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No Priors · · 31 min

No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang

Elad GilJesse Zhang

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TL;DR
  • Customer support is Decagon’s “golden use case” for AI agents because automation and customer outcomes are both directly measurable. Jesse Zhang says buyers track the fraction of conversations handled, CSAT or NPS, and—especially in regulated industries—accuracy. The result can be a “personal concierge” available in any language, 24/7, with potential gains in retention and conversion alongside labor savings.
  • Bilt Rewards stopped scaling its support team within roughly one month of adopting Decagon and has since recorded around 65 agents of headcount saved. Its support volume had been growing with its rapidly expanding user base; automation let Bilt restructure the operation while making responses faster. Zhang calls the case’s ROI “very easy.”
  • The key differentiation sits above foundation models, not in exclusive access to them. Decagon combines multiple models through eval-driven orchestration, molds them around each customer’s business logic, and exposes the data, steps, and knowledge gaps behind responses. “You really don’t want this to feel like a black box.”
  • For customer-service agents, instruction following matters more than the coding and math gains dominating model discourse. Zhang welcomes advances from o1 and Sonnet, but says the decisive capability is whether a model can take a support SOP or workflow and “follow them to a T.” That leaves meaningful application-layer work even as core models improve.
  • The near-term agent winners must support gradual deployment and produce an easily quantified return before reaching perfection. Customer support and coding pass that test; security may not because missing one subtle event can be unacceptable, while text-to-SQL often remains a supervised copilot with murky pricing power. Zhang is therefore “more bearish on a lot of these AI agent use cases in the near term.”
  • Voice, screen context, and agent supervision are key future areas for Decagon. Voice-to-voice models reduce latency, but production workflows may still require data retrieval and multiple calls; Zhang says computer use is probably not production-ready yet. Longer term, he expects more humans to supervise and edit infinitely scalable agents, making observability and control central product priorities.
Digest · the substance, structured for research

1. Customer pull selected support as Decagon’s agent wedge

  • Decagon was founded in August 2023. Zhang’s first company was acquired by Niantic; when he and his co-founder Ashwin started Decagon, his biggest lesson was that founders “can’t really overthink things too much.” They began with broad interest in agents, talked to customers, and let those conversations identify customer service as the strongest initial use case.

  • The fit rests on the fact that the use case is tailor-made for what LLMs are good at. Decagon now targets companies with sizable support operations, spanning fast-growing startups and large enterprises.

  • Transparency became the defining requirement. Customers need to inspect which data produced an answer, what steps the agent took, and whether they can provide feedback: “It’s very important for them that the AI agent is not a black box.”

2. Support automation produces unusually legible economics

  • Elad Gil’s benchmark was Klarna: 2.3 million chats in four weeks, satisfaction on par with humans, 25% fewer repeat inquiries, and two-minute resolution versus 11 minutes for a human. AI also enabled 24/7 service across 23 markets and 35 languages while 700 full-time agents shifted to other work.

  • Zhang’s scorecard has two leaders: what fraction of total conversations the agent completes, and whether customers become happier through CSAT or NPS. Regulated buyers add accuracy constraints, but the broader upside includes lower cost, faster service, higher retention, and more conversions.

  • Bilt Rewards supplied Decagon’s clearest case study. Because inquiries rose with its quickly growing user base, Bilt initially feared being overwhelmed; within about a month it stopped scaling the support team. Nearly a year later, the published case study put saved headcount at around 65 agents, alongside a “snappier” customer experience.

3. Application-layer differentiation comes from orchestration, evaluation, and operational control

  • Everyone can access models such as GPT-4o, GPT-4, and Claude Sonnet, so Zhang describes Decagon as a software company using models as tools. He puts the special sauce in orchestration and the surrounding software rather than in access to the models themselves.

  • The orchestration layer can use evals to measure how models perform at particular tasks, combine them, and shape the resulting system around each customer’s business logic. That orchestration will differ by category: a support agent and a coding agent require different structures even when they share underlying models.

  • The surrounding software must also interpret operations at scale. If a customer has one million conversations, no human will read them all; the system should surface major categories, trends, missing knowledge, and other gaps while explaining the data and steps behind individual decisions.

  • Buyers can put an agent into production for 1% of volume, compare results with human performance and other options, and expand deployment from there. Zhang says Decagon’s advantage in those benchmarks comes from “observability, explainability, control,” though he concedes there is “still a long way to go.”

4. Instruction following and latency define the technical frontier

  • Zhang separates quantitative reasoning from instruction following. Recent models have improved markedly at coding and math, but customer support depends more on faithfully executing detailed SOPs—following them “to a T.” That capability, rather than abstract reasoning alone, is what he wants major labs to advance.

  • Voice is another channel for the same underlying customer problem, alongside chat, email, and SMS. Decagon began with text because it was easier for customers to evaluate, but customers that have seen text agents work are now testing voice agents built with companies including ElevenLabs, OpenAI, and Cartesia.

  • The architectural trade-off is latency versus computation. Voice-to-voice models respond quickly, but production cases may need data retrieval and multiple model calls; speech-to-text, text processing, and regenerated voice add delay. One practical bridge is conversational cover—“Give me a second. I’m looking up your data”—while work continues.

  • Beyond voice, Zhang wants agents to use context from a user’s entire screen and interaction history, then help navigate software directly. Anthropic’s computer-use demo illustrates the direction, but he judges it probably not production-ready yet.

5. Viable agents need gradual rollout and measurable ROI

  • Zhang’s retrospective filter has two parts: an agent must deliver value before it is nearly perfect, and the buyer must be able to quantify that value. He believes “the vast majority of use cases right now” still lack commercial readiness under current models.

  • Security shows the perfection problem. Although large log streams look well suited to AI, the job may require catching every subtle event; model nondeterminism makes enterprise buyers reluctant to trust an agentic solution. Adoption there could be “very, very slow”—much slower than impressive demos imply.

  • Text-to-SQL shows the measurement problem. Buyers may like the output yet still require a person to monitor and edit it, turning the system into a copilot. If a claimed AI-agent data scientist probably cannot replace a real one—and teams employ few data scientists anyway—the vendor struggles to justify a large contract.

  • Coding is the contrasting positive example: teams can section off selected tasks, let an agent attempt them, and receive useful output without handing over everything. Better models will unlock more categories, but Zhang’s near-term conclusion remains deliberately cautious.

6. Agent supervision becomes a new form of work

  • As agents proliferate, Zhang expects people to spend more time supervising and editing them. Unlike human workers, agents are “infinitely scalable,” and some behaviors can be hard-coded, creating new possibilities for real-time feedback, monitoring, and control.

  • Decagon’s own product direction follows that shift: human agents and leadership teams should be able to inspect performance, intervene, and make changes. Zhang treats that control layer as the company’s current differentiation and an area for further innovation.

  • Zhang also describes the math- and coding-contest community as an informal founder network. Members angel-invest in one another, exchange operating advice, and socialize, including through a Chinese version of bridge; the background is a useful hiring signal, but he stresses that Decagon’s hiring process is broadly the same and its talent pool extends far beyond contest participants.

Elad Gil

Hello and welcome to No Priors. Today I'm talking to Jesse Zhang, co-founder of Decagon. Decagon is an early-stage company building enterprise-grade generative AI for customer support, founded in August 2023. Their platform is already being used by large enterprises and fast-growing startups like Rippling, Notion, Duolingo, ClassPass, Eventbrite, Vanta, and more.

Jesse, welcome to No Priors.

Jesse Zhang

Of course. Thanks for having me.

Elad Gil

Absolutely. Maybe we can start with your background and what Decagon does. You're a serial founder—you started another company before this, and that company was eventually acquired by Niantic. Now you and Ashwin have started Decagon, and you've been working on it for a while. You've seen some really interesting adoption from companies like Rippling, Notion, Eventbrite, Vanta, Substack, and many others. You've really started to carve out a real space for the company. Could you tell us more about what Decagon does, how it works, and what the focus of the company is?

Jesse Zhang

Quick background on me: I grew up in Boulder and did a lot of math-contest stuff growing up. I studied computer science at Harvard and, as you mentioned, started a company right out of school. That company was eventually bought by Niantic, and then I left to start this company.

Ashwin and I met through mutual friends. We officially met at a VC off-site, and when we got together, we thought, “The biggest learning from our first company is that you can't really overthink things too much.” We started by being interested in AI agents. It's very exciting technology—arguably the coolest thing from this generation—and we talked to a bunch of customers, like the ones you listed.

I think over the years we've gotten a lot better at figuring out how to talk to folks, what questions they ask, and what matters to them. Through that process, we arrived at our current use case, which is what we think may be the golden use case for these AI agents: customer interactions and customer service. The use case is tailor-made for what LLMs are good at.

We started building from there, and we still weren't thinking too much about the vision or anything yet. It was just, “We have a lot of customers in front of us. How can we make them happy, and how can we make sure they really like what we're building?” That led to where we're at now.

Right now, as a company, Decagon ships these AI agents for people to use on the customer service and customer experience side. The thing that's made us special so far is our huge focus on transparency, I guess. When people use us, especially larger companies, it's very important to them that the AI agent isn't a black box.

Even though LLMs are cool and there are a lot of things you can do with them, they want to see how decisions are being made, what data is being used, how the agent comes up with answers, and whether they can provide feedback. We're currently in production with a bunch of large companies that have large support teams. Pretty much any company with a sizable support operation is a good fit for us.

Elad Gil

Yeah, it's interesting because I feel like one of the things that's been really striking over the last year in the AI world is that the CEO of Klarna posted on X about the impact AI had on its customer support team. Klarna is a buy-now-pay-later service out of Europe.

The post basically said that, in the first 4 weeks, they handled 2.3 million customer service chats. Customer satisfaction was on par with humans, there was a 25% reduction in repeat inquiries relative to people, and it resolved customer queries or issues in 2 minutes versus 11 minutes for a human agent. They were instantly live 24/7 in 23 markets and 35 languages because AI supports so many languages.

It had a huge impact on that company, and I think they shifted 700 full-time agents to do other work. In terms of the impact of Klarna's AI support on the organization, what sort of impact have you been seeing with your customers as they adopt this technology? How do you think through the lens of what you're bringing to these customers and the satisfaction their own end users have?

Jesse Zhang

It's an interesting way to think about it. Everyone is shipping this use case, and there are a lot of evangelists out there, which is nice. The Klarna article was awesome and provided a lot of tailwinds for the industry.

One interesting thing we've seen is that the benefits people get are roughly in the same vein, but different people prioritize different things. At this point, it's not really much of a hot take to say that, in a couple of years, these agents are going to be super pervasive. People can use them for all these customer interactions, and they're going to be everywhere.

To your point, what is the benefit? For our customers, it's always the same: What fraction of the total work—in this case, conversations—can the AI agent do? How much work is this saving us? And, second, how much happier are customers? What's the customer satisfaction score or NPS score?

Those 2 are often the leaders by far. As I said before, different people may value each one slightly differently. Then there are other things, like accuracy. If we're in a regulated industry, this has to be very accurate for us.

Those are where the benefits lie. We're saving a bunch of money, time, and resources, but on the other side, we're making customers happier. That can lead to higher retention, more conversions, and a lot more upside. You're giving every customer a personal concierge, essentially, in their pocket that they can chat with at any time, in any language, 24/7. That can be pretty transformational for a lot of businesses.

Elad Gil

Is there an example customer you can talk about as a case study, in terms of the impact this has had, how it's lifted their metrics, and the success they've seen using Decagon?

Jesse Zhang

We just did a big case study with a company called Bilt Rewards. It's a great use case for us. They have a very large user base that's growing very quickly, and people are using the product to either earn points or make payments. A lot of my friends use the product.

As a result of having a large customer base, people have questions and things they need help with. The number of support inquiries grows linearly with the number of users. Because they're growing so quickly—basically exponentially—the number of support queries is also growing exponentially.

When they first started using us, the main goal was, “Holy crap, we're getting overwhelmed by all this volume. Can AI help here?” Within basically a month of starting to use us, they were able to stop scaling their team. The AI would take over a lot of the automation, which just makes everything very smooth.

Now we're almost a year in, and they've been able to really restructure their customer support team. We published a case study on this where they quantified the savings. So far, it's around 65 agents in saved headcount—a very tangible difference.

For us, it's also great because we're able to provide them that value. It's a very easy ROI. The customer experience is also a lot snappier, and they get a lot of social media posts saying, “Holy crap, I just tried the Bilt Rewards support system, and it doesn't feel like any AI or chatbot system we've ever used before.”

Elad Gil

Could you tell me a little bit more about what you've built from a technology and infrastructure perspective? I guess there are the core models that anybody can access—the GPT-4o and GPT-4 models, Claude Sonnet, and so on—and then there's all the stuff you've built on top of them to make this work well for your specific use case and for customer support agents. Could you tell us a bit more about what you've had to build over time?

Jesse Zhang

Like you said, everyone has access to the same models. We see ourselves very much as a software company. We're obviously doing a lot of work around AI and using AI models a lot, but I would argue that most applications nowadays are real software companies, and AI models are tools that everyone can use.

Most of the alpha, or most of the special sauce that you build, is on top of the models. It's either the orchestration layer or the software around it. For us, there's been a big focus on both.

The orchestration layer is how you can use all these different models together. You probably have evals set up that measure how good each model is at certain things. You put them together, and the whole goal is to mold them around the business logic of the customer.

The other thing you build is just classic software. You have this AI agent, and transparency is a big piece. You really don't want this to feel like a black box that's just there answering questions. How can you build all the tooling to see what data the agent is using and what steps it's taking? Can I analyze all these conversations that are coming in?

If you have 1 million conversations, no one is reading all of them. How can you make it so that the AI, the LLM, can read every single conversation, tell you how things are going, find gaps in the knowledge, and give you a breakdown of the big categories you should care about? Maybe there's been a trend here. That's all the software around it that we're building.

Typically, that's how it's structured. The orchestration layer is going to be different for every agent. Our agent versus a coding agent will have very different orchestration. At the end of the day, you're building a structure on top of the LLMs.

Elad Gil

It seems like we're very early in the days of true agentic systems, including the ability to sequence chains of events that include certain forms of reasoning. Obviously, there are things like o1 and other models that have been coming out to try to address this, but we see them quite early in their scaling curves.

What do you think are the main pieces of technology that are missing to really take you, or your vision, to the next level in terms of how these agentic systems should work?

Jesse Zhang

One thing we were talking about the other day is that there are actually different types of intelligence in AI models. A lot of the recent developments with o1, Sonnet, and things like that have been around quantitative-reasoning intelligence. They've gotten better at coding and math.

For us, those things help, but they're not the biggest difference-maker. In our use case, the type of intelligence that matters most is what we would probably describe as instruction following. You have a bunch of instructions, and you need to follow them to a T.

I'm sure there are other types as well, but we're excited to see developments in those other areas, too. People are saying that there's a plateau happening with the core models and intelligence. When most people say “intelligence” in that context, they're probably talking about reasoning capabilities.

For us, and for the agentic flows that we use, instruction following is a huge piece. Think about a customer service SOP, playbook, or workflow. You just have to be very accurate about it. I know there's research going on about this in the major labs, and that's one thing we're looking forward to next year.

Elad Gil

One other area that seems to touch on customer success, customer support, and user experience is voice-based support. I think one thing that's a little under-discussed in the AI world is that we keep talking about large language models and understanding text, even though that stuff is crucial to everything else. But we almost under-discuss text-to-speech engines, the ability to understand spoken words, and then respond with audio.

There are companies like Cartesia, ElevenLabs, OpenAI, and Google that are starting to provide some of these services and APIs. How much of an impact does that have on what you're doing? Is that a separate type of product, or how do you think about the voice component of these systems?

Jesse Zhang

Great question. It has a huge impact. We have customers now trying our voice agents. If you think about our space, the overall problem is the same: You have a bunch of customers with questions or issues that you need to talk about, and the channel really doesn't matter to them. Some people prefer voice, some prefer chat, some prefer email, and some prefer SMS. Our job is to handle all of those.

Obviously, you start with text because it's easier to evaluate for the customer. I think we're just now getting to the point where large companies are very interested in voice. They've seen the results of a text-based agent and are saying, “Well, you should be able to generate voices and do the same thing for phone calls.”

None of this would be possible without the models you just listed and the companies building them: ElevenLabs, OpenAI, Cartesia, and others. There have also been huge strides this year in how realistic the voices sound. Latency matters a lot in our use case because, if you're making a phone call, you expect things to feel very snappy.

It's a big topic for us. As these companies get better, it's going to be huge for us to keep delivering these voice agents. We're working with them pretty closely right now on how to build these things well at scale.

Elad Gil

My sense is that one of the issues is latency. It takes enough time to take an audio stream of somebody talking, translate that into text, feed it into a language model, and then output it as voice again that it can feel like there are a lot of pauses. People have to wait.

There are different things people have been trying to do in the background, like streaming potential solutions back out and shortening that latency timeline. Do you feel latency is still an issue, or is it solved by integrating voice directly into the models in a deeper way for some of these services? When do you think latency becomes a solved problem for these types of applications?

Jesse Zhang

Latency is a big deal here, of course, with voice models. Nowadays, you have voice-to-voice models that we're playing around with. OpenAI is doing a lot of work here. Voice-to-voice latency is great.

Sometimes, though, with production use cases, you need the extra computation cycles. You need to fetch data, make multiple model calls, or do other things that mean you can't use voice-to-voice. That's one option you have to consider.

The other option is the one you described, where you're transcribing—or doing speech-to-text—and then doing all the computation in text and generating the voice at the end. That always causes a little extra latency. As you mentioned, a lot of people have figured out fairly clever ways to get around that. You can start generating things first.

In our use case, you can always do something like, “Give me a second. I'm looking up your data.” These are all things we're playing around with. For each customer we work with, there are different trade-offs, so we're trying to base what we build on what we're hearing from them and the priorities they have.

Elad Gil

One thing I think is interesting is the number of companies in the AI world today founded by people with math Olympiad, IOI, or other similar backgrounds. You were involved with math Olympiad stuff in high school, and I think Decagon has hosted some math Olympiad events for the team, which isn't a typical happy hour.

There are other teams and companies. Before that, there was Ramp and companies like that, but I think the Braintrust team, the Pika team, and Cognition, which makes Devin, all have that common thread. Where do you think that comes from? Why do you think this community is now so active in AI?

Jesse Zhang

That's a good question. We're actually all around the same age as well, so we've known each other since middle school or high school. It's a great community. We have a lot of people on the team with math-contest and coding-contest backgrounds.

I think it's more that this community was always there. Math contests have been around for a while, and a lot of super-smart kids go through them. It's also a great way for people to get to know each other, get connected, and build friendships.

The main thing is that, in the last 5 or 6 years, startups have become a lot more mainstream. A lot of people in this demographic have gravitated toward startups, whereas traditionally they would have gone into academia, quantitative trading, or things like that.

There's been a big influx of super-smart, super-talented people into the startup world. Because there's this community aspect, people can see what others are doing, what works, and the types of companies people are building. That doesn't mean the companies are all the same, but a lot of people with these backgrounds are now working on startups, which is why there's been a lot of progress in the companies people have been building.

Elad Gil

Are there ways you've all been supporting each other through the startup journey? I feel like, in every generation, there's a clique of people who build some of the more interesting companies and all interact with one another. They provide advice, maybe angel-invest in each other, and create a thriving community.

Every 5 to 7 years, it shifts who those people are. I feel like the math Olympiad and coding-competition communities are very engaged right now. Is there any formal version of that, or are you all just informally helping each other?

Jesse Zhang

I've angel-invested in a lot of the companies you just listed, and a lot of their founders are angel investors in our company. It's very informal—just casual friends helping each other.

The main thing is that company building has a lot of surface area. As you know, there are questions like how to hire people, how to do sales, how to build the product, and how to structure compensation. There are infinite things. Having other data points is obviously super helpful.

We hang out quite often, play games, and play card games. It's a Chinese version of bridge that I play with a lot of these people. It's fun to hang out when everyone's at a relatively similar stage of life. Like you said, there is definitely a lot of camaraderie and help that goes around.

Elad Gil

Has coming from this background, from the math Olympiad community, affected how you think about hiring or your hiring practices at Decagon?

Jesse Zhang

A little. If someone else has the same background and has gone through the same contests or programs, that's obviously a pretty good signal, since I have a good idea of what those people have done. My co-founder, Ashwin, has a similar background. He didn't grow up in the United States, but in India, and he did a lot of these contests as well.

There's some correlation with people who, as kids, did a lot of this stuff. Now we're all adults, and there's some sort of signal there when you're talking about hiring. But for the most part, there are so many talented people in San Francisco, whether or not they did math contests, at Decagon and at other companies, that our hiring process has been more or less the same.

It is a nice trigger for events, I guess. When you host these events, people come out, and you can build a nice community of folks who are interested in the same things. We're probably going to host more. Not all of them will be contest-based—some will involve puzzles and things like that—but you get a lot of fun engineers and people bringing their friends. That's pretty important to us.

Elad Gil

For AI at large, what are you most excited about in the coming years? If you were to extrapolate out 12 to 24 months, what are you anticipating most keenly, or what are you waiting for?

Jesse Zhang

Obviously, the models getting better is awesome. The models getting better across different modalities is also awesome. We talked about voice, but there are other modalities that are tangentially interesting to us.

A lot of our customers have software products, so it would be awesome if you could ask questions to AI agents and they had context from your entire screen, all the interactions you've done, and things like that. You could go a step further and have the agent actually help you navigate things. There's so much you can do with other modalities and more advanced model capabilities.

We've seen the computer-use demo from Anthropic. In my opinion, it's probably not production-ready yet, but as that gets better, there are a lot of cool things you can do there. On the model side, that's one thing we're excited about.

On the non-core-model side, one thesis we have is that, as the years go by, AI agents are going to become pervasive. At this point, it's undeniable that there's going to be a reasonable explosion of them across a bunch of different use cases. Some use cases will take longer than others, but the value they're providing is pretty undeniable.

There are definitely going to be a lot of AI agents out in the world—in our use case, customer service, and in other use cases. One thesis we have is that the nature of the work done by human agents and people like us is also going to change pretty drastically. One of the things that's going to change is that there will be a lot more people supervising and editing agents.

That's something we think about, and we're excited about a lot of the innovation there. A big part of what we care about is letting the human agents at our customers and their leadership teams go in, make changes, monitor the agents, and have a lot of visibility and control.

What does that look like? If you compare it to a human, when you're monitoring a human, you can give feedback in real time. You can say, “No, don't do this. You did this thing wrong. Please do this next time.” With AI, there are a lot of different possibilities because agents have properties that are different from humans. They're infinitely scalable, and you can sometimes hard-code things. That's another area we're looking forward to next year.

Elad Gil

Do you view that as a main area of differentiation for you relative to some of the other companies on the market providing customer success and support?

Jesse Zhang

Right now, that's probably the biggest thing. The interesting thing about our space—and I think this will probably be true for a lot of AI agent spaces—is that the results are very quantifiable. You take the agent and benchmark it against how good a human would be, how much money it's saving, and how much better the customer experience is.

Because of that, when people evaluate us in our space, it's a pretty quantitative evaluation. They say, “Okay, this kind of works. Let me put you into production for 1% of the volume and build up from there.” Maybe they do that with another option as well.

A lot of the old-school companies, like Salesforce, are going to see this as a very exciting space, too, so they're going to have alternatives. Then you benchmark everyone: How good are the stats? How good are the metrics? How good a job is everyone doing?

So far, we've been performing very well. The main reason is this transparency piece—giving people observability, explainability, and control over the agent. There's still a long way to go in that field. There's so much more you could do, and that's been our specialty so far.

Elad Gil

I've had conversations with your customers over time. People have been trying some of these agents and have called me to ask questions about different companies in the space. The 3 things I tend to point out are that you ship really fast, you're very responsive as a team and company, and, most importantly, the product tends to outperform. I think that's really been great to watch over time.

How do you think about the areas where AI agents are going to be successful versus unsuccessful in the short run?

Jesse Zhang

One thing we've been thinking through—and this was pretty important to us when we were first starting out—is that there's going to be a huge variance between the different types of AI agents, how successful they'll be, and how quickly they'll roll out.

When we were first starting the company, we were pretty open to what to build. We knew AI agents were exciting, but at that point, we didn't even know whether there would be any real use cases that emerged in the next 12 or 24 months. We were exploring.

Our view is that, for the vast majority of use cases right now, there still isn't going to be real commercial adoption with the current state of the models, for a few reasons. One big thing is that, in a lot of spaces, there's really no structure for incrementally building up. It has to be good—almost perfect—right off the bat.

Think about a space like security, where you have all these SIEMs and tons of logs. That seems perfect for AI models. But the goal of that job is to catch every small thing that happens. Because the models are inherently nondeterministic, it's very hard for buyers to trust a generative solution there, especially an agentic solution.

I think enterprise adoption in that area is going to be very, very slow—much slower than people think. People have cool demos, and things seem to work, but getting real enterprise adoption is going to be very slow.

The other side of that is that there are a lot of spaces where, on the surface, it seems like AI would be perfect, but the follow-up is that it's actually not easy to quantify the ROI. One example would be text-to-SQL companies. You can see it working, but almost immediately everyone's reaction is, “This is cool, but we're still going to have to have someone monitoring it and editing it.”

It becomes a kind of copilot. Then the question is, how do we measure how much we should pay for one of these agents? It's very difficult because most teams don't have that many data scientists anyway.

If you're claiming that you have an AI agent data scientist, it's like, “Okay, let's benchmark you against a real one.” You're probably not going to be able to replace a real one. That's the sort of thing where it's really hard to quantify the ROI. You're saving some people's time, but if I'm a large company, it's hard for me to justify giving you a large contract for an AI agent data scientist.

Those are the things we were thinking through. In the moment, we were asking customers what their willingness to invest in certain things was, but in hindsight, looking back on the last year, that's been a big pattern.

The use cases that emerge have to have 2 qualities. First, they have to be something that can be rolled out slowly and doesn't have to be perfect right away, while still providing value. Coding agents are a good example: You can section off some tasks for them, and they'll do them.

The other piece is ROI. You have to be able to quantify it easily. In our case, luckily, you have these support agent teams, and people track metrics very closely. The takeaway is that I'm probably more bearish on a lot of these AI agent use cases in the near term. But as the models get better, they'll unlock a lot of new use cases.

Elad Gil

Super interesting. Jesse, thank you so much for joining us today.

Jesse Zhang

Thanks, Elad. Thanks for hosting. It's great seeing you.

No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang | BidClub