is structured around trying to answer the mystery of whether Elizabeth knew that she and Billy were going to profit from the movie under the original deal Billy had reached with A24. I came away thinking there’s no way she didn’t know.

Erin Griffith

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

I just don’t think it’s possible.

Max Read

Maybe this is a good opportunity to get into some of the facts. One interesting reaction I’ve seen is that people who haven’t read Bad Blood—which I recommend everybody read; it’s a great book of reporting and a fascinating account of a particular culture in Silicon Valley during the years Theranos was around—aren’t necessarily as familiar with exactly what was going on at Theranos or with Elizabeth Holmes. We solicited a bunch of questions from the many people who were commenting and talking, and a lot of them had questions for you. Here’s one to start with, to give us a map on the ground. Ben Ryan asks, “What are the most unimpeachable pieces of evidence that Elizabeth Holmes is a fraudster?”

John Carreyrou

She gave media interviews and met with investors in 2014 and 2015, and represented very explicitly that she had a new technology, a new device that could do hundreds of blood tests from just one drop of blood pricked from a finger. The reality, shown by my reporting in the book and later confirmed at trial, was that they had a machine that could do 12 tests. That machine, called the Edison, was very faulty. They had to void every single one of those 12 types of tests for which they issued results. Every single result had to be voided. That’s how riddled with errors the machine was.

Tyler Shultz, one of the whistleblowers and one of my confidential sources at the time, is the grandson of former Secretary of State George Shultz. He pointed out on CBS This Morning yesterday that the machine she unpacks for Nathan Fielder, where you can see everything, isn’t the Edison. It’s a machine called the miniLab, the next iteration of the Theranos machine. It was supposed to cram more components into one device, do more tests, and have more capabilities. That machine was never finished. It never convincingly produced reliable test results, and they were never confident enough with it to use it—

Erin Griffith

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

—on live patients. So there’s a bit of obfuscation and misleading going on in that scene when she unpacks the device. It’s not even the device they used on Theranos patients.

Erin Griffith

Yeah. Right. Can you talk a little bit about Tyler Shultz? He doesn’t come up in the movie at all, but he’s a main character in the story of Theranos and its decline and fall. How did you come to hear from him, and what was his role in your reporting and, further, in the fraud trial?

John Carreyrou

My first primary source—the first primary source I made contact with, whose real name I can now use after shielding his identity for years—was Adam Rosendorff, who shortly before he began talking to me was the clinical laboratory director at Theranos. When I started talking to him, I think in February 2015, he was terrified. I asked if there were other people who might be willing to talk to me, because I was looking for corroborating sources. In that very first conversation, he mentioned a young man named Tyler Shultz, who had left the company about eight months earlier. He had reason to believe Tyler had left on bad terms and had been raising questions, although he didn’t know the details.

He said, “You should look this kid up. And, oh, by the way, he’s George Shultz’s grandson.” The grandson of a very high-profile board member had left the company and potentially could be a corroborating source. That got my interest and attention, and I tried to get in touch with Tyler in the ensuing weeks. I wasn’t able to. I reached out to him through LinkedIn, and I don’t think I heard from him for about two months.

Then suddenly, one afternoon, I was at my desk in the Wall Street Journal newsroom in Midtown, and my phone rang.

Erin Griffith

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

Out of the blue, I answered, and it was Tyler Shultz.

Max Read

Tyler was in a fairly awkward position as a whistleblower who was also related to someone involved in the management of Theranos. One thing that maybe gets lost in the film a little bit is the extent to which Holmes and Theranos went after you and Shultz, and the lengths they went to to try to stop this story. Can you tell me a little bit about that?

John Carreyrou

Tyler actually tried to blow the whistle to Elizabeth first. He tried to meet with her and tell her what was bothering him, and that didn’t go very well. She fobbed him off to Sunny, who got really angry with him, and to the lawyers. Then he tried to blow the whistle to his grandfather.

Erin Griffith

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

His grandfather didn’t believe him and wouldn’t listen to him. Tyler ended up leaving the company after a little less than a year. When I started getting in touch with former and current Theranos employees, word got around among former employees, and Tyler got really concerned that if he contacted me, the company would somehow know. The threat of litigation was always in the air when you worked at Theranos.

I later learned that they had figured out who several of my sources were. They had ambushed Tyler at George Shultz’s house, which was on the Stanford campus, and tried to get him to admit he was speaking to me. They tried to get him to sign paperwork basically recanting, and to say who the other former employees were who were talking to me. From that point on, Tyler’s life became a nightmare.

Erin Griffith

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

He had to get his own legal representation. His parents were almost bankrupted by the legal fees. That summer, he spent his nights sleeping with a knife under his pillow. He was afraid for his life. When I say she went after him, I’m not exaggerating. This was a ruthless cover-up, a ruthless attempt to prevent the truth from coming out.

Max Read

We’re talking legal threats, intimidation. I know she even tried to get Rupert Murdoch to shut down the Wall Street Journal investigation.

John Carreyrou

That’s right. She appealed to Murdoch. At one point, I think in September 2015, we were less than a month from publishing the story, and she showed up in New York. She took the elevator to the eighth floor, where Murdoch had his office, and went to visit him. She had access because Murdoch had invested in Theranos. Unbeknownst to me at the time, he was Theranos’s single biggest investor. He had put in $125 million. She went to see him in the News Corp building, three floors up from where I was in the newsroom, and appealed to him to kill the story.

Speaker 1

Let me get to another viewer question. The movie is constructed around encounters Nathan Fielder has with Elizabeth Holmes. In the first half, at least, he’s living in this beach house with her, and he’s trying to figure out who she is in some sense, whether she really believes what she’s saying. She both intentionally and maybe inadvertently tries to defend herself.

Speaker 1

One of her defenses, which comes up in the film a few times, is that she was misled or framed by her boyfriend, Sunny Balwani, the chief operating officer. I have a question from a Twitter user named Mark B.: “Devil’s advocate: Is it possible that it was all Sunny? I’m genuinely asking.” What do you say, John?

John Carreyrou

No way. Sunny absolutely had a hand in this, but they ran this company as a couple.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

Probably the best way to understand that is to look at their texts.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

The government pulled thousands of their texts, spanning a number of years, essentially from when he joined Theranos in 2009 to 2015 or 2016. When you read those texts, you get the picture of a couple running this company together. They’re checking in with each other all the time. They’re doing everything together. This was a duo.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

You could certainly accuse Sunny of being a bad influence on her. You could also make the case that she was a bad influence on Sunny. But the notion that she wasn’t involved—

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

—is farcical.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

I would argue that the blame should be on her even a little bit more than on Sunny because she was CEO.

Speaker 1

Right.

John Carreyrou

She was chairman of the board. She had voting rights that gave her something like 90% voting control of the company. She was at the controls of this thing.

Speaker 1

Right.

John Carreyrou

And she was piloting the cover-up.

Speaker 1

Yeah. Another defense that comes up in the movie is the idea that she never quite lied, but merely miscommunicated or communicated incorrectly. Was that a familiar defense to you? Is that something she had talked about before or used at trial? I’m thinking specifically of this scene we’ve already touched on, where she brings out the Edison, and she—

John Carreyrou

She brings out the miniLab.

Speaker 1

Right. Exactly. She does not bring out the Edison.

John Carreyrou

That’s a problem. She doesn’t bring out the Edison.

Speaker 1

She brings out the miniLab, and she effectively says that when she says this machine can do something, she doesn’t mean it literally can do it, but that someday, in some hypothetical way, it could do it, or something like that.

John Carreyrou

Yeah.

Speaker 1

Was that a familiar defense to you?

John Carreyrou

I think it’s one of a panoply of defenses that she’s used. I can’t remember if she used it at trial or not, but the bottom line is the miniLab couldn’t do anything. I don’t think the miniLab had a single test ever validated on it. The whole debate they have over the meaning of the word “can” is beside the point. That machine couldn’t do anything.

Speaker 1

Yeah. What did you make of the Abbott and Costello scene? This is another pivotal scene in the movie where Nathan shows her the classic Abbott and Costello routine “Who’s on First?” He tries to get her to talk about what’s funny about it, and she says, “Oh, I find it funny,” but then she can’t figure out the name of the first baseman, which is obviously the whole premise of the joke. Do you think it’s possible that she actually didn’t understand?

John Carreyrou

I think she understood it and was playing dumb.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

The reason for that is there was a sequence, either immediately before that one or the one before, where they’re sitting at the dining room table in the beach bungalow in San Diego. The pieces of the Theranos device are laid out in front of them, and Fielder floats the notion that she just interacts with the world differently.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

She sees the world differently, and perhaps that explains why statements she felt were innocent were interpreted by investors and others—doctors and patients—as lies. My interpretation is that she felt playing dumb about the Abbott and Costello routine in the next sequence would further that narrative: that she’s this neurodivergent, autistic entrepreneur who functions on a different wavelength.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

She’s very calculating, and her calculus was, “Behaving this way helps me.”

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

“And it helps this narrative that Fielder himself floated, so that’s what I’m going to go with now.”

Speaker 1

What makes you so sure of the calculation that’s going on there?

John Carreyrou

Because I’ve seen her be calculating for years now, in a bunch of different situations. I saw the way she responded to questions when she was interviewed for three days in a row by the SEC. I saw her testify on her own behalf at the trial. I saw how she responded to my stories back in late 2015. There was one incredibly telling moment: She came to the Wall Street Journal’s tech conference about 10 days after my first front-page story was published. She came out swinging and told some bald-faced lies—

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

—in that appearance, and she knew exactly what she was doing.

Speaker 1

Right. So you put no stock in the Fielder argument that maybe she sees the world differently, and we should give her a little bit of space for this different sense of the world?

John Carreyrou

I mostly don’t buy that, no.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

I think that, for the most part, she knew exactly what she was doing when she was Theranos CEO.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

She knew she was telling major lies.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

And I just really don’t buy—

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

—that interpretation.

Speaker 1

When you say “for the most part,” though, is there stuff you feel like you could chalk up to her being weird, for lack of a better word?

John Carreyrou

Well, this is the nuance. I don’t think she dropped out of Stanford as a sophomore with a plan to con investors, doctors, and patients. I think she really did want to found a company. She really did want to walk in the footsteps of Steve Jobs. She really did want to become a world-renowned, successful entrepreneur, and she thought and hoped that her idea would work.

I think what happened is that, in the years thereafter, she began cutting corners and telling lies when she needed to. It became a full-fledged fraud in fall 2013, when they went live with the blood tests in Walgreens stores and were absolutely not ready. They had an Edison machine that could do only a few tests and couldn’t do them well.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

They hacked these Siemens machines and used finger-stick samples on them. They pre-diluted the samples to make them big enough to run on the Siemens machines. That’s problematic because the protocol on the Siemens machines already dilutes the sample, so you’re double-diluting it, which can cause accuracy issues. The bottom line is, you’re not using your own technology. You’re using a 100-year-old German conglomerate’s machines that you’re slightly modifying.

I would date the moment when it became a giant fraud to fall 2013. But did she hope to succeed in earlier years? Yes. It wasn’t all a fraud from the beginning.

Speaker 1

Yeah. Let me ask a question from Twitter. This is from a user called Inquisitive Mind: “Do you have any basic human sympathy for her? You’ve reframed her victims, and I understand that, but this is a woman who’s been through some rough things.”

John Carreyrou

Yes, I have sympathy for her. I think the U.S. justice system is really harsh. The U.S. criminal system is harsh. She got 11 years and 3 months, I think her sentence was, and that’s a pretty heavy sentence, perhaps out of whack with the crime.

I also felt sympathy for her seeing her in that bungalow with the kids, juggling the kids. There’s a scene I felt was very genuine, where I felt for her: Fielder is talking to Billy, and she’s in the foreground talking to her lawyers on the phone about what prison is going to be like.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

You see her gradually break down in tears. I think those tears were very genuine, and I felt bad for her then.

Speaker 1

Yeah. One of the remarkable things about the movie is that it’s a portrait that generates sympathy without removing any of the damning parts of what happened and why you would expect her to be in jail, I suppose. I do want to ask about Billy. I have a question from Ryan Parks on Twitter: “Do you think the husband is a mark or opportunist?”

John Carreyrou

I think he’s both.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

I think she is using him. You can't tell me it's a coincidence that the first guy she dates seriously after the Theranos scandal has blown up and basically made her this notorious con woman is a very rich heir.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

I think he's also an opportunist because you get the sense, as you watch the film, that he wants to capitalize on this opportunity. There are parts of him that are outraged by what she's gone through because he feels she's innocent. There are parts of him who love her and feel empathy for her, but there's also a part of him, I feel confident in saying, that does see an opportunity for his own career. They were hoping to make money off the film.

Speaker 1

Right.

John Carreyrou

He's definitely an opportunist.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I mean, that seems like one of the major themes of the second half of the movie: the many ways he's found opportunity, even as she's in prison, to make use of her image.

John Carreyrou

Yeah, I mean, the digital replica.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

That right there feels exploitative.

Speaker 1

Yeah. One response we got to the episode we recorded last week was a question about why we should still care about Elizabeth Holmes. I'm going to read a representative comment from Matt on the Times site: “Why can no one look away from Elizabeth Holmes? Because the media keeps throwing stories about her at me. Every time I see a headline, my first reaction is, ‘Who is this person again?’ And my second is, ‘Why are we still talking about her?’”

We talked a little last week about why Elizabeth Holmes is a fascinating cultural figure, and you in fact wrote a great piece on the subject, too, that's available in the Times app. But I'm also wondering if you think we should stop talking about her. Is there a case for her continued relevance as a news story?

John Carreyrou

First of all, I'll remind everyone why we're talking about her. We're talking about her because she invited these filmmakers into her home 34 days before going to prison to retell the story, rewrite history, and have people feel sorry for her. That's why we're talking about her. She did this.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

She's the one who made this moment happen. I suspect it hasn't panned out exactly the way she hoped, because I do think this film is damning in its own way. It's a terrific movie. It's a terrific piece of art, but I think it really doesn't make her or Billy look good.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

But I keep coming back to the fact that she's the one who is making us talk about her.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

She's the one who's not going away.

Speaker 1

Yeah. Okay, let me ask one final question. This is also from Corey O'Neill on Twitter. Corey writes, “Judge Davila asked whether the pathology of fraud is the inability or refusal to accept responsibility. After years of investigating Holmes, do you think someone can evade reality so persistently that a conscious refusal eventually becomes a genuine inability to recognize reality?”

John Carreyrou

Again, I don't buy the narrative that she doesn't know she lied and that she doesn't know she did wrong. I think she does.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

John Carreyrou

But she's continuing to put on the act that she didn't do anything wrong and that, whether or not you believe she did, she doesn't believe she did anything wrong.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

John Carreyrou

I think Judge Davila was incredibly wise when he made that statement during her sentencing. This is someone who had many, many, many opportunities to take responsibility or partial responsibility, show contrition, admit that she could have done things differently, and feel sorry for the patients whose lives she impacted, employees, doctors, and investors. She never once did that.

I was at her sentencing hearing, and when Davila uttered those words, I wrote the quote down verbatim in my notebook. Then I used it in the epilogue I wrote for the book. I wrote an epilogue after the sentencing hearing, a long one, chapter length, and I used that Davila quote because I thought it really encapsulated her mind, her psychology, and her refusal to take responsibility.

Speaker 1

Well, that's a great note to end on. John, thank you for joining us again. I have to recommend that Hard Fork listeners, our audience, read Bad Blood. If you've seen this movie, if you haven't seen this movie, it's a great work of journalism, a great work of nonfiction. Thanks again for coming on.

John Carreyrou

Thanks for having me.