PERSON DIRECTORY
Rob Wiblin
Rob Wiblin appears in 2 indexed conversations across The Cognitive Revolution. This directory brings every appearance, source, TL;DR, digest, and transcript into one searchable feed.
It's Crunch Time: Ajeya Cotra on RSI & AI-Powered AI Safety Work, from the 80,000 Hours Podcast
Ajeya Cotra’s modal forecast places top-human-expert-level AI in the early 2030s, with a possibility of rapid expansion into robotics and physical production.The key economic disagreement spans AI adding 0.3 percentage points to growth versus peak growth near 1,000% annually, depending on whether AI accelerates the entire stack from software through chipmaking and supply chains.Crunch time may already be here, making transparency, compute access, safety-labor allocation, and labs’ institutional commitment critical catalysts and unresolved risks.
AI Control: Using Untrusted Systems Safely with Buck Shlegeris, Redwood Research (80,000 Hours Pod)
AI control offers a deployment thesis for extracting useful work from potentially misaligned systems without first making them trustworthy.Cheap monitors, suspicious-action replacement, resampling, and escalating audits can improve safety within roughly 5% budget or productivity constraints, though stronger scaffolds require organizational buy-in.The binding risk is execution: frontier labs may have a manageable list of controls but sharply lower appetite to implement them as capabilities accelerate.