Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Global crude could hit operational tank bottoms by September: inelastic demand and an 8mbd supply loss could keep oil above $100, though Avi says $200 would force resolution within two months.A 50% chance of a December rate hike and Kevin Warsh’s possible real-time CPI rebase create an underpriced catalyst for equities and an even harsher risk for crypto, while Jonah argues AI’s marginal dollar remains far from exhausted.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Bitcoin’s 85–90k consolidation, muted funding, and restrained open interest support Avi’s “new all-time-high run” thesis, with 100K as the supply-activation threshold.Both hosts remain bearish on memecoins in aggregate, favoring shorts only after a 60–70% impulse move in high-FDV, low-float tokens against Bitcoin.Regime change could remove state-linked BTC selling and may make seized coins the foundation of the SPR, while Venezuela’s oil reserves offer little near-term supply and Iran remains the larger catalyst and risk.

Scott Bessent × Doug Burgum × Chris Wright × Howard Lutnick

Scott Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan depends on roughly $300 billion of annual AI capex translating into productivity growth, a deficit near 3% of GDP, and persistent 3%-plus growth.Stablecoins could generate “several trillion dollars of demand for T-bills,” while tariffs are intended to compress foreign margins and pull factories such as AstraZeneca’s announced $50 billion US buildout onshore.The immediate AI-power bottleneck is natural gas and retained baseload, with planned closures potentially removing 100 GW by 2030 and advanced nuclear treated as a roughly 10-year rebuild.