All-In

David Friedberg × Ray Dalio

Dalio sees an unstable U.S. fiscal path—about $7 trillion of spending against $5 trillion of revenue, debt equal to 600% of annual receipts, and $9 trillion to roll—making foreign Treasury demand and eventual Fed balance-sheet expansion central risks.He favors 5%-15% gold for diversification, while Bitcoin remains a smaller, more controllable, tech-correlated market; meanwhile, AI may transform productivity even as competition destroys returns for many AI companies.

Cathie Wood

Wood says five converging platforms—robotics, energy storage, AI, blockchain and multiomic sequencing—could lift real GDP growth toward “7% plus,” aided by Trump’s tax package.Robotaxis may monetize first, but sequencing, AI and CRISPR make healthcare AI her “most inefficiently priced” opportunity.ARK’s official Bitcoin bull case is $1.5 million, versus $3.8 million from portfolio optimization; Tesla’s $2,600 target and disruption’s rerating depend on execution.

Scott Bessent × Doug Burgum × Chris Wright × Howard Lutnick

Scott Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan depends on roughly $300 billion of annual AI capex translating into productivity growth, a deficit near 3% of GDP, and persistent 3%-plus growth.Stablecoins could generate “several trillion dollars of demand for T-bills,” while tariffs are intended to compress foreign margins and pull factories such as AstraZeneca’s announced $50 billion US buildout onshore.The immediate AI-power bottleneck is natural gas and retained baseload, with planned closures potentially removing 100 GW by 2030 and advanced nuclear treated as a roughly 10-year rebuild.

Chamath Palihapitiya × Jason Calacanis × David Sacks × David Friedberg × Gavin Baker × Bo Hines × Bill Hagerty

A Powell firing could damage Fed independence while refinancing $36 trillion of debt near the 5% 30-year yield pushes interest expense toward $2 trillion.GENIUS makes regulated dollar stablecoins payment infrastructure and a potential Treasury-demand catalyst, while CLARITY remains the next legislative milestone.

Chamath Palihapitiya × Jason Calacanis × David Sacks × David Friedberg × Joe Lonsdale

The panel frames tariffs as a border lever, industrial-policy experiment, and attempt to rebase dollar dependence, with predictable rates favoring commodities and sectors that have domestic substitutes.CoreWeave shows the other side of the AI infrastructure trade: $1.9 billion of 2024 revenue and 250,000 Nvidia GPUs alongside almost $8 billion of debt, nearly $1 billion of losses, and roughly 60% Microsoft concentration.

Tom Emmer × Eric Swalwell × Ro Khanna

Trump owns the political mandate, while Democrats are being pushed to rebuild around economic competence, respect for success, and a story that connects with everyday Americans.The immediate fiscal and industrial agenda has a detailed reconciliation calendar but undisclosed offsets, alongside unresolved tradeoffs over deportation’s labor-supply effects, TikTok’s security risk, crypto disclosure, and execution capacity.