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The a16z Show · · 58 分钟

《我们如何消除犯罪》| Ben Horowitz and Garrett Langley

Erik TorenbergGarrett LangleyBen Horowitz

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TL;DR
  • 本期的核心主张,是用抓获的确定性取代惩罚的严厉程度。 Horowitz 认为,可靠的侦测会在犯罪发生前改变激励;零星执法再配上长期刑罚,只是“把人扔掉”。他的核心准则是:“确定的惩罚意味着没有惩罚。”

  • Langley 的全国行动方案由人员、产品和政策构成:重建警力,通过 AI 整合传感器,并持续起诉已明确列为犯罪的行为。 Horowitz 提议,为在巡逻、分析或文职岗位服务2至4年的人免除学生债务;Langley 称这是重要的补充警力思路,并提出制定全国执法法案。投资逻辑在于,技术无法弥补机构能力的崩塌,但能让恢复后的能力大幅提升生产率。

  • 谋杀案破案率是系统恶化最直观的指标。 Langley 称,除 Las Vegas 外,全国破案率约为47%,意味着“谋杀后逍遥法外的概率是53%”;而 Las Vegas 远高于90%。他将差距归因于证人合作减少、帮派和毒品相关谋杀更趋随机、证据数量增长超过调查工具能力,以及资深探员退休速度快于新人积累经验的速度。

  • Las Vegas 证明,规模相对有限的技术层能够改变一个高度依赖人头成本的警察预算。 Horowitz 称,摄像头和无人机投入后,警方对嫌疑人开枪的事件减少约75%;相当于警察部门预算不到1%的私人资金,则帮助落地了一些政府采购难以启动的能力。其运营承诺非常明确: “你可以在 Vegas 犯罪,但你无法逃脱。”

  • Flock 的防御性不在于单纯出售车牌摄像头,而在于把分散的公共空间传感器变成情报与调度层。 Langley 描述了对 LPR、枪声探测、无人机、视频和犯罪记录背景的整合,以及未来用于协调响应的 agentic 软件层。Langley 称,Flock 今年大约促成100万次逮捕,并帮助找回450多名失踪儿童;这些高风险场景证明了网络覆盖和跨机构互操作性的价值。

  • 最强的批评针对的是机构信任,而不是孤立的隐私问题。 Langley 认为,联邦政府调取手机定位数据,比公共道路上的车牌记录更能暴露个人行踪,但他也承认,不信任警方的社区会抵制任何新增能力。他的回答是提供可配置的数据保留和共享规则——30天、新泽西州法律下的5年、加州最长90天,以及部分机构采用的7天——并公开透明地说明系统用途。

  • 执法与刑事司法改革是互补投资,而非彼此对立。 Horowitz 将保护受害者与修复监狱体系分开讨论:他认为美国再犯率高于70%,而表现更好的体系低于40%;Langley 则主张,对许多年轻、非暴力违法者,以工作、上学和居家限制取代监禁。他们的共同前提是,合法职业路径必须扩大,同时让犯罪道路稳定地失去吸引力:“这两件事必须同时进行。”

摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. 重建执法,先从人员、产品和政策入手

  • Langley 的组织框架是“人员、产品和政策”。在人​​员方面,Horowitz 提议推出类似 Teach for America 的执法项目:凡是在巡逻、犯罪分析或警察部门内大量存在的文职岗位服务2年或4年的人,可免除学生债务。Langley 称这是重要的补充警力思路,并提出制定全国执法法案。

  • Langley 认为,警力危机完全是文化问题。Horowitz 不同意,认为学生债务等财务负担同样会阻止人们加入执法队伍。他们指出,社会动荡和 COVID 期间提前退休人数激增,此后一直没有恢复;Langley 补充说,人员短缺迫使部门降低标准,并以 Memphis 和 Rodney King 事件后 LAPD 招募有犯罪或帮派背景人员的做法作为警示。

  • 一个可行的试点,是由一座大城市设立200个要求大学学历的入职岗位,并要求服务2年。Langley 质疑,是否每名参与者都需要接受目前约52周的培训,尤其是非武装文职岗位可以绕过警校,直接承担分析或行政工作。

  • 招募本身也是营销。他们提到,警队配备 Cybertrucks 后,社区活动邀请明显增加,也帮助让从警变成令人向往的选择;Horowitz 回忆,一名警察局长买了4辆 Tesla,因为“每一个18岁的人都想开这辆车”。他们强调的重点不是车辆本身,而是恢复公共服务的社会地位。

2. 侦测的确定性会改变犯罪经济学

  • 产品组合必须按犯罪类型设计:枪声探测解决许多枪击案没有人拨打911的问题;摄像头和车牌识别器负责识别;无人机负责快速观察;随后由 AI 和调度层把海量传感器数据变成可用信息。问责机制和纳税人看得见的透明度,也必须与运营能力同步存在。

  • Horowitz 将美国的选择概括为严刑峻法,还是更强的情报能力。相比新加坡式鞭刑、死刑或 El Salvador 式监禁,情报能力既能让嫌疑人和警员更安全,也能提高抓获概率。他借用的准则是绝对性的:“确定的惩罚意味着没有惩罚。”

  • 犯罪分子研究警察技术、政策、轮班安排和盲区的程度,超过普通公民。他们提到,南加州一首说唱歌曲提到了 Flock,结果让一些人主动避开相关区域。Horowitz 认为,这种文化层面的知名度本身就是关键绩效指标。

  • 其机制同时具有经济和文化属性:如果入门级犯罪的收益是最低工资工作的10倍,而且带来的是地位而非污名,它就会变成一条可行的职业路径。Horowitz 警告,执法薄弱会制造“迷失的一代”;社会工作可以扩大替代选择,却无法抵消强烈的现金激励,也无法在抢劫、强奸或谋杀正在发生时及时响应。

3. 多重失灵叠加,谋杀案破案率持续坍塌

  • Langley 提出一个相对正面的原因:社会如今要求更强的证据,才会把一个人终身监禁。DNA 和视频后来揭露了多起冤案,因此更高的证据门槛本身是进步,即使它让破案变得更难。

  • 负面因素则彼此叠加。证人在一宗凶杀案中作证,收益很少,却要承担严重的人身风险;与此同时,社会已经无法可信地承诺会保护和帮助他们。凶杀案也从更容易追踪的家庭纠纷,转向毒品交易、帮派冲突和其他看似随机的遭遇。

  • 证据增长速度超过了调查人员的技能和工具。成千上万的摄像头只有在有人能找到并拼接相关画面时才有价值,而人员流失已经让警察部门失去了资深探员。Langley 称,Atlanta 的警力从约60%恢复到75%至80%,但新补充人员中有相当一部分只有21岁,距离掌握凶杀案调查能力还需要多年。

  • 结果是,除 Las Vegas 外,全国破案率约为47%:“跟抛硬币一样。”据称 Vegas 的破案率远高于90%,部分原因在于社区关系能够说服证人分享所知信息;这也印证了 Horowitz 的观点:情报能力与社区警务相互强化。

4. Las Vegas 证明精准识别能够同时减少犯罪和警察暴力

  • 没有精准识别时,警员可能拦下一辆错误的蓝色 Toyota Corolla,紧张地靠近,并与同样警惕的司机制造危险遭遇。摄像头命中目标后,响应方式会改变:警方知道要找的是哪辆车,可以派出规模合适的队伍,并有计划地抓捕嫌疑人。

  • Horowitz 称,Las Vegas 部署摄像头和无人机后,警方对嫌疑人开枪的事件减少约75%。更好的态势感知减少了制造恐慌式遭遇和军事化反应的未知因素:嫌疑人是谁、是否持枪、附近是否有足够警力。

  • Vegas 居民的反应让 Horowitz 感到意外:尽管媒体批评系统像“老大哥”,居民仍然接受了它。Horowitz 所描述的这座城市存在犯罪旅游,以及硬毒品、拉斯维加斯环境与心理健康问题的叠加,但酒店和餐饮从业者看重这项承诺:“你可以在 Vegas 犯罪,但你无法逃脱。”

  • 社区警务的桥梁具有历史意义。Horowitz 说,“去他妈的警察”(“Fuck tha Police”)在 LAPD 激进的禁毒战争文化下确有现实基础;他的答案不是怀念那种模式,而是利用情报能力减少误捕,让警员有时间建立关系,而不是反复与无辜居民发生对抗。

5. 私人资本能够启动僵化城市预算无法启动的能力

  • 警察预算绝大部分用于人头成本,具有强烈的政治刚性,还背负养老金和累积债务。Horowitz 称,不到1%的技术增量投入就能改变一个部门,但官员往往无法在不削减人员的情况下为首次部署提供资金。

  • Langley 认为,公共与私人合作可以复制:当地雇主既有能力,也有动力保护数千名员工。他以 Lowe’s 支持 Mooresville Police Department 为例,因为 Lowe’s 总部就在当地;他还称,San Francisco 最近的警务创新完全由私人资金提供。

  • 标准安排是由私人资金承担最初1年或2年,让城市有足够时间将经过验证的系统纳入预算。Langley 称,Atlanta 的警察基金会每年出资约3000万美元;一项100万美元的申请,就可能替换掉状态令他感到难堪的 SWAT 装备。

  • 极小的运营投入也能释放警力。Vegas 的911中心需要12个月培训调度员,却遭遇严重流失,等待时间一度达到5分钟;Langley 买了一台制冰机和一台咖啡机,还协助建了一个健身房,之后 Horowitz 称等待时间降至30秒以下。

6. 隐私争论往往掩盖了更深层的信任赤字

  • Langley 不认同公共道路上的车牌识别器会造成决定性的隐私损失:如果联邦政府想知道某人的精确位置,他说,“我只要调取一次手机定位数据集。”Horowitz 也同意,这种更有效的机制已经在使用。

  • Langley 承认,真正的反对理由是不信任。一个不信任警方的社区,不会希望警员拥有枪支、摄像头或额外技术。Flock 无法修复这道机构裂缝,但可以把问题暴露出来,并提供透明页面,说明部门为何以及如何使用系统。

  • 治理规则仍可由地方配置。Flock 保存数据30天;新泽西州法律规定保存5年;加州将保存期限上限设为90天,部分加州机构则选择7天。数据共享同样可以止步于州界,但 Langley 警告,犯罪分子不会遵守城市或州的边界。

  • Horowitz 以 Tupac 谋杀案长期未破为例,指称 LAPD 内部腐败人员阻挠了 Las Vegas 方面的调查。他更广泛的观点是,围绕机构边界设计的限制,可能让相关证据无法流动,进而给受害者带来严重代价。

7. 安全与改造是两个问题,但必须一起解决

  • Horowitz 对“警察去资”的批评,落点在阶层分配:“给穷人去资警察,给富人把警察私有化。”他说,98%的犯罪针对穷人;Langley 补充道,食物、住所和安全是经济流动的前提,因为恐惧足以吞噬一个孩子的全部人生视野。

  • 监狱改革依然紧迫,但无法替代执法。Horowitz 认为,美国再犯率高于70%,而表现更好的体系远低于40%;他还指出,许多囚犯只是跟随者,被卷入他人的计划,入狱后却在监狱里接受了更高级的犯罪训练。

  • Langley 支持为许多非暴力未成年人和年轻人提供替代方案:工作、上学或回家,而不是进入一个可能在几个月内把非暴力违法者变成暴力罪犯的环境。更快的法院程序同样重要;Shelby County 数千名等待审判的人,在系统停滞期间正逐渐变成罪犯。

  • Vegas 的 Hope for Prisoners 项目提供了正面样本:首次违法、非暴力的年轻人可以接受改造和就业帮助,而不是直接被起诉;据称其再犯率接近于零。Delancey Street 同样帮助人们恢复工作和尊严,但 Horowitz 坚持认为,替代方案只有在犯罪本身仍然缺乏激励时才会成功。

8. 精准警务能够把危险对峙变成软件工作流

  • Langley 描述的未来场景始于一名精神状况不佳的医院患者:他驾车开枪后进入一座大型商场。由于邻近警察部门和商场共享 Flock 覆盖,该车辆在传统 SWAT 响应抵达前就触发了热名单警报。

  • 一名操作员派出无人机,约40秒后抵达商场。Flock 的 Nova 产品调出此人此前6次被捕记录和前臂上的独特纹身;无人机在约半英里外确认纹身,观察到他没有持枪,随后让2名便衣警员低调完成抓捕,没有惊动购物者。

  • 市议会的反应是:“我们到处都需要无人机。”Langley 设想的系统会整合所有传感器和数据集,再增加一层 agentic 软件,以缓解不受欢迎的轮班和文书工作带来的用工压力:“有些工作就是不好干,软件可以接手一部分。”

  • Langley 称,Flock 今年大约促成100万次逮捕;Horowitz 强调,这些是对正确对象的逮捕,依靠的是完美的 AI 匹配,而不是社区、外貌等线索。Langley 还补充说,Flock 今年帮助找回450多名失踪儿童,其中包括一名在 San Diego 劫车案中被带走的儿童——这是证明无处不在、彼此互通的覆盖网络价值的最直观案例。

Ben Horowitz

If you don't enforce crime, what you end up with is lost generations.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. If I woke up in 10 years and all we had done was put a lot of people in prison, it's actually double bad.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Well, we're throwing people away, right? That's the worst possible thing. So, the best thing is to say, “Hey, look, if you commit crimes, you're going to get caught.” And then that kind of changes the societal incentives and the culture and everything else.

I mean, look, if I can become a criminal and make 10x what I can make in a minimum-wage job as an entry-level worker, and then in my neighborhood there's not even a social stigma associated with it—in fact, you're looked up to if you're a criminal—it's just too easy, and it's just too much. It's a societal failure for everybody who's in that situation.

Garrett Langley

Outside of Vegas, the national average is around a 47% clearance rate. So, you have a coin flip—

Ben Horowitz

—for murder. You have a 53% chance of getting away with murder.

Garrett Langley

Flip a coin. The ironic part is, when we do get criticisms from people who are less familiar with technology, I laugh because I'm like, “Open your eyes.” If the federal government wanted to find you, a license plate reader is the dumbest way to do it. I will just get a cell phone dump.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

And I will know your exact location in real time.

Ben Horowitz

By the way, which is what they do.

Garrett Langley

Yes, because it's way more effective. So, I think the privacy thing is quite false. The trust is real, though. If you go to some communities, they do not trust their police department.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. Garrett, welcome to the podcast.

Garrett Langley

Oh, thanks for having me.

Erik Torenberg

So, this group here is heavily invested in eliminating crime: Garrett, obviously, you with Flock Safety, and Ben with his work in Las Vegas as well. Let's say that America declared a national goal to eliminate crime, and we were taking a multifaceted approach and asked you, Garrett, to sit on a committee to help identify the different levers—or the comprehensive strategy—to eliminate crime. What would be some of your main advice?

Garrett Langley

Let's break it down in terms of people, products, and policy. To people, I saw a funny quote online that the way to solve our infertility issues is just to remove income tax once you have 3 kids. I was like, “That's actually pretty novel.”

Ben Horowitz

We have a massive student debt problem, right?

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Why not create a Teach for America for law enforcement, where you say, “Look, if you've got student debt and you go serve in your community for 2 years or 4 years as a patrol officer, crime analyst—there are a ton of roles you can have in a police department—great, we'll retire your student debt”?

So, instead of just giving it away for free, actually go work for your government. For 2 years, you don't have to go overseas and fight in a war. You can literally just stay at home.

Garrett Langley

And that would dramatically fix one of the biggest issues in policing, which is a staffing crisis.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

And a skill-set issue. So, that's the people side. That's the first thing I'd do. I'd go have a national law-enforcement act for staffing.

Erik Torenberg

Right. And also raise the status of police out there. So, how much of the people issue is the fact that we went from a very pro-police culture—police are heroes, every new show was a cop show—to complete vilification of the police: defund the police—

Ben Horowitz

Abolish the police—

Erik Torenberg

Abolish cop shows. They're all gone. They're all off the air. How much of it is cultural versus just a shortage of people?

Garrett Langley

It's entirely cultural.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

Because you think about it, there's nothing that has changed in the last 30 years that would indicate that the percentage of people who were born and wanted to serve has changed. The only thing that's changed is the stigma attached to the job. And you can see that because if you look at the early-retirement numbers—

Erik Torenberg

I mean, early retirement skyrocketed during both the social unrest and then COVID.

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

And they've never bounced back.

Garrett Langley

Worst possible time.

Erik Torenberg

Yes, worst possible time. So, do you think, Ben, to your point, like—

Ben Horowitz

The only way I see to do a kind of cultural reset is to just make it financially impossible for people who are otherwise burdened by debt—

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

—to go help their communities.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I think that's actually a very important and underrated idea, because one of the things that we've seen is that, because of the shortage, many police departments have lowered their standards. So, the criticism of the police was, “Okay, you have—and it really, if you looked into it, there were some psychos who joined the police force. They couldn't get them out for whatever reason, and then they did some heinous thing, and it tainted the whole police force.”

Well, now, because there aren't enough available people, they're lowering standards to the point in Memphis where they started actually hiring criminals.

Ben Horowitz

Yes.

Garrett Langley

And then there was a famous incident where the criminals just went and murdered a guy. It wasn't funny, but I was showing the video of that incident to the Vegas police, and the first thing they said was, “Oh, that's not police brutality. They targeted him. They went to kill that guy. That was a homicide.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

And I was like, “Oh, boy.” But then you look into the backgrounds, and the guys who committed the homicide were, in fact, criminals who got hired to be police.

That's also, interestingly, what happened with the LAPD's Rampart scandal right after the Rodney King incident. Everybody got fired, and they had trouble recruiting. They started recruiting people out of gangs, and those gang members ended up, among other things, killing The Notorious B.I.G. and this kind of thing.

People don't realize the reaction to criticism. I think we just have to be careful about looking forward and saying, “Okay, what is the actual problem?” as opposed to “Police are bad.” I think that puts us in a very different kind of world that we don't want to be in.

Ben Horowitz

Agreed. And I think you're right when you look across the board. In the last year, I've only been to one major city that seems to be making a dent in staffing.

Garrett Langley

Mhm.

Ben Horowitz

But they've gone to such extremes. They'll buy you a house.

Garrett Langley

Oh, wow.

Ben Horowitz

You get a take-home car.

Garrett Langley

Amazing.

Ben Horowitz

I mean, it's always personal. There are literally millions of people who could do this job. I just don't think it's a cultural issue.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Yeah. No, I mean, a big thing in Vegas that we're doing, with Flock Safety and some of the other technology we bought, and the Cybertrucks and so forth, is trying to improve the image for recruiting, because that's such a big thing. We have the highest population of veterans in Las Vegas—like, in the whole country. So, we have plenty of people who could be great police officers, but we have to continue to improve the image.

Ben Horowitz

It's really funny you mention the Cybertruck, because I know there was some criticism online—like anything good in life. My parents' hometown, where they still live, bought 4 Teslas for their fleet about 6 years ago.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

And the chief was like, “Every single 18-year-old wants to drive this car. This is why I'm doing this.” And he was heavily applauded in that community.

Garrett Langley

Because he's a very logical marketing ploy. I mean, these are a bunch of 18- and 20-year-old men. They like shiny toys—a cool-looking truck.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. If your choice is driving a Toyota Camry or a fire truck—

Erik Torenberg

What makes it feel cool?

Garrett Langley

Well, the Cybertrucks have been great for recruiting, despite the criticism that I got. TechCrunch portrayed me as the Penguin, like I'm a crime boss in Las Vegas and I'm making these donations in order to—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

Garrett Langley

—to pay off the police to do my evil bidding.

Ben Horowitz

You're evil.

Garrett Langley

Yeah, because Andreessen Horowitz is not a good enough business. I need to be in whatever the crime ring in Vegas is. So, yeah. But they do, and people love them. Interestingly, since we got the trucks, the number of requests for them to appear at community events is off the charts because they look so cool.

In fact, when we did Paid in Full, Dr. Dre—famous for the song “Fuck tha Police”—saw the Cybertruck parked out front and took a picture with the cops in front of the Cybertruck at his request.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. That's gross. So, that's people.

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Then, products. I think Vegas is a good example. We can pick on Vegas because they've got a pretty good technology stack. You have to go crime by crime. So, if you have a gun-violence problem, which Vegas has some, you need gunshot detection to know. The majority of gun violence does not generate a report. If I shoot you, I'm not going to call 911 myself.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

Unfortunately, if I have a good shot, you're not going to call 911 either. So, that's a problem. You have drones—Vegas has a great deployment of drones. San Francisco does as well, as you saw in the news. So, you need drones. You need cameras. You've got all these sensors, right?

And then what's missing historically is this AI layer and this orchestration layer on top to say, “Wow, I've gone from no data to an abundance of data.”

How do I make sense of it? We’ve got that. The third piece that we care a lot about is how you also do this in a way that provides accountability and transparency. Because at the end of the day, the police department works for us, the taxpaying citizens, and you want to know how your money is being used. It’s being done in a way that’s societally just and forward. So that’s the product side, and then policy is: You have to hold people accountable.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. I mean, we’ve seen the social experiment in parts of the country.

Garrett Langley

Right. You need to actually prosecute the crime.

Ben Horowitz

It’s seemingly straightforward, but a lot of the time we decriminalize things that should be criminal, and that causes a problem. So that’s what I would do if I was in charge.

Yeah. I think one of the things that people don’t think through when they think about crime is that you don’t have that many choices. You have a choice of lots of crime, or, if you’re going to prevent crime, there’s the Singaporean model, which is very harsh: capital punishment, hanging people in the town square, hitting them with a cane, or locking them in an El Salvadoran prison. Or there’s intelligence.

What intelligence does is basically make everybody safer. It makes the suspect safer, and it makes the police safer, because now everybody understands the crime situation. You’re also much more likely to get caught. There’s an old Chinese saying: “Certain punishment means no punishment.” That is the only way that you can actually achieve a reduction in crime in the U.S.—better intelligence.

People say, “Well, root cause—if we get rid of all poverty and this, that, and the third.” Sure, if you create a utopian society, which nobody’s ever done. The people who have tried have created societies that have been much more brutal, with many more people killed, than societies that don’t go for utopia. In reality, you just have to deal with the situation as it is, I think.

By the way, nobody pays more attention to how policing works than criminals—more than anybody. They know exactly what the policies are, what the technology is, when police change shifts, and all that kind of thing. If you have great law enforcement, you’re very likely to discourage crime.

Erik Torenberg

What was that quote that you mentioned just before?

Ben Horowitz

The Game had a song where he said, “Real gangsters hit the streets when police change shifts.”

Erik Torenberg

But to your point, I’ll never forget that, maybe in 2022, a rap song was released in Southern California with a reference to Flock that got folks to stay away. I was like, “We’ve made it.” This is really important culturally.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, it’s a key KPI to keep track of.

I think that’s right. If you grow up outside of the system and the most viable way to make a living is crime, then that is a career path. By reducing law enforcement, you create a crime career path, and it lets us avoid creating real career paths for people in that situation. It’s a cascading effect of just badness.

Garrett Langley

I think the other point is that if I woke up in 10 years and all we had done was put a lot of people in prison, it would actually be doubly bad, because prison is already very expensive, right?

Ben Horowitz

There’s an economic cost when that person is no longer productive in society.

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

We’re throwing people away, right? With minimum sentencing and everything, it’s very hard to go to prison and come out. Then you have this black mark on your life where you can’t get an apartment, you can’t get a gun, you can’t vote, and you can’t get a job. That’s the worst possible thing.

The best thing is to say, “Hey, look, if you commit crimes, you’re going to get caught.” That changes the societal incentives, the culture, and everything else.

Erik Torenberg

Totally agree. Are we doing the wrong thing by making it unclear that you’re going to get caught—or making the deterrence less than 100% clear than it should be—while arbitrarily imposing long prison sentences instead?

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I think that if you have great technology and a comprehensive Flock deployment, you don’t have to advertise it.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, because the streets are watching. To quote Jay-Z, the streets are watching. That’s going to happen.

If you don’t enforce crime, what you end up with is lost generations. If I can become a criminal and make 10 times what I can make in a minimum-wage job as an entry-level thing, and then in my neighborhood there’s not even a social stigma attached to it—in fact, you’re looked up to if you’re a criminal—it’s just too easy. It’s too much. It’s a societal failure for everybody who’s in that situation.

Erik Torenberg

On that note, what do you say to people who say, “We weren’t advocating for defunding the police. We were saying, ‘Redirect that money to group therapy, mental health services, or other services that are more preventive’”? What would you say to that argument?

Ben Horowitz

It’s just a misunderstanding of incentives, I think. Incentives drive culture. If you get rid of law enforcement, we don’t have a strong enough, consistent, heterogeneous-society ethical structure to make people say, “Robbing somebody is bad,” or, for sure, “Selling drugs is bad,” or “Bookmaking is bad,” or whatever the crime is. A lot of people don’t even know that something is a crime until they’re much older.

It’s not viable to stop crime with a weak incentive. You can go talk to somebody as a social worker and say, “Hey, you shouldn’t do that,” but if they say, “I have a very strong cash incentive to do it,” how is that going to work? I’m not against social work, but you can’t do it at the expense of law enforcement. We saw that—we ran the experiment, and it didn’t work.

Erik Torenberg

People would say, “Well, we didn’t hire enough social workers.” But social workers can’t deal with a robbery, murder, rape, or violent crime in progress.

Garrett Langley

These are not mutually exclusive. You can do both. To Ben’s point, in some parts of the country, in some cities—even whole cities—there isn’t a stigma attached to something like stealing a car.

Yeah, you don’t change that overnight with more social work. I’ve seen programs where their phrase is “at-promise” versus “at-risk” programs. If you don’t want to get into this cycle, create that path. But you still have to fix the root problem, which is that you should be held accountable if you steal someone’s car.

Erik Torenberg

It was interesting that you brought up Dr. Dre’s “Fuck tha Police,” and now he’s taking photos with police. Some people say hip-hop has at times glorified a certain criminal lifestyle. Are other people evolving as Dr. Dre has? How has the community’s thinking about this evolved over time?

Ben Horowitz

I think “Fuck tha Police” had a real basis in that, if you look at the LAPD in that era—the drug-war era—they were very, very aggressive. It was a “brutalize first, ask questions second” kind of culture in that police force. So he was making a real comment on a real thing. Ice Cube and others were doing the same.

The answer to that kind of policing is intelligence plus community policing. That’s the right way to police. Let me give you an example. The Las Vegas police said that before the drone program and before Flock, if you didn’t have Flock, you’d get a call saying there was a blue 1988 Toyota Corolla that had been stolen and was driving in a certain direction.

Then a police officer pulls over the wrong guy. I’m getting pulled over by the police, they’re highly suspicious, they’re nervous, and I’m wary of the situation. I’m a Black man, so I’m already trained to be wary of this. Now you can have an incident.

Whereas if it’s a Flock camera, you know that’s the guy. You’re not sending in 1 police officer because you know it’s the guy; you’re sending in a team. You’re going to apprehend him safely, and you’re going to take your time because you don’t have to move on to the next one. It’s a totally different situation.

Then you can start to build relationships in the community because you’re not falsely arresting people and doing that kind of thing. Las Vegas has the highest murder-clearance rate in the country—well over 90%. Why is that? You talk to them, and they’ll tell you it’s because anytime a murder is committed, somebody knows who did it. In most cities, they don’t talk to the police.

By doing community policing, they’re able to get that information.

And they're able to clear the murders. They're able to make the community safer. Mostly, by the way, people should understand this: The victims of crime are poor people by and large. When you defund the police and say we're not going to enforce the law, you're basically terrorizing the poor community.

Erik Torenberg

And this is what was called the Ferguson effect, right? Crime actually went up.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. No, of course. Of course it did. People just don't think these systemic problems all the way through. They just go to the very first thing, like, “Police are bad.”

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. Well, the system hasn't been working, so let's fix the system as opposed to vilifying any individual.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Erik Torenberg

Garrett, can you say more about why the clearance rate—or just the rate at which we catch or solve murders and crimes—has been dropping?

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I think I'll provide 1 positive reason why clearance rates are down, and the rest is very negative. On the positive side, our expectations as a society for arresting someone have gone up, which is good, right? The number of people you hear about getting released 10 years later because now we have DNA, or 10 years later because now we have video evidence—that's actually a good thing, right? It should be harder to put someone in jail for life.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

That's 1 reason, and that's a good thing. Some of that comes from TV. You watch NCIS and you're just like, “There's cameras everywhere.”

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

So, that's the 1st reason. The 2nd is—and Ben mentioned this—witness cooperation is gone. What's the personal benefit of testifying in a homicide besides putting your own life at risk? No one shows up, which is a huge problem. Society has given up on pretending we're going to help you, so that's the 2nd issue.

The 3rd issue is a pretty big mix shift in crime. If you think about the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s, the majority of crime was domestic. You would kill a partner, or you would kill a girlfriend or boyfriend, so it was not randomized crime. Now, the majority of homicides are random. It's a drug deal gone wrong or a gang rivalry over territory. That is the predominant type of crime.

Ben Horowitz

That is way harder to solve because if it was a traditional type, you would go, “Okay, let's check the family. Great, we're done. Case closed.”

Garrett Langley

The 4th issue is that the amount of evidence has gone up in a positive way, but faster than both skill sets and technology have kept pace. So, even though—let's pick on Vegas—it has hundreds, probably thousands, tens of thousands of cameras, you've got to search them. You've got to put it together. That doesn't just happen.

Erik Torenberg

Nobody's watching the cameras.

Garrett Langley

No one's watching them, right? We can look at recent events where there have been shootings on college campuses, and people ask, “Why don't they find them faster? There are thousands of cameras.” I'm like, “The technology is not there yet.” Now, Flock has some tools to help with that, but they're not deployed everywhere.

The last issue, which we touched on, is staffing. We talked about early retirement.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

So, even if we pick on Atlanta, it was at a low of 60% staffed. They're now up to 75% or 80%. That gap is all 21-year-olds.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

They have no idea how to solve a homicide. They will in 20 years. But your seasoned, experienced detectives have all retired.

Erik Torenberg

Wow.

Garrett Langley

And so, it's this compounding effect where it doesn't look pretty good. Outside of Vegas, the national average is around a 47% clearance rate.

Ben Horowitz

So, you have a coin flip for murder. You have a 53% chance of getting away with murder.

Erik Torenberg

Flip a coin. Flip a coin. Yeah.

Garrett Langley

And you have to imagine that if you're in the upper quartile—

Ben Horowitz

You should get away with it forever.

Erik Torenberg

Wow.

Garrett Langley

Yep.

Erik Torenberg

Sorry to bring the mood down. I do love your Teach for America but for policing idea. For people who are listening and are inspired, what would it take for that to get off the ground?

Garrett Langley

Well, if you remove the degree requirement part, actually, not that much. I think the biggest change is that today you're typically looking at almost 52 weeks of training before you get out in the field. That's too slow.

You know, I think Teach for America does probably a 4- or 8-week program. I don't actually know, but it's probably pretty quick.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

You're college educated. You're going to figure it out.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

Policing has a different expectation. I would continue to see more civilian jobs, which some agencies are doing, where they're just creating entirely different departments for civilians. In that case, there's no academy.

Erik Torenberg

You also don't have a gun, which is fine, right?

Garrett Langley

But I think that's actually not much to pull off. I think it just takes a major city—most likely, it needs to be a major city—to say, “I'm going to create 200 entry-level jobs. You require a college degree, it's a 2-year commitment, and I think it's pretty doable.”

Erik Torenberg

Talk to a mayor about it.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. And I do think that as police forces get much higher-tech, it gets much more interesting for college graduates and people with higher education because it changes the nature of what policing is.

Ben Horowitz

When you have full intelligence, I can't overemphasize how much safer everybody is.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Police shootings of suspects in Vegas dropped about 75% when we first put the cameras and the drones in place. You're not in this weird, unknown situation where you don't know if they have a gun, you have a gun, or there aren't enough police around. All that makes for an extremely dangerous situation.

That's how you end up with this militarized-police situation, which is not a very sustainable idea.

Erik Torenberg

Let's go deeper on Vegas as a case study. Ben, what has most surprised you in your work with Vegas, or what do you think other cities can learn from the work that you guys are doing?

Ben Horowitz

I think the most surprising thing to me is just how much the actual community likes it. We've gotten criticism in the press and whatnot, of course.

Erik Torenberg

“Surveillance, Big Brother, like Ben's a penguin,” all that kind of thing.

Ben Horowitz

But the community—everybody who lives there—and Vegas is kind of a unique city in that it's got crime tourism.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. People fly in.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Let's do some crime and then fly out and all that kind of thing. And then there's a lot of people who go bananas.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

In Vegas, it's way beyond any criminal motivation. That's mental health, and mental health combined with hard drugs, combined with Vegas. So, there's a lot of that.

But for the people who live there—all the hospitality workers, the people who are working for tips, and all that kind of thing—the fact that we already had a very good police department in terms of community policing and the right culture, and then adding the technology to that, has made the community go, “Wow. I am proud to be here. I feel safe. I know that if a crime gets committed—”

We always say, “You can commit a crime in Vegas; you can't get away with it.” People really appreciate that. I've had so many people come up to me from all over the city saying, “Hey, thank you. We really see the difference and appreciate what you're doing,” and so forth. I didn't think it would be that visible that fast.

Garrett Langley

I think the other thing, too—and you may not actually know this—is that the model of what Vegas is doing has caught on more nationally. This public-private partnership is picking up speed because the pace of government innovation is quite slow.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. In private enterprise, whether it's an individual or a company, there are mutual incentives to be safer. Think about who the largest supporter of the Mooresville Police Department is: Lowe's, because Lowe's is based there.

Garrett Langley

And they have thousands of employees who live there.

Ben Horowitz

For Lowe's to spend $1 million is very small for them, but it can transform that police department. More cities are waking up to the fact that there's a better way to run a city.

This is so important because if you look at the Las Vegas PD, it's like, well, they've got—I don't know—thousands of officers. They've got a huge budget and this and that and the other. But can they make the marginal investment in technology? Absolutely not. It's very, very difficult. It's extremely bureaucratic. The budget is fixed. They don't want to have to lay off people to do it.

Erik Torenberg

And it's mostly headcount, right?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. It's mostly—it's almost all—headcount. By adding less than 1% to the police budget, you can completely transform the police force. It's pretty amazing.

It's very rewarding work, too. Just little things: We had a tremendous attrition problem in 911. 911 is a very stressful job. It takes 12 months to train somebody, and everybody was quitting.

Garrett Langley

They had 5-minute call waits for 911. Imagine waiting on hold for 5 minutes on 911. I was like, “Well, what’s the problem?” And they’re like, “The work conditions are hard. There’s no ice machine.” That was literally it.

So I was like, “Fuck that. I’ll buy that.” I bought an ice machine and an espresso machine. We put in a gym.

Ben Horowitz

And now the call waits are less than 30 seconds.

Garrett Langley

I think, to your point, in Atlanta, I’m on the police foundation board. I think we contribute about $30 million a year to the police department.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

I’ll never forget this. A couple of months ago, the head of the SWAT team came in and was like, “I would like new equipment.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

I was thinking, “Yeah, how bad can it be?” He walks in and it’s like—

Ben Horowitz

I mean, you would be embarrassed.

Garrett Langley

Your job is actually to go into the line of fire. He was like, “I would like $1 million to get all-new equipment for our SWAT team.” It’s very logical, but it’s hard when you’re a city. You have no flexibility in your budget. You have no ability to react.

Cities in general are under tremendous budget pressure. Most of them have run programs for years by borrowing from the future. They’re highly in debt, and they’ve got big pensions to pay off, so it’s really hard to change a city budget.

Erik Torenberg

It seems like relatively small amounts of money for these companies or individuals can make a massive difference. Is this repeatable in cities beyond Vegas? In San Francisco, how many companies would pay money to make it safer for their employees to come into the office every day?

Garrett Langley

I hope a lot.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. As soon as people see it, they want to do it. People just don’t know that’s possible. They’re like, “What? I can give money to the police?”

Garrett Langley

If you look at all of the latest innovations in San Francisco—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

In San Francisco, they’re 100% privately funded.

Erik Torenberg

Really?

Garrett Langley

100%. Now, they’re choosing to stay as quiet as they can, but I know—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. In San Francisco, look, we don’t want a repeat of Penguin Biden. So, like, you don’t—

Erik Torenberg

Well, let’s get a coalition.

Ben Horowitz

If I were donating in San Francisco, I would stay quiet as well.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Well, hey, it is interesting. For anyone listening, you should go tour the San Francisco Police Department’s Real-Time Crime Center. It’s powered by Flock.

I guarantee you will walk away and say, “Where do I sign a check to give?” Because you want a drone in your neighborhood. You want more cameras in your neighborhood. This is the way to do it.

Ben Horowitz

How much do we have to pay for the Xi homeless, you know, program when he comes?

Garrett Langley

It’s $1 million. Yeah, right, right. They literally raise taxes for this. It’s such a tiny amount of money compared to those sorts of things.

Erik Torenberg

Wow.

Garrett Langley

Just to close the loop on it, what we typically see, too—and this is the same in Vegas—is that the expectation is the first 1 or 2 years are covered, and then the city has to decide, “Do you want to keep it?” You roll it into a budget because, with enough notice, they can afford all these products. It’s just hard to get started.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. As we said earlier, no good deed goes unpunished, and Flock hasn’t been exempt from that because of all the great work that you’ve done solving a huge—is it like 20% of

Garrett Langley

We do about 1 million arrests this year.

Ben Horowitz

So what are the criticisms that you get?

I just want to point out: arrests of the right person. This is such a big thing in America. The number of people who, particularly if you live in the wrong neighborhood or look the wrong way, get arrested for the wrong crime—or get arrested when they’re totally innocent—has been a massive problem. One of those is a complete tragedy. So the fact that they’ve arrested 1 million of the correct people with a perfect AI match is really, really significant.

Garrett Langley

It is a cultural shock to a police department when you go from subjective-based policing to objective-based policing, like Ben’s describing. We get predominantly criticized for privacy, which I find falsely focused. I don’t think there’s any privacy erosion in Flock. I think Flock puts a spotlight on trust issues.

I’ll give you a good example.

Ben Horowitz

And, by the way, the Flock cameras are all in public spaces.

Garrett Langley

Yeah, yeah. And it’s—

Ben Horowitz

So whatever you’re doing in public, somebody probably has a phone and is really invading your privacy.

Garrett Langley

The ironic part is, when we do get criticisms from people who are less familiar with technology, I laugh because I’m like, “Do your eyes work?” If the federal government wanted to find you, a license-plate reader is the dumbest way to do it. I’ll just get a cellphone dump.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

I’ll know your exact location in real time—

Ben Horowitz

By the way, which is what they do.

Garrett Langley

Yes, because it’s way more effective. So I think, for the privacy thing, it’s quite false. The trust is real, though.

If you go to some communities, they do not trust their police department.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

That’s what this highlights. If you don’t trust your police department, you don’t want them to have guns, you don’t want them to have technology, and you want them to go away. There are some communities where that trust is deeply fissured, and we’re not going to fix it. I don’t think that’s our job. We’re not fixing it; we’re just highlighting it.

Typically, when we see critics, they call it privacy, but that’s just a cover for, “I don’t trust the police to do their job effectively.” What we try to do, at least in our tools, is build those levers. If you’re in Piedmont, California, you can go to their transparency page and see: Why are they using Flock? How are they using it? What are they doing? That’s actually good for building more and more trust.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. It seems like some people are scared about a world in which there’s so little trust in the police that basically everyone is getting private security—all these neighborhood—

Ben Horowitz

That’s the irony of “defund the police.” It’s defund the police for poor people; it’s privatize the police for rich people.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, which has failed in many countries.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, and it’s not a good idea, by the way.

Erik Torenberg

No, no, no. Yeah, and say more about why that is.

Ben Horowitz

Crime is committed 98% against poor people. Those are the victims of crime. So you take away the public funding of police for poor people, and you basically end up with a completely degenerate society. You turn whole neighborhoods into the Third World, which, by the way, we have in the United States in a really major way.

You just have to put yourself in the position of somebody who is trying to raise kids in that environment. It is crazy that that happens in this country. It’s absolutely insane.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I mean, if you look at the core premise of America, it’s economic mobility. I want to do better than my parents. I want my kids to do better than me.

You have to have 3 things to do that. You have to have food, right? And to Ben’s point on privatizing, one of the biggest issues in poor communities is a lack of food sources. Second is that you have to have shelter. Third is that you have to be safe.

If you don’t have a bedrock of safety in your life, nothing else can be done. Your entire mind becomes occupied by, “Can I actually walk to school?”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

“Will I make it to 18? 21?”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

If you look at that, by privatizing, you remove a core tenet of economic mobility, which is what you see politically. We start to say, “I don’t believe in the American dream anymore because it didn’t work for me.” I think the fundamental risk is that we have a generation of kids who don’t think America will work for them.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

I think that’s actually a huge problem. You also mentioned that 98% is against poor people. It’s also done by a very small percentage of people who commit all the crimes.

Ben Horowitz

Yep.

Erik Torenberg

And so what do we do with that percentage of people? People talk about criminal-justice reform. Sometimes they talk about basically not putting criminals in prison and letting them free. What is the steelman of how we solve for this? What do we do to address this?

Ben Horowitz

Well, look, I think, first, there’s a separate conversation about prison reform. The way the prison system works, and the incentives in it in the United States, has a lot of issues. Principally, we’ve gone completely away from rehabilitation, and some of this comes from time-based sentencing and other things.

Our recidivism rate is over 70% in the United States. In countries that do a better job, it can be much below 40%. So we are throwing away people. Look, there are certain people who are psychopaths, and we’re never going to reform them.

But there’s a big distinction. Most people in prison—I had this conversation with my friend Shaka Senghor, who was in prison for 20 years—are actually better people. So there are people whose idiot friend had the idea to go rob the local drug dealer or whatever, and then they get caught up, and then they’re in prison. Now, the problem is those people who could be productive citizens, once they get to prison, become trained to be much harder criminals.

That would be a huge cost savings for the country, too. It would be much better for society and much better for people who get arrested. But I would just say that’s an independent problem from law enforcement. I think the problem with mixing those two is that the prison system needs reform and needs to be improved, but we still have to keep people safe.

You have to address those a bit independently. You’re not going to solve the prison problem by not enforcing the law. You just punish the victims on behalf of the criminals at that point, which I think is a very dangerous thing for a society to do. You basically create an incentive for nobody to be productive: an incentive for murder, an incentive for robbery, an incentive for rape, all that kind of thing.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. G, why don’t you say more on the policy side? Are there certain cities where certain policies are much more effective that others should learn from?

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Well, to Ben’s point, just to close that out, there’s evil in the world. Flock, or any of us, isn’t going to fix that. We will always need some place to deal with them.

The question is about the 99% of criminals today who are not evil. They’re more capitalistic or opportunistic criminals. To your point, there are some interesting activities, particularly around nonviolent juveniles or young adults, where putting them in prison is the worst thing to do. They will go from nonviolent to violent in months, and they will get stuck in it for their entire life.

We’re seeing more and more cities say there’s a better way to do this. You can go to 2 places, 3 places, right? You can go to work, you can go to school, or you can go home. It’s way better than jail. It’s cheaper for the city, and it’s actually teaching them to become productive members of society.

I think for us, that’s probably the most important policy change we’re starting to see: less of a mindset that we should throw people in jail. The other thing we’re looking at—and we actually had a great conversation with the DA here in San Francisco, Brooke Jenkins—is that there also needs to be some technology. Either Flock is an enabler, or someone should build one to make that part of the process go faster.

I was in Shelby County in Tennessee, in Memphis, and there are thousands of people waiting for trial. What do you think is happening in that place? They’re becoming criminals. There’s also an effort to speed up the judicial system, and I don’t think more humans are the answer.

Erik Torenberg

We’re also seeing more and more cities adopt technology to speed that up.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Actually, in Vegas, just to show you how fixable this problem is, they have this anti-recidivism program called Hope for Prisoners, which teaches prisoners coming out of jail how to get back into society and helps them get jobs. The Vegas prosecutor will, if you’re an 18-year-old kid and you commit a first-time offense and it’s not violent, send you to Hope for Prisoners. They won’t prosecute you; they’ll send you to Hope for Prisoners, and you go through the rehabilitation program. They have close to 0% recidivism on that program.

Ben Horowitz

Just because a lot of the time, people become criminals because that is a career path.

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

If you create an alternative career path, nobody wants to go to jail. Nobody wants to be on that path unless you’re insane or a real psycho. That’s not the path people want to be on; it’s just a path they end up on. Creating other avenues is really good, but you also have to disincentivize the criminal career path.

Garrett Langley

Yeah.

Ben Horowitz

Those go together.

Erik Torenberg

Delancey Street Restaurant is another example. Is that a successful example?

Ben Horowitz

Yeah, of course. Definitely.

Erik Torenberg

It’s a restaurant, and they take people who have previously been in prison and give them sort of—

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. No, look, I think businesses hiring people, particularly out of prison—and I think the Delancey Street hires a lot of people out of juvenile hall—taking kids out of the system early is very productive.

Once you’ve been in prison for 10 or 20 years, it’s really hard to adapt back into society. It’s a very different world.

Erik Torenberg

It gives them a lot of dignity. They tell their story to people. It’s a very moving place.

What’s interesting is that there’s sometimes what I’d call a form of gaslighting, where they say, “What are you complaining about? Crime is down. Look at all the numbers. Why do you feel unsafe? That’s just a clip you saw on Twitter by some right-wing person. Why are you feeling unsafe walking the streets of San Francisco?” What’s the right way of thinking about that?

Garrett Langley

It’s funny you mentioned that. There’s an elected official, a state representative of a certain state—I won’t disclose her information—and she was a very loud antagonist to Flock. Sadly, she was like a lot of political figures: she was the victim of a targeted attack. Her house was shot at.

She’s a massive fan of Flock now because that person was arrested within minutes because there was a Flock on her street. Number 1, they’re like, “Yeah, we got the guy. He’s in custody,” and he had been posting online about, “She’s this, she’s that.”

There is a bit of, “Oh, we want to defund the police, just not in our city.”

Ben Horowitz

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

Garrett Langley

And that’s the main message.

Ben Horowitz

Well, a lot of the politicians who want to defund the police have massive private security.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. If you’ve got 3 guys walking around with you all the time, you feel fine.

Erik Torenberg

But I also think, for me at least, our expectations of safety should only go up.

Garrett Langley

Just like we expect information at our fingertips, why shouldn’t we feel safe everywhere we go?

Erik Torenberg

They say, “Hey, living in a city is dangerous. That’s what you signed up for.”

Ben Horowitz

I’ve only gotten into 1 argument with an antagonist. I said, “I just don’t think crime should exist.” He was like, “I think it’s just a part of living in a big city,” and I was like, “That seems horrible.” It’s like trash, too. I like clean streets. These are not unreasonable things to ask for.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. That seems like a very odd perspective.

Erik Torenberg

I understand. Particularly if you’re a young person, I could see why you’d worry about overly aggressive policing, putting too many people in prison for the wrong crimes, or militarized police.

Ben Horowitz

All those seem like reasonable concerns.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I guess the thing for me is—

Erik Torenberg

Who’s going to decide how many homicides is okay?

Garrett Langley

Right?

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. And is it okay to say that you or your family or your friends are the ones who should be subject to that?

Garrett Langley

And then most people would say no to that. It’s fine for the other guy.

Ben Horowitz

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

What I think, to Ben’s point, too, is that the number of times we’ve been in debates where you’ve got a privileged person in a community articulating a desire for less policing, yet the person who actually needs it is sitting there saying, “Wait, wait, wait. Time out. I actually want more.”

Ben Horowitz

And that’s what every town hall looks like. You shouldn’t be making decisions for other people.

Garrett Langley

Yeah, I’m so empathetic. I want you murdered, right? That’s the—

Ben Horowitz

It’s the safest thing for you.

Garrett Langley

Yeah, it’s so crazy.

Well, the other thing on crime statistics is that it’s pretty widely known that a lot of crime statistics have been faked, underreported, et cetera. If you’re not prosecuting crimes—particularly in San Francisco, we had this where they don’t get called in—if your car got broken into in San Francisco and you called the police, they would be like, “What do you want us to do? We’re not going to prosecute it.” So people just stopped calling.

Ben Horowitz

The real measure of this is the surveys that they’ve done in almost every city: have you been a victim of a crime? That goes in the opposite direction from the actual official crime statistics.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. Over longitudinal data, I just think it’s a narrative that’s supported by fake numbers, right?

Ben Horowitz

It’s also the stuff that’s unreported: do you feel safe walking in your city? Do you feel safe with your kids walking at night?

Garrett Langley

And, by the way, the reporting on that did change after 2020.

So, literally, the practices of how crimes are recorded and how crimes are prosecuted changed. People say, “The trend line is correct even if the numbers...” No, it’s not. It’s not correct.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. And what I love about what you guys are doing at Flock is that you’re giving cities and states the technology so they can choose where they want to be on the spectrum, basically. Talk a little more about that, because different places have different values.

Garrett Langley

Yeah. I mean, there are probably 2 big levers that a city can pull. One is retention. Before Flock was started, there were other companies in this space, and they would historically store location data in perpetuity. My philosophy starting the company was that this seemed more of a risk than an asset because it was just a lot of data. We store it for 30 days, but you can flex that up and down.

In New Jersey, they store it for 5 years. That’s the state law; that’s not our choice. California has a maximum of 90 days. We have some agencies in California that store it for 7 days. You could store it for 1 day.

The efficacy is probably linearly correlated with the retention period, because how often do you call in a crime the same day it happens? Actually, not every time. You may be away, your car may be stolen—whatever it could be. So, one is data retention, and the second is data sharing: what other police departments do you want to work with?

Criminals don’t really care where cities start and stop, but cities do, by design. You can control where you share. In some states, like California, the data can never leave the state. Virginia recently adopted a similar bill. Illinois, Colorado, and more states are saying, “Hey, we trust our state.” I think that’s an okay approach. I worry about it, though. Ben, do criminals ever leave California for Nevada? I think they do.

Ben Horowitz

By the way, this is one of the things we ran into on the Tupac case. The LAPD did so much stuff to foul that case in Las Vegas, which is why that murder went unsolved for almost 30 years.

Erik Torenberg

And why did they do that?

Ben Horowitz

Well, in that case, the LAPD was corrupt. There were literally criminals in the police force protecting the criminals who killed Tupac. Thankfully, we reopened the cold case and caught the guy.

When you think about it in terms of the actual victim—

Erik Torenberg

Yeah, and how bad it was that one of the great artists of the half-century ended up being portrayed as this weird criminal, a victim of a crime, because we never solved it.

Ben Horowitz

That’s what happens when you don’t share information. That’s a real issue.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

But for us, we’ve got some agencies in some of the most liberal cities in the country that are huge fans of Flock. They tweak it to their liking, and I think we just get back to the fact that it’s not our job as a company to write the law or decide what laws are enforced.

Immigration is not enforced in California. I don’t care. That’s up to Californians. I live in Georgia, and we have different expectations of what’s criminal and what’s not criminal. There’s a difference between local, state, and federal authorities.

We just try to stay out of it and say, “Good luck, everyone. We’re here to support.”

Erik Torenberg

I think you have bigger fish to fry, certainly, Garrett. Sometimes, as a society, it’s really hard. This is one of the challenges with democracy: some of these problems are very complex. Crime and punishment is a systemic, complicated issue, and it’s hard for people who are really digging into the problem to design the right system.

Once you throw it into politics, anybody says anything, and it gets all convoluted—this and that and the other. It’s really tough to deal with that. I think that’s why we don’t have a much better system than we have.

Garrett Langley

But I think the other thing, too, Ben, to your point, is that when it happens, that complication becomes very simple when you have strong leadership with a backbone—normally in a mayor, a DA, a city council, and a sheriff—where they say, “I’m going to arrest you if you commit a crime in my city.”

Ben Horowitz

Yep.

Garrett Langley

You have to say that out loud. You have to say it and do it.

Ben Horowitz

Well, but then the problem is you’re going to get arrested, the prosecutor is going to prosecute you, and the judge is going to enforce the law. It’s a much harder combination than you might think. There has been—

Erik Torenberg

Wow.

Ben Horowitz

—a huge push to decriminalize crime, essentially, in this country, and it’s still going on. There are still prosecutors and judges who are funded basically for the purpose of not convicting people.

Yep.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

And is that for ideological reasons? Do we have a big organized-crime problem in this country, or was there, as you mentioned earlier, a big disorganized-crime problem?

Garrett Langley

I will say, though, that the sheer sophistication of some criminal groups is actually astonishing. There is definitely low-level crime, but there are truly a large number of Eastern European and South American gangs operating large-scale businesses.

I call them businesses because, while they commit crime, they don’t run sloppy. I’ll give you an example in the logistics space. Ben and I are 2 buddies from Eastern Europe. We go and buy a freight-forwarding company—a legitimate company—and we start receiving semis full of product.

Guess what? They just disappear. After about a month, we shut the company down and disappear. We’ve taken tens of millions of dollars of goods, and then we flip them on Facebook Marketplace and all the secondary places, and it’s clean. No one gets shot, and everything looks clean on paper.

It’s obviously not easy. You have to be sophisticated, but this is large-scale, and it works.

Ben Horowitz

This is what happened when crime went really crazy in San Francisco. I had a long conversation with Mayor Breed about it. In San Francisco, the whole political movement was, “People are hungry. You can’t arrest them for shoplifting,” and so forth.

As soon as we did that, massive gangs took everything out of the stores. They ended up shutting down the big mall. There’s no shopping in San Francisco whatsoever anymore, so all the citizens got punished. But it wasn’t hungry people. It was organized crime systematically selling the goods.

The people they deployed were low-level criminals. You can just pick a kid to rob the thing for you and pay them. But that’s not what’s going on. It’s not that the kid is hungry; it’s that the kid is now a career criminal working for an organized gang, probably from South America.

The side effects of these off-the-cuff, nobody-thought-it-through, crazy ideas are highly consequential.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett, talk about what the world looks like in a world where Flock achieves its goal. What’s the future of policing? Flock cameras on every block—talk about that.

Garrett Langley

I think the word Ben used was “intelligence,” and so much of that shift is starting to happen. I would add “precision.” I’ll paint for you a picture of a recent success story that, to me, is the future. It just hasn’t happened in every city yet.

There’s an individual who leaves a hospital mentally unwell and shoots someone in a drive-by, just driving by and starting to shoot people. This is a real story. Because all the police departments in the city and the neighboring cities worked together, they put out a hot-list entry: “Hey, we’re looking for this vehicle. Armed, dangerous, mentally unwell.”

That vehicle pulls into the largest commercial center in one of the cities. It’s a big mall, and the mall is also a Flock customer. The police department gets a ding on that camera and says, “Hey, we found this guy.”

Now, let’s pause. The traditional response is that you deploy SWAT, and it’s going to take about 15 minutes to get everyone ready. They’re going to come in hot, and someone’s going to die. It’s not clear who—either a citizen, an officer, or the suspect—but let’s assume someone’s going to die.

Just as a matter of fact, that mall is also going to see a dramatic decline in attendance. It could probably lead to the end of the mall, which isn’t good for that city, either.

Okay, let’s unpause. What happened? Sitting at a comfortable desk like we are here, a real-time crime-center operator clicks a button that says, “Launch drone.” The drone is at the mall in about 40 seconds. From about half a mile away, we can zoom in and find that the individual has a tattoo.

We pulled that because we have a product called Nova. When an LPR hit comes through, we can say, “Oh, wow. This person has been arrested 6 times. Is there any—oh, there is interesting information. This person has a very distinguishable forearm tattoo.” So, we spot the tattoo halfway.

This guy has no idea we're following him. We don't see a gun. Two plainclothes officers walk up. The whole time, they know they've got overhead protection. They're being helped just like you would in the Army. They take him down. No one has any idea.

Then they present this to city council, and city council was like, “We need drones everywhere.”

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

We need drones everywhere. It's safer, it's more precise, and there's a level of intelligence.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

When I look at this police department, they've got all their data integrated. They have all their sensors integrated. It's just happening. And I think for us, when we think about a kind of agentic layer on top of that, you can start to reduce some of your staffing problems.

Some of these jobs—no one wants to work the night shift. Some jobs are just not fun.

Ben Horowitz

There's a way to do it with software.

Garrett Langley

So I think that kind of intelligent, precise policing is where we want to go. I think the net effect of that, to Ben's earlier point, is officers spend more time with their community.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

Less time filling out paperwork, less time writing reports, and more time engaged.

Erik Torenberg

Just one quick last story. Don't you have a couple of stories of actually saving a baby?

Garrett Langley

Oh, I mean, we helped return over 450 missing children this year.

Erik Torenberg

Oh, my God.

Garrett Langley

And that's the not-funny aha, where people are like, “Oh, we should ban Flock,” and I'm like, “Until your child is stolen.”

Erik Torenberg

Yeah.

Garrett Langley

I've got 3 kids, and I want to know that if anything goes wrong with them, Flock is there.

Erik Torenberg

Yeah. And this is like, you get carjacked, and your baby's in the back seat, and they take the baby—that kind of thing.

Garrett Langley

I know it happened. I mean, there was a case down in San Diego this year where this happened—it was at a mall. A guy hops in, with a kid in the back. Obviously, that wasn't part of the plan, but it became part of the plan. Thankfully, they've got a lot of Flock cameras in San Diego, and we were able to get the individual.

That doesn't happen every day in your city, but it happens every day in the country.

Ben Horowitz

Well, Garrett, you're doing heroic work, and one of the most inspiring things about working at a16z is working with you. So thank you for the work that you do.

Erik Torenberg

Thank you for your service. We appreciate it. Thank you.

《我们如何消除犯罪》| Ben Horowitz and Garrett Langley — 文字稿与摘要 | BidClub