Chris Garabedian

Eric Schmidt × Matt Gline × Chris Garabedian × Sam Fazeli × Graig Suvannavejh

Biotech’s IPO window remains open: ten deals have raised $3.2B YTD, with the respiratory IPO moving from $18 to near $29.Yet no governor limits the cycle, and generalists remain selective around de-risked clinical- or commercial-stage names.Lilly’s six acquisitions and $14.5B upfront make it a category of one, leaving 2026 M&A and the XBI’s shrinking lead to monitor.

Chris Garabedian × Paul Matteis × Tess Cameron × Adam Feuerstein

XBI strength, Kylera’s IPO above $625M before the shoe, and fresh S-1 and PIPE activity suggest financing is reopening, though the index now favors larger, liquid companies.Revolution Medicines’ 0.4 overall-survival hazard ratio in second-line pancreatic cancer and $2B raise could fund commercialization, while Travere’s proteinuria-based FSGS approval despite eGFR underperformance leaves Vertex’s high-risk enaxopin Phase 3 regulatory bar unresolved.

Chris Garabedian × Tim Opler × Bruce Booth × Sam Fazeli

Biotech’s 2025 selloff appears driven more by forced selling and weak marginal demand than deteriorating science, with XBI at $84.45, down 4% for the week.Venture capital remains near $5 billion quarterly while new financings have fallen to barely above 50 and average rounds reached $65 million, concentrating capital in fewer, more disciplined companies.Reported HHS reductions create FDA execution risk as China expands, while Tagrisso’s EGFR-lung-cancer defense keeps physician adoption—not headline efficacy—the key catalyst.

Chris Garabedian × Tim Opler × Sam Fazeli × Brian Skorney × Luba Greenwood

Novo Nordisk’s Amycretin delivered 22% weight loss at 36 weeks among patients reaching 20 mg and remaining on treatment, but undisclosed discontinuations and limited tolerability data make the as-treated result provisional, making those disclosures the key valuation catalyst.Meanwhile, a roughly 5% technical XBI rebound contrasted with Stifel’s “historic high” M&A pipeline and 17 deals above $75 million upfront in 2024, while health-agency freezes threaten timelines.