David Hunter

The 25bp hike was fully priced, but the hawkish presser briefly hit E-minis and small caps as oil topped $100 and diesel exceeded $6.Hunter sees a one-and-done move, rates near a three-year top, and December hike odds trending down.His melt-up targets are S&P 10,000, silver 200, and gold 7,000, with AI correction, oil, and midterms as risks.

李翔 × 李丰

全球流动性或已见顶，AI数据中心与美债、美股争夺资金，资本开支转向惩罚激进；李丰的英伟达实验提示延期、涨价、自由现金流下降和应收高企风险。中国融资结构与房地产、保险、A股筹码调整或重塑居民资产配置，滞胀与泡沫出清仍待观察。

Chamath Palihapitiya × Jason Calacanis × David Sacks × David Friedberg

Nvidia’s $96.2B revenue and $60B net profit came with 70% growth guidance versus the Street’s 45%, despite supply constraints.Salesforce’s 20%+ rally on $5.90 adjusted EPS and a $46B guide suggests agents may reinforce horizontal systems of record, while vertical SaaS remains contested.Debt also bears watching: $10T must be refinanced within 12 months at a 5.2% 30-year rate.

Peter Diamandis × Salim Ismail × Dave Blundin × Alexander Wissner-Gross × Kush Bavaria

Intercontinental Exchange plans GPU futures based on Kush Bavaria’s Orin Compute Price Index, as Orin nears its first anniversary with “a third of a billion dollars” in revenue and compute prices rising from April to August.The panel contrasts Google’s nearly 1B Gemini users and 9M developers with rumors of Gemini 3.5 Pro being abandoned, talent leaving, and four frontier labs losing containment, making AI security and compute-market infrastructure key signals to monitor.

Jordi Visser

The speed-crash low is probably in: the Qs rallied nearly 10% in four days, breadth broadened to multiple all-time highs, and factor volatility collapsed.Yet compute demand is accelerating, with B200 rental prices reaching just under $4 per GPU-hour and Visser reporting no instance of deceleration, while agents are already reshaping hiring.Future risk management centers on thematic breadth and factor volatility rather than generic index puts, while Bitcoin remains macro-supported but unconfirmed above the referenced level.

David Hunter × Angelo Robles

David Hunter sees the S&P entering a parabolic finale, targeting 10,000 from roughly 7,750 within 2-5 months as financials, materials, and metals outperform technology.He then forecasts an approximately 80% global bust driven by leverage, followed by delayed central-bank capitulation, higher inflation and rates, and a capital-preservation imperative, though his timing has repeatedly slipped and he concedes he could be wrong.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

The yen intervention may be a Treasury backstop designed to prevent Japanese reserve sales from pushing U.S. yields higher, reinforcing a policy regime where Washington’s favored assets and lower rates shape positioning.Avi sees metals rotating as central-bank selling reverses, while Jonah prefers copper’s supply bottleneck and direct exposure; crypto remains resilient, but HOOD offers a higher-margin expression and political risk could redefine the rally.

Shanghao Jin

Momentum抛售或已接近阶段性底部，但prime book仍有95%仓位，杠杆ETF仍剩三千亿美元，去杠杆风险未消。周四反弹主要由空头平仓推动，Citadel接走最后160亿美元仓位，微软和亚马逊业绩仅属边际因素。利率定价可能过度反映供给冲击，短端或随数据回落、长端受国债供应支撑；AI最终仍取决于融资与终端付费。

Dan Nishball × Zane Fong × Kang Wen Cheang × Jordan Nanos

AI infrastructure’s bottleneck is shifting to balance-sheet capacity: $11 trillion of 2024-2029 capex could require roughly $7.1 trillion of funding, while five-year hyperscaler offtake excludes short-duration demand.NVIDIA’s GB300 backstop makes neocloud capacity lendable by flooring cash flow, but selects repeat buyers and ties NCP access to its stack; rapid GPU depreciation and utilization gaps remain the underwriting risk.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Only 2.2% of US households pay for AI subscriptions, leaving a large adoption runway that could flow to Micron, MSFT, Meta and Google.A 40% memory drawdown has not ended Avi’s thesis, but Korean margin calls show bubble-like leverage, making forced selling and earnings misses the risks to monitor.