Stablecoin proliferation is shifting toward corporate treasury, as banks and multinationals may issue white-label coins to capture float.CLARITY’s 49–50 failure hit Coinbase roughly 10% and Circle 12%, while the SEC’s five-year exemption may accelerate tokenized-securities innovation but remains reversible.Arc’s more than 190 partners showed Circle’s reach, but its memecoin-heavy debut obscured a payments strategy designed to offset lower rates.

Yan Liberman

Yan sees Bitcoin reaching the high $90,000s before materially easier liquidity, with only 10–15 investable tokens.His six-token book favors uncrowded productive assets: Grass has roughly $70 million expected revenue and $40 million indicated operating profit against about $330 million FDV.Grass’s October unlocks and AERO’s second-half-of-September expansion are catalysts, but demand, emissions and cross-asset opportunity cost remain unresolved.

Andrew Walker × Zack Buckley

Priority Technology trades at 4–5x free cash flow despite 10%+ FCF/share growth and over 90% recurring or reoccurring business, while Treasury Solutions contributes roughly $180M of adjusted EBITDA at an 84% margin.The $6.00–$6.15 take-private proposal trails the January 2025 $7.75 secondary and Buckley’s $17 SOTP, while the 9–10 month Barclays/Paul Weiss process remains unresolved amid possible negotiation leverage and kitchen-sinking risk.

Raymond × 庄明浩

退出受阻将一级半市场从水下交易逼成有买卖双方、价格和中间方的准市场，36氪留言板五年5000多条信息则显示标的从互联网消费轮转向Web3、硬科技、AI、机器人与商业航天。SpaceX借多层SPV和Web3基础设施将参与门槛降至5000美元，但中国人投资美国AI公司的监管限制、链条断裂风险，以及字节短期是否上市，仍是关键变量。

Harry Stebbings × Rory

SpaceX’s all-stock Cursor takeover, completed within a week and carrying a breakup fee, highlights AI M&A’s currency and clearance advantages while testing premium pricing against forward revenue.Stripe’s OpenRouter bet monetizes routing complexity but faces model drift, while Workday’s take-private underscores system-of-record durability without guaranteed upsell; AI-budget ceilings and agentic roadmaps remain key risks.

Steve McLaughlin

Fintech remains a single-digit percentage of financial services, growing 20-30% versus banks’ 3-5%, as Fiserv, FIS, and PayPal face AI-native challengers.FT Partners’ Lynk sale—$550M versus $150M bids after only 15% growth—and its $50M Revolut bet illustrate how diligence, conviction capital, and incentives can capture value, while no-moat AI applications remain exposed to competition.

Crypto funds moving into robotics and hardware may be an adverse-selection trap as LPs question mandate creep and post-2021 returns converge with regular venture.Cloudflare’s guardrailed, chain-agnostic wallets could make identity and authorization a value layer, while Circle’s 7% revenue growth, falling USDC supply, 62% distribution share, and November’s Western Union bet leave monetization unresolved.

李翔 × 单伟建

单伟建认为中国经济运行在潜力之下：6.5%平均准备金率、160万亿家庭存款和净资产政府资产负债表提供政策与消费空间。房地产占2019年家庭财富约59%，上海二手房价五个月涨约7.6%或成消费催化剂，但出口贡献超30%却缺乏体感，保护主义与内卷仍是风险。

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg × Santiago Santos

Santiago Santos is winding down Inversion’s crypto thesis after finding Remitly and Wise “not making money” with no pricing power, while stablecoins remain a real dollar-rail use case.The pivot favors mandated, recurring cash flow such as critical-power servicing, where fragmented markets, emergency pricing and AI-enabled efficiency may support returns, while Inversion’s holdco structure protects judgment and capital discipline.

David Senra × Micky Malka

Malka’s “token factory” thesis puts identity, value, and intelligence at the center of machine-readable information, while money remains largely outside AI in year four or five.Founder-led platforms including Stripe, Robinhood, Nubank, and Revolut could drive agentic finance, with OnePay’s Walmart joint venture testing Ribbit’s branchless-bank playbook and prediction markets’ rails worth monitoring.