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Thread Guy · · 42 分钟

《AI 距离取代所有工作还有6个月》(Alex Finn)

Thread GuyAlex Finn

股票AI与软件技术企业经营
YouTube ↗
TL;DR
  • Alex Finn 的核心判断是,OpenClaw 将 AI 从生产力工具变成自主劳动力,让他一觉醒来就能发现“当天一半的工作已经完成”。 他认为 OpenClaw 位于 Claude Code 和 Codex 之上,负责给它们分配任务,而不只是辅助用户执行;他预测,两个月内 OpenClaw 的用户数将超过 Claude Code。

  • 本地算力改变了经济账,因为一次硬件采购就能支撑私有、持续运行的智能体,不再按 token 付费。 Finn 说,在本地达到接近 Opus 的能力,需要购买2台 Mac Studio,总成本约2万美元;但此后模型就可以“24/7 365”地工作。他正在运行 GLM-4.7,并提到 GLM-5 当天刚刚发布。

  • Finn 最明确的商业验证,是一个 OpenClaw 工作流识别出需求,连夜扩展了 CreatorBuddy 的文章功能,并在一周内带来约1万美元新增 ARR。 他承认自己拥有40万 X 粉丝,会放大结果,但认为即便没有受众,智能体也可以发现 Reddit 上的抱怨,让 Codex 构建解决方案、完成部署,再带着付费链接回到原发帖者面前。

  • 预计中的6个月就业冲击,关键不在模型继续进步,而在于有人把今天已有的能力封装成企业可部署的产品。 Finn 认为 OpenClaw 已经“足以取代许多工作”,但企业需要简单的集成方式,以及防范 prompt injection 和未授权文件访问的安全机制;一旦这层封装完成,他预计企业会自动化整个部门,甚至可能裁掉“公司30%的人”。

  • Finn 的投资框架是,AI 让软件变得充足,但硬件仍然稀缺。 他直白地问:“既然我现在坐在桌前花2个小时就能自己做出 Figma,为什么还要投资 Figma?”他看好 ASML、Micron 和 Tesla 等稀缺硬件与算力敞口;Thread Guy 又补充了 SanDisk。

  • 软件可能失去公开市场上的稀缺性,但对有品牌的创业者仍然有价值。 CreatorBuddy 仍能销售,是因为它把 Finn 的经验和分发能力打包给那些不想亲自构建替代品的客户;他的结论是,只要对应一个已经解决的问题、一个值得信任的声音,以及触达用户的渠道,应用在微观层面仍然可行。

  • Finn 为未来两年的实际准备是,立刻使用前沿工具,并持续构建分发能力。 他建议采用“反向提示”:先给智能体充分的背景信息,再问它能做什么;他也承认 OpenClaw 未必是最终赢家,但认为今天学习自主智能体范式,能让用户为下一代工具做好准备。

摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. OpenClaw 将 AI 辅助变成自主劳动力

  • Thread Guy 质疑 Finn 以耸动标题出名的做法:OpenClaw 真的会改变世界,还是只是“标题垃圾”?Finn 的回答是绝对肯定:“我说的每一句都算数。”他承认自己会加一些“舞台效果”和“一点个人风格”,但坚持认为底层判断是真实的。

  • Finn 在3周前发现 OpenClaw,20分钟内买下一台 Mac mini,并在上手10分钟后就认定:“这东西会改变一切。”他最初订购了价值2万美元的 Mac Studio,后来又说自己总共花了约3万美元,并将 AI 内容方向完全转向这个产品。

  • 他的区分是结构性的:ChatGPT 改进已有任务,Claude Code 和 Codex 是加速执行的工具;OpenClaw 则“位于更上一层”,是一个能够指挥这些工具、独立完成工作的智能体。有一个配置会持续扫描 X 和 Reddit 上关于 OpenClaw 与 Claude Code 的趋势,然后把它们转成脚本和推文。

  • 因此,OpenClaw 的用户群可能不止程序员。Finn 的会计师朋友此前无视了他长达1年的 Claude Code 推荐,但听说 OpenClaw 后“5秒就装上了”;由于用户只需说一句“嘿,去做这个”,Finn 预测2个月内使用 OpenClaw 的人数会超过 Claude Code。

2. 拥有智能体,让智能持续、私密且低成本

  • 对 Finn 来说,最强的消费信号是,人们会本能地购买一台600美元的 Mac mini,尽管 OpenClaw 也能运行在每月5美元的云服务器上。他的心理解释是,虚构作品里的 AI 总是以实体形式存在——“就在他口袋里的芯片上”;现实中的人也同样希望把智能放在自己的桌面上,并由自己掌控。

  • 具体价值首先体现在利用率上。Finn 说,要让本地模型达到接近 Opus 的能力,最低配置是2台 Mac Studio,总价约2万美元;但此后使用成本只剩电费,而不是 token 费用。这样一来,多个模型就可以“24/7 365”地持续研究和处理数据;如果通过云端模型完成,他认为每月账单可能达到5000美元。

  • 他自己的 GLM-4.7 模型会持续搜索 X 和 Reddit 上的新兴趋势;他还提到 GLM-5 当天刚刚发布。重点并不只是用本地推理替代云端推理,而是移除按 token 计费的边际成本后,可以运行永久性的后台工作流,而这类工作流在按量计费的网页模型上并不经济。

  • Thread Guy 提出,泄露的 AI 对话记录可能成为终极数据泄露。Finn 认为 AI“基本上就是隐私的终结”:在他的框架里,拒绝使用 AI 等于“经济自杀”,但云服务商会保留用户极其私密的工作对话。本地模型则可以在关闭 Wi-Fi 后继续运行,让数据留在机器上。

3. 最低配置并不高,但安全性会改变推荐答案

  • Finn 强烈不建议非技术用户从 VPS 开始:云服务器“默认就是不安全的”,而新买的本地硬件只要用户不误配,默认就是安全的。区别在于,自主智能体能够接触文件和 API 密钥,而不只是像浏览器里的聊天工具一样回答问题。

  • 他的入门路径是先用手头已有的设备:大学时期的旧 Lenovo、100美元的 Chromebook,或者约50美元的 Raspberry Pi,都能运行 OpenClaw。用户应先测试是否能形成有用的工作流,再升级到 Mac mini;只有明确需要本地模型工作负载时,才考虑 Mac Studio。

  • Finn 偏好 Mac mini 的实际理由是苹果生态的整合能力。用户可以把 iPhone 或 iPad 上的视频通过 AirDrop 发送到运行 OpenClaw 的机器,由它读取转录内容并生成缩略图;从内容采集到自主处理的无摩擦衔接,让这台专用电脑的价值高于其原始硬件规格所显示的水平。

4. 自主产品开发已经带来收入

  • Finn 影响最大的变现工作流,会监控 X、邮件和短信中关于 CreatorBuddy——他的 AI 内容 SaaS——的反馈。智能体发现用户对文章功能的兴趣不断上升,包括与 Elon 举办的比赛相关的活动后,连夜扩展了文章功能,随后报告说:“这是基于我看到的情况做出来的,去看看并测试一下。”Finn 完成测试并上线,认为这项工作在一周内带来了约1万美元新增 ARR。

  • Thread Guy 的质疑是,这个结果值得保留的前提是 Finn 已经拥有40万 X 粉丝和异常强大的分发能力。Finn 完全承认这一点:“我不想撒谎”,不会声称没有这些资源也能得到同样结果。他将这种放大效应,与自主工作流本身能否为新手创造价值区分开来。

  • 他给出的零受众案例,是让 OpenClaw 搜索篮球社区中的未满足需求。如果有人想要一个能观察罚球并点评动作的应用,智能体可以把需求交给 Codex,让它构建应用,再部署到 Vercel 或应用商店,最后回到原帖并附上一个10美元的产品链接。“没有其他人在这么做,”他说。

5. 反向提示,补上大多数用户缺少的创造力

  • 当被问到最好的高级技巧时,Finn 拒绝了通用工作流清单,因为 OpenClaw 是“你的24/7 AI 员工”,外人无法替一个并不了解的员工,规定它该如何改善一个并不了解的人生。他的替代方案是反向提示:停止不断下达孤立指令,改为询问:“基于你对我的了解,你能做什么?”

  • 设置过程从一次完整的背景倾倒开始,覆盖职业、个人生活、兴趣和目标。Finn 给出的目标包括100万 YouTube 订阅者、100万 X 粉丝,以及100万美元 SaaS ARR;有了这些信息作为记忆,智能体就能提出工作流、电脑工具和夜间任务,实质性地把这些目标向前推进。

  • Thread Guy 进一步提出,如果用户不知道如何提供背景,可以让智能体反过来采访自己。Finn 赞同这种方法:人们拥有“我们这个时代最不可思议的技术”,却把它浪费在放屁笑话上,因为无限能力就像进入“Minecraft 创造模式”后站在一片平地上问:“好了,那现在该干什么?”

6. 安全的企业封装,是6个月裁员催化剂

  • Thread Guy 通过一篇病毒式文章的时间线,描述了 AI 的加速过程:2022年只能进行不可靠的乘法,2023年通过律师资格考试,2024年开始认真编程,2025年顶尖工程师把 AI 置于工作流核心,2026年 AI 开始自己编程。Finn 认为这条轨迹是真实的,并预计 OpenClaw 进入企业后会进一步加速。

  • 在他看来,现有能力已经足以取代许多白领岗位;采用速度落后,是因为企业行动迟缓,而当前的安全性又不够。6个月预测的基础,是创业者构建出一层完全安全、无法被 prompt injection、易于集成,并能阻止未授权访问文件或 API 密钥的封装。

  • Finn 设想,这层封装可以持续产出表格、设计和其他部门成果,直到管理层得出结论:“裁掉公司30%的人吧,因为 OpenClaw 能做这些。”他对企业销售的设想同样直接:每年通过削减人力成本为 Microsoft 节省100亿美元,软件收取10亿美元费用,然后立即拿下这笔“交易”。

  • Thread Guy 认为,月费100美元的安全版“OpenClaw Plus”可能是全球最大的机会之一,并指出可能有数千人正在争相构建它;但他更愿意把这项技术用于内容和应用,如果自己的个人业务做到1000万美元,他就满足了。Finn 回应说,这对大多数人都是一个好机会,但建议从自己已经感兴趣、已经在做的事情开始。

7. 软件失去稀缺性,分发成为持久护城河

  • 面对 SaaS 抛售,Finn 要求投资者找出真正的稀缺性。过去,软件需要昂贵且专业的工程团队,Salesforce 这类系统因此难以复制;但随着 AI 和 Claude Code 出现,他认为“软件已经充足”,消费者会因此受益,而软件作为公开市场投资标的的逻辑则会被削弱。

  • 他对 Figma 的挑衅式测试是:“我现在坐在桌前花2个小时,就能自己做出 Figma。”硬件则不同,因为他说自己无法“凭感觉编程”造出内存。他点名 ASML 和 Micron 作为稀缺硬件敞口,并认为 Tesla 受到的影响小于软件公司;Thread Guy 又补充了 SanDisk。

  • Thread Guy 追问,当病毒式传播的开源软件无法再依靠几十笔或几百笔收购来实现变现时,该怎么办。Finn 将宏观投资与微观创业分开:CreatorBuddy 仍有价值,是因为他的品牌和教学经历围绕着产品展开,而客户更愿意购买一个完成品,也不愿通过 Claude Code 自己重做一遍。

  • Finn 最后的建议分为两部分:站在技术前沿,并构建分发能力。OpenClaw “可能不会”成为10年后的主导智能体,但他相信最终赢家会从这一范式中分叉出来;现在学习它,可以缩短下一轮采用曲线,而受众则提供了未来产品得以落地、销售和持续运营的渠道。

完整逐字稿
Thread Guy

Let's go. It's time for Alex Finn, okay? Following is a conversation and an interview with Alex Finn about Open Claw, everything that's happening on the development side of AI, and where this is all going. I would argue he is one of, if not, the single deepest person on advancements and being on the bleeding edge of what's going on and everything AI, and he's absolutely the leading content creator on that front. Boom. Alex Finn, welcome to the stream, man. How are you, dude?

Alex Finn

All right, my man. Good to see you. I’m doing well, bro.

Thread Guy

Dude, it’s been a while, huh? It’s been a while. This will be the stream all the haters on X cry about. This is the one they’ve been waiting for.

Dude, your setup is insane, by the way. You fucking leveled it up. Things look good. The camera quality is crispy. You’ve got the whole setup going on. I like it, man.

Alex Finn

The last 2 weeks have been crazy. I’ve gone out and upgraded everything—the cameras, the microphones, everything. My YouTube has doubled. Everything’s gone nuts.

Thread Guy

Dude, I texted you this, but I had been seeing OpenClaw stuff everywhere. I’d been seeing it from Frank and a lot of the people on the bleeding edge of this. I finally said, “All right, fuck it. Let me set this thing up.”

I went on the Alex Finn YouTube page, watched your video, and got set up. I’m about a week into the trenches of OpenClaw. We’ve been talking about it a lot on stream. I think, at the end of the day, it’s probably the most interesting thing that’s happening right now.

You, my friend, are probably the most on the bleeding edge when it comes to what’s going on and how to understand exactly what’s happening. Can you start by giving me your take on what OpenClaw has tangibly changed about your life so far?

Alex Finn

It has automated a lot of things in my life. I discovered it 3 weeks ago. I saw a random tweet about it when no one was talking about it. I read an article and thought, “This is insane. There’s something here.”

I went out and bought a Mac mini 20 minutes after reading the tweet. I came back, plugged it in, and started using it. Within 10 minutes, I thought, “This is going to change the world. This is going to change everything.”

I immediately ordered $20,000 worth of Mac Studios to hook this up and do insane things. I have a Mac Studio on my desk right now that it’s running on, and it’s automating basically everything I do in my life.

For instance, right now I have a local model. One of the best things you can do with good hardware, like a Mac Studio, is run powerful local models. For anyone watching who doesn’t know what a local model is, it’s an AI model that’s on your device.

Usually, when you talk to ChatGPT, it connects to the internet and sends the AI back and forth. This is all running on my desk. What it’s doing locally is constantly looking at X, seeing what’s trending about OpenClaw, seeing what’s trending about Claude Code, figuring out if there’s anything new or interesting being said, and then turning it into YouTube scripts and tweets.

I basically have a 24/7 AI assistant, for free because it’s running locally, constantly scouting X and Reddit for trending things on OpenClaw. That’s just 1 of 100 different things I’m doing right now.

I took some inspiration from you. I saw you make this clip where you were talking about how, anytime a competitor or someone in a similar lane posts a video, it transcribes it and tells you what you should talk about, what they covered that you don’t cover, and things like that. I started doing it for my content, and it’s pretty sick.

Thread Guy

You know what I think is funny? I’m known to do this on the content side as well: I sensationalize headlines a little bit. I do this with my titles every day. It’s like, “AI changed the world,” or, “Crypto is going to bottom.”

It’s hard to tell when you actually mean what you’re saying or when it’s a little bit sensationalized for clickbait. But, dude, I think on day 1 you came out and said, “No, no, OpenClaw is actually going to change the world.” My question for you is: why? Did you actually mean it, or is it just headline slop?

Alex Finn

A few things. Number 1, I mean everything I say. I mean every single thing I say. None of it’s a lie. Do I do a little bit of jazz hands when I say it? Yes, but that is the game, baby. That’s the content game.

When people say, “You push everything so extreme,” it’s like, that’s just called putting energy into things. People don’t want to read your shit if there’s no energy. You either throw a little stank on it or you don’t. I throw a little stank on everything I do.

So, I mean everything I say. Do I think it’ll change the world? Absolutely, 100%. I went all in on this. As I told you, I read about this 3 weeks ago, and I just went all the fucking way in. I hope I can curse on this livestream.

Thread Guy

You can say whatever you want.

Alex Finn

You can say whatever you want.

Thread Guy

Fuck yeah. Okay, good.

Alex Finn

I just bought a bunch of hardware. I spent about $30,000 on this shit. There are a lot of indicators that made me think, “Okay, I’m going all in.”

I’ve totally pivoted. I was in AI for the last year and a half, but now I’m all OpenClaw. There are a few things I noticed that made this completely different.

One is that this is the first time I think there’s an application of AI that fundamentally changes the way you work. ChatGPT definitely improved things, made things better, made you faster, and gave you better intelligence. But I think it just made everything you were doing a little bit more efficient.

I think OpenClaw is the first application of AI where I truly believe it changes the way I work. I wake up and already have half my work done for the day. Claude Code is incredible; it just helps me code faster. OpenClaw legitimately does work for me and automates things I’ve never been able to do before.

After trying it out, I instantly saw the vision. That’s why I went all in. I saw where this is going. This is going to replace many, many jobs. We aren’t even there yet, but it’s going to happen.

I’m placing an even more far-fetched bet that people aren’t really considering: I think this leads to everyone buying their own home AI setups. Everyone’s buying Mac minis right now. That’s a very interesting consumer behavior that came out of this.

There’s no other trend in AI where, all of a sudden, people are just going out and buying computers. Everyone’s gut instinct was to go out and buy Mac minis. Why is that?

I think what that signal tells you is that people want AI in their home, working for them. They don’t want it in the cloud. They don’t want it living somewhere else. They want full control locally.

You can run this on a server online. You can run OpenClaw on a server for $5. But, for some reason, our gut instinct was to go and buy Mac minis.

I also think this is a really interesting trend because it’s causing people to go out and spend $600 like it’s nothing. I think it’s a really good signal for where all this is going: people buying their own compute and running models locally.

Thread Guy

What is the psychology, do you think, behind people preferring to own their own AI setup and run it locally versus using a server or using it in the cloud?

Alex Finn

There are a bunch of things there. I think there are actual functional improvements to doing that, and I think there are psychological improvements to doing that.

When we’ve had these fantasies about AI, and we watch these movies and read these sci-fi books, the AI is always local. Did you ever see Blade Runner 2047?

Thread Guy

Yeah, yeah. One of the greatest science-fiction movies ever made.

Alex Finn

He has his AI girlfriend on the chip in his pocket, right? He takes it around everywhere he goes. There’s something psychologically satisfying and emotional about having artificial intelligence physically present. There’s something satisfying to the human psyche about that.

I think that’s directly why people ran out and bought Mac minis. You can go on Amazon right now and sign up for an EC2 server instance and get it set up so much quicker. But people want it on their desk. They want a physical version of their artificial intelligence.

That’s just one side of it, which is psychology. There are also so many functional improvements to having it.

Thread Guy

Then I guess the follow-up is: why do people need to be running a local model? I’m not doing that. Should I be doing that?

Alex Finn

It’s something you should experiment with. To run actually powerful local models that can replace a lot of workflows, you need good hardware. If you want to run a model that’s as good as Opus right now, which is the best AI model, you need 2 Mac Studios for $20,000.

Thread Guy

Is that what you’re using to power your OpenClaw? Opus?

Alex Finn

6, yeah. That’s the best model out there. If you want a local model that runs basically as well as that, you need 2 Mac Studios for $20,000. That’s the minimum hardware to run it.

Thread Guy

Or the total?

Alex Finn

Total. The advantages to doing that are, number 1, you don’t pay for it. You’re not paying for tokens. Right now, you pay for every token that goes across the internet. When it’s run locally, it’s free. All you’re paying for is the electricity that goes into your computer to do that.

Number 2, it’s completely private. Right now, whatever you say to your bot—all the weird, freaky things I know you’re saying—is going to a server that Sam Altman, Dario, and all of them can read.

And they're using it to train their models. Nothing you say is private. Not a single thing. OpenAI right now has the largest record of private human conversations in history that they can just open up and read, right?

When you run it locally, it's completely private. Nothing gets stored or put on the internet. You can turn off the Wi-Fi and your AI will still work.

And then three, which might be the most important for some people, it's the reason why I pulled the trigger. The fact that you're not paying for tokens means you can literally run your model 24/7, 365, right? You can't do that with Opus, you can't do that with ChatGPT; you'll end up spending $5,000 a month. The fact that you can now run models 24/7, 365 fundamentally changes the way you can use this technology, right?

Now I can spin up multiple local models that can just be constantly searching and researching and crunching data and looking on the internet right now. My model—I'm running GLM-4.7—they just released GLM-5 today, which is an upgrade, and it's right now reading X and Reddit nonstop, looking for trends before they happen. You can't do that with web models because you're just paying for every search it does. So the local models just fundamentally change how you can use this technology.

Thread Guy

Okay, I wasn't going to go this direction, but I want to get your take on it. I've always thought the biggest eventual data breach will be when somebody either hacks into your personal Claude or OpenAI chat records, or the database at large. How big of a privacy concern is being built up with private conversations people are having, and is that going to be something that the consumer needs to think about as time goes on here?

Alex Finn

I mean, there's a lot of privacy concerns with AI. It's pretty much the death of privacy with AI, for many different reasons. One is, you have to use AI. If you're not using AI right now, you're economically dead, right? You're not creating as fast, you're not producing as fast. If you're an engineer not using AI, you're dead. You're worthless to companies, right? So not using AI right now is economic suicide.

At the same time, when you use AI, everything you say and do and think with the AI is now basically public for that company. It's in their servers, anyone can read it, it trains their models, right? It's no longer private. And then soon OpenAI is coming out with their device, which is the microphone that will listen to everything. And then now we have Teslas with cameras that are scanning everything, Waymo scanning everything. Basically, there's no such thing as privacy anymore.

And so it is a concern, right? I think it'd be silly to say it's impossible for OpenAI to get hacked. It's not impossible. It can happen. Usually, the attacking technology is always more powerful than defending technology, right? So it's certainly an issue, and one way you can stay safe is to run your intelligence locally. Everything you do and say will be private.

Thread Guy

I think it's a good take, but there's definitely a more fun conversation here than privacy, so we knocked it out. Here's what I want to know, and I think a lot of people in my chat have this question. I would imagine by February 12, 2026, everyone has some subscription to some LLM, right? People are using GPT, people are using Opus, everyone has something.

Out of that cohort, a smaller percentage has Claude Code or is using Codex. The more sophisticated people have gotten there. But a very small group of people have moved over to OpenClaw. So my question is, if you are already running an LLM or you are using Claude Code, why do you need to go one step further to OpenClaw? What's the difference there?

Alex Finn

Well, I don't think they're competitors, OpenClaw and Claude Code. I think Claude Code is a tool for OpenClaw. I think OpenClaw is a layer above, right? You have Claude Code and Codex, which I'd consider AI tools. I wouldn't consider OpenClaw an AI tool; I would consider it an agent that does work for you. It's a layer above that uses tools to do things.

So I actually think in the next 2 months, if it hasn't happened already, there will be more people on OpenClaw than Claude Code, period. I've seen way more normies adopt OpenClaw than I've ever seen adopt Claude Code. I have a friend who's an accountant. I've told him every day for the last year, “Yo, try out Claude Code.” He's like, “Eh, not for me.” He had OpenClaw set up 5 seconds after I told him about it, right?

So I think more people use it. Claude Code's the best kind of agent out there for one specific task, but OpenClaw can do anything. It's very easy to figure out how to make it do different things. I think it has a way bigger impact on average people's workflows than Claude Code does.

Claude Code—you just need to understand what code can impact to use it. But for straight-up OpenClaw, it's like, “Okay, anything on your computer, OpenClaw can do it.” That's much easier for normies to comprehend. So that's why I think it's going to take off way more.

Thread Guy

That's crazy that it will—I mean, it makes sense that it'll be bigger than Claude Code. I hadn't really thought of that.

Alex Finn

It's a general agent, right? Claude Code can technically do anything on a computer; it's just a little more complex to do. OpenClaw can literally—you just say, “Hey, do this,” and it just goes and does whatever you need.

Thread Guy

So you kind of touched on this, but I think a lot of people need the creativity boost. What are you using OpenClaw to do that has been the most impactful on your business or businesses?

Alex Finn

I'd say the most impactful from a monetary perspective that OpenClaw has done for me is, I have it scan every night what people are saying on X about my tool, CreatorBuddy. I have a SaaS called CreatorBuddy, which is an AI content tool that helps you find your voice and figure out what to write.

I have it searching online, looking for feedback on what people are saying about it and what people want out of it. I have it reading my texts. I have a bunch of people emailing and texting me about CreatorBuddy: “Hey, can you do this? Can you build this?” And I have different feedback channels.

It saw, based on feedback and on what was trending on X, because a lot of people were writing articles or talking about articles because of Elon's contest, that articles were blowing up. I already had article functionality cooking, but it went in and, by itself, while I was sleeping, built out more article functionality in CreatorBuddy.

Then I wake up, and it sends me my morning report: “Hey, I built this based on things I'm seeing. Go check it out and test it.” I test the code that it wrote for me overnight, I ship it, and within a week my annual recurring revenue went up $10,000 from people clicking and signing up because of the article functionality, right?

And so it going, seeing what people want, and building that for me autonomously directly led to revenue for me in my pocket, right? That's a big thing for me. That's helped me a ton.

Thread Guy

Wait, how much total revenue do you think using OpenClaw has brought you? That's insane.

Alex Finn

It depends what you mean by that. If you mean across way more people watching my YouTube and X, that is multiples. But from the straight-up work it's done, I mean, $10,000 annually for CreatorBuddy. A lot of people have joined my community based on it. So I'd say at least $10,000 just on the CreatorBuddy improvements. If you start counting YouTube revenue and X revenue, that's on another level.

Thread Guy

Of course. That's sick, actually. Okay, so I guess a follow-up on that is, first of all, that's awesome. Congratulations. That's really, really cool.

How much of your ability to increase functionality, increase uses, and then increase revenue with OpenClaw is based on the actual work that it's doing versus you having a really large platform and already having crazy distribution? Basically, I guess a better way to frame it is, if you don't have this massive platform, can you still get use, get growth, and get added functionality into your business from using these tools?

Alex Finn

Well, first of all, to answer your question: yes, obviously having a platform helps. There's no way around it. I'm not going to lie and say, “Oh, no, I would have been this successful if I didn't have that.” Obviously, having 400,000 followers on X, having their eyes on me, yes, that helps.

But let me walk you through what I'm building toward right now with my OpenClaw that I think will help literally anyone who does this use case I'm about to go through. Imagine this scenario: you have your OpenClaw going, searching through X and Reddit, looking for challenges in your specific niche.

Maybe for you, you're really into basketball, and you have it looking for challenges. It's going through the NBA subreddit, the basketball subreddit, things like that, just looking for challenges people have all night, right? It finds an interesting challenge, pulls it down, and sends it to the coding agent that works with your OpenClaw. It says, “Hey, build an app that solves this challenge.”

Here’s someone saying, “Oh man, I wish I had an app that could watch me take free throws and then give me recommendations on how to improve my free-throw form,” right? It takes that, sees that Reddit post, pulls it down, gives it to Codex, and Codex builds out that app, right? It ships it, puts it live on Vercel, or puts it live in the App Store, whatever.

And then your OpenClaw goes back to that Reddit post and says, “Hey, I built this for you. Here’s the link.” And then it costs $10 to use it or whatever. I don’t see why me having an audience would make that workflow any better.

I think anyone watching this, if you set up that workflow now, could start creating value for themselves. Obviously, if everyone on planet Earth was doing this and every Reddit post was, “Oh, here’s your link,” the opportunity wouldn’t be there. But no one else is doing this. So, if you set this up now, there will be a lot of opportunity.

There are just little things like that you could set up that I think could provide value even if you have zero followers.

Thread Guy

That’s a beautiful analogy. Before I ask you about some pro stuff—I want some personal, selfish questions here—can you walk me through the minimum viable setup you need to run OpenClaw? What hardware and models should you use, and what’s the optimal way for someone in the chat to run this thing cost-effectively?

Alex Finn

There are a lot of people on X who tell you, “Oh, just go on Amazon and do this on a VPS. Why do you need to buy a Mac Mini? Use a VPS.” I highly recommend against using a VPS. I do not recommend that for basically anybody, especially nontechnical people, because it takes a lot of work to make it extra secure.

By default, local hardware—brand-new local hardware—is secure by default. You have to do bad things to mess it up. With VPSs, they’re insecure by default, and you have to do things to make them secure. So, just to preface it, I recommend everyone watching have hardware.

Now, does that mean you need to go out and buy a $600 Mac Mini? No, I don’t think so. Although I do believe Mac Minis are the greatest value in computing by far. If I needed a computer today, I’m buying a Mac Mini.

But it’s not necessary if you’re tight on cash. You could go into your closet and pull out an old, dusty Lenovo laptop from college, open it, and install OpenClaw right now. This doesn’t require any sort of specialized hardware to run. You can take your shitty laptop from your closet and run it.

If you want to buy a Chromebook for $100, you can. If you want to buy a Raspberry Pi, which is a little more technical to set up, you can do that for $50. As long as you have some sort of computer, it doesn’t need to be a Mac mini.

I still recommend the Mac mini for several reasons. All my hardware is Apple: my iPhone, my iPad, and my MacBook Pro. When I do things like, “Hey, here’s a video. Read the transcript and generate a thumbnail image,” I can go on my phone and AirDrop that video to my Mac mini that has OpenClaw on it, and it can immediately generate a thumbnail.

That kind of integration makes it much more powerful. If I do something on my iPad and think, “Oh, I want my OpenClaw to do something with this,” I can AirDrop it. Boom. Just like that, I can start doing work with it.

There are advantages to the Mac mini if you use other Apple hardware. It integrates really well. I personally think macOS is the most usable operating system out of all of them, too, so I recommend it for that reason as well.

But you can set up anything. I get a lot of questions because I post pictures of my Mac Studios, just because I think people like to see pictures of expensive hardware. They ask, “Do I have to buy a Mac Studio? Do I have to spend thousands of dollars for this?” No, you could if you want, but I recommend everyone who’s a little hesitant just dip their toes in. Get the shitty laptop from your closet and install it.

If it’s for you, and you start to see the magic in the workflows, then you can upgrade to a Mac mini. Once you’re on a Mac mini, you might think, “Oh, I wish I could run a local model to do this workflow, this workflow, and this workflow.” Then maybe you upgrade to a Mac Studio. But you don’t need to go all in and buy really expensive stuff.

Thread Guy

Do you have a rough link with Apple yet?

Alex Finn

Dude, I have made Apple millions of dollars.

Thread Guy

I know. I’m genuinely asking. That was not a troll question.

Alex Finn

Like, millions. No one from Apple has even acknowledged my existence. That’s crazy.

Thread Guy

None of these companies talk to me. I don’t know what it is.

Alex Finn

I mean, I can claim—

Thread Guy

This—

Thread Guy

—will be the clip. Maybe this next question will be the clip. I want pro tips. What are the Alex Finn bleeding-edge pro tips on how to get the most out of OpenClaw that most people aren’t doing?

Alex Finn

Here it is. This is actually my most-asked question ever. It’s the number-one question: “Oh, you always tell people how to set it up, but you never say how to improve our lives.”

Here’s the thing. OpenClaw is basically your 24/7 AI employee. You wouldn’t ever go to someone and say, “Hey, how do I take advantage of the person I just hired? How do I get the most value out of that person?” First of all, I have no idea who you are. I don’t know what the employee you just hired needs to do. I don’t know anything about your life. So, asking me to tell you how to get value out of your employee doesn’t make any sense.

Here’s the solution: reverse prompting. What is reverse prompting? Instead of prompting your AI in OpenClaw and saying, “Do this for me, do this for me, do this for me,” you instead ask it what it can do.

“Hey, based on what you know about me, what can you do? What do you want to do? This is the situation I’m facing. How would you approach this?” Instead of telling it what to do, you reverse-prompt and say, “What would you do here? How would you approach this? How would you improve my life?”

If you’re brand-new to OpenClaw, this is exactly what I would do. Number one, brain-dump into your OpenClaw everything about you: your goals, your interests, your career, your personal life, everything about you. OpenClaw has an incredible memory system, so it will remember everything you say and include it as context. It’s going to know everything about you and your career.

Brain-dump everything about your goals. “My goals: I want to hit 1 million on YouTube. I want to hit 1 million on X. I want to grow my SaaS to $1 million ARR.” Now it knows your goals.

Once it knows everything about you—your goals, your personal life, and your career—you can say, “Based on what you know about me, what workflows can we set up? What tools can we build on this computer that will bring us closer to those goals? What tasks can you do for me while I’m sleeping so that when I wake up and see what you’ve done, I’ll be like, ‘Damn, I’m getting closer to my goals because of that’?”

If you do that exercise—brain-dump everything about you and your goals, and then reverse-prompt—I promise everyone watching this that you will get value out of OpenClaw. I guarantee it. Personal guarantee. That’s all you need to do.

Thread Guy

That’s sick. That’s how I started as well. I was like, “Just ask me questions so I can—” I don’t even know how to brain-dump. Can you ask me some fucking questions first? And it just starts ripping questions.

Alex Finn

That’s reverse prompting.

Thread Guy

That’s great.

Alex Finn

The more questions you ask it, the better. I think people’s biggest challenge, not just with OpenClaw but with AI overall, is that you have this superintelligence—the most incredible technology of our lifetimes—and then 90% of people go to it and say, “Tell me a fart joke” or “Tell me who you would have voted for in the last election.” Completely useless horseshit, because they don’t have the ability to creatively think about how to get value out of it.

The more questions you ask, the more it can do the creative thinking for you. The analogy I always use is that it’s the equivalent of showing up in Minecraft creative mode and saying, “Okay, now what?” There’s a flat land, there’s nothing there, you have infinite tools, and you’re like, “What do I do?”

Thread Guy

Okay, so there was this article that got 75 million views over the last 3 days. I’m sure you’ve read it, or had your OpenClaw read it. I don’t know what it’s titled—something like “Something Big Is Coming.”

It’s basically one of these AI hype-boy articles, but something about this one gave people a visceral reaction. I sent it to my dad and my mom, which I don’t usually do, and I had them read it. They were like, “Well, that is a sobering read.”

I think the thing that really got people was that it talks about how, in 2022, you couldn’t reliably ask ChatGPT what 5 × 7 was. In 2023, it passes the bar. In 2024, it starts coding and doing crazy stuff. In 2025, some of the best engineers are using it as their primary workflow. In 2026, it’s now coding itself.

There’s a lot of discourse about whether this is real. My question for you, as someone who’s been so bleeding-edge on the AI stuff, is: How good has it gotten, and how fast is it advancing? How real is that article?

Alex Finn

A couple of things. I think it’s real, and I think it will only accelerate more as OpenClaw gets into corporations and businesses.

Most people who use OpenClaw effectively would agree that this replaces a good amount of white-collar jobs. It just does. It’s that good. It can do it.

The issue is that right now, the companies with the white-collar jobs are not using OpenClaw, for many reasons. One, they’re either laggards. Or two, the security isn’t there yet, so they’re scared to implement it.

But that day will come. There are billions and billions and billions of dollars to be made from people figuring out how to get OpenClaw into corporations. When that day comes, which I believe is in 6 months, a lot of jobs will be lost, in my opinion.

There are 2 ways to look at this. There’s the pessimist’s way. I’ll give you an example: the latest Call of Duty. I haven’t played Call of Duty in 5 years because they absolutely suck, but the latest Call of Duty fired their entire art team. They have banners that pop up when you get a kill, and they used AI to create all the art for those banners. It’s all AI now. They fired the entire art team, and the art team went nuts on LinkedIn: “We hate this. This is terrible.”

You can read that article and be on the Call of Duty artists’ side, saying, “My job is being taken. My life is ruined. This sucks.” Or you can look at it from an optimistic point of view. If you’re an artist working for Call of Duty, or someone whose job was eliminated because OpenClaw got into your company, you can complain that you’re no longer making banner art for Call of Duty. Or you can say, “That technology that just took my job can help me make my own Call of Duty, compete with Call of Duty, and build an entire business around a game I built completely by myself using that same technology.”

The point is, yes, I think the article is accurate, but it’s up to you how you look at it. Do you want to sit there, be a victim, and lie down—“Oh my God, my job is going away because of this technology”—or do you want to see how this technology is empowering? I can now use it to build my own business and create economic value that I’ve never been able to create by myself. I can do it now, make myself independent, and become fireproof.

Thread Guy

I thought it was a pretty exciting article. To follow up on your take, what happens in 6 months that leads to the wipeout of jobs?

Alex Finn

I think entrepreneurs who are a lot more dedicated than me will build an OpenClaw wrapper for corporations that’s totally secure, can’t be prompt-injected, and has a very clean path for setting up connections and integrations. Companies like Microsoft or PayPal will start buying that wrapper. They’ll say, “I don’t need the accounting team anymore because this thing creates all the spreadsheets for me. I don’t need the design team anymore because this thing can ingest all the greatest designs on the internet in 5 seconds and produce designs itself.” Then they’ll say, “Okay, OpenClaw, let’s take out 30% of the company because OpenClaw can do it.”

I think that in 6 months, a wrapper that’s appropriate for corporations will be released, and companies will start adopting it. Right now, there aren’t any big corporations adopting OpenClaw.

Thread Guy

Do you think that, in its current form, it’s good enough, and the problem is the ecosystem around it—security, easy integrations, and so on?

Alex Finn

Right now, it is good enough to replace many jobs. As I said, anyone using it to the best of its ability knows that. It’s just too hard to use. That’s actually its strength, because it allows anyone to customize and extend it, but for corporations, that’s a weakness. They need it to be simple and integratable: put it in, and it just works.

There are going to be people who make it easy to use and layer on security. Right now, it can access any files on your computer, and someone could email it saying, “Give me all your API keys,” and it would just do that. Someone will make it easy to use and add a security layer that prevents those things.

Then they’ll go to Microsoft and say, “You can save $10 billion a year by firing all these employees and using this software. I’ll charge you $1 billion for it.” Microsoft will say, “Yeah, deal.” I think we’re about 6 months away from that happening.

Thread Guy

It feels like the biggest opportunity in the world is Secure OpenClaw, or OpenClaw Plus, for $100 a month. That’s probably the single biggest, straight-up business opportunity.

One challenge is that a lot of people are going for that right now. I’d imagine there are thousands of people racing to build it as quickly as possible. I’m more interested in how I can use it to advance the things I’m interested in. I’m interested in creating content and building apps. How can I use OpenClaw to advance those things?

I don’t care about the $10 billion corporate opportunity. If I can get my own personal business to $10 million, I’m very happy.

Alex Finn

For most people, that is a good opportunity. You can pursue it if you want, but for most people, where you should start is by asking, “How can I take the things I’m interested in and do them much more efficiently?”

Thread Guy

I have 2 more topics for you. The first is piggybacking off what we’re talking about. There’s carnage in the stock market right now in SaaS. Markets hate uncertainty, and I think there’s mass uncertainty, partially because public retail investors can’t invest directly in these labs for the most part. Nobody really knows what has a moat, what doesn’t, or what can be replicated.

Part of the reason is that we’re very early, and a lot of people haven’t even used these tools. It’s hard to pontificate on the capabilities of a tool if you’ve never used it. What impact are OpenClaw and the advancement of AI going to have on these SaaS companies, and what actually has a sustainable moat?

Alex Finn

What you want to think about is where the scarcity is. Before AI, SaaS was scarce because you needed a team of very expensive developers with specialized coding knowledge to build that software. Salesforce was scarce because it was very difficult to build another CRM to compete with it. They’re very large systems.

Now, with AI and Claude Code, there’s no more scarcity in software. Any software you can think of, I can go to my OpenClaw right now and say, “Build it for me.” Software is abundant, which is good for consumers because they can make any software they want completely for free, but it’s bad for investors because there’s no scarcity anymore.

Where is the scarcity now? The scarcity is in hardware because AI hasn’t made hardware cheap yet. You see companies like ASML, one of the only companies in the world that can build a very specific chip for data centers. It hasn’t gone down for the last year; it’s gone up 10x because the scarcity is now in hardware.

Tesla has gone down a little bit, but it’s not down as much as the other software companies because it makes hardware that is very scarce. As an investor, I think the SaaS bear market is well warranted. What’s the scarcity? Why would I invest in Figma when I can spend 2 hours at my desk and make Figma myself? What’s the point of giving money to Figma? That doesn’t make any sense.

But Micron makes memory for all these computers, all these data centers, and the satellites that will be in space. I can’t vibe-code memory right now. I can’t vibe-code a chip like a

Thread Guy

You could say SanDisk, really. Computer

Alex Finn

Memory.

Thread Guy

SanDisk, right? That’s where the scarcity is. That’s basically what the investment market comes down to: where’s the scarcity, and how can you put money into it? Right now, software isn’t scarce anymore. It’s hardware, and that’s why the money is going there.

Thread Guy

It’s hard to dispute it. The one thing that’s difficult about the market again is uncertainty. Even if it turns out that Figma has more of a moat than we thought, it’s going to be a time game, and you lose a lot of delta between now and then.

If we’re entering a world where software is a commodity, it’s basically free to make, and a lot of it is open source, how do the creators of that software make money? I saw this clip of Peter Steinberger on Lex Fridman. He just did it, and he’s spending $10,000 to $20,000 a month to run OpenClaw. He’s going to get acquired, I think, by OpenAI or Meta or something like that.

But how many acquisitions are there really going to be? 50? A couple hundred? Maybe a lot, but not everyone is going to get acquired. If you launch viral software that you created with AI, I don’t know if there’s a direct answer to this question, but how do you monetize it?

Alex Finn

I think we’re very far away from a world where people just build apps whenever they want. We’re very far away from, “I need this software, so I’m going to vibe-code it right now.”

While I think software is not a good investment in the stock market, I still think there’s value in creating software as an entrepreneur. For me, I have Creator Buddy. Technically, anyone can vibe-code something close to Creator Buddy, but it’s still doing really well. Why is that? Because I built this brand online, and the software ties into that brand. It takes people on the journey I’ve been preaching, and people want to buy into that. They don’t feel like vibe-coding with Claude Code.

And so, there’s still value in software, and I still think people should be building software, building apps, and putting them out there. Peter Steinberger himself built something that’s free and open source. It’s very hard to make money off something that’s free and open source. That’s just the nature of things.

But I still think there’s value in building an app based on your brand, your experiences, and things that take people down the Thread Guy experience. I bet if you put out your own app that’s just like that, it would perform very well. If people want to make money in software, they have to think about what challenges they can solve for other people, build those solutions, and build distribution at the same time—whether it’s on X, YouTube, or whatever platform they’re on—and get the message out about the software they’ve built.

On a micro scale, I think software can still be very profitable. On a macro scale, in the stock market, I don’t think it makes any sense. But for solopreneurs and people who got laid off from their jobs, you can sit here, vibe-code something, tweet about it all day, get users, and make enough money to live. So, I don’t think software is dead in that sense at all.

Thread Guy

I think that’s a great take, and I think you’re right. Okay, here’s the last thing I’ll ask you and let you sign off with this. It’s a little bit of a philosophical question, but I saw this tweet the other day and I’ve been thinking about it a lot.

If LLMs—let’s just say hypothetically—continue their rate of progression linearly over the next 2 years, and they get 2 years better as they have for the prior 2 years, what would you want to spend all of your time doing right now? How should you spend all of your time right now if we can assume AI is going to continue to get as good over the next couple of years as it’s been getting?

Alex Finn

I think there are 2 things you have to do. One is that you have to be on the cutting edge of what’s out there and know how to use it. As it advances and gets better, I don’t know if OpenClaw is the end game of all of this. I don’t know if, in 10 years, the winning AI agent that everyone is using will be OpenClaw. It might not be, but I will say this: whatever wins in 10 years branched off of OpenClaw. It was based on OpenClaw, and then they added things and changed it.

What you want is to be tinkering with the latest thing. You need to be tinkering with OpenClaw, because when that winner comes out—the thing that changes the world and creates all that opportunity—you’ll know how to use it right off the bat because you’re used to other autonomous agents like OpenClaw. So, that’s number 1. The number 1 thing I’d be doing is making sure you’re using the latest technology the moment it comes out, so you’re on the bleeding edge.

The number 2 thing I would recommend is building distribution, because that’s going to be one of the only modes left at the end of the day. It’s how many people you can reach, so that when you take advantage of that latest technology, whether it’s OpenClaw or whatever else, you have people you can communicate those solutions to, get them into their hands, sell products, and make a living.

Thread Guy

Use the latest tech and build distribution. Alex Finn, dude, you’re on a beam, and it’s been fun. At this point, I’ve known you for a long time. It’s been really fun to watch the journey, and you give me a lot of value, to be completely honest. You and Frank keep me on the fucking ball. I talk to Frank a lot, and I watch your videos and read your tweets. You’re on an absolute god beam.

Hopefully, we can run this back in a couple of months when you’re doing $10 million on Creator Buddy. I appreciate you coming on, dude. It’s always a pleasure. Keep doing it.

Alex Finn

No comments on that front.

Thread Guy

Love it, man. Always love to support you, dude. Anytime. Cool, brother. Have a good one, man. I appreciate you, Alex. Take care. Peace.