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The a16z Show · · 92 分钟

隐身创业 | Travis Kalanick 与 a16z

Travis KalanickBen HorowitzErik Torenberg

YouTube
TL;DR
  • Atoms 的目标,是把制造、地产和物流分别当作一台“原子计算机”的 CPU、存储和网络,自动化实体产业。 Kalanick 目前只聚焦“食品、采矿和运输”,打造面向具体行业的计算机,而不是通用人形机器人平台。其投资逻辑是全栈工业 AI:软件、传感器、机器人、机械设备和实体基础设施由同一套系统统一控制。

  • 只有当备餐和配送成本逼近杂货店经济学时,食品业的论点才具备颠覆性。 Atoms 将制造与物流枢纽、食品机器人和“自动墨西哥卷饼”结合起来,后者是带温控的轮式自动配送设备。Kalanick 称生产成本可降低50%;如果用成本50美分至1美元的机器人配送替代一次约12美元的配送,再叠加约6美元人工成本和2–3美元场地成本的节省,最终有望实现“全包价送到你手中、售价8–10美元”的餐食。

  • 自动化采矿已经越过 Kalanick 设定的关键商业化门槛:生产率超过人类。 收购 Pronto 后,Atoms 可以向金矿 CEO 提问:“你想不想让年产金量增加20%?”客户仍然要求先拿出证据,但 Kalanick 称矿山如今反过来催促公司加快部署,在提升增长至“超指数级”的同时,也能降低那些生命始终面临风险的工作场景中的安全风险。

  • 8年的隐身状态保护了执行,也塑造出一种高度向内的文化,但运营代价高昂。 面对约“每天150篇”负面报道,Kalanick 希望员工专注建设,不必担心《纽约时报》第二天又会刊登什么;在隐身身份下招募数千名员工、向客户销售产品,属于“超级困难模式”。这种做法让团队形成了“内部正确性,而非外部验证”的文化,但他也承认,隐身状态让人对认可的本能需求长期得不到满足。

  • a16z 的投资明确是一次覆盖整个投资组合的创始人下注,而不是押注某个单一垂直领域。 当 Kalanick 把食品、运输和采矿包装成风衣里的“20块表”时,Horowitz 表示自己想要“整件该死的风衣”,于是双方采用顶层公司架构,并设立单一股权池。Horowitz 的判断是绝对的:好点子到处都是,但能打造 Uber、Tesla、Meta 或 Amazon 级别组织的人才“不可替代”,而且极其稀缺。

  • Kalanick 的扩张规则是:只有当组织解决新问题的速度跟得上,才创造新的难题。 他的“元问题”要求,随时间变化的问题创造量导数必须小于或等于问题解决能力;否则公司就会沉没,只能关掉水龙头。规模化因此依赖创始人级别的副手、“前端对齐、后端问责”,以及足够的管理能力,让现有滩头阵地在没有他的情况下也能正常运转。

  • 这次重聚也为一场始于 Uber 2011 年 Series B、代价高昂的反事实推演画上句号。 Kalanick 称 a16z 当时给出的投前估值是3.75亿美元,随后 Mark 告诉他合伙人团队能给出的最佳数字是2.1亿美元;Horowitz 没有参与后续谈判,记得当时似乎卡在员工期权池问题上。节目开场和后续讨论都将这段错失董事会关系归咎于他们自己。两人认为,如果当时 Horowitz 或 Andreessen 在 Uber 董事会,Uber 在2017年的发展不会如此;Horowitz 还认为 Uber 本可继续统治外卖市场,并成为自动驾驶领域的领导者。不过最终,两人都以 DoorDash 活下来这件事和“最终成绩单”为准。

摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. Uber 错过的 Series B,始于一次“无上限锚定”

  • Kalanick 进入 Uber 2011 年 Series B 融资时,仍抱着“我又不是明天就要挨饿”的心态。Uber 于2010年6月上线,而他此前创业受挫的经历让他决心把融资的每一个细节都做到极致。

  • 他采用赢家通吃的竞价方式,并设置“无上限锚定”:先告诉第一个感兴趣的投资人,估值至少是上一轮的2x;下一次会面后把底价抬到3x;再打电话给此前的竞标者,让紧张情绪推动价格不断上行。

  • Kalanick 称,这场竞价在 a16z 处达到投前估值3.75亿美元,Yuri 几乎追到4亿美元。Mark 邀请他吃饭后,Kalanick 回答:“把 term sheet 发来。”结果听到的却是,合伙人团队现在能给出的最佳数字是2.1亿美元。

  • 这次反转击穿了 Kalanick 对这套流程的判断:他认为市场已经完成定价,“赢的人退出了”。他不得不以2.1亿美元重新启动融资,同时处理一场看似已经结束的竞价崩盘后必然出现的信誉损失。

2. 失去的交易变成延续十年的战略反事实

  • Kalanick 通过 Menlo Park 重组了这一轮融资,最终还不得不对 Shervin 说,别再和自己竞价了:“兄弟,你赢了,没事。”他不想再经历一次竞价结束后高价消失的情况。

  • Horowitz 的回忆坦率地承认并不完整。他很喜欢这次路演,但当时手上约有16个董事席位,又不是消费领域专家,于是把项目交给了 Mark 和 Jono Ferro;在得知 Shervin 胜出之前,他只记得“似乎和员工期权池有关”。

  • 更让人难受的是,a16z 后来投资了 Lyft——Horowitz 称那笔交易估值为2.1亿美元,Kalanick 则说自己并不知道——而 Horowitz 最终还加入 Lyft 董事会,帮助这家陷入困境的公司。两人的关系变成 Larry Bird–Magic Johnson 式的竞争:彼此尊重、私下吃饭,却会说“真希望你在我们队里。这太糟了”。

  • 如今两人都认为,如果 Horowitz 或 Andreessen 当时在 Uber 董事会,Uber 在2017年的发展“不会是那个样子”。Horowitz 认为 Uber 本会赢下外卖市场,并成为自动驾驶领域的领导者;Kalanick 则指出,自己离开时 DoorDash 只有5%的市场份额,但最终把决定性功劳给了 Tony Xu:“最重要的还是最终成绩单。”

3. 规模把海盗战术变成海军的负债

  • 离开 Uber 后的7至8个月里,Kalanick 一边应对诉讼和调查,一边承受约“每天150篇”的负面报道。他仍为每个决定辩护,但也承认自己一次次逼近红线,以至于若要证明“鞋底没有留下粉笔痕迹”,恐怕需要“电磁扫描显微镜”。

  • 他当时遗漏的教训是,成功的挑战者最终会继承一套不同的规则,以及“规则背后的那套氛围”。Horowitz 称那一刻就是“海盗变成海军”;后来,他还拿 Uber 的经历告诉 a16z 员工,公司已经不再是可以随意攻击在位者的叛军。

  • Uber 针对 Lyft 的司机招募行动把这个问题暴露得淋漓尽致。项目内部代号最初叫“Shoplift”,反垄断培训后改成北美冠军系列赛,因为培训要求项目名称听起来像“10岁篮球队会用的名字”。David Drummond 对原名的评价是:“兄弟,这根本不算个东西。”

4. CloudKitchens:一个被收购、再由 Kalanick 做成自己的想法

  • 这个种子想法出现在2015年末或2016年初的 Uber Eats。当时团队看到,墨尔本有商业厨房在运营只做外卖、不设堂食的餐厅。一位熟悉地产的朋友进一步把概念延伸为:在一处物业里容纳30间、每间约200平方英尺的厨房,供多个租户使用。

  • Kalanick 离开 Uber 3个月后,这位朋友说自己可能再建“几家”。Kalanick 回答:“你的意思是几千家,对吧?”他随后收购了这项业务——他认为对方当时刚完成 Series A——并与创始人合作,而不是从白纸开始。

  • 他更大的区分是:“有时你会产生想法”,有时则是“想法找上你”。一个真正重要的想法就像灵魂伴侣:表面可能不性感,运营上也可能一团乱麻,但创始人能看见别人忽略的意义,并在心里认定:“这是我的。”

5. 杂货店价格的配送,要求重做整套成本结构

  • Kalanick 对终局的定义非常明确:让一顿高质量的备餐餐食在配送到家后,成本逼近买菜。“如果能做到,你就能对厨房做 Uber 对汽车做的事。”

  • 这需要3个协同层次:把 Amazon 式物流与餐厅制造结合起来的地产体系;通过食品机器人实现自动化生产;以及“自动墨西哥卷饼”——更便宜的轮式配送箱,在运送餐食的同时维持温度。

  • 他先从一个相对容易达成的时间窗口谈起:20年后,机器人可能会做出比大多数人更好的餐食,低成本自动配送设备也会存在。创业者要做的是把这一共识从20年压缩到“10年”“7年”甚至“5年”:“你是在把现实……向现在弯折。”

  • Atoms 目前在30个国家拥有数百座设施,配套应用意在保障餐厅业务量、降低租户流失。Kalanick 称生产成本可降低50%,一条生产线原定于 Q4 投产;一旦自动配送设备把一次12美元的配送成本降至50美分至1美元,他估计一顿送到家的餐食可以做到8–10美元。

6. 8年隐身,用分发能力换取文化控制

  • Kalanick 在 Uber 面临约“每天150篇”负面报道后选择隐身。他希望团队在建设公司时不必把那套叙事带进来,也不必每天猜测《纽约时报》第二天早上会刊登什么。

  • 代价是“超级困难模式”:招聘人员、潜在员工和销售人员都要代表一家隐身公司,即便公司已经扩张到数千名员工。Kalanick 不认为这种策略普遍适用,而是把它视为对特殊声誉处境的回应。

  • 随着时间推移,缺失的公开叙事反而形成自我强化,因为对记者而言,要解释长达数年的信息空白太困难。拉丁美洲的 Cocina Secreta、韩国的 Kitchen Valley、伦敦的 Foodstars,以及几家中国品牌,也让外界更难把全球业务串联起来。

  • 隐身状态把文化导向“内部正确性,而非外部验证”。Kalanick 承认,这让人对认可的本能需求长期得不到满足;但他也认为,公司因此被迫形成的情商,希望能在走出隐身后继续保留下来。

7. “原子计算机”把软件架构映射到产业

  • Kalanick 把这套框架追溯到 Uber 最初的魔力:“你触碰屏幕,汽车就会来到你面前。”这段体验把原子变成了可以由软件寻址的对象,也暗示实体世界可以用计算机抽象来建模。

  • 在他的映射中,CPU 操作比特,制造业操作原子;存储保存比特,地产容纳原子;网络搬运比特,运输和物流搬运原子。这3者构成“原子计算机”的核心资源。

  • 一座10,000平方英尺、拥有30间厨房的设施,就是一个“30核处理器”。走廊是网络总线,加工环节是 L1 cache,冷库保存类似边缘服务器中预计算内容的预制品,配送员则是一个 TCP 数据包;Atoms 甚至利用 TCP 的锯齿波逻辑,根据厨房的产能和可靠性分配需求。

  • Horowitz 进一步延伸了这个类比:数字存储可能过时,地产却可能随着计算能力提升产出而变得更有价值。Kalanick 把它比作数据中心:其运营能力远超20年前,因此创造的价值也大幅增加。

8. 自动化采矿从试点跨过规模部署门槛

  • Kalanick 在中国和美国研究“自动墨西哥卷饼”时,潜在合作方希望投资一家纯自动化公司,而不是一家业务画像不同、以食品为核心的公司来为自动化提供资金。因此,Atoms 先设立了独立业务,之后才整合更大的组织结构。

  • 这支自动化团队重新集结了 Eric Meyhofer——他当时已经在负责食品机器人——以及此前负责 Pronto 的 Anthony Levandowski。Kalanick 曾是 Pronto 最大的投资人,随后收购了这家越野自动驾驶公司,并以工作流业务而不只是车辆导航问题的方式切入采矿。

  • 销售话术异常具体:向金矿 CEO 提问,“你想不想让年产金量增加20%?”答案不是“不”,而是“证明给我看”。自动化还可以把人从高危环境中撤出,因为客户面对的是“任何一天都可能发生严重事故”的工作场景。

  • Pronto 目前已经超过人类生产率,正在把试点转化为“全面开干”,并进入“超指数级增长”。约束转向生产套件、在偏远矿山安装设备,以及推动组织变革;Kalanick 的要求是从“精益创业”走向“肌肉型”,但不能变胖。

9. a16z 要的是“整件风衣”,不是某个垂直领域

  • 新一轮融资期间,Kalanick 在拉斯维加斯展示了一组业务,像一个风衣推销员展示风衣里的“20块表”。Horowitz 的回应是:“我只想要整件该死的风衣”——他想投资 Kalanick 正在打造的整体业务,而不是在食品、采矿或运输之间择一下注。

  • 这促成了 Atoms 在顶层公司的创建和融资。旗下子公司仍保持运营上的独立,但 Kalanick 称,单一股权结构对员工和他本人都有好处。

  • Horowitz 的投资判断首先看创业者,而不是最初的那条想法。许多人都想过电动汽车、社交网络、网络零售或火箭;在他看来,Tesla、Meta、Amazon 和 SpaceX 之所以存在,是因为各自有一位“不可替代、极其稀有的人”,能把想法顶过一路阻力。

  • Kalanick 所说的对应约束是管理能力。Amazon 能从图书扩张到 AWS,是因为它积累了在大规模运营上的艰苦经验;一旦领导者和系统能够控制住滩头阵地,公司的想象力就可以扩展到那些原有客户从未想过要向这家公司购买的业务。

10. 只有问题解决速度超过问题创造速度,才会扩张

  • Kalanick 认为,公司从哪里起步不如“为什么起步”重要。公司取名 City Storage Systems,是一个刻意设计得令人难忘性极低的隐身名称,因为他当时已经看到了一个以地产为基础的“食品计算机”;Horowitz 则说,Kalanick 起初对 CloudKitchens 将要面对的问题知之甚少。

  • 他目前的重点被戏称为极其狭窄:“只有食品、采矿和运输”。一个滩头阵地必须先繁荣起来,管理层必须消化约98%的问题,运营开始变得轻松后,创始人才有空间“再次把事情变难”。

  • Uber 通过在不同地区部署具有创业者特征的领导者,跨越24个时区完成扩张,再用“前端对齐、后端问责”配合授权。内部简写是“领导者领导,建设者建设”;对齐的不只是目标,也包括文化,因为自治团队仍会影响共同的产品和声誉。

  • 这套治理方程式就是 Kalanick 的“元问题”:问题创造量随时间变化的导数,必须小于或等于问题解决量随时间变化的导数。如果一项中国规模的下注让公司沉入水下,就暂停一切新问题的创造,直到能力恢复;当水位降到腰部时,水龙头才重新打开。

11. 工业 AI 将遭遇工业时代式阻力

  • Atoms 将工业 AI 定义为:把软件、传感器、机器人和机械设备组合起来,端到端自动化一个产业。它既不是人形机器人公司,也不是军工项目,而是“为各个行业制造计算机”;运输则提供一套几乎所有实体垂直行业最终都需要的横向底盘。

  • Kalanick 认为,任何由比特控制原子的系统,最终都必然把监管者带进来。他看到了这与第二次工业革命时期工业家所面对局面的相似之处,但也明确指出:“这些人没有一个是 Jesus。”关键模式在于,实体世界的快速进步会与政治和恐惧发生碰撞。

  • Horowitz 在《Freedom’s Forge》里举的例子是 Bill Knudsen:他努力把美国汽车工业的产能转化为战时生产能力。即使采用成本加7%的定价,也会被指责牟取暴利;他把这种本能反应与数据中心面临的阻力相提并论,尽管多年来政治层面一直担心制造业就业流失。

  • Horowitz 的表述是:有价值的未知真相会创造能力,能力会加速变化,而变化会引发阻力。应对方式是取得足够有形的进展、压倒反对意见,同时建立信任,把对手转化为支持者:“所有人都喜欢进步,受不了的是变化。”

12. 走出隐身,人才争夺战重新开打

  • Atoms 的目标行业数量已扩大至3倍,每个行业都被描述为数万亿美元规模的机会;多年的隐身状态则让招聘始终无法依靠正常的自然流入渠道。公开亮相后,公司可以向候选人清楚解释使命,管理层也终于能够公开代表自己的工作。

  • Kalanick 眼下需要补齐的岗位包括一位类似 Emil Michael 的企业发展和商务拓展负责人、一位能让他“离红线保持几英寸距离”的总法律顾问、一位采矿业务 CEO,以及负责自动化和重型机器人的高级技术领导者。

  • Erik 将使命概括为提升矿山安全,让优质食物比“超级不健康、有毒的东西”更容易获得,并把时间还给人们;Kalanick 认可这一更广泛的使命,并补充了“省钱”。这套招募叙事把积累下来的运营经验与早期公司的职责范围结合起来,而 Kalanick 的结论与 Uber 时代没有变化:“人才争夺战就是一切。”

Erik Torenberg

And it’s not just the return of Travis; it’s also the return of this partnership, or what could have been in this relationship between Travis and Ben. I want to read a quote from Travis’s launch post:

“I’ve known Mark and Ben for a long time, and we got so close to partnering up at Uber in 2011. I, Travis, blame Marc. Ben blames himself, but let’s just say it was all on us—it was on all of us. And in 2017, Uber suffered the consequences of not having Marc on the board. If you know, you know.”

Travis, tell the story.

Travis Kalanick

Okay, so this will be interesting because I think Ben and I have maybe discussed this once or twice.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, it’s very painful.

Travis Kalanick

I’m not sure if there’s a difference of opinion on what happened, but I’ll tell you what I thought happened.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

I’m in fundraising mode. This is our Series B in 2011. Uber started in June 2010, and I’m raising our Series B. Earlier that year, I did Series A with a VC I’ll remain nameless.

I was hardcore. I had gone through such tough times as an entrepreneur before Uber that, once I was at Uber and things were working, I was still acting like I wasn’t going to eat tomorrow. I would do everything right up to the line—be perfect. I had this whole fundraising process that I would execute to perfection, and that meant I would run an auction.

I met with the a16z guys and lots of other people. It was what I would call a winner-takes-all auction, meaning there was 1 major lead. They were going to set the price, and everybody else would fall in.

I would go to the 1 guy and tell him what the story was. They’d say, “Oh, yeah, we’re interested.” He’s leaning forward, and then they’d ask, “How much are you raising? What’s the price?”

I would say, “We don’t know. This is going to be 1 of the hottest deals in Silicon Valley this year. We don’t know where the price is going to be or where it’s going to go, but it’s at least this much.”

I called this the uncapped anchor. I’m never in a place where I’m negotiating with somebody where I’m here and they’re here and we meet in the middle. I’m always saying, “It’s at least this, and it can go up.” But I start low.

Ben Horowitz

So it only goes up.

Travis Kalanick

So everybody’s pumped and leaning forward. You can see the body language. You can read it. It’s good.

You go to the next guy, who literally comes to your office an hour later. The same thing happens. He’s fired up. I’m showing all the analytics, and it’s great. Then he asks, “What are you thinking about for the price?”

If the last one was at least 2 times our previous round, it just became 3 times. I’d say, “We don’t know. It’s going to be 1 of the top deals in Silicon Valley this year, but it will be at least 3 times our last round.” And he’d say, “Okay.”

Then you call the guy before and say, “Hey, look, dude. It went from 2 times to 3 times. We’ll see where it goes. I don’t know.” They start getting nervous.

You get all the way to the top, and then you go, “Going once, going twice.” It’s kind of funny because, in this particular case, Yuri was almost coming over the top. We got to $375 million pre-money with a16z. Yuri almost came in at $400 million, but he was like, “No, I can’t do it.” So I said, “Okay, going once, going twice, sold.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

It was a high-momentum deal, and that’s how you do it. At the time, you almost should feel a little shy about doing something like that. It’s a little bit crass, let’s just say, but that’s how I was wired back in the day: go all the way. Run the touchdown. Score the touchdown, even when it’s a little much.

We started working, and we were going to get a term sheet going—the whole thing. Then I got an email from Mark. It was something like, “Hey, Travis, let’s go to dinner.” I think it was the next night or something like that.

I said, “Send me the term sheet, and then, yeah, we can go to dinner.” He responded, “Let’s go to dinner.” I thought, “Oh, I didn’t like that.”

He came down south to this neck of the woods because I was in San Francisco. We went to a little sushi place. I don’t remember the name of it. He said, “Look, I know we talked about $375 million, but I went to the partnership, and they don’t agree. They just didn’t think it was the right number. The best we’re going to be able to do is $210 million.”

That’s how it went down for me.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Well, that’s definitely different from the other side.

Travis Kalanick

It would be interesting to hear your side. I’ve got more than the hour we have scheduled if we want to take the time.

Anyway, I had a high-momentum deal. It went all the way to the top, I auctioned it, cleared the market, and then the bottom came out from under it. I had to go back to everybody else and say, “$210 million is the new number.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

I had to tell them, “The guy who won backed out. I’m now back at $210 million. We’re starting the auction over.” It was super awkward and weird because people lose credibility in that moment.

I built it back up, and basically it ended up being Menlo Park. That’s how Shervin got involved in Uber. At some point, I told Shervin to stop negotiating against himself because he just kept driving the price up without anybody else. I said, “Dude, you won. It’s fine.” I didn’t want the same thing to happen again.

I’m very clear about the $375 million, the $210 million, and the experience I had, but there may be another side of that story.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Well, let me just tell you what I actually remember, and then what I kind of remember.

I remember you came in for the pitch, and I think it was just you.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, that’s right.

Ben Horowitz

Which was, by the way, unusual. Normally, particularly in those days, it was very rare for an entrepreneur to come in with no team members on a deal that size.

That was a big deal, by the way. That was a high-price deal at the time. Now it’s like a $75 million—

Travis Kalanick

$75 million.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, you’d be like, “Dude, pre-seed, pre-seed.”

Travis Kalanick

Pre-pre.

Ben Horowitz

Right?

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

The pitch was super impressive. The other thing I recall pretty closely was that Travis had definitely read some of my blogs. I felt like, “Oh, we can win this. This is a deal.”

We had the discussion, and it was clear that we wanted to do the deal. At the time, I thought, “I should really do this one,” but I wasn’t the consumer guy. I also had a lot of board seats—

Travis Kalanick

It was like 16 board seats. It was something crazy.

Ben Horowitz

It was just—it was a lot. So I gave it to Mark and Jono Ferro to do.

Then all I remember is—I remember something different at this point, but I got it all from them, so I wasn’t there. There was something about the employee option pool or some [expletive]. I couldn’t—

But it was 1 of these things where I just assumed we were doing the deal. Then the next thing I knew, Shervin had the deal, and I was like, “Jeez.”

I regret—I can’t tell you how long, because that was the beginning of my torture over this thing. I thought, “I know we should do that deal. We lost the deal.”

Meanwhile, Scott Weisenthal did a deal for the other company in the space, Lyft. By the way, that got off to a very, very difficult start, largely because of Uber. In order to Dave and Catch[?], I ended up having to go on the board. I took over that board seat to help them through that thing.

Travis Kalanick

And just so you understand, my experience with the Lyft thing happened, I believe, a year later—almost to the day, something like that.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

The deal on Lyft was 210.

Travis Kalanick

Was it really? I don’t know.

Ben Horowitz

I know. I’m just saying, this is what the entrepreneur’s going to remember, dude. That’s what I’m saying.

Travis Kalanick

Holy cow.

Ben Horowitz

But anyway, because if a company is in a lot of trouble, that’s generally when I get called, given my history with that.

Travis Kalanick

Oh man, I was working so hard on that.

Ben Horowitz

And so—

Travis Kalanick

I was working hard on that trouble.

Ben Horowitz

Oh my God, it was a lot of trouble. It was a lot of trouble.

But anyway, I’m living with that. Then, by the way, I would see Travis now and again. I had him over to my house for a barbecue—just all kinds of stuff—because I knew who he was.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, we were kind of friends.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, yeah, yeah. There was always a lot of respect there because we knew who each other were. But he was winning.

And it was just like he wasn’t going to let me not hear it. It was horrible. I had to listen. I was like, “God damn it.”

Travis Kalanick

There was also time—like, for a decade. There was also this other thing that would happen. This really started around 2014 or 2015: Emil and I would meet up with Mark and Ben at this super-undercover restaurant.

Ben Horowitz

Ah, yes. Yes.

Travis Kalanick

Right next to our office, which was in the same building at the time as Twitter—or, sorry, the same building as Square, right?

Ben Horowitz

By the way, Emil is also a remarkably amazing guy and currently the CTO of the Department of War.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, 100%.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

The best.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

We would do these sessions. We’d just have dinner, break some bread, and talk shop. Emil and I would always walk out going, “Damn. It would be so great to have these guys involved.” Of course, it didn’t happen because they were at Lyft.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, yeah, yeah. You know what I—

Travis Kalanick

And sometimes we might even talk about, “Hey, is there a thing that comes together?” But I was just so— that’s the way I was. There was no way—

Ben Horowitz

—to deal with him other than if we gave him the company.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. And he could just fire everybody instantly.

But it was like that: there was mutual respect, with this really cool tension at the same time. That was just the extra texture on the Uber experience, at least for me.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, it was like the old Larry Bird–Magic Johnson thing. You’re a basketball guy. It was like, “Okay, we’ll meet each other. We hate you, but we wish you were on our team.”

Travis Kalanick

This sucks.

Erik Torenberg

So it’s the one that got away, but fast-forward, and now there’s a new chance at a partnership.

Ben Horowitz

What I would say is, there’s one middle piece to this. Those who are obviously in the tech industry know what Uber’s 2017 was like. That wouldn’t have gone that way if Ben or Marc had been on the board.

Travis Kalanick

Nope.

Ben Horowitz

So when Travis and I talk about this, we’re like, “It was our fault.”

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

We screwed it up.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, yeah.

Ben Horowitz

I mean, Uber would be considerably larger, more important, and more central as a company today. There’s no question. First of all, it would have won food. No question. Uber was dominating food at the time.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Dominating food at the time. And it would also have been—

Travis Kalanick

DoorDash was—

Ben Horowitz

—for sure a leader in autonomy.

Travis Kalanick

DoorDash had 5% market share when I left.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And—

Ben Horowitz

And, by the way—

Travis Kalanick

—a tenth of a percent.

Ben Horowitz

And, by the way, yeah—

Travis Kalanick

—we’re not going home this weekend.

Ben Horowitz

And by the way, Tony, God bless him, had a hell of a time getting his round done at the time. Right at that period, he was doing a round at DoorDash, and he had to really struggle to get it done. Congratulations to him for building what he built.

Travis Kalanick

He got it done.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

You know what? It’s really easy to do the what-ifs and the this and that. The thing that matters most is the tale of the tape. He got some stuff done.

Ben Horowitz

He did. He did. He did.

Travis Kalanick

You know, respect.

Ben Horowitz

No, amazing. He survived it, which is, by the way, in entrepreneurship, surviving is a big part of it.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Good stuff. Not that easy.

Travis Kalanick

Our autonomy program was second to Waymo but catching up at the time.

Erik Torenberg

And you had the network.

Travis Kalanick

We had the network, too. We had the ferocity—or fierceness—that it takes to catch up in a certain technology space while building all these other things that we were doing. It was a lot. It was good times. It was a lot of fun.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Even though 2017 was super tough for me, and maybe you could say even for the company at large—certainly for the company at large—I loved every minute. Honestly, even when you come out of it, you’re like, “Yeah, it got a little weird at the end. It was tough.” I still— it was still great.

Ben Horowitz

You still love some of that. You love it in retrospect.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, no, I get you. Trust me, you don’t have to remind me of that. I’m just saying that feeling that’s so horrible at the time, you know—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, there was a love affair there. That’s almost the way I would put it. A lot of people talk about, “Well, are you mad about this or that? Are you upset that that happened?” And I’m like, when you fall in love again, you don’t think about the ex very much.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

That’s it. Then you can just be like, “It was a good time. She got a little crazy at the end.”

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, that’s true. The crazy ex.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. So there we go.

Erik Torenberg

How did you fall in love again? Or did it take you—how did you handle this interim period between—

Travis Kalanick

We had a really interesting situation, I think. There were the headlines and the negativity in the headlines from that period of time, and you could really say the extreme wokeness that was coming in on Uber and trying to constrain it, if that makes sense.

There was an interim period of 7 or 8 months between when I left and when I started what’s now called Atoms. I had to sort of fight for my life because there were a number of lawsuits, a number of investigations, and all these things. I continued to stand by every decision I made at Uber, but there were a lot of times when you could make the argument that I just got way too close to the line.

I could show that there was no chalk on the shoe, but you would need a electromagnetic scanning microscope to see that there was no chalk on the shoe. You reverse-angle the slow-mo, and it’s just like—that’s the problem. It’s the edge of being a hard-scrabble small-startup kid brought to something that’s working and going super big.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

You don’t realize that when you get big, there actually are different rules. And they’re not just the rules; there are the vibes of the rules.

Ben Horowitz

The pirate becomes the navy. We talked about this at the firm a lot. When you’re the upstart and you’re battling the man, you can go hard in ways that, if you do it when you’re the big dog—

Travis Kalanick

Okay.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, you’re viewed completely differently.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, and I hadn’t consumed that information.

Ben Horowitz

It actually helped me because, when we started the firm, we were the upstart. I talked some crazy shit about the other VCs and this and that, and called them names. But at some point, I could feel it turning, and I remembered what happened to him. I was like—and we actually had a whole thing: “We’re not the pirates anymore. Don’t say that type of stuff. Be chill.”

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, we had this thing where, against Lyft, we would recruit the drivers on Lyft to bring them over to Uber so that it was hard for Lyft to build supply. We would do it aggressively, and we had a program for it internally that we called “shoplifting.”

Ben Horowitz

Okay.

Travis Kalanick

At some point—

Ben Horowitz

Just that name, by the way. Forget about all that. I know some of the techniques they used—very aggressive—but that name? You can’t use that name if you’re—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, it’s just not a thing. I remember David Drummond from Google was on our board, and he was like, “You know, Travis, that’s not a thing, dude.”

You’ve got to change it. And then I had antitrust training, which, again, at the time, I’m like this small-startup kid. I’m like, “Antitrust? What the hell is that?” Legal people were telling me whatever. They were like, “Look.” I’m like, “I can’t wait to have that problem.” And they’re like, “Look, here’s the thing: the way you call projects, it has to be appropriate for a 10-year-old basketball team.”

So it went from Shoplift to the North American Championship Series. We called it the NACS. [Laughter] And we had a whole very heavy-duty initiative called the NACS to make sure that the North American Championship Series was won by us. [Laughter]

Ben Horowitz

That is hilarious. I didn't know about the North American Championship Series then. [Laughter] Yeah. Okay, so you go through this 8-month period. You're in this hell. You're dealing with the lawsuits, you're reflecting back, you're thinking about what's next, and you say, “Hey, let's build again.”

Travis Kalanick

So, what happened was, I had a buddy who started a thing right near the end of my Uber tenure, and it was called CloudKitchens. He's a real estate savant.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

That's just the thing. He was looking at real estate, like, “There's got to be an angle in tech and real estate. How do we do this?” And he got a property up. Actually, let me start even before this. We got Uber Eats up in 2015. We saw the first dark kitchens—I don't know, it was late 2015, early 2016. We saw pictures of commercial kitchens in Melbourne that were not restaurants.

Ben Horowitz

Hm.

Travis Kalanick

They were on Uber Eats.

Ben Horowitz

Oh, wow. Wow.

Travis Kalanick

The first dark kitchens were emerging. We were like, “This is crazy. That's so interesting.” And a buddy of mine who is this real estate savant caught wind of what's going on, and he had this idea: Why don't we have a multi-tenant approach to this? Thirty kitchens on a single property, and basically lease these kitchens, which are 200 square feet, as delivery-only locations.

Anyway, I didn't really know what was going on. I sort of knew what was going on, but not really. Then, in the fall, 3 months after I had left Uber, we met up, and he's telling me about it. He's like, “Yeah, you know, we got a few tenants. It's kind of working. I'm going to do a few more of these. I think I'm going to try to figure out how to do a few more.” I'm like, “You mean a few thousand, right?” [Laughter]

And so then we partnered up. I acquired it. I think they'd just done their Series A. So I acquired it, and then we just went to town. It's really interesting because sometimes you start a thing, and sometimes you're involved in a thing and then you come in. I think this is an interesting story about how Elon was involved—obviously involved—in Tesla from the beginning. He was an investor at first but then went all the way in. It's interesting how these ideas come. I like to say that sometimes you have ideas, and sometimes ideas come to you.

Ben Horowitz

Right.

Travis Kalanick

But if it's an idea that's meant to be your soulmate, you know it when you see it. Sometimes you just go for it. It's like a love affair; you just go for it. Some people have these long lists.

Ben Horowitz

Because there's a real difference between that and what's known as the professional CEO, right? Nobody smart, other than a few weird political people, would ever consider Elon a professional CEO. [Laughter] It's like, “Oh, that's an idea.”

Travis Kalanick

“That's—I didn't start the company, but it's mine. That's mine. It is me. I know how to do it. These guys did a great job starting it, but there's no way they can do it.” That's a very different animal.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So, you fall in love with something, and it's meant to be for you at that time, and you just go for it. For me, complexity is interesting. Things that are naturally not sexy on the surface are also weirdly interesting. Especially if you can see that it's sexy but people don't understand it yet. That's where the sparkle in your eye goes: “You don't see what I see, and I'm pretty sure I'm right.” That's the fun part, yeah.

But this is a very complex thing because we're buying property, we're doing construction, and we then have a sales team that's selling restaurants a delivery-only location. So they're expanding the restaurant chain. This isn't like I'm just getting into a vendor flow. We're actually making a strategic sale, which is, “You should expand. You should expand your business, and you should expand it in a new way,” which is 2 strategic moves at the same time.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. By the way, you like complexity.

Travis Kalanick

Exactly, yeah. So then you're like, “Okay, we've woven technology through this whole real estate thing.” We have a software stack that, of course, will work in this facility but will also sell it to all your brick-and-mortars everywhere. And let's just get some robotics going at the same time, because labor's your biggest problem if you're a restaurateur. If you solve that, it's really big. I can get into the strategy of why that is, but just the brass tacks of the complexity of the project were interesting to me.

Ben Horowitz

So it was more emergent or iterative than, “Hey, I've got this master vision for what it's all going to turn into”?

Travis Kalanick

No, I think at that time, if I don't see how it's big and meaningful, then complexity for complexity's sake isn't a thing. There has to be—maybe some would say—a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. It has to be something meaningful.

The meaningful thing about Adam’s food, or what folks know as CloudKitchens, is: Can you make the preparation and delivery of a meal—a quality meal—so efficient that it approaches the cost of going to the grocery store? If it does, you do to the kitchen what Uber did to the car. You go, “Okay, that's kind of a big deal.”

But then you say, “What do you need to do to get there?” Okay, well, you need to do e-commerce for online food delivery, which means I need warehouses, Amazon-style.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Except they're not just for logistics. It's not just picking, packing, sorting, and then putting it in a car. You also have to have manufacturing there, too—manufacturing, also known as a restaurant. People don't think of that, but you go to the Bureau of Labor Statistics: restaurants are manufacturers, okay? So you have to have manufacturing and logistics infrastructure in the same place. That's real estate.

Then you actually have to have automated production. That's the manufacturing, so robotic food robots, essentially—food robotics. And then you need to have robotic couriers. You do those 3 things, and then all of a sudden, you are getting super-high-quality meals, everything you could ever imagine. We call it the internet food court. And it gets to you at the price of going to the grocery store.

So you go, “Okay, nice. That's a nice story.” Then you go, “Well, in 20 years, will people be cooking food regularly?” And there will be a suite of robotics that basically will make higher-quality meals. They'll just be doing a better job than any of us could do.

I think most people, especially those in the robotics space, would be like, “Of course. It's obvious that that's going to happen.” And you're like, “In 20 years, are we going to have—I call them autonomous burritos—boxes on wheels that hold food at temperature and come to your house?” Yes. Everybody will say yes, absolutely. We see Waymo's cruising around already. We just need a much cheaper version of that.

So 20 years is the easy one. Then you go, “Well, what about 10? What about 7? What about 5?” And so that's when you're bending reality. You're bending it toward now. Everybody would agree that this is going to happen, and now it's about when and who. Then you say, “LFG.”

Sometimes you're a little bit early, and I would say on CloudKitchens, we were a bit early. But you build those bricks—all those things I talked about. We have many hundreds of facilities in 30 countries. Restaurants are doing better and better because the online delivery market keeps growing. So success is happening.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Right? Well, the restaurant world has high churn. Your churn starts coming down because volume's going up. We have applications that guarantee volume into these restaurants so that we can have successful tenants, which means I'm a successful real estate guy from a business model perspective.

The robotics start to work. We're getting a manufacturing line for our robots up in Q4. The pieces start to come together. You're like, “Production is now 50% cheaper.” Once we get the robotic couriers, you go from $12 a drop for each meal to $0.50 to $1 in distribution cost per meal.

Now you're taking $6 out in labor. You're taking, let's call it, $10 or $11 out on the courier. On the real estate, because you're going to get higher-value volume because you're driving the prices down, you probably save a few bucks. Let's call it $2 or $3 on occupancy per meal. All of a sudden, you've got an $8 or $10 meal that's delivered to you all-in.

Ben Horowitz

Plus, you don't have to recruit drivers, you know, and get Shoplifted. [Laughter]

Travis Kalanick

That's true.

Ben Horowitz

That's right. You can't Shoplift a robotic courier.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. Yes.

Ben Horowitz

So we need to stop using this term.

Travis Kalanick

It's so wrong. Okay.

Erik Torenberg

You have 100 facilities in 30 countries and thousands of employees over an 8-year period, and you're in stealth.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, dude. Yeah, that's just super-hard mode.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And the thing is, look, coming out of 2017, it was 150 articles a day of negativity. I wanted to be able to build without bringing that negativity into the system. And I wanted the team to be able to build without worrying about what The New York Times was writing tomorrow.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Simple as that. And it was the right thing to do.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

The hard mode was that we had to recruit talent, and it was always from a recruiter who had a stealth thing on LinkedIn and in their signature. You had to go get customers with, like, “Stealth” in LinkedIn. You're thousands of people big; this is hard mode.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And it was interesting. We didn't know how long it was going to go.

Erik Torenberg

And you have to trust that no one's going to leak.

Travis Kalanick

You know what happens? Here's the cool part about stealth if you go that long. I don't recommend this for anybody. It's not the thing.

Erik Torenberg

Special case.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, you don't really—I don't know. But eventually, there's this break in your narrative. There was this story arc, and it was going, going, going, and then it's discontinuous. It stops. There's this long period of time where nothing is filling in.

What happens then is the media doesn't want to cover a story because it's so hard to discuss a thing that has a gap of a few years before it. It's too hard to do the story and it's too hard to cover it. So you get to this place where it becomes self-fulfilling.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

It's easier to be stealth over time because even if somebody tries to leak, nobody even knows what to do with it.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

They're just like, “I don't even understand it.” By the way, we did crazy stuff. People know it as CloudKitchens in the U.S., but it's Cocina Secreta in Latin America. And we have different names that mean “magical kitchen,” essentially. We have Kitchen Valley in Korea.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

We have Flash Kitchen and 3 other names in China. We have Foodstars in London. It goes, you know.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

I think it's KitchenPark in the Middle East. We were going to go with Yalla Kitchens. It's a bunch of things like this, so it was very hard to connect the dots.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

You're extra stealth.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

Anyways.

Travis Kalanick

It worked.

Erik Torenberg

And so, at some point, an even bigger vision for this company emerges to digitize the physical world, where you're category-creating and getting to coin the term “industrial AI.” Talk about when this bigger vision starts to culminate.

Travis Kalanick

So, look, the vision for digitizing the physical world for me started at Uber. Treating atoms like bits started at Uber. It was sci-fi at one point, I promise. You would touch glass and a car would come to you.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And you had satellite view. You were watching this car come to you. That was crazy. Now it's just like, whatever, okay? But it was crazy at the time. Everybody's first Uber experience was a magical moment.

Digitizing the physical world was the thing. This idea of what I would call an atoms-based computer was something I was working on in terms of a framework toward the end of Uber. A CPU manipulates bits, storage stores bits, and a network moves bits from point A to point B.

Okay, well, a CPU manipulates bits—what manipulates atoms? That's manufacturing. Storage stores bits—what stores atoms? That's real estate. A network moves bits from point A to point B—what moves atoms? That's transport or logistics.

Those are now your 3 core computing resources in an atoms-based computer. And you know what? Everything you learn in your computer science curriculum, everything you learn in engineering, it plays in the atoms world. Same frameworks. All the data structures, all the algorithms—it works exactly the same.

Erik Torenberg

Routing algorithms.

Travis Kalanick

Oh, totally. Totally. In fact, we use TCP sawtooth to basically manage how much demand to send to certain kitchens based on capacity and reliability, as an example.

When I'm pitching this to a tech person who wants to understand that 10,000-square-foot facility, I call it a 10,000-square-foot semiconductor. It's a 30-core processor: 30 kitchens. They're computing atoms, not bits. The corridors where the food moves—that's a network bus. The processing center is like an L1 cache or something similar.

Erik Torenberg

You're taking this analogy very far.

Travis Kalanick

The cold storage where you have ice cream and juice? That's precomputed items that sit on the edge. Those are your Akamai servers. The courier who comes and picks up the food, goes on the road, and brings the meal to you—he's a TCP packet. This goes forever.

Erik Torenberg

That's excellent. Okay, so the vision started at Uber.

Travis Kalanick

The point is that atoms-based computation is a thing. Honestly, it's always been a thing. Uber was a network for the physical world. It digitized transportation. And, by the way, it's almost done.

Why is it almost done? Because it's almost fully software. Waymos are cruising. It's almost fully software. But what about a CPU for the physical world and storage for the physical world? Basically, digitize manufacturing and digitize real estate.

There's just so much to do there. It's crazy. There's a huge amount of innovation there, not just with what Atoms is doing, but there's going to be lots of stuff even beyond what we're doing. It's a portfolio strategy, really, if you're investing.

Erik Torenberg

It's very interesting because you kind of got to the conclusion that we've now all learned from AI, which is you can model just about anything with computation.

Travis Kalanick

Mhm.

Erik Torenberg

And you basically were ahead of that in modeling this physical world, even metaphorically, with computation, and now kind of manifesting that—

Travis Kalanick

It's—

Erik Torenberg

—you know, probably entirely with AI on top of your computation model.

Travis Kalanick

It's funny because the framework started near the end of my Uber time, really, when we were getting deep into deep learning and heavy-duty ML. We would go after some of the best AI talent. We had an AI lab that was probably one of the best in the world as well.

I was always pitching that the physical world is more interesting for this stuff than the digital one. And look, I'm selling my book. That's what we do, right? But you have way, way more variables—axes of stochastic distribution.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Which then means you're not going to solve it with an algorithm. You're going to solve it by empirically understanding how it works.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. Right. So let's fast-forward to how the bigger vision for Atoms comes together in terms of the combination of the companies.

Travis Kalanick

I keep stopping you, you know.

Erik Torenberg

And then I just want to get to the partnership because it also ties together.

Travis Kalanick

It's all good. So, okay. You've got to have your manufacturing logistics hub. That's the real estate. You've got to have your automated production. And you've got to have your autonomous burritos.

About a year ago, I started looking into autonomous burritos, and I went to China and checked out all of the autonomy guys. I was here in the U.S. talking to a lot of the autonomy guys. Word got out. They're like, “Travis is looking at autonomy again.” People started going, “What's going on?”

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And, you know, folks like Uber and other partners across different categories were like, “We're interested.” For one reason or another, you could even be a supply-chain guy in food. You're also saying, “I need to have, for business continuity and just peace of mind, another alternative for how this freight—how these trucks, heavy transport—are going to move. And I need an alternative. I'd love to have a partner.” This kind of stuff.

So, I partnered with a couple of folks. I actually created a new company to do it because funding autonomy through a sort of core food company just wasn't going to work at first. The reason why is that these are just different profiles. It's a real-estate company; this is heavy-duty software, with big money going after it.

Erik Torenberg

It's like a computer company trying to build a network company off to the side. You have to buy a networking company.

Travis Kalanick

So we just got started, and these partners wanted a pure play. We created that sort of near the end of last year. But what happened is, you've got to get—okay, well, now I need to get my team together. I need to get my guys from way back when, 2017, when we were running hardcore at autonomy.

We need to get that going because if you're going to be in the specialized robotics game, you have to have autonomy for yourself. You have to. Your robots are moving and acting in the physical world, and you cannot depend on only 1 company that has an existence proof now. Of course, Tesla's going to get there, you know, sometime soon—or maybe some amount of time.

We don't know exactly. You can't be dependent in that way. So, okay, get your team together. Eric Meyhofer, who ran ATG, is already running my food robotics division. That's Uber's Advanced Technology Group, working for us.

Anthony Levandowski, who is one of my top leads in autonomy and, back at Uber, was running Pronto, which was an autonomous mining company—let's call it off-road autonomy. But it's a workflow or category where it's much more than just, "This thing needs to move." It's, "How does it move? What is the context in which it's moving?" It's a very specialized thing.

I was the biggest investor in Pronto. I'm like, "Let's go." So I acquired Pronto, and now I'm in the mining business. But it's not like I didn't know about it—I was the biggest investor in it to begin with, for a good reason. It's one of the most beautiful and interesting autonomy categories or use cases.

Our mission statement on the mining business is "More productive mines to power Earth's industries." We can go to a gold mine CEO right now and say, "Would you like to get 20% more gold per year?" We don't get a no. Yeah, right? Now he says, "Prove it." He says, "Prove it." And we're like, "Let's go."

What's happened is that Pronto has been working on mining for 7 or 8 years on its own. So, separately, Pronto has been working on mining for 7 or 8 years on its own.

Ben Horowitz

Also a great target for autonomy because maybe the worst job for humans there is mining, right?

Travis Kalanick

And we have mining customers because we're operating in a bunch of mines around the world. Our mining customers have existential safety problems—or let's call them safety issues, safety concerns—where bad things can happen on any given day. You've got real people putting their lives on the line when they're at these mines.

When you automate certain parts of mining, you dramatically improve safety, and you do it in a real way. When you look at the work that's being done and how it's being done, it's a little bit heart-wrenching when you're exposed to it and you see how mines work. It's not the mines' fault; it's just the nature of the work. There's a massive safety upside that goes along with the productivity upside, which is really special.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So, what's happened is that Pronto is just now coming past human productivity. It's like any enterprise software company: You do some cool pilots with big companies, you've got stuff, and you're like, "Dude, I've got 8 seats at this 10,000-person company." And you're like, "Okay, maybe." Then all of a sudden, it's better.

In the autonomy world, it's about being better than human productivity. That means your mines and quarries are exactly where you hit the gas. It's go time.

We're going to see super-exponential growth. We're seeing it—we're in the middle of it right now—on the mining side, which is super special. These guys ran a very lean startup for a long time, and now I'm going to their customers, who are begging us to move faster and get more out there.

We have to do supply chain and manufacture kits. We have to install these kits on machines that are in the middle of the Amazon or on the border of Saudi Arabia and Iraq, in these crazy, wild places. We have to do it fast, and then do the change management at every one of these mines.

They're like, "It's time to go. Let's go," and they're pushing us. So, how we talk to them is, "Look, we were a lean startup, and we're going to get muscular."

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

That's how I talk to the team, too, because you don't want it to get fat.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

It's like lean muscle.

Ben Horowitz

Yes.

Travis Kalanick

But we need some protein shakes, creatine, and things like that. It's about process and professionalizing a lot of this stuff. In some ways, the growth there is almost deterministic, as long as you do the professional things to get all that stuff in line.

What it means is that existing mines are going to be producing more, and they're going to be able to go much further and get more. New mines are going to emerge that weren't viable before. What that means for AI, and what that means for progress here and everywhere, is a super-big deal.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, and so—

Travis Kalanick

To continue, I'll get to the partnership conversation.

Ben Horowitz

[Laughter]

Erik Torenberg

At what point does this become a conglomerate? Are you thinking from the beginning that this is a conglomerate, or at what point does this become all wrapped up in Atoms?

Travis Kalanick

Well, the fundraise was part of it. What happened is that we started the fundraise, and Ben remembers this because I gave him a preview at first, in Vegas, actually. I was like the guy with a trench coat that had 20 watches. I'm like, "Which watch do you want? I've got all kinds of watches."

He's like, "Dude, I just want the whole freaking trench coat. I don't want to invest in mining or transport or food. I want the things that you're doing, and let's be partners for all the things you do." So, that was the impetus for bringing the companies together.

Ben Horowitz

The creation of Atoms—

Travis Kalanick

Funding itself, yeah. The creation of Atoms and the funding itself being at what we would call topco level.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Right. And so now it's just one entity. I mean, there are subentities all over the place, but it's one equity structure, which is great for the employees and great for me because managing—I honestly don't know how Elon does it, or did it. It's pretty wild, and I'm really glad I don't have that headache, to be honest.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, it's very complex.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Complicated alignment. But, you know, it's an interesting part because it's very obvious, when we talk about it here, how it should work. And I think the narrative of how these things get built is constantly mistold by the industry and by the press.

If you hear about how Facebook came about, how Google came about, or how Tesla came about, it's, "Oh, they had this idea, and the idea was to do this." But that's not really what happened. A lot of people had that idea. There are a lot of those ideas out there.

If you look at Tesla, there was a very famous documentary called Who Killed the Electric Car? that came out before Tesla. If you're an entrepreneur watching that, what you would see is that big oil, big auto, and big government were never going to let that happen. They would kill you.

Travis Kalanick

[Snorts]

Ben Horowitz

But then the reality is, oh, Elon Musk—that motherfucker's hard to kill. So, he by himself kind of decarbonized the American auto industry, which is really unbelievable in retrospect.

But then it gets told—if you listen to the politicians now, they're like, "Oh, he didn't build Tesla." He just struck a gold mine and started pulling the gold out. "All those people built it." But why didn't all those people build another Tesla? There's only one because there's only one non-fungible, very rare person in that equation who could do that.

And the same is true of SpaceX. That's why there's only one SpaceX. That's why Meta's Meta and Friendster's Friendster, and all that kind of thing.

Travis Kalanick

That's a good one. I haven't heard that one in a long time.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

[Laughter]

Travis Kalanick

It's good.

Ben Horowitz

And so, to build a company—a great company—it's always a great entrepreneur. When we look at it, there are very few entrepreneurs in the history of the Valley who built something like Uber. Uber basically survived and is still a very valuable company without him, which almost never happens without the founder. It usually turns to crap very fast.

That was what we liked: Yes, the idea is great, the ambition is amazing, and it's going to be amazing for the world if he pulls it off. But we want to invest in the guy who could pull it off. That's kind of what drove the whole thing.

Travis Kalanick

And there's a fun thing. I realized this at Uber, too: I think, in many ways, maybe Bezos was the guy to really go there. The only constraint to your imagination is management capacity, because look at all the things Amazon started doing. They were earlier than everybody else in starting to do lots of things, right?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And so I'm like—

Ben Horowitz

Oh, by the way, another good one: How many people had the idea for an online bookstore, an online retailer, or online anything? Here we go.

Travis Kalanick

And how many Amazons?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Totally. You know, by the way, Jeff—everybody who knows Jeff, everybody who's heard him talk, you're like, "Oh, he's very special. That's a special CEO right there." That's our business: investing in that kind of very special individual. They're super rare.

Travis Kalanick

And so I think, in many ways, Bezos may have been the OG of our time. I always want to say "the OG" of something, but then you find out 100 years earlier somebody else did it. How did AWS happen? It literally had nothing to do with a bookstore, really.

Ben Horowitz

Nothing.

Travis Kalanick

I mean, there are some fun stories they tell, but this is just a whole new thing.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, but by the way, it wasn't like the guy who was running Amazon.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, I know. Totally. Yeah, that's my point. Yeah, yeah.

So once you get the foothold, the beachhead, whatever, and it's working, you can start going: Uber rides, then Uber Eats, then Uber autonomy, then Uber Freight, then Uber AI Labs. You can start letting your imagination, with constraints, start to do really interesting things. And so where you start matters.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. You're right. It then has to be like—you need knowledge. Right? The thing that Amazon did have on AWS is they had knowledge of what it meant to run these things at scale. They were the first to get there, or one of the first 5 to get to that kind of scale, and so they had that knowledge. Totally different business, totally different, but they had the knowledge about what the product should be.

Travis Kalanick

Mm-hmm.

Ben Horowitz

Because they were the first to get there, or one of the first 5 to get to that kind of scale, they had that knowledge. And because he's a customer of these things, right? At Uber, he all of a sudden knows what the network is. He knows how to do that. And although it's a totally different business, that knowledge is transferable if you know how to scale, execute, and expand management.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

And sometimes you go to—sometimes those adjacent categories are way easier than whole new—

Travis Kalanick

Oh, yeah.

Ben Horowitz

—off-the-rails categories.

Travis Kalanick

Yes.

Ben Horowitz

And there's also—I mean, the amazing thing about AWS is it's one of the few expansions where nobody would think, “What I want to buy from Amazon is a compute cloud.” Nobody was thinking that at the time.

Travis Kalanick

No.

Ben Horowitz

You know, there's always, “Oh, I should sell them more stuff they want to buy from me.” But that's a whole 'nother thing. But if you have that level of Jeff skill—which, in terms of organizational design and cultural continuity, that guy is—

Travis Kalanick

Peak Bezos. Hard to beat.

Ben Horowitz

Very good.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. Where you start matters.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, don't let him live his best life, like—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

He gets a lot of bad PR for that, but—

Ben Horowitz

Well, I was wondering: you could have had a version of living your best life where you just say, “Hey, this is what I do.” Or was it, “I'm going to keep doing it forever”? Or was it, “Hey, I chased the promised land, I got really far, but I could have gotten so much further. I'm going to get there next”? What was the motivation to just get right back in the—

Travis Kalanick

It's just I love being in the arena, fighting it. And it's not—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. By the way, he's one of the very rare guys who made as much money as he did and wanted to keep playing. I mean—

Travis Kalanick

And start over, basically. Not totally, but almost completely, right? So you've got to really want it, because also remember, I did it stealth.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So what it means—here's the thing about stealth: it's—

Ben Horowitz

Stealth and starting at the bottom, right? Doing it by hand, right? Like, not—not—

Travis Kalanick

Like, I walked in and acquired this company.

Ben Horowitz

Chairman.

Travis Kalanick

I acquired CloudKitchens or partnered with a buddy of mine, Diego, right? There were 6 people in the company that I acquired. Okay? So it's so funny, because you've got to think: the last all-hands I did had 20,000 people.

The next all-hands I did in this only company I was in had 6. And I stood in front just like the same and I'm like, “Let's fucking go, guys. Let's do this.”

Charts, you know, like, here's what's happening. You know, let's roll. Let's do it. And these guys, who I had just walked in with, were like, “What the fuck just happened?” They went to work that morning at a 6-person startup, and an hour later, the founder of Uber is now the CEO.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, that is wild. And then, by the way, we've seen it so many times where somebody gets to the penthouse and they're like, “Oh, I want to do a new thing.” But they don't want to go all the way down to the ground floor and start at the bottom, putting the building together. Okay, now you're in a fucking shotgun house. They want to jump—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

—all the way to the top, which never works.

Travis Kalanick

You can't start at the top.

Erik Torenberg

And yeah, what the bottom thing is also about—there's a humility thing to it.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

By the way, if you can pull it off, that's a very significant cultural advantage, because as soon as the company feels like it's doing something for outside status, it's a dangerous—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

—volatile shit situation.

Travis Kalanick

You start making decisions based on external validation versus internal correctness.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, you lose true north.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. And that's part of the upside of stealth and part of what I was doing, because remember, I wanted to build without worrying about what The New York Times was saying.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So it starts with internal correctness versus external validation.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Once a company starts doing that, it's hard to reverse. You already see this with the big labs. People keep going, “Why do the big labs smack themselves in the face?” Well, it's because they need that external validation for their employees, because their employees are addicted to it. “I want to be a good guy. I want to be a good AI researcher.” So go ahead and tell them that we're going to take all the jobs. It's like, really? You want to say that? You don't even know if it's true, but you want to say that. Well, why are you doing that? Well, that external validation is so important to them, and it's so important not just to the people running it, but to all the people in the company. And so they almost have to do it, even though if you wanted—if that's what you think, then work on those problems. Work on, like, “Oh, you don't want it to reward-hack? Well, why don't you try and solve that?” As opposed to go running your mouth, because you care about the external validation more than the actual thing. And that's the—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, it's the issue.

Travis Kalanick

And it's very easy to slip into that. Many companies slip into that, and it's—

Erik Torenberg

Once it gets out of the bag, it's very hard to reverse it.

Travis Kalanick

There's a human nature aspect to being proud of what you do, wanting your mom to be proud of what you do, and your community at large.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So there is a human nature piece, which I was malnourishing by being stealth. But it forced an emotional intelligence that's very powerful now that we're moving out of stealth.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And it will be interesting to see how the coming years go.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, that's going to be a very interesting cultural case study. We'll see what the company is like over time.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

We've talked about what books were to Amazon. Food is to Atoms, in the sense of where you start matters. Why was it important that you started with food, in terms of what's generalizable?

Travis Kalanick

So here's the thing, right? What CloudKitchens was all about, the way I saw it—and this is what I brought to the party—was that it was digitized manufacturing and digitized real estate. People know it as CloudKitchens because that's what we'd sell restaurant customers on, but the name of the company was City Storage Systems.

Storage for the physical world. This is digitized real estate.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

This is a food computer with a basis in real estate storage. Okay?

Erik Torenberg

That means a network.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. So this was the name of the company from the beginning—or once I came in, okay? It was purposely boring because I was going stealth. Can you imagine selling something called City Storage Systems? People are like, “What is that?” They'll forget literally 20 minutes after you talk to them. They're like, “City CSS?” They're thinking HTML. They're confused. They don't know what's going on.

For me, the framework was already there. I already thought about this as digitized manufacturing in real estate, about an atoms-based computer, about a food computer. And that's why I was excited. The idea captured me because of that.

So it wasn't like, “Why did you start with food?” It was like I saw something different than maybe even the original team that was working on it saw. But I saw where it was going, in the way that I just described. And that's what the romance was about. And yes, there are lots of digitized manufacturing problems out there, like mining and a whole bunch of other things. But this captured me at the right time, you know?

I was sitting at the bar and somebody came up, and we had a great conversation. We went to Cabo the next weekend and then just put a ring on it. Like, “Let's go.”

Erik Torenberg

That's serendipity, man.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

That's a real thing.

Travis Kalanick

So that's okay, because the thing is, if you believe that you can find something, make it work, just grind it out, make it work, will it into working—your imagination can keep going. For me, it's not as much about where you start. It's about making sure you're passionate about where you start. And then where you go, you have no idea.

And this is very much—I go back to the Bezos style—which is like, your imagination will just keep coming up with new, cool ideas.

And so it's not about where you start; it's about why you start and how you build a culture that allows you to keep going into new places over time and lets your imagination, when it's right, flourish.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. That's why we say it's not an idea; it's an idea maze. The more you learn about the idea and all the things, the more you realize you don't know. The thing that is so hard to understand from the outside is that you know so little when you start. I mean, you didn't even tell me. When you started, you didn't know 1% of the problems you were going to run into with CloudKitchens.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, for sure.

Ben Horowitz

Because you've got to really get into it.

Travis Kalanick

Does the guy know anything about real estate?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

0.0.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, so the whole thing is a learning process. The best entrepreneurs can take those learnings and multiply the applications. That's just a very, very rare thing. The fact that Elon has taken SpaceX to Starlink to data centers in space is just—nobody would start there.

Travis Kalanick

Or think about this: the first Roadster—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

—is now Optimus.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Okay? Talk about—

Ben Horowitz

Yes. Yes.

Travis Kalanick

—letting the imagination flourish. It's a beautiful thing.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, understanding what the core principles are.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

And applying them.

Erik Torenberg

So, with that said, paint us more of a picture about the future of Atoms, or maybe say some of the guiding principles that will dictate which industries you enter next or how you think about where you go from there.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, look. I tell people I'm very focused right now because it's only food, mining, and transport. There are so many things I haven't done yet. I'm so constrained right now.

But it goes back to that thing I was saying before: you've got to find that beachhead, make it flourish, build management capacity to solve 98% of the problems that are going on, and then you have the room to go do a new thing. I've been accused of using the marathon analogy too much.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And I'm going to live up to that. At some point, you might be doing a business and it just starts working. I started seeing that on rides at Uber, where I had my leads in different geographies, and I'd call them up because we'd jam on hard ideas and crank and all this. We didn't have much to talk about.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, because it was working.

Travis Kalanick

It just worked, you know? And they're like, “Travis, we got this. I don't know why you're calling me right now.”

Ben Horowitz

So, actually, this brings up one of the things that he did best at Uber. Having had to deal with these guys, if you look at most companies—most of the really big tech companies that emerged in the 2000s and 2010s—the management teams were kind of professional middle managers, et cetera.

He had so many guys who you would have said, “No, that's a founder. That's a founder over there. That's a founder over there. That's an actual entrepreneur.” It's amazing that they're not building their own companies because they're working for Travis. But that enabled them to get to a multitude of ideas. You need a team like that, and there just aren't that many people who can build that kind of team.

It's very hard to attract and maintain that level of capability, because those guys, unless you're building something absolutely spectacular, aren't going to be in. Even if you are, you've got to be able to manage that.

Travis Kalanick

Well, what happens is the management of it becomes an empowerment puzzle.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So—

Ben Horowitz

Yes.

Travis Kalanick

Okay.

Ben Horowitz

Not unlike here, by the way—

Erik Torenberg

What I was going to say.

Travis Kalanick

So you've got—I've got, you know, yeah, I'm running Uber, let's say. I have 5 continents going at any given time. You have an engineering team that's multiplexed across, a finance team that's multiplexed across, product—there's a lot going on.

The only way it works is: okay, you have that entrepreneur there, but empowerment basically starts with alignment. What's the strategy? Are we aligned on it?

Ben Horowitz

That's the challenge, right? Empowerment plus alignment.

Travis Kalanick

So alignment on the front end, accountability on the back end.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And we would call this: “Leaders lead, builders build.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

But there's also—so you've got alignment, but alignment is multidimensional. It's alignment on, okay, what are the goals? What are the objectives? Also, what is the culture? What is behavior? What you guys are doing over there is going to affect us over here and us over there, and so forth.

We can't dilute the culture because we gave you autonomy. We've got to have that, and that combination is a very high level of management skill.

Ben Horowitz

And that leader has to be good enough to do it. That leader then has to work with the CFO and the CFO's people, the head of product and the product team's people, engineering and engineering's people, to make sure that it works. Because if I'm a single point of failure, it ain't scaling across 24 time zones. There's no freaking way.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. I think that's the difference between what we did at Uber versus what we're seeing with a lot of other companies that are expanding internationally: they're buying things. I was like, “Well, why buy? We could just freaking do this. A city is a city. Let's go.”

Ben Horowitz

And then if you buy it, guess what? You get another culture.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Okay, and now you've got another reputation. That reputation is going to seep back, and now you don't have a culture.

Travis Kalanick

And by the way—

Ben Horowitz

Because how are those guys getting away with that in Korea when we can't get away with that in the US? All those things.

Travis Kalanick

And by the way, your product and your technology are a reflection of your culture. So what happens is the culture is reflected in the technology and in how even that technology is built—the product decisions that are made. Now you've got to fuse these products and technologies together, which is very hard. 2 years later, maybe.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, exactly.

Travis Kalanick

That's why I didn't buy Lyft.

Ben Horowitz

That was a very different culture.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

I could tell.

Travis Kalanick

This was the reason I couldn't do it.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, super interesting. So you're constrained now by 3 different industries. What is the criteria that's going to determine if and when you go into another?

Ben Horowitz

Take him off script.

Erik Torenberg

No, no. What is the criteria that's going to determine if and when you go into another?

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, it's the beachhead thing, and it's the—I'll go back to the marathon analogy—if it's getting easy, you must make it hard again.

Ben Horowitz

But you've got to get it to easy.

Travis Kalanick

You've got to start. It's a vibe. It's a feeling where you're basically constantly creating problems. I'm a problem creator. Creating a problem might be like, “Hey, let's do Uber in China.”

That's creating a real freaking problem. And by the way, you don't have a full understanding of that problem when you create it. Why is that hard? Because if you create a problem, you have to solve it.

I have this framework I call the meta-problem, which is: the derivative of your problem creation with respect to time must be less than or equal to the derivative of your problem solving with respect to time. If it's not, you have a real problem.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Then you're underwater. You can drown, and if you have multiples of those, you're really underwater.

Travis Kalanick

That's right. When you create a problem, you're guessing at what your capacity is to solve problems. You're guessing 6, 12, or 18 months ahead with only a certain understanding of what the nature of the problem is. When you get it really wrong, you're underwater.

Then you must stop all problem creation so that you can get back above water. When you go from your neck to your waist in terms of how underwater you are with your problems, you're like, “Oh, I could get to here.” You create more problems. You let the problem-creation spigot open.

Ben Horowitz

And by the way, when you talk about capacity, a lot of it in this case is his personal capacity. If he's creating a new, large problem, he's got to be able to not pay nearly the same level of attention to the other parts of his business. Those have to be working, because if he's solving problems over there and creates a big new problem, and that one gets in trouble, then—

Travis Kalanick

It's a little bit of both. It's a little bit of both. I never felt like rideshare was solved, because what happened? “Oh, it's time for autonomy.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Okay. All right. Let's go.

Ben Horowitz

By the way, you were right about that.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Despite—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

I'm not going to even mention names.

Erik Torenberg

And so, if you had still been running Uber in this other universe, some of the vision that you have here with Atoms, could you have gotten to mining with Uber?

Travis Kalanick

It's a continuation of the same vision.

Right? So, digitizing the physical world—the Atoms-based computation—was already set.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And so, if the future of food is about infrastructure, automated production, and automated logistics, that's the future of Uber Eats, too. Now, when you're an OEM and you make a food computer, it doesn't mean you have to make all the parts.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

But the future is the same.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

And so that's my point: once you have that framework, why is the framework important? It's because it tells you what the future's going to be. Yeah, it's correct, and it's also compelling. It's interesting once you start seeing things. By the way, I built, with my team, 500 cloud kitchen facilities around the world. You could just look at it as, “Why are you building kitchens?” Of course, I would go around all the time and tell people, “I'm just your local humble kitchen builder,” just sort of messing around. But when you're hiring, it's like, “Why does this matter?”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Oh, that's right. It's a food computer.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

So it's a mix of telling you where the future's going, pointing the way toward where the interesting things are, and helping you describe this in a way to top-quality talent who can now see what you see and get excited about it.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

There is another interesting thing that we went through when we were understanding the business. Unlike in a computer, where you have storage and that storage kind of becomes obsolete over time, in the physical storage world—in real estate—if you have the computer optimizing the storage, the storage becomes more valuable. So you build the food computer, and the storage is central to delivering the end service, particularly before there are OEMs and everybody knows there's a food computer available. That food computer multiplies the value of the real estate. It's weird. Imagine a computer that multiplied the value of its storage. I guess it's a little like AI: if you've got data, all of a sudden data becomes valuable in a way that it wasn't really before.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Well, or you think of it this way: we could go to a data center. That's real estate, right? How many TOPS are happening at a data center today versus 20 years ago?

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, exactly.

Ben Horowitz

And how much value is coming out of those TOPS, right? The value of a data center, in terms of what it provides society, is going up dramatically over time.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

And there's a lot of happy data center owners right now because of it.

Travis Kalanick

No doubt.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

I know my friend Rob, right?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Shout-out to Rob.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, we'll get him on soon. So, speaking of painting this vision to talent and talking about where the future is going, talk more about the emerging category that Atoms sits within, or that you're calling industrial AI.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. So, look, I did a vision letter when we launched Atoms that outlined a vision for physical AI, where we sit within it, and even went into what a physical AI stack is. In some ways, it was philosophy about where the technology world—in the tech industry and in the physical world—is going to go. But what I didn't do was get to the brass tacks.

When you look at it, there's software and there are bits that are affecting what happens to atoms: how they're assembled, where they go, and what function they perform in the physical world. We wanted to create an easy way to understand what that means. I said, “Atoms' mission: physical automation to transform industries.” You're like, “Okay.” It kind of gets me there, but what does that mean exactly? Well, it means we take entire industries that are ripe for automation and AI and, because these are physical industries, completely transform them.

Ben Horowitz

In a sense, you've had one idea. Uber and Atoms—Atoms is an evolution of Uber, in a sense. You kind of said, “Okay, we're the Cisco of the physical world.” Then you're like, “Well, what about the other parts of the physical world?” You extended that vision into the computer, and now you're adding the parts.

Travis Kalanick

But the computer's around an industry.

Ben Horowitz

Yes.

Travis Kalanick

So we make computers for industries.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

Those computers are—

Ben Horowitz

Right, that's an important distinction. They're industry-specific computers, but generalized networks in some sense.

Travis Kalanick

Yes. So you go, “Okay, why are we doing transport?” Well, because you've got to have wheelbase for robots. Okay, cool. But what it actually means is every industry is moving things. There's some movement of things, eventually, and you must have wheelbase as part of what they do if you want to automate the full stack of that industry, as an example. But transport itself is an industry, too.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

But maybe a horizontal one versus a vertical.

Travis Kalanick

Right.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Peter Thiel, a decade ago, famously talked about how we've had so much progress in bits but not in atoms, and how, because of regulation or whatever reason, it was just easier in bits. Here we are, and we're finally—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Getting to it in a real way.

Travis Kalanick

Well, and I think the entrepreneurs who are coming up since the Uber time are not scared of regulation the way the bits—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, well, that was the breakthrough, in a large sense, that you made.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, and so what it means—

Ben Horowitz

They've been trying to regulate bits lately.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, totally.

But these go together, because once the bits start controlling atoms in the physical world, then the regulators are in the game big time. That's generally how regulation works: it's about our physical world, and that's how it's been for thousands of years, certainly hundreds. Once you get into the physical world, you're like, “Okay, regulation's a thing.” You say, “Okay, when in the past have we seen something like this?” If you start studying the Second Industrial Revolution, there are so many parallels between what the Carnegies, the Rockefellers, Fricks, and Fords had to deal with in that massive, rapid change at that moment.

Ben Horowitz

Fords.

Travis Kalanick

The Fords—what those guys had to deal with in that massive, rapid change at that moment.

Ben Horowitz

Same, very similar political climate.

Travis Kalanick

Very similar.

Ben Horowitz

The New Dealers were not that different from the current ones in terms of their complete hatred of the industrialists.

Travis Kalanick

Okay, so there's a guy, Frick, who I think was Carnegie's partner. This is about steel, how to process steel, and doing it at scale. I believe this story is accurate—possibly mythology, but I believe it's true. An anarchist broke into his office while he was working. This was in either the early 1900s or late 1800s. The anarchist broke into his office and shot him in the neck.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Travis Kalanick

He got it stitched up and went back to work that day.

Speaker 1

Wow.

Travis Kalanick

Somebody's going to look it up. I believe it's true, but somebody should fact-check it. You get the vibe of what's going on and how those guys rolled, and think about some of the entrepreneurs today who roll that way. Not all of them do. The Bits guys don't necessarily roll this way.

Ben Horowitz

Elon rolls it.

Travis Kalanick

But the Atoms guys roll this way.

Ben Horowitz

Definitely.

Travis Kalanick

Right? And so, when you look at the Second Industrial Revolution, the characters, and the adversity they had to go through, they're also none of them is Jesus. They had their flaws, too.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, yeah.

Travis Kalanick

But there's a very interesting parallel to what's happening—or about to happen—with the coming industrial age. For selling our own book, we would call it the Atoms Age.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

There's a book that's very interesting on the building of the war machine by the industrialists, which won us World War II, no question, and the resistance they got. It's called *Freedom's Forge*. There was this guy Bill Knudsen, who was a complete badass. He figured out mass production at Ford, then got in an argument with Henry Ford and went to GM and built Chevy. Then he went to work for the government for $1 to industrialize the nation. The way he was fought by the press and everybody was incredible. On the most basic thing, he's like, “Well, if we tell them to shut down making cars—and cars, by the way, employed 20% of America at the time—to make tanks and other things, then we're going to have to give them some money. So can we give them cost plus 7%?” That seemed very reasonable reading about it.

Travis Kalanick

They're going to profit on the war?

Ben Horowitz

Like Eleanor Roosevelt, everybody was just out to kill this guy. Somehow, that kind of resistance is very similar to what we're seeing in data centers today and that kind of thing. I think the governor of New York just banned data centers in the state, which—

There's a lot of parallels politically, which I would just call resistance to change.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. And nature resists very fast change.

Travis Kalanick

Very fast change. Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

That's correct. So, I think of it this way: the most important truth-seeking is the seeking of valuable unknown truths. But if you're good at finding valuable unknown truths—

Travis Kalanick

You're creating change.

Ben Horowitz

Then you know things other people don't know, which means you can do things other people can't do, and the better you are at it, the faster the change comes. And the faster the change comes, the more nature will do what it does. It's called resistance to change.

Travis Kalanick

Yes.

Ben Horowitz

And so you have to figure out how to bring big-time progress to overwhelm resistance to change. You also have to build trust as best as you can so that you have more advocates versus adversaries. And this is the dynamic.

Travis Kalanick

Hard to do, by the way.

Ben Horowitz

Very hard. Everybody loves progress; it's change they can't stand.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, those two happen to go together.

Ben Horowitz

Duh.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. On the industrial AI thing, my whole vision note was physical AI, and this theoretical thing was very academic and theoretical. I wanted to get something practical—brass tacks. Industrial AI is basically this stack of software, sensors, robotics, and machinery that automates an industry, and we take it 1 industry at a time.

It just became much more real and clear what it is. You go, “Physical AI,” and you're like, “Oh, so you're doing a humanoid?” I'm like, “No, no, we're the non-humanoid guys.” I don't have a problem with them, but that's not what we do. You're like, “Oh, do you do some military thing?” You're like, [snorts] “No, that's not my thing either.” This felt very clean about what we're about and how we're going after it.

Ben Horowitz

By the way, a really interesting point on this whole thing is that one of the things we completely forgot how to do is manufacture. We were the best in the world by far; we taught the world how to do it. Now we've basically forgotten how to do it as a country, other than Elon. If you need somebody who knows how to manufacture, you literally have to get them from Elon.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

And we're going to have to relearn that. Actually, the beginnings of that are literally data centers. That is a manufacturing problem to a large extent, with the cooling and the power. You've got to build your own power and all that kind of thing. And there's so much resistance to that from the exact people who were harping and harping for years about how all the manufacturing jobs were going away.

Travis Kalanick

Mhm.

Ben Horowitz

Well, they're back. [laughter] But we don't want them, and so that's how tough this story and this kind of narrative is.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Thank God there are still enough places that are welcoming data centers.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

It's not like—the federal system is a wonderful thing because you have this competition of some kind.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. It's really interesting how that works out.

Ben Horowitz

We'd be Europe.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. Yeah. So we were talking offline. You were saying that when you started Uber, you worked with people who would choose to work with you. Now you're in a different position; you have a bit more choice. You've been building in stealth, and now this is your coming-out story. Talk to us about what kind of team you're building here and how folks can help.

Travis Kalanick

Well, look, we just multiplied the number of industries we're going after by 3. That's kind of a thing, and each of them is a multitrillion-dollar opportunity. I had some awesome guys. This is kind of a funny thing to say, but when you make somebody hundreds of millions of dollars, it's hard to hire them again.

Ben Horowitz

I've never had great success hiring rich people.

Travis Kalanick

So there you go. There's the crew—Emil Michael is now undersecretary of defense, but he was my right hand on doing just epic dealmaking and strategic moves. I need the next Emil Michael, if that makes sense: a head of corp dev and biz dev who can build an inspiring team. As an example, we're in the market for a general counsel.

We're looking for somebody who can ride shotgun. You know, I like to go to the line; we should be a few inches off the line. That's a good thing to do. And then, of course, I need a CEO of my mining business. I need to build technical leadership across the board, from autonomy to heavy-duty robotics.

We have lots of folks coming in all the time, but it's those epic leaders who can inspire their team to go above and beyond and really make magic. No matter where you are as an entrepreneur, the talent game is the game. And again, when you multiply the industries by 3, we're back in the flow.

Because we were in stealth for so long, we weren't in the flow; we were cold-calling everybody. I think one of the beautiful things about us being back out there is that we can now have a place for people to understand who we are and what we're about. I can start putting teams together that can be out there in a very public way and let people know about the great work we're doing.

Erik Torenberg

And if you're joining now, you're joining with both the benefit of having all the lessons you've learned and things you've proven out with CloudKitchens and, of course, Uber for almost 2 decades, but early enough that there's the upside of enormous opportunity going forward—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

—and the ability to do something super meaningful. I mean, save kids from working in the mines, basically making it so that everybody can have great food instead of eating super-unhealthy, poisonous stuff that gives people their time back—

Travis Kalanick

Yeah. Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

—while also saving money.

Travis Kalanick

And saving money.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. It's a hell of a mission.

Travis Kalanick

Yeah, so we're having a lot of fun. It's good times.

隐身创业 | Travis Kalanick 与 a16z — 文字稿与摘要 | BidClub