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The a16z Show · · 46 分钟

AI 如何让《光环》等经典游戏重获新生

Anish AcharyaJonathan Lai

消费AI与软件技术企业经营
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TL;DR
  • AI 智能体降低原型开发的时间和成本,可能让非寻常的游戏创意也具备商业可行性。 Anish Acharya 介绍,Astra 能直接操作开发工具并修正自己的输出,缩短“从创意到原型的时间”。他初步设想,5–10 年的开发周期可能压缩至 2–5 年,让工作室有能力资助更多实验和新 IP。
  • 即使制作出能运行的游戏变得容易,人的品味仍不可或缺。 Acharya 指出,“游戏最后 20% 的内容,占了 80% 的工作”:声音、手感和细节,才能把能运行的软件打磨成值得玩的游戏。Jonathan Lai 则提出另一种可能:“创作就是消费”——制作游戏本身也可以成为娱乐。
  • 《光环》的浏览器复活展示了 AI 如何让经典游戏重焕生机、加快玩家二创。 Acharya 听说有 4 个社区项目正通过 WebGPU 让初代《光环》在浏览器中运行。Mod 已经催生出数十亿美元级的游戏系列;更低的试错门槛能让玩家获得一个“可以 remix 的起点”,而不必从白纸上构思原创创意。
  • 社区和发行渠道,可能决定降低创作门槛能否让现有 IP 持有人受益。 Acharya 区分了强化共享游戏基础的扩展内容,以及可能分裂玩家社区的分叉版本。Lai 表示,收入分成和版税机制仍未解决;能够让玩家跨游戏持续聚集的平台,则提供了另一种价值变现路径。
  • 更低的制作成本,可能让那些受众难以支撑传统开发预算的游戏类型重新获得机会。 讨论从高要求的 RTS 游戏延伸到 Lai 热衷的火车司机模拟器。这些游戏的受众可能不大,但忠诚度很高;Lai 表示,只要体验符合自己的兴趣,爱好者愿意付“很多钱”。
  • 更大的愿景,是让游戏玩法随玩家而变,而不是把每种可能性都预先写好。 Lai 所说的“永无止境的游戏”,会围绕玩家的选择生成冒险;恋爱游戏中的角色也可能成为会实时回应的智能体。这些仍只是可能性;Acharya 也指出,《Crusader Kings III》等游戏早已实现了一些类似创新,并未使用前沿 AI。
摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. 智能体缩短原型周期,扩大试错空间

  • Acharya 认为,Astra 能操作 Blender、Unreal 和 Unity,是关键突破:业余开发者可以先写游戏设计文档,再生成概念图、制作并绑定 3D 模型、加入生成音频,最后导出可玩的原型。它还可以截图并修正自己的输出。早期模型只能告诉用户该怎么做;如今直接操作工具,缩短了“从创意到原型的时间”。

  • Lai 将这类能力与代码生成区分开来:他记得“Opus 4.7”——又补充说“也可能是 Opus 4.8”——突然变得很擅长用 Three.js 制作浏览器图形。它逐个元素搭建场景,细致得让人“抓狂”。代码生成和熟练使用工具,是正在汇聚到游戏创作中的两种不同能力。

  • Lai 以《GTA 6》为极端案例:游戏“下个月”就要推出,而开发大约始于 2013–2014 年,周期长达 12–13 年。Acharya 初步设想,5–10 年的开发周期有望缩至 2–5 年。他还提出,或许能把一个耗时 10 年、投入数亿美元的项目,压缩到 5 年、投入数千万美元。开发成本依然不低,但工作室可以尝试更多创意。

  • 开发周期过长,会让制作人倾向于续作和成熟的射击游戏类型:毕竟没人能轻易押上 10 年和数亿美元,市场和创作口味都可能在游戏发售前改变。Lai 提出另一种生产力红利:周期不变,把游戏做得更宏大。如果《GTA 6》能打造一座细节丰富的城市,那么在 AI 的帮助下,同等投入也许可以构建一整个宇宙。

2. 人的品味依然稀缺,创作本身也能成为游戏

  • Lai 追问 AI 能否做出平衡感和真正的乐趣。Acharya 回应,AI“不会取代人的品味和创作判断”,“游戏最后 20% 的内容,占了 80% 的工作”。让角色能移动、能射击,只是实现基本功能;让霰弹枪听起来不同于手枪,才能建立游戏手感。在可预见的未来,这些判断仍属于人的领域。

  • Acharya 认为,未来“绝大多数”游戏的玩家可能只有 1 个:创作者本人。这并无不可,因为“创作就是消费”;让资产和角色活起来,本身带有一种“禅意园艺”的乐趣。Lai 将此与 Minecraft 和 Lego 联系起来:制作并分享作品,早已是游戏体验的一部分。

  • Acharya 的唱片店项目,起因是他的一位 DJ 朋友抱怨线上唱片店不过是歌曲列表。1990 年代,多伦多的唱片店是社交场所,里面有人聊天,音乐声也很大。Acharya 用 Opus 5.5 和 Habbo Hotel 的参考美术图,生成了一家唱片店:玩家选中音乐后,DJ 会放上唱片,角色们则开始跳舞。

  • Acharya 随后把唱片店扩展到多伦多 Queen Street,让其他玩家通过提示词搭建店面。他儿子做了一个宠物领养中心,里面的动物会真的跟着玩家走:编程智能体修改了游戏引擎,加入原先没有计划的机制。这属于“动态能力”,超出了程序化内容的范畴。Lai 提到 Roblox 的《Adopt Me!》后,Acharya 承认儿子也可能受它启发。

3. 二创让经典重获新生,也孕育新的游戏系列

  • Lai 的 8 岁儿子想玩《对马岛之魂》,但因游戏中充斥血腥的武士战斗而被禁止。他用 ChatGPT 查阅在线百科,了解游戏机制和 Boss 战;随后 Codex 帮他制作了一个 Minecraft Mod,还原这段体验。Mod 能正常运行,也在朋友间传开。如今,Lai 说儿子不再总问能不能买某些游戏,而是决定自己做 Minecraft 版本。

  • Lai 的历史判断是,Mod 早已催生出巨大的商业机会:《反恐精英》最初是《半衰期》的 Mod;《英雄联盟》借鉴了《Dota》,而《Dota》本身是《魔兽争霸 III》的 Mod。AI 让普通玩家也能组合熟悉的玩法,并迅速测试是否有趣。现成游戏解决了从零起步的问题:它们提供了“可以开始的地方,也提供了可以 remix 的起点”。

  • Lai 介绍,有人会反编译游戏,找回源代码和素材,再把两款游戏的素材拼成第三款游戏。Acharya 听说有 4 个社区项目,正在用 WebGPU 让 2001 年的 Xbox 游戏《光环》能在浏览器中运行。成熟 IP 因此有机会触达玩家实际使用的设备。

  • Lai 还亲自复活了一款名为 Solar Realms Elite 的游戏。这是一款拨号公告板时代的异步多人游戏,源代码已经丢失,但设计文档和可执行文件仍在。早期模型无法还原它;如今,他已经在自己的电脑上跑起了一个“感觉忠实还原了原作”的版本。保存经典游戏,是 AI 创作之外的一个具体用途。

4. 更低制作成本,为小众游戏类型打开新机会

  • Acharya 看好 RTS 游戏复兴,包括那款一直难产的优秀 iPad RTS。Lai 将这类游戏硬核玩家减少,归因于高强度的竞技门槛:每分钟操作次数很重要,对手可能快得让人招架不住。传统市场规模分析会劝退开发者;AI 则让他期待“RTS 游戏迎来爆发”。

  • Lai 最喜欢的小众案例,是火车司机模拟器:让东京列车准点运行、准确停车并接载乘客。停车开过头,最后一节车厢可能停不到站台上,工资也会被扣。主持人问这是否有趣,Lai 坚称有趣。这类兴趣足够具体,不必拥有大众受众;只要爱好者愿意为之付“很多钱”即可。

  • Acharya 将 RTS 风格的界面与智能体编排联系起来。Lai 认为,视觉界面一旦制作成本下降,开发雄心更大的界面就可能划算。Acharya 表示,命令行和大量文本对普通消费者并不直观,因此“可能”会出现更易上手的可视化界面。它会像《星际争霸》、Agent Empires 还是 Factorio,目前还不清楚;具体实现仍待探索。

5. 持续运营的社区提供价值变现路径

  • Lai 表示,历史上原创 IP 持有人并未从一些成功的衍生作品中获得多少收益,例如《Dota》和《英雄联盟》;至于《半衰期》的开发者从《反恐精英》中赚了多少,他明确表示并不确定。拥抱 AI 二创仍存在商业机制上的缺口。行业正在讨论收入分成和版税,但“还有很多问题需要解决”。

  • Acharya 区分了两种路径:在 Minecraft 的共享基础上扩展内容,有利于游戏持有人;分叉出一个游戏则“没有好处”,还可能分裂社区。他也质疑,Roblox 共享游戏基础较薄,是否比 Minecraft 更难从零启动。Lai 把 Minecraft Mod 比作建立在共同文化之上的同人小说;他认为,无论 Minecraft 的集中式模式,还是 Roblox 通过不同游戏实现的分散式入口,都可能奏效。

  • Lai 认为,AI 创作者或许需要一个不同于 Steam、App Store 或 Roblox 的发行平台。他建议关注 Spawn,并明确表示“我们没有投资”:平台中的具身智能体 Savvy 会接收漏洞报告、在玩家游戏过程中修改游戏,还能在不同游戏间打开传送门。游戏默认支持多人游玩,让社区能跨体验持续存在。Lai 认为,Spawn 还处于早期阶段,但野心格外大。

  • Lai 表示,他接触的开发者已把 AI 用于设计文档、概念图和原型制作视为“标配”。Acharya 预计,成本下降会改善工作室的经济状况,也有望改善这个过劳、依赖发行商合约的行业的工作条件。Lai 将生产力提升称为第一波;第二波则是新机制和新类型,可能“大幅扩大游戏市场”。

6. 自适应世界让预设内容走向实时互动

  • Lai 的“终极目标”,是一款能适应玩家偏好的 MMO:如果玩家宁愿待在海滩,也不进入预先写好的森林,那么游戏就能让他造船,再生成一条有海盗的海上任务线。世界模型或许能实现这一点。他提到《安德的游戏》中的“心灵游戏”,但仍保留不确定性:“未来某个时候,我们可能会看到自己的‘心灵游戏’。”

  • Lai 想复活 Windows 版 16 位游戏《文明 II》,随后设想让《文明》中的单位变成各有目标的智能体:统治者制定战略并影响臣民,而不是微操每个单位。Acharya 立刻回应:“这款游戏已经存在。”他举出《Crusader Kings III》:游戏中的角色有各自的性格和阴谋,臣民也可能抗命。Acharya 表示,它无需前沿 AI 就实现了这种复杂度。

  • 恋爱模拟游戏也受内容制作瓶颈制约。Acharya 表示,中国开发的《恋与深空》营收已达数亿美元,但每增加一个浪漫角色,都需要制作大量内容并编写丰富背景。他提出,可以为智能体设定个性,让它们实时回应,并了解玩家当天的经历。他认为这一类型“空间很大”,很适合被 AI 改造。

完整逐字稿
Jonathan Lai

Grand Theft Auto 6 is finally coming out next month. That game has been in production since 2013 or 2014. It’s a 12- or 13-year development cycle.

Anish Acharya

Games have long been one of the most complex products to create. But with AI helping build some of that specialized knowledge, you no longer need to be a professional.

Jonathan Lai

There’s having an agent look at something and try to recreate a game from scratch. There’s also the meshing and merging of two games or two art styles. Multibillion-dollar game franchises have been created using mods. Counter-Strike, for example, was a Half-Life mod. League of Legends was inspired by Defense of the Ancients, or Dota, which was itself a Warcraft III mod.

Anish Acharya

So imagine what the next 12-year game will look like.

Jonathan Lai

AI is now making it possible to build niche games, like esoteric genres that previously wouldn’t have been economically viable.

Anish Acharya

What’s a game that each of you has been thinking about making for years, and now you finally can?

1. How AI Can Now Build a Game

Jonathan Lai

It seems like there’s been this incredible shift in the gaming industry, and also in what we’re seeing from solo developers and tinkerers. Tim Sweeney from Epic has come out and said a bunch of really interesting things about AI. The CEO of Xbox, Asha Sharma, has also come out and said they’re thinking a lot about the interplay between hardware and software on Xbox. It seems like there’s a tide shift. So, yeah.

Anish Acharya

Want to talk about that.

2. Decompiling and Reviving Dead Games

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, maybe I’ll start off. Anish, I’d love to hear your thoughts because you’ve been building some games in your free time.

Anish Acharya

Yes, I have. Yes.

Anish Acharya

I feel like there was a big technology unlock about a month ago with Astra, because it was very good at directly using popular game development software. Astra is very good at using Blender. It could actually work directly within Unreal and Unity. In previous generations of models, they would just explain to the user, “You should go and do this in Blender,” or, “You should do this in Unreal.” But Astra could actually operate the software for you, and that was a huge unlock.

For the first time, a hobbyist who’s never built any games before could use Astra to draft the game design document, generate some concept art, move that concept art into Blender, build 3D models from it, animate them, rig them, move them over to Unreal, and then add some music and sound files, which can also be generated. Then you can export that as a playable, and you literally have a game that you one-shotted using Astra.

3. Mods: Where Billion-Dollar Franchises Come From

The other thing that’s been very valuable is that Astra can also QA itself. It can take screen caps of the game and learn from its own output: “I need to fix this bug,” or, “This doesn’t look right.” That’s why the initial prototypes people are building on X are surprisingly good. I think that was a huge technology unlock, and it has a number of ramifications that we’re starting to see in the games industry.

The first effect is that it’s dramatically shortening the time between idea and prototype. That’s something Tim Sweeney talks about in some of his Twitter posts: AI is now making it possible to build niche games, or esoteric genres, that previously wouldn’t have been economically viable. Because it takes less time to make a game, you can now spin up a prototype of a strange or weird game idea. It costs less money and takes less time.

I think that’s huge for the games industry, because one of the structural challenges in games is that it takes a really long time to make them. Grand Theft Auto 6 is finally coming out next month, and that game has been in production since 2013 or 2014. It’s a 12- or 13-year development cycle.

Jonathan Lai

Crazy.

Anish Acharya

I’m sure it’s going to be an amazing game, but by any other software development standard, taking 10-plus years to make HR software or a CRM is kind of insane. Shortening the time from idea to prototype—let’s see if we can get a 5- to 10-year development cycle down to 2 to 5 years. It’ll still take some time, but I think it’ll enable game developers to take more risks and have more at-bats, run more experiments, and generally increase the richness and diversity of games that are created, which I think is really exciting.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. To build on some of those comments, it’s interesting because we’ve seen two approaches emerge. I actually think the first thing that really became applicable to gaming was the emergence of Three.js manipulation. I think it was Opus 4.7, maybe it was Opus 4.8, but it had this property it wasn’t designed to have—at least Anthropic said it didn’t—which is that it was awesome with Three.js, which is in-browser 3D. The way it does it is by laying things out almost on an element-by-element basis, in a way that would be maddeningly meticulous for a human.

So coding is one path to game generation. It felt like what Astra did really well, to your point, Anish, was tool use: it could use Blender, and Blender in the cloud, really effectively. These are two megatrends within models, one kind of emerging and one programmed, that are converging to drive a lot of the acceleration in game development.

You know, it’s funny you say it takes 12 years to make HR software. I think the amount of time it takes is why there are so many sad stories in gaming. Think of all the game stories that are left untold. How many games were canceled three years into a six-year cycle or five years into a six-year cycle? The market has moved on, player tastes have changed. You go through financial cycles and creative cycles, where ideas that were creatively interesting three years ago now feel flat. It’s so hard to work on something for 13 years and see it all the way through, and then have it be great. It’s a miracle that it works at all.

4. What Shorter Dev Cycles Unlock

Anish Acharya

Yeah, no, for sure. Another aspect of these long development cycles that people don’t talk about, but I think has a very real impact on the industry, is that they have a suffocating impact on innovation. If you’re a producer at an AAA game studio and you know it’s going to take 10 years and hundreds of millions of dollars to ship a game, you’re going to be very conservative in what you greenlight.

Jonathan Lai

Interesting. Right.

Anish Acharya

You’re going to greenlight sequels or new IP. I think we’re on the 20th Call of Duty installment. That’s Grand Theft Auto 6, right?

Jonathan Lai

Yes.

Anish Acharya

It’s not a new IP. You’re going to skew toward genres that have established demand, which is why we see so many first-person and third-person shooters over experimental genres.

When you lower the bar for shipping a game—it’s going to take less time, five years instead of 10, and tens of millions instead of hundreds of millions—it’s still going to be expensive.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah.

Anish Acharya

I think it just means that people can take more creative risks.

Jonathan Lai

Totally.

Anish Acharya

You can actually ship a new IP. You can bet on some game developers who have never shipped anything before, greenlight them, and give them a budget to make something. I think that’s a really exciting story for the game industry, and it’s going to unlock a lot of structural innovation.

Jonathan Lai

Right. Another way to explore this new capability is to increase ambition. Imagine what the next 12-year game will look like: GTA 7. You were talking today about how intricate the city is in GTA 6.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. They have custom radio stations that they designed because they were probably just like, “Well, we have a year, and this team isn’t doing anything. Let’s just record a bunch of radio stations and stuff like that.”

Jonathan Lai

It’s incredible, right? But imagine if they then spent 10 years with the current tools. Forget about a city or even a world. You could build a universe with that level of detail. Why not?

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, I think that’s absolutely right. Expand the scope and ambition of games; take more creative risks. I think AI can literally create an abundance era in games that wasn’t previously possible, because we can make games that have never been seen before. You can take more creative risks. Another element we haven’t talked about that I think is equally important is that AI is also changing who can make games.

Games have long been one of the most complex products to create. It’s a true multidisciplinary craft: you need to know how to code, art, game design, music, and sound. The execution required to make a great game is very high, much more so than snapping a great photo or making a video.

Anish Acharya

Those are hard, but I think there’s a level of difference there. You can have AI help fill the roles that require specialized knowledge you may not have. I think you no longer need to be a professional or have a full team of people with different specialties. AI can plug some of the gaps in your skills and knowledge, and that’s democratizing game creation in a way that wasn’t previously possible.

Someone with just an idea and some reference art can work with Astra to iterate their way to a game prototype. Of course, it’s a prototype, not a fully playable game, and many people won’t finish it. They’ll make the first level or scene and then drop out. But some percentage of them will make it through and decide they love game development and want to turn it into a job. I think we’ll see an explosion in the number of game creators, and that’s really exciting.

5. Can AI Make a Game Fun?

Jonathan Lai

You guys must talk to founders who are either creating tools for these would-be AI-enabled game developers or working on AI-developed games themselves. The hardest thing to me would seem to be game balance and making something that’s actually fun and engaging. It seems like that’s an art, and something that requires human intuition, know-how, and a different kind of creativity. What are you seeing in terms of what AI can do?

Anish Acharya

I think you hit it spot on. The AI model isn’t going to replace human taste and creative judgment. That’s still really critical. There’s a saying in the games industry that the last 20% of a game is 80% of the work. That’s where all the magic comes together to make something fun. The first 80% is just putting together a game that works: you can start it, there’s a character, it can shoot things, and there are monsters to shoot.

The last 20% is so critical. How does the world feel? Going back to your point about custom radio stations in Grand Theft Auto 6, when you fire a gun, what does it sound like? The shotgun should sound different from the pistol. When you use a laser gun, there should be recoil, and so on. All the little details are what make a magical experience. I think that’s going to be the province of humans for the foreseeable future. How does something feel? What do players want? How should this gun feel? Human taste and judgment will still be critical in those situations.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. And what’s going to make me want to spend 1,000 hours playing Grand Theft Auto or Baldur’s Gate 3? These incredible games have a level of detail, but also a sense of consequence and depth to the world. Maybe that’s something LLMs can help extend.

Anish Acharya

Yeah, exactly.

Jonathan Lai

What do you think?

Anish Acharya

I agree. I don’t know that it makes creating a really fun game trivial, because that’s really hard. It’s an intersection of many things: some designed, some serendipitous, some cultural, some social. Many things go into making a fun game. I do think that in this new era, sometimes creation is consumption. The vast majority of games may be played by just one person: the creator. And that’s okay, because there’s programming or creating games for the output, for the artifact, and then there’s doing those things as an activity.

It’s actually very tranquil to make and work on a game, especially because it has an art element. You see the assets come to life, and the characters say things you didn’t program them to say. I really do think there’s a kind of Zen gardening aspect to game creation that will become increasingly popular.

Jonathan Lai

I think that’s such a great point. We’ve seen that creation is play sometimes. We’ve seen it with Minecraft, one of the most successful and longest-running games of all time, and even before video games with things like Lego, where kids create things for fun and share them with each other.

Anish Acharya

That’s definitely the case with AI today as well. The act of creating something, bringing something to life, is itself fun. AI is turbocharging what people can create, so you don’t need to know everything about code, art, and 3D to make something you can be proud of.

Jonathan Lai

Yes.

Anish Acharya

And have fun making it.

6. Building a Habbo Hotel Record Shop

Jonathan Lai

100%. Anish, you built this Habbo Hotel-themed record shop. What was that process like?

Anish Acharya

It started with a conversation with a friend who’s a DJ. He was saying, “All the online record stores look the same. It’s just a list of songs.” We were talking about how, when we used to go record shopping in Toronto in the ’90s, going to the record shop was like going to the barber shop. You’d go there, it would be filled with people, and you couldn’t leave without having five conversations. Someone at the back would be playing tracks really loud. There were mixtapes for sale, and raves were being promoted. The whole thing was a real social environment.

So he said, “Hey, why can’t online record shopping be like that?” I thought, “That’s cool. Let me try to create that.”

This was with Opus 5.5. I gave it a shot with just a couple of Habbo Hotel reference art components, and it far exceeded my expectations. It didn’t just generate the room; it also somehow grabbed all kinds of ’90s music. It had curated R&B, dancehall, hip-hop, and soul. You could pick a track, look through the tracks, and put one on. Then the DJ at the back would grab the record and play it. People were dancing a little. It was very intricate, so it was a total inspiration.

From there, I said, “What if I extended this and turned it into Queen Street in Toronto in the 1990s?” So I turned it into a whole street. The last touch, which I think was the most science-fictional thing that would never have been possible, was making it so every other storefront was something another player could build out just by prompting. The interesting thing is that they could customize not just the art, but the capabilities. My son went in and created a pet adoption center. You could actually adopt the pets, and they’d follow you around.

Of course, I didn’t design this animal-following capability. The coding agent updated my game engine to create that mechanic. In the past, procedural level generation was really inspirational, but that’s just dynamic content. Now we’re talking about dynamic abilities and whole different mechanics, right?

7. His Son Rebuilt Ghost of Tsushima in Minecraft

Jonathan Lai

Yes. Has your son played Adopt Me! on Roblox? It’s one of the most popular Roblox games.

Anish Acharya

No, something like that.

Jonathan Lai

Is it similar?

Anish Acharya

Oh, maybe he has, and that’s how he came up with it. I thought, “This is so creative.”

Jonathan Lai

For sure. I think that’s a great example. My son has also recently gotten into game development using AI. It started because he wanted to play a game called Ghost of Tsushima.

Anish Acharya

It’s a fantastic game, but you basically play a samurai in feudal Japan. As you can imagine, it’s very bloody and kind of violent.

Jonathan Lai

I told him, “Actually, no, you’re 8. You’re not playing this bloody samurai game.” But he really wanted to play it. He started talking to ChatGPT and asking about it. Somehow, he discovered he could build a Minecraft mod of Ghost of Tsushima.

Anish Acharya

No way.

Jonathan Lai

He used GPT to deconstruct the game, because there were all these wikis online breaking down how the mechanics and boss battles work. Essentially, Codex helped him build a Minecraft mod, which he installed. It’s Ghost of Tsushima as a Minecraft mod.

Anish Acharya

And it works.

Jonathan Lai

It works really well. He’s been sharing it with his friends, and now he doesn’t ask us to buy new games anymore. He just says, “I want to play this game. I’m going to make it as a Minecraft mod.”

Anish Acharya

That’s a lot of inspiration. What I also love about that is that it illustrates the fact that, as we think about how games get better, realism isn’t the only, or even necessarily the most interesting, axis for improvement. The fact that you can create a concept from two existing concepts that never would have existed is extraordinary.

Jonathan Lai

That’s right.

Anish Acharya

That’s right. I think this is a good transition to talk about decompilation. That feels like a new trend, and there seem to be different strains of it: having an agent look at something and try to recreate a game from scratch, or meshing and merging two games or art styles. I’d love to disentangle all the different things going on right now.

Jonathan Lai

I hope there are two trends getting turbocharged by AI. The first is that the games industry has long been driven by modding. Modding means taking a game you already love and building an add-on or extension that changes the gameplay somehow. Then it becomes its own game, its own genre. Historically, some of the biggest games in the industry have come from mods.

Counter-Strike, for example, a really big esport, was a Half-Life mod. League of Legends, one of the most successful MOBAs of all time, was inspired by Defense of the Ancients, Dota, which was itself a Warcraft III mod. My favorite example is Fortnite and PUBG, which were inspired by a PlayerUnknown’s Battle Royale mod for Arma. Multibillion-dollar game franchises have been created using mods. That’s the history: some of the best and biggest games in the world have been created this way.

8. The Renaissance of Niche Genres

AI is making it really easy to mod games right now. Just like my son did, an ordinary player who loves an IP or a game can point Astra at it and say, “Make me Ghost of Tsushima, but add box crafting. Add the relationship system from Animal Crossing.” Then you can make it and see if it’s fun. If it is, other people start playing it, it becomes a genre in itself, and it can blow up in a big way.

Part of this goes back to the creation loop. It’s hard for someone to create something new using a blank canvas.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

If you put a text prompt in front of someone and say, “Make me a game,” you wouldn’t know where to start. Working within the framework of an existing game someone else has made, and saying, “Add this thing; remix it with this other thing,” is powerful because it gives you a place to start and a place to remix from.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, it’s interesting. You mentioned modding. I think the two other areas I’ve seen are, first, decompiling so that you have the source code and the assets.

Anish Acharya

Yep.

Jonathan Lai

I think this gets really interesting for beloved but old games. Take Knights of the Old Republic, for example. BioWare is out of business, and they’re never going to make another Knights of the Old Republic game. Extending it or forking it is really cool. The third, maybe most futuristic thing I’ve seen—

Anish Acharya

There’s this guy Blendy who’s been doing a lot of amazing things on X, BLNDI, where he takes the assets from two existing games and combines them into a third game.

Jonathan Lai

You know, which is a totally outer-space concept, but it works. Some of the games are really fun.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. On the retro games front, I think what sparked the Xbox Labs announcement—when Asha talked about wanting to support AI and new frontiers of development, specifically—was that so many community projects were popping up that took Halo, the original 2001 Xbox game—

Jonathan Lai

Classic.

Anish Acharya

—and decompiled and recompiled it for modern platforms. I heard about four community projects that made Halo a playable WebGPU game, so you can basically play Halo on the web now. It’s incredible, and it goes back to what you were saying earlier about Three.js. 3D on the web has never been more powerful or accessible.

I think Xbox has likely seen things like this happen and is saying, “We used to have whole teams that would take a Windows game and port it over to the iOS ecosystem.”

Jonathan Lai

Or take old games that are defunct and try to remaster them. Now AI can help a lot with those efforts. You’re taking an established IP and exposing it to a new audience, like kids today who have grown up and never actually had a chance to play Knights of the Old Republic.

Anish Acharya

Yeah, but now they can.

Jonathan Lai

That’s right. And potentially on a console, PC, or device that’s relevant to them.

Anish Acharya

Yep.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, I think it’s really cool. I also think there are genres of games with really high production costs, where historically you simply don’t get the ROI. People love RTS games.

Anish Acharya

Everybody has been obsessed with RTS. There have been so many efforts to make a great iPad RTS, and we’ve never really gotten one. Now I think we’re going to see a complete renaissance of genres like RTS.

Jonathan Lai

Such a— It’s what I’m personally really excited about. I think Tim Sweeney talked about this too. I love this really niche genre of games called job simulators. It’s a strange concept: you basically play a day in the life of a particular job. It’s typically not a glamorous job. You’re not the president or anything. The one I played most recently is this train conductor simulator.

Anish Acharya

Oh my gosh, amazing.

Jonathan Lai

You can basically be a conductor of subways and trains in various cities around the world. I’ve been a JR, like a Tokyo subway conductor. It’s exactly as it sounds: it’s not glamorous at all. You show up for work, you have a timetable to make, you have to drive the train and stop at every stop along the way to pick up passengers. You have to do it perfectly. If you’re late stopping, the last car doesn’t make it in, so not everyone can get on the train, and your paycheck is docked for that. It’s such a niche genre. I can’t imagine that many people want to be train conductors.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

But if they are, now you can make games like this, and people like me who really love it—

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

—will pay a lot of money to play these games. Is it fun?

Anish Acharya

I find it really fun.

Jonathan Lai

You know, it’s funny: if you look at old computing magazines and the rankings of top software, number one is usually VisiCalc and number two is something like Microsoft Flight Simulator, those early flight sim games. I actually think simulation as a genre really has a hold on people. People love sims.

Anish Acharya

That’s right.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, it’s just an evergreen kind of game.

Anish Acharya

Maybe there’s a particular type of job that resonates with different people, but maybe you never had a chance to discover it because the simulator genre just wasn’t that big.

Jonathan Lai

That’s right.

Anish Acharya

But now you can role-play a day in the life of almost any job in the world that you can envision. Wouldn’t that be really cool?

Jonathan Lai

Did you guys ever play Untitled Goose Game?

Anish Acharya

Oh, I know about this game. Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

It’s a goose simulation.

Anish Acharya

That’s right. You pretend to be a goose and go around.

Jonathan Lai

So maybe I am into the sim genre. Mischievous goose.

Anish Acharya

It was really big during the—

Jonathan Lai

That’s right. Goose. I don’t know what that says about me.

9. Managing AI Agents Like an RTS Game

Anish Acharya

Chaos. Actually, going back and merging the conversation about RTS games, one thing I’ve seen is agent orchestration schemes that look like classic RTS games. There’s an Age of Empires skin over your agent orchestration.

Jonathan Lai

Yes, yes. There’s a Minecraft one too. All the different structures are different, like, code—

10. When Creating Is the Game

Anish Acharya

Exactly. What do you guys think of those? Is that a toy kind of rendering? Is it just an extension of the fact that it feels like a game to manage your agents that way, or is it the start of a new genre of simulator? Being the general manager of a line of business at any company—Credit Karma, Google, or wherever—is a sort of sim. You’re working with all these teams, you have limited control and incomplete information, and then you have market forces.

Jonathan Lai

I don’t know that it’s that different. I actually think that now you can trivially create these really ambitious interfaces. In that world, you might do that and it might actually be optimal, whereas in the old world the cost was so high it was insane. It made no sense.

Anish Acharya

Yeah, that’s right.

Jonathan Lai

Sure.

Anish Acharya

I think one thing that GUIs, graphical user interfaces inspired by games and used for agent management, make me think of is that the average consumer finds agent orchestration non-intuitive. Working from a command line to manage your agents, using a primarily text-based interface, is non-intuitive. I agree there will probably be a more mass-market visual interface—

Jonathan Lai

—that an everyday consumer can use to manage a collection of agents.

Anish Acharya

And whether it looks like StarCraft or Agent Empires or Factorio, I’m less sure of the exact implementation.

11. The Business of AI Games

Jonathan Lai

But it does feel like we’re early in figuring out the user interface for primarily agent-work players.

Yeah.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. So, John, one thing I’m really curious to hear from you on: Tim and Asha have come out strongly supporting the community around AI-developed games, which is awesome. But do you think their companies and ecosystems are set up to capture the value from this trend, or are they in an awkward position today, knowing they need to change?

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, I think it’s a good question. If you take modding as an example, historically the original owners of IP haven’t benefited that much from the mods created on top of their IP, right?

Anish Acharya

Mm-hmm.

Jonathan Lai

The original creators of Dota didn’t really benefit that much from League of Legends when it was created. I’m not sure the original Half-Life developers earned that much from Counter-Strike. There’s a gap in the business models that needs to be figured out. If you’re really embracing AI as a remixing, modding, decompilation, and recompilation engine to empower your player base, how do you benefit commercially as a company?

I think folks are still early in figuring that out. I’ve heard people talk about trying to figure out whether there’s a revenue share or royalty that can go back to the company, so you’re empowering creators. There’s still a lot to figure out there.

Anish Acharya

I mean, the strongest form of that, in my mind, is Minecraft. Minecraft really benefits from the mods ecosystem. It’s interesting because we’ve used the words “remix” and “extend” interchangeably, but I think additions that extend the core game and share a core foundation of community, plus a base game, really benefit the IP owner. Whereas when you’re forking the game, there’s no benefit. In fact, you might even be splitting the community.

Jonathan Lai

That’s right. That’s right.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. It goes back to something you and I have talked about separately: how do you create new forms of distribution for the next generation of AI games, or games created using AI? Today, many of these games still go through traditional distribution channels. They’re posted on Steam or the App Store, and if you’re making something in Roblox, it’s still within the Roblox ecosystem. There’s an opportunity for a company to create a distribution platform that natively harnesses and empowers all these AI game creators.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah.

Anish Acharya

And that doesn’t really exist today, because all the games are going through traditional channels, right?

Jonathan Lai

Well, you should check out Spawn, actually. We’re not investors, but I’m a huge fan of what they’re doing. It’s Jacob and the team, and they’ve created a shared community and game generation platform. You work with an embodied agent named Savvy. She’s in all the games with you. She can take bug reports on the platform, but she can also modify the game while you’re in it.

Anish Acharya

Like a copilot.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, that’s right. She can create portals for you, so you can step into other games.

Anish Acharya

Yep.

Jonathan Lai

And you can bring other players with you. Every game is multiplayer by default, with the same community.

Anish Acharya

Mm-hmm.

Jonathan Lai

It’s early, but it’s the most impressive, ambitious effort I’ve seen at doing something like this, and I’m sure there’ll be more.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. No, I think that’s exciting. I’m a fan of Jacob, and I’ve been following the company for a while. I think the broader opportunity is: how do you create a community that persists between games? You’re not just bringing a couple of people to play one game and a couple of people to play another, with no connection between them. That’s a huge opportunity. Minecraft and Roblox are great examples: once you’re inside the Roblox ecosystem, if you get bored of one game or you’ve beaten it, there are hundreds of thousands, if not millions, more experiences you can participate in.

Can you contrast the two, John? One thing I’ve noticed is that all the games in Roblox are extremely different, so the core shared game, if you even call it that, feels pretty thin. Whereas in Minecraft, the core shared game is very rich. Do you think you need a really rich game? It feels like pure portal-based worlds without a shared core gaming mechanic are harder to get off the ground. Or is that not true?

Jonathan Lai

I think there’s a benefit to a Minecraft model where it’s more centralized, where everyone starts off playing the same game. To your point, you fork it, mod it, and make it your own when you create Minecraft mods. The benefit is that everyone has a shared experience and is familiar with the IP, and you’re departing from that. Minecraft mods are almost like fan fiction: everyone watched the same Game of Thrones series, so they know who Daenerys and Jon Snow are, what the Watch is, and so on. Minecraft has a lot of shared culture around the Enderman and the dragons.

That feels very different from a more decentralized approach, which is how I’d characterize Roblox. People can enter the Roblox ecosystem through any game. Like I mentioned earlier, there’s Jailbreak, Brookhaven, and a bunch of other games. You have a very different experience, and then you have to learn where to go from there and how to be a creator. Both approaches are totally viable. It’s a philosophical difference in how you want to extend the game and harness the community, and both can work.

12. What Excites and Scares Studios

Anish Acharya

Yeah, both can work for sure. Going back to our discussion about studios and publishers, what do you think they’re most excited by, and what are they most worried about right now?

I think getting their costs down has got to be super exciting, and being able to create more IP with less financial risk seems hugely exciting. For a lot of these studios, they live and die by winning the right to develop a game for a publisher. If the game doesn’t do well, they may not get that opportunity again. You have hundreds of people who are overworked like crazy. It’s got to be one of the worst qualities of life just being in that industry. People do it anyway because they love it, but it’s tough. I think the quality of life for the average person in the industry, and honestly the quality of the business, should go way up.

Jonathan Lai

Yep. I think what might worry them is that Xbox—Microsoft, I guess, owns Minecraft—but they wish they had an asset like that, closer to a network and a social product than a pure entertainment product.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

I’m sure Fortnite, despite being the most beloved game in the world five years ago, isn’t discussed as much now. There’s this holy grail, what you call a “never-ending game” or a “forever game,” but it’s so hard to get there. Maybe with these technologies, they’ll have a better shot.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

In my conversations with game developers, I’d say they’re all using AI already. AI has become table stakes as a tool to be more productive. People use AI to generate game design documents, generate concept art, quickly iterate on an idea, and go to prototype. As I mentioned earlier, it shortens the distance and time between an initial idea and a prototype. Everyone is universally excited about that. I think of that as wave one of AI adoption among game studios.

Anish Acharya

Mm-hmm.

Jonathan Lai

I think the next wave, which is what Anish is even more excited about, is how to use AI to create new types of gameplay: new game mechanics and new game genres that don’t exist today.

Anish Acharya

Yeah.

Jonathan Lai

That could massively expand the market for games. You’re not just making GTA 6 faster and cheaper; you’re making a new type of game that couldn’t have existed before. The article I wrote earlier on the concept of the never-ending game is something I’m personally passionate about. I’d love to see it happen.

The holy grail for an MMO is a game that infinitely adapts itself to what players want. If you land on a beach in an MMO and you’re supposed to go to the forest because that’s how the game starts, maybe you really love the ocean and decide to stay on the beach, build a ship, and sail off into the ocean. The MMO today couldn’t handle that, because it’s scripted linearly to expect you to go into the forest, where something happens that sets you up on a quest.

In an adaptive MMO, one built using world models, for example, you could generate an entire quest line for someone who really likes the ocean. Now there are pirates attacking you, and there’s a nautical warfare element.

Sometimes these discussions go into science fiction. In *Ender’s Game*, they have the concept of the Mind Game. The game adapts to what Ender wants to do in any given moment. I think it’s possible we’ll see our own version of the Mind Game at some point. That would be a game you can’t stop playing because it adapts to whatever you want to do at any given moment.

Anish Acharya

I mean, perhaps we’re playing it at this moment.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah, exactly.

Anish Acharya

The Matrix.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. Or *Ender’s Game* itself, right? I don’t even think—

Anish Acharya

The story is that he’s in the game. Yeah.

13. The Games They'd Finally Build

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. What games have you guys put the most hours into?

Anish Acharya

For me, I’ve played *The Witcher 3*. I’ve completed it twice, half-completed it a bunch of times, and I absolutely love it. The other game I adore is *Dune 2000*.

Jonathan Lai

Oh.

Anish Acharya

That was my favorite RTS growing up. It’s so good. Somebody has already ported it to play on Mac, and it’s as good as it ever was.

Jonathan Lai

That’s awesome.

Anish Acharya

For RTS fans, if you haven’t played it, I highly recommend *Dune 2000*.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. I’ve probably put thousands of hours into *League of Legends*. Some of my best friends and friendships have been made in that game, so it has to be my most-played game. Close behind that is *StarCraft*. I’ve played all the versions, back to *Brood War*, *StarCraft II*, and so on.

It’s a classic example of a game where the audience for hardcore RTS games has dwindled over time because it’s such a hard genre to play. Your APM matters. You can’t play competitively without feeling bad about yourself because everyone else is so much faster and better at the game. There aren’t many developers trying to make new, modern RTS games because the audience size doesn’t support it if you look at pure market size and analysis. But with AI, I’m excited to see an explosion in RTS games. I’ll play as many of them as I can.

Anish Acharya

Nice. I’m a big *Crusader Kings III* fan, which isn’t really RTS. I describe it to people who don’t know it as *The Sims* mixed with *Age of Empires*. You get personality management—

Jonathan Lai

Relationships, politics.

Anish Acharya

Yeah, exactly. But you also get this grand overworld where you manage your dynasty and your realm. It’s so deep.

Jonathan Lai

Wow.

Anish Acharya

Anyway, to close us out, what’s a game each of you has been thinking about making for years that you can finally make now?

Jonathan Lai

I can go quickly. I grew up running a bulletin board system, which tells you how old I am. Before the internet, people would dial in. BBSs were famous for having asynchronous multiplayer games because only one person could phone in at a time. You’d play your turn, phone up, connect, play your turns, log off, and then the next day play your next turns and see everyone else’s turns at the same time.

There was a whole genre of amazing asynchronous multiplayer games, including two written by one of Google’s earliest employees, when he was still at Stanford. His name is Amit Patel. He made a game called *Baron Realms Elite* and another called *Solar Realms Elite*.

Unfortunately, he lost the source code for *Solar Realms Elite*, which is the better of the two, but he has a game design document and an executable. For every generation of models, I’ve tried asking, “Can you recreate the game?” They haven’t been able to do it, but now I have what feels like a faithful recreation running on my computer.

Anish Acharya

Incredible. That’s a great story.

Jonathan Lai

Yeah. Something along a similar vein for me: I’m a big *Civilization* player, and the original *Civ II* generated some of my most endearing childhood memories. It’s the 16-bit Windows version of *Civ* that you need a floppy disk to play. It’s not playable today anymore; it’s a 16-bit executable. I’d love to recreate that game on modern hardware.

I’ve also long thought about what *Civ* looks like with agents, because the fantasy of the game is that you’re the ruler of an empire. But that fantasy breaks down over the course of *Civ* when you’re micromanaging literally every unit in your empire. At some point, you could imagine *Civ* where every unit was an agent with its own agenda and goals. As the ruler of the empire, you’d set strategy and try to influence your subjects to grow in the direction you want. You can’t just have them do exactly what you want; you have to coax and influence them.

Anish Acharya

I have amazing news for you: this is *Crusader Kings III*. The game exists, and it doesn’t use frontier AI at all.

Jonathan Lai

Is that true? It’s the same game?

Anish Acharya

Yeah, pretty much. You manage schemes, different people’s personalities, and their opinions of you. Sometimes people won’t do what you want because their opinion of you is too low. There are different ways to conquer a realm or territory. You can murder people ahead of you in the succession. It’s super deep. It feels closest to the never-ending, endless game you were talking about: what it might feel like when it’s super deep and realistic, with way more permutations of choices.

You should definitely check it out. During the pandemic, I got COVID at the end of 2020, started teaching myself C, and started making a Japanese-style dating sim with Unity.

Jonathan Lai

Popular.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. It was right around Unity’s IPO, so I was curious about Unity and how it worked and how easy it was. It was basically branching dialogue trees, so it wasn’t that advanced in terms of programming. I didn’t really get that far. There was some basic management of health and thirst.

Jonathan Lai

I actually think the dating sim genre is ripe for AI.

Anish Acharya

Yeah. There’s a genre called otome games, which are basically dating sims for women, where you go on dates with men of different personalities and archetypes. There’s a game called *Love and Deepspace*, made by a Chinese developer, that’s blowing up. It’s bringing in hundreds of millions in revenue.

The challenge is that it takes a lot of time and work to create the content, because the expansion packs for the games are basically characters. There’s a new guy you can date, and that’s an update for the game. They have to build out his rich backstory: he likes cats, walks on the beach, but is terrified of heights, and so on. You have to discover all of this.

There’s no reason they can’t be agents in the future. These are people with their own personalities. Their world is encoded in their database, and they react to you in real time as you have conversations with them. They know about your day. I think the dating sim genre is wide open and ripe for disruption by AI.

Speaker 1

Yeah. Amazing. Fun note to end on.