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Invest Like the Best · · 89 分钟

Royce Yudkoff 与 Rick Ruback:收购式创业——[Invest Like the Best,第423期]

Patrick O'ShaughnessyRick RubackRoyce Yudkoff

播客
TL;DR
  • 收购式创业已经分化为两条路径:有资金支持的搜索基金瞄准更大公司,平均企业价值约为$20M,大型交易估值可达6-8x;自筹资金的买家则追逐EBITDA低于$1M、估值约3-4x的企业。 后者可使用最高$5M的政府担保SBA贷款,杠杆率最高可达80-90%;视交易结构而定,搜索者仍可能保留约60-80%的股权。两位教授都认同Ruback的表述,这也是本期节目的核心原则:「倍数里才有魔法」(The magic is in the multiples)。
  • 自筹收购的算术依然异常诱人:以4x买入,企业在增长前就能带来25%的无杠杆资产回报率。 以8-10%的债务成本融资80%,再给投资人足够普通股权以实现约35%的目标回报,搜索者仍可保留60-70%的股权。较低的买入倍数也会在业绩不及预期时加快去杠杆,因为「很难做到归零」。
  • 有资金支持和自筹资金的搜索,如今承载着截然不同的风险画像。 在与私募股权和战略买家竞争的环境下,有资金搜索者找不到标的的比例已升至50%以上;而追逐更稳定、小型企业的自筹搜索者,这一比例似乎低于25%。Ruback的印象是,有资金搜索越来越像风险投资组合,而自筹交易更像保守型私募股权。有资金搜索投资人历史上的IRR在30%出头,但Yudkoff认为这一回报正在缓慢下行。
  • 胜出的收购筛选标准优先考虑可预测现金流,而非增长。 Ruback和Yudkoff希望上一年度收入中有80-90%能够重复出现,客户和供应商集中度低,周期性有限,运营轻资产,而且买家本人能够管理这家公司;有吸引力的增长当然欢迎,但并非必要。他们也质疑缺乏经验的老板能否纯靠远程方式管理企业。由于没有价格可承受、又能满足全部条件的公司,买家只能通过「浸泡在交易流里」培养判断力。
  • 资本充裕,但优质、可转移的企业和真正下定决心出售的卖家依然稀缺。 想投资优秀搜索者的投资人多于已经准备好的搜索者,但一家EBITDA约$750K的优质企业仍可能以接近4x的价格成交,因为这个市场高度分散、信息成本高。机会还会自我更新:下中端市场是「你最好的竞争对手每年都会离开的地方」,因为成功基金筹得更多资本后会转向更大规模的交易。
  • 小额交易的尽调必须像审查财务数据一样严格地审查卖家本人。 隐蔽风险包括「一份工作,而不是一家公司」、多个卖家并非同样坚定地想出售,以及个人费用加回接近EBITDA的50%,而非惯常的5-6%。买家应保持每周沟通,并在报价中预留意外空间,因为尽调后把预期$5M的价格压到$4M,往往会直接谈崩。
  • 运营价值通常比买家预期更晚出现,也可能在持有期结束后继续延续。 搜索者通常预测首年增长5-10%,但由于出售过程分散公司注意力,企业往往先出现下滑;客户沟通随后会暴露出前任老板拒绝推出的服务,第三年通常才迎来突破。风险投资级别的离群结果极少见,但连续出现3x、间或出现7-10x赢家、并夹杂少数1x回报,是合理的结果分布;即便如此,成功的老板仍可能在第5或第6年出售,因为其95%的财富都集中在一项缺乏流动性的资产上。
  • 随着年长创始人逐渐没有时间继续等待更平静的市场,卖家供给可能迎来增强。 典型老板用了20-25年打造一家专业化企业,却没有内部接班人,如今「钱比时间多」;另一边则是渴望扩张、背负杠杆的年轻买家。Ruback谨慎预测,COVID时代的波动曾反复促使老板再等一年,压抑的出售需求可能在未来3-4年集中释放。
摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. ETA已经分化为两个越来越不同的市场

  • Ruback观察到,自2016年以来最大的变化是市场明显分叉:有资金支持的搜索者转向平均企业价值约$20M的标的,而自筹、配偶或家族出资的买家越来越多地追逐EBITDA低于$1M的公司。

  • 相应的入场价格也已经分开。小型买家可以找到3-4x左右的企业,例如卖方可支配收益约$600K的公司;规模更大的有资金交易,倍数则可能达到6-8x。

  • Yudkoff认为融资机制至关重要:美国公民可以使用最高$5M的政府担保SBA贷款,在成熟企业交易中有时实现80-90%的杠杆,同时贡献人才和「汗水股权」。引入外部股权后,创业者仍可能持有70-80%的股份。

  • 这条路径也逐渐摆脱了「古怪」的名声。过去,父母会担心那些穿着睡衣在家寻找收购标的的毕业生是不是正在经历「抑郁发作」;如今,学生能在不同背景中找到几十个先例,且有相当一部分人选择独立发起人模式,聘请经理运营,而不是亲自经营一家企业。

2. 自筹交易经济性惊人,有资金搜索的风险则越来越像风投

  • Ruback把搜索者风险拆成找不到标的,以及买下一家糟糕企业两类。前一种情况可能因为意向书破裂、尽调失败、卖家犹豫,或业绩恶化迫使双方重新谈价,而消耗整整2年。

  • 如今有资金搜索找不到标的的比例似乎已超过50%,高于过去约三分之一的水平,因为更大规模的目标会让搜索者直接面对战略买家和私募股权的竞争。对于追逐「无聊」且能长期盈利企业的自筹搜索者,Ruback认为这一比例低于25%。

  • Yudkoff援引历史数据称,有资金搜索投资人的IRR在30%出头,显著高于他所认为的大型私募股权通常能实现的10%出头至15%左右;但他认为这项溢价正在逐渐收窄。融资安排和投资人尽调,也让根本性糟糕的收购比外界想象中更少见。

  • 自筹交易的算术更锋利:4x买入意味着企业在增长前就能产生25%的资产回报率;以8-10%的债务成本融资80%,既能支持投资人约35%的目标回报,也能让搜索者保留60-70%的普通股权。由于现金收益会快速偿还债务,「很难做到归零」。

  • Ruback明确为风投类比加上限定:这只是他的印象,不是严格的统计结论;在他看来,有资金搜索越来越像风险投资,靠组合中的赢家和亏损来实现回报。无资金搜索则更像私募股权,可能更安全。

3. 资本充裕,可转移的小企业稀缺

  • Yudkoff确认了O’Shaughnessy关于资本供给的判断:如今急于支持有才华、准备充分的搜索者的投资人,多于这样的搜索者本身。瓶颈已经从融资转向人才和合适的企业。

  • Ruback认为,持续存在的机会来自流动性不足、市场分散和信息成本。具备经常性收入、能够持续盈利的公司出乎意料地难以识别和转让,使市场无法像公开市场或更大型的私募市场那样高效出清。

  • 价格异常在市场底部依然存在:一家EBITDA约$750K、客户多元化且收入经常性的优质企业,仍可能以4x出售。EBITDA达到$1.5M或$2M的可比公司通常已经不会以这个倍数交易。

  • 有资金搜索越来越由专业化机构组合主导,因此对投资人来说,单笔有资金交易可能「令人害怕」。但市场并未被垄断:搜索者通常偏好引入10-12位投资人,以获得多元建议并分散股权;自筹买家则可能从前雇主、同学或家族朋友那里筹集规模不大的股权资金。

4. 收入质量和买入价格正确时,增长只是可选项

  • Yudkoff有意把增长排除在必选标准之外:「不是因为我们反对增长——我们欢迎增长——但你不需要增长。」Ruback的表述是,两人都认同「倍数里才有魔法」,而不是假定收入必须快速复合增长。

  • 第一项要求是经常性收入,范围从合同收入到在精算意义上可预测的重复购买。如果每年1月2日就能看见上一年度80-90%的收入,杠杆会更安全,营销也可以保持「进攻态势」——增加客户,而不是填补流失。

  • 配套筛选标准包括客户和供应商集中度低、经济周期性低,以及优秀的自由现金流转化能力。Yudkoff建议学生关注商业服务企业,因为这类公司的EBITDA「几乎完全等于自由现金流」,从而减少再投资需求和资本配置的复杂性。

  • 适配度最终决定一家不完美的公司是否值得买。「如果你对皮毛过敏,就不要买宠物店」,Ruback说;前军官往往能理解蓝领团队,因为「这就像带一个排」。买家还必须考虑企业所在地:Ruback怀疑一名年轻且缺乏经验的老板能否稳定地纯靠远程方式经营公司。

  • 大约100个挂牌标的最后产生了12种不同的学生偏好,说明真正的功课不是找到每项条件都满足的公司,而是判断「多好才算够好」。

5. 年长老板创造供给,但外部冲击推迟了交接

  • Yudkoff心目中的典型卖家用了约25年,把专业技能打造为一家可能拥有60名员工、年收入$1.5M的公司。企业如今更需要一名训练有素的经理,而不是工匠型创始人,但缺少足以支持家族被动持有的管理层梯队。

  • 年龄最终会成为催化剂:卖家终会「钱比时间多」,不再想每周五工作,也不再想开拓下一个地区。收购创业者则「不富有,但精力充沛、饥渴」,Ruback补充说,还背负着杠杆;同一项扩张机会从买家角度看因此更具吸引力。

  • Ruback认为,COVID推迟了交易,而不是消灭了交易。异常强劲、疲弱或波动的业绩污染了买家要审视的4-5年历史数据,促使老板一次又一次等待稳定。随着关税、通胀和新的冲击延长等待期,他谨慎预测,积压的出售需求将在未来3-4年集中释放,之后供给回到稳定状态。

6. 不同行业最终汇聚到相同的经常性经济性

  • 软件企业也可能符合标准,但Ruback偏好服务于足科医生或小型市政机构等市场的细分、成熟产品。这类企业可能需要改进或迁移网站,却较少面临时髦应用或社交媒体领域那种「灾难性变化」。

  • 屋顶维修、HVAC、兽医、车库门和汽车维修在运营上各不相同,但经济性相似:重复购买或刚性需求,客户和供应商多元化,周期性有限。每隔几年,搜索者就会迎来一次「顿悟时刻」,发现一个拥有相同底层画像的新类别。

  • Logan Leslie的汽车维修连锁整合案例展示了管理机会。一名优秀技师把门店扩张到8或10个工位后,最终会把大量时间花在招聘、订货和会计上;将这些职能集中管理,就能让「出色的技师继续当技师」,而管理工作由总部处理。

  • Ruback对立即升级技术尤其谨慎。新老板往往还没理解业务,就想花数十万美元购买CRM;他的建议是:「如果老老板靠便利贴管理,就买些便利贴」,等到第1年结束、买家已经成为更好的管理者后,再决定是否升级。

7. 卖家性格和交易机制有时与公司本身同等重要

  • Yudkoff发现的第一个隐藏风险是「一份工作,而不是一家公司」:收入可能依赖老板的个人关系或不可替代的专业知识。Ruback关注的另一个风险是多个卖家,尤其是70多岁和50多岁的合伙人,因为数月的尽调可能在年轻合伙人最终直面出售意味着什么时彻底崩盘。

  • Ruback说:「真正下定决心出售的卖家,至少和好公司一样难找。」买家不能只理解卖家口头说出的出售理由,还必须确认每一位决策者在交易真正落地时都会签字。

  • 小企业将个人费用计入账目,合理情况下可以加回EBITDA;在EBITDA为$1.5M的企业中计入$100K属于常态。但当加回项目接近50%,而不是5-6%时,Yudkoff担心的就不再是文件是否齐全,而是卖家的人品:一个愿意「在规则边缘操作」的人,会保留信息优势,「可能给我胸口一刀」。

  • Ruback倾向于固定在每周三开会,让双方用周一和周二完成之前的承诺,再用周四和周五执行新的安排。他还希望初始报价足以吸收合同缺失、保险不足、奖金未付或加薪拖欠等问题,避免把卖家心理上已经花掉的$5M出售所得砍到$4M,最终引发非理性解约。

8. 价值在首年低谷后才出现,而且可能比老板等待的时间复合得更久

  • 实际规律与乐观的承销假设相反:买家预计首年增长5-10%,但实际往往亏损,或比基准情景低约5%。卖家通常在好年景完成交易,交易过程会分散公司注意力,而新老板仍在学习。

  • 但与客户沟通会暴露出前任老板没有追求的增长机会。年轻买家听到客户提出相邻服务需求时会说:「我们可以做。」Ruback理想中的公司应当让客户满意、稳定交付、立即纠错,并把老板的手机号交给客户。第3年通常才是这些机会开始显现的时候。

  • Yudkoff说,达到Asurion规模的结果「极其罕见」。更有代表性的结果序列是「3x、3x、3x、3x、8x」,随后继续出现更多3x结果,间或出现7x或10x赢家;Ruback补充说,分布中也应包含一些1x结果。

  • Will Thorndike的数据让他得出结论:「所有人都卖得太早。」成功企业可以在第7、第8、第10甚至第12年继续复合增长。Yudkoff大体认同,但Ruback保留了反面观点:当创业者95%的财富都集中在一家缺乏流动性的公司里时,在第5或第6年出售可能是理性的,因为个人总风险已经压过了组合逻辑。

9. 成功的搜索从打电话开始,而不是从行业理论开始

  • Ruback坚持说,搜索「不是撑杆跳」:下定决心,通过Google寻找经纪人,加入他们的邮件名单,查阅数据库,然后和企业老板交谈。他给学生布置的第一项每周作业很简单:「和一位老板见面」,因为一次真实对话比又做一套抽象计划更有价值。

  • 地域型搜索高度个人化:有些搜索者会搬到目标地区,参加每一场商会活动,从不独自吃早餐或午餐,必要时挨家挨户拜访当地老板。全国范围的搜索则更多依赖经纪人或直接接触行业参与者。

  • Yudkoff给出了规模数据:美国约有3,000名小企业经纪人,每年约有300,000家小企业易手。进入交易流并不难,难的是筛出质量、价格和卖家意愿都合适的标的。

  • 参与者数量依然是个谜。每年约920名毕业生中,只有20-25人立即开始搜索,几年后可能再增加约20人。Yudkoff如今接受其他人做出留在大企业的理性选择:那里有企业资源、体面的同事和知名品牌;Ruback补充说,并不是每个人都想承担CEO最难的任务——在没有人替你定义任务时,自己写下待办事项。

10. 案例教学把理论转化为模式识别

  • Yudkoff形容这门课极其务实,案例主角几乎会参加每一堂课,让学生回答两个关于自己的问题:「我想成为这样的人吗?我能做这个人正在做的事吗?」每个案例要么用来检验这条职业道路,要么用来提高成功概率。

  • Ruback的补充值得保留:他们确实教授大量理论,但「是在实践语境中教授」。一个卖家降价10%的案例,可以让学生看到成本不变时,全部利润空间如何被抹掉;如果债务融资比例为70%,这样一个看似温和的决定甚至会摧毁股权价值。

  • Ruback最喜欢的结课案例之一,讲的是一名MIT生物学博士花了约280天,试图收购美国最大的兔肉屠宰厂,并将其副产品开发为生物科技产品。问题一次次被重新打开,这段视频把搜索过程中的挫败感变成了亲身体验:「我想我只能回去继续工作了。」

  • 对于人工智能,Ruback明确限定了自己的判断,因为他「不是很懂技术」。他真正信任的是基于案例的模式识别:校友至今仍会把营运资金问题识别为「这就是Butler Lumber」,而他怀疑任何人都不可能仅靠「Google出答案」,获得数百个案例和长期努力才能形成的判断力。

11. 最终的配置问题,是如何度过一生的职业生涯

  • 在共同经营一家成功的私募股权公司25年后,Yudkoff和合伙人设想自己在75或80岁回望人生。再增加15年、把职业生涯凑到40年,已经不再像是合理的职业生涯配置,尤其是新一代人才已经准备好接班。

  • 真正起催化作用的一句话来自合伙人某天深夜:「我们刚开始做这件事时,时间比钱多;现在钱比时间多,我们应该据此行动。」离开自己擅长、也做得很好的工作令人不适应,但与Ruback合作教学,为他提供了一个不同、最终也令人满意的第二幕。

  • 他们与校友的关系仍在延续,校友会就交易、滚存投资、董事会席位和模糊的运营决策提出问题。Yudkoff认为,打电话的人通常已经知道答案,只是想获得可信赖的确认;两位合伙人开玩笑说,学生怀疑自己错了时会打给Ruback——他认为「反馈就是礼物」;怀疑自己对了时则会打给Yudkoff。

  • Ruback的底层信念是,管理得更好的小企业会改善客户、员工和社区的生活。教了几十年公司金融,他很少听到有人说现金流折现改变了自己的人生;如今,他经常听到学生说这门课「起到了关键作用」,这份来自实践的证据让两位教授都觉得自己的工作有意义。

Patrick O’Shaughnessy

My guests today are Rick Ruback and Royce Yudkoff. Rick and Royce are Harvard Business School professors who teach their students how to search for, acquire, and run small businesses directly after graduation. It’s nuts, but it’s been almost a decade since our first conversation, and unlike many past interviews that become outdated due to technology or market changes, the core principles they shared about entrepreneurship through acquisition remain remarkably relevant today.

They explore fascinating developments in the search fund ecosystem, including the bifurcation between funded searchers targeting larger companies and self-funded entrepreneurs finding success with smaller businesses. Rick and Royce share their accumulated wisdom on what makes a company worth buying, why the magic is in the multiples, and how their students consistently achieve impressive returns through patient, value-oriented business acquisition.

Please enjoy my second great conversation with Rick Ruback and Royce Yudkoff. So, Royce and Rick, it is so fun to be doing this with you both again almost 10 years later. As I was reviewing our first conversation, which was one of the most popular very early on in the Invest Like the Best story, one thing that’s quite funny is that, if you look at the interviews around it, many of them are now irrelevant in the sense that the observations of the guests have evolved so much with technology or market changes or whatever that they’re not all that useful.

Whereas yours, when I listen to it, you could argue we could just republish that one and capture a lot of the spirit of the power of entrepreneurship, entrepreneurship through acquisition, and investing that you teach and advocate for. I think that’s so cool. I’m so excited to do this with you both again. My opening question, with that observation, is: What has changed the most in the last 8 to 10 years in your class, in your students, and in the people that you back with financial capital and strategic help? What are the things that have changed since our first conversation in 2016?

Rick Ruback

Do you want me to take a crack at that, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, you go first. I’ll add some if I have anything.

1. The New Search Fund Economics

Rick Ruback

Okay. When we talked in 2016, nearly a decade ago, first of all, I had hair, so that was a big difference.

Patrick O’Shaughnessy

You look great.

Rick Ruback

Thank you. But aside from that, one of the things that has really changed is that the small-firm space, the small-firm acquisition space, has really bifurcated, with the funded searchers really moving upmarket into much larger deals. The averages keep moving around, but think $20 million of average total enterprise value.

The unfunded, or self-funded, spouse-funded, or family-funded—whatever you want to call it—searchers don’t take investor money at the time they begin their search. Those unfunded deals have actually gotten a little smaller. People have discovered that there are great opportunities buying below $1 million of EBITDA, thinking, “What if SDE is $600,000? Can I get by? Can I grow this business?”

We’re finding more and more students buying smaller businesses at lower multiples—think 3 and 4—and other students going in the opposite direction, buying much bigger companies at much higher multiples—think 6, 7, and 8. So it’s really bifurcated in a way that I wouldn’t have predicted 10 years ago. Royce, what would you add to that?

Royce Yudkoff

First of all, I agree that that’s the major change. I’d just like to spend a moment adding to what you said and then offer one additional change. In the United States, we have this amazing opportunity created by the SBA loan program, where every American citizen has the right to borrow up to $5 million in this government-backed loan program. That allows them to buy an established, proven, profitable business with up to 80% or 90% leverage.

That, in turn, enables these acquisition entrepreneurs to line up the equity they need, give it a very attractive return, and own 70% or 80% of the business, even though they don’t have any capital besides their sweat equity and talent. To Rick’s point, that’s proving to be an attraction to many very talented people.

The other less important change I’d add, but one that’s still notable, is that when Rick and I started teaching 15 years ago and through 10 years ago, everyone who went into our Entrepreneurship Through Acquisition program wanted to be an entrepreneur and run their own company. More recently, we’ve seen a minority stream—but a meaningful minority—of people who look at this opportunity as independent sponsors. They go into it, they don’t want to run a company, but they want to buy a series of small companies and put managers in place. Rick, I’d say that’s a change. It’s not as important as the one you mentioned, but it’s certainly notable.

Rick Ruback

I think that’s growing because people are saying, “Wow, I don’t want to pay 8 times to buy a $2 million EBITDA firm. So maybe what I’ll do is pay 3 times and buy three $600,000 EBITDA firms,” or something like that. They’re buying low, and sometimes there are synergies and roll-up potential, but oftentimes they’re just running three separate companies. They’re getting critical mass, diversification, some drive, and an opportunity to apply their talent. So it’s pretty exciting.

If I could add just one other thing, 10 years ago this career path was viewed as quirky, to pick a word. Royce may have a better word, but quirky. We used to say jokingly to students that we would get calls from their parents, and they would say, “What did you do to my kid? My kid graduated from a really good undergraduate school, had 5 years of really good work experience, and now they’re sitting in their pajamas all day, staring at a computer screen with headphones on, sort of talking to themselves. Is this a depressive episode? Is this some sign of a psychotic break? Do we need to get our child, man or woman, therapy?”

Because it was such a quirky and unusual career path. Now it’s become a much more traveled path, and our students can look back, whether they’re men or women, veterans or English majors, engineers or private equity people in their former employment, and always say, “Wow, there are literally dozens of success stories that I can look back on.” So it has now become a well-traveled and more acceptable path.

Patrick O’Shaughnessy

Can you help frame for those listening the sort of risk-and-return statistics that you’ve observed in this world in totality—in the entire history that you’ve been involved with it—but maybe even specifically tuned to, say, the last 10 years? The whole roll-up thing really has become a thing. What is success in terms of returns and duration in this world compared to other available uses of capital that are out there today?

Rick Ruback

For a searcher, there are 2 big risks. One big risk is failure to find, and the other big risk is buying a really terrible business. The first risk is that you might spend 2 years of your life bouncing around from one thing to another, and you just never get a deal done.

It could be that you’ve had 2 signed LOIs, both deals are broken, and that happens probabilistically to some fraction of deals. The due diligence doesn’t work out. The seller decides in the end they don’t want to sell. The results turn out to take a nosedive during the due diligence process, and so there needs to be a price adjustment. The deals fall apart.

I would say the failure-to-find risk is a real one. It’s really interesting because there are different views on what this failure-to-find risk is statistically. For the bigger funded searches, that number seems to be bigger than 50% suddenly, right, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

Yes.

Rick Ruback

And that’s really a change. It used to hover around one-third, but now, because people are buying bigger companies, as we talked about before, they’re competing head-to-head with strategics and private equity, and they don’t always win those. They don’t have the lowest cost of capital, so they have to be bringing something else in to win those battles.

Those numbers are pretty high, the failure-to-find rate. I would just say, on the unfunded searchers, if I could, the failure-to-find risk seems to be much, much smaller. It seems to be less than 25%.

Royce and I like to think that it’s because our students are just better educated. They’re better searchers than the people from that other institution on the West Coast. Who knows? But they’re looking for very different things. They’re not looking for high growth. They’re looking for boring businesses that have steady, recurring cash flows—businesses that have sustainable profitability. Enduring profitability is the term Royce and I use.

So it’s a very different business. You’re not growing at 30%. That’s the one risk from the searcher, failure to find, and it depends on what you’re looking for. On the getting-stuck-in-a-bad-company thing, that may be the bigger risk. It actually doesn’t happen very often, in our experience.

Certainly, there have been deals where entrepreneurs have worked really hard and not made a lot of money in the deal, but generally it’s because the world has somehow changed, not because the business they bought was fundamentally bad. It’s an oil service business that’s purchased just as oil falls off a cliff.

Generally speaking, though, I don’t think people are buying bad businesses, because I think it’s hard to buy a bad business, get it through the due-diligence process, and get it financed both through the banks and through equity holders. I think investors provide a pretty good gatekeeper against getting stuck in a bad business. I can’t say it never happens, but it doesn’t happen as often as you might think.

Now, from investors, Royce.

Royce Yudkoff

From investors, I’ll break it into 2 groups. In funded search, Stanford has done a good job of tracking returns on funded search through an annual study report they’ve done since forever, and it’s shown that the returns to investors are in the low 30s in terms of IRRs. If you compare that to big private equity, the average returns are in the low to mid-teens, so it’s a huge premium you get from being in this market.

We think those numbers are slowly trending down a bit, but they’re still way above the closest asset class, which is private equity. In self-funded search, where you have these students raising money to buy $1 million-ish EBITDA companies—$1.5 million—and buy them at 4× and finance them at 80%, the math is just extraordinary.

If you buy something for 4×, you’re generating a 25% return on assets before any growth. You lever that at 80% with, say, debt that costs 8% or 10%, and the return is astronomical. You pay your investors a portion of the common equity that gets them to a targeted return of 35%. That’s the market-clearing price in self-funded search, and the searcher is able to keep 60% or 70% of the common stock for themselves.

So deals are smaller, but the rewards are high. That’s the kind of math. The one other point I’d make is on risk, particularly on the self-funded side. You’re buying at multiples that are so low that generally, even when things don’t go right, the cash-flow yield pays down the debt very quickly and mitigates a lot of the downside. So it’s a pretty good trade. You can see why people get interested.

Rick Ruback

It’s hard to get a zero.

Royce Yudkoff

It is hard to get a zero.

Rick Ruback

Unlike private equity, it’s hard to find a great many instances, particularly in the unfunded market, where investors lose their capital. It just doesn’t happen very often.

I would say, in the funded market, the other thing that I find interesting—and I’m not sure about this; this might not be true, but I have the impression—is that it’s become much more of a venture-capital play than a private-equity play. I think about the way VC portfolios work. You guys are smarter and know more about this than I do, but I think the way VC portfolios work is, you have 10 firms in a fund, and you want 1 of them to win and maybe another 1 to break even. If you end up losing all your capital in the other 8, it’s not the way you wanted it, but you’re still going to have pretty good results.

Private equity is very different from that. Of those 10 firms in the portfolio, there may be 1 that has some loss of capital—usually not 100%, but some loss of capital—4 or 5 that might break even, a couple that do okay, and maybe a couple that do very well, but not astronomically well. Is that fair, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, I think that’s fair, Rick.

Rick Ruback

Unfunded search is very much like private equity, maybe even on the safer side than private equity. Funded search is really starting to feel like VC investing to me.

Interestingly, Patrick, one of the things that’s changed a lot since we talked 10 years ago is that much of funded search is occurring through institutional investors, but rather small private-equity funds that specialize in search. They’re increasingly dominating funded search, and that’s a huge change.

So they’re looking at it at a portfolio level, much like a venture-capital fund looks at it at a portfolio level, so it’s very different. If you’re an investor who’s thinking about investing in 1 or 2 of these, either invest at the portfolio level in one of these funded-search portfolios or invest in an unfunded searcher whom you know and love, somebody you know well. But not buying a portfolio of these is potentially a scary investment.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of the things that obviously jumps off the page with those numbers that you quoted, Royce, is, if I can earn a low-30s IRR fairly consistently, how is there not—forget the institutions—an unbelievable supply of family-office capital or individual capital?

Rick Ruback

It is flowing.

Royce Yudkoff

Your surmise is exactly right, Patrick, and Rick’s comment is exactly right. It’s funny: We started this podcast by saying maybe there hasn’t been much change, but indeed there hasn’t, like all your other interviews, Patrick. Rick is right—it’s flowing.

When we look at the market today, there are more investors who want to get behind talented, well-prepared searchers than there are well-prepared searchers. So the choke point is the number of searchers, even though that’s grown quite a bit. There has just been a huge flow of capital.

Rick Ruback

This is an odd thing. This market is so illiquid. It’s really hard to find good companies to buy with recurring revenues—what Royce and I think about as value-investor plays—recurring revenues and enduringly profitable companies. They’re so much harder to find and transfer than you would imagine that I think that’s the bottleneck.

I think there’s a market equilibrium going on here. There are searchers, investors, and sellers. There’s a whole bunch of information costs everywhere because it’s a very fragmented market, and I think that keeps it down.

What’s interesting, fascinating to me as an economist and as an investor, is that, at least on the low end, multiples have not been driven up. If you want to buy a firm with $750,000 of EBITDA, that’s a pretty good recurring-revenue business without a lot of customer concentration, you can still do that for 4×.

You probably can’t buy a $2 million or a $1.5 million EBITDA business at 4× anymore. Maybe you could have done that 10 years ago. But you can certainly buy the sub-$1 million high-quality business at 4×.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

So if the constraint is companies worth buying, it’s the right time to talk about what those criteria are that you teach your students for what makes a company potentially a good acquisition target. I would love you to riff on what those criteria are, how you arrived at them, and how they’ve evolved, in as much detail as you want, because obviously it’s an incredibly important part of the consideration.

2. The Acquisition Checklist

Royce Yudkoff

Not on our list is growth. Not because we’re against growth—we welcome growth—but you don’t need growth in this market because good companies sell at attractive prices. Rick came up with this expression that we’ve both embraced, which is, “The magic is in the multiples in this market.”

If I were to go through the list that Rick and I iterate, the first one is recurring revenue. We really want high-quality revenue. There are all types of recurring revenue, from contracted revenue that’s impossible to pull out to revenue that repeats actuarially, but we want very high-quality, predictable revenue so that when you show up in your office every January 2, you know that 80% or 90% of the revenues from last year are going to repeat this year.

It gives you great stability, it pairs nicely with financial leverage, and it allows you to be on the offense in marketing, meaning that all of your marketing time is basically spent growing, not replacing. So that would be one.

Low customer and vendor concentration would be number 2. That doesn’t occur so much in big private equity, where you’re dealing with big companies, but it occurs a lot with small companies where they have 1 big legacy client. You really want to try to avoid concentration with customers or vendors.

Third, avoid economic cyclicality. Again, it pairs poorly with the financial leverage you’ll need to buy this. Rick, are there others you’d want to put on this list?

Rick Ruback

Well, I think you need to buy a business that you can manage. I like to say, “If you’re allergic to fur, don’t buy a pet shop.” I mean that to be emblematic of a whole bunch of things.

There are so many businesses I could not run. I could probably run a landscaping business, but I don’t think I could run a biotech. So I think you have to have a business where you can use your talents or develop the talents to run it. You don’t have to know the business. You don’t have to be an expert in whatever the business does, but you have to be the kind of person who could learn that.

Royce Yudkoff

To Rick's point, often we have people express astonishment to us that a newly minted MBA who has maybe 5 or 6 years of middle-management experience can go into a business they've never operated in, and the percentages are very high for successful operation of that business. How can that be?

The reason it can be is partly that they're talented, energetic people, but it's the point Rick has just made: they're selecting for businesses that they feel they can fit with and learn how to run. They're not randomly picking businesses on this dimension. They're choosing very carefully because they're aware of that risk, too.

Rick Ruback

Right. Who ends up buying the blue-collar businesses from our students? It's usually the people who were captains and lieutenants in the Army and the Marine Corps. They're used to managing blue-collar workforces.

Royce Yudkoff

Right. And when we call them, they say, "It's just like running a platoon."

Rick Ruback

They say, "Well, we're running the company," but they have a different sense of what a company means. Anyway, I would add that you have to be able to run it.

The other thing that's increasingly interesting—I don't know if this is a millennial thing or not, because I certainly cared about this when I was looking for a job—is that people care deeply about where they want to live. I think Royce and I are not convinced—me, maybe less than Royce—that you can run businesses purely remotely.

I think just being there, walking through the shop floor, talking to people at the water cooler—I think all that belly-to-belly management, if you will, is really essential, especially if you're inexperienced and young and learning the business at the same time. The idea that you can buy a business in Mississippi and run it from your ski lodge in Colorado just seems incredible to me. Although I wish it were true, I don't believe it's true.

Often our students are worried about where the business is. So they're worried about the quality of the business, and they're also worried about where the business is. Then, does the business meet their criteria in terms of what they could personally manage? So it's complicated. It's fascinating.

We have this project where our students look at companies that have been for sale in the recent past or are currently for sale as part of their project in our second-year course, and that's ongoing now. We recently had this day, Royce. Tell him about that. I thought it was so interesting.

Royce Yudkoff

What Rick's referring to is that we assemble a library of recent small-company purchases from a network of cooperative brokers. The students filter through those and then come up with a company they really like. Then they break into groups of 6 or 7 of our students who have done the same thing, and they collectively come up with which is the best company to buy. So you have 14 or 15 groups now in our class.

Rick Ruback

And about 100 companies. About 100 sims that they've paged through and looked through.

Royce Yudkoff

The result is that they come up with about 12 different companies. There's no consensus on this. They're different.

Rick Ruback

Right. You'd think that there would be 1 great company, and everybody would say, "Oh, that's the company I want to buy." No, that's not what happens. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder.

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah. I think on this point, we arm our students with this list that we've just gone through. It's a filtering criterion. But the truth is, you're never going to find a company that has all of those boxes checked, particularly if an attractive price is on the list, too, which it surely is. You're just not going to find companies that have all of those qualities.

The piece that we really try to tune our students into is that they have to develop judgment about how good is good enough. They do that by, as Rick and I like to say, bathing in deal flow. Eventually, you start to see what different qualities of companies are, and you see that next company and say, "Okay, it has 5 of my 7 criteria, but it's in the upper quartile, so I ought to keep working on this because this is a good one."

That's the other piece that's really hard to teach, but you can teach people to keep their eyes open to judgment.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How concentrated is the supplier base of capital—the investor supplier base of capital—for these searchers in the major ecosystems, with Stanford and HBS being the big 2? I have heard, if you ask around, that a very small group of people has almost like an unofficial ROFR on investing in the great searchers coming out of these institutions.

That would seem to make sense to me. If I kept earning 35% returns for decades, I would sure want to plow capital back into the next batch of searchers. Is this accessible? If I want to do this, could I go do it?

Rick Ruback

I mean, first of all, you need to have capital to begin with—the academic problem. But I think it's a pretty open market, and the reason I think that is that our school—our institution, Harvard—sensibly has very strict rules about relationships between faculty and students, particularly while they're students.

So we can't even implicitly acknowledge that we're interested in investing in a student, no matter how much we like them or how much we like their business plans or how sure we are of their success. We always tell them the same thing, which is, "We're not allowed to even have a conversation with you, but if you're interested, reach out in May after graduation."

What we find is that every year there are a few students who like us enough to wait until May to see if we're interested, but a lot of students get funded. If they're looking for search funding, they're doing it before that, and if they're funded, they don't need funding. When it comes time to fund, they usually give us a call.

What we discover is that often they don't need much equity capital, and they're able to get it either from section mates, family friends, or former employers. There's an advantage to having smart money, but there's an advantage to having less-smart money. These investment opportunities are not just dribbling off the trees.

Royce Yudkoff

The way most searchers like to structure their cap table is that they like to have 10 or 12 different investors. Some investors push really hard to get a big chunk of the cap table of these funds for the reasons you asked about. But for the most part, searchers want a diversified base of investors for a variety of reasons.

They want a variety of advisers and voices. They want to diversify who owns their business. So that naturally invites a dispersion among investors. I'm with Rick: I don't see the Harvard and Stanford searchers as dominated by 2, 3, or 4 big institutional investors.

3. Search Funds Go Mainstream

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I was going to ask about spillover. Originally, this concept was very localized at Stanford and Harvard. It's gone to lots of other schools, as you said. Has it also spilled out of the academic community entirely?

Royce Yudkoff

Yes.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe talk about that a little bit.

Royce Yudkoff

Rick and I, since we launched our podcast a couple of years ago, which is really directed beyond the business-school campuses, have become more tuned in to what's going on away from the MBA ecosystem.

That's a world which, unlike the business schools, is overwhelmingly self-funded, using SBA loans and tuning into smaller businesses—those kinds of $750,000-to-$1 million EBITDA businesses that Rick was describing. That world today dwarfs what we talk about in the MBA world.

It's actually got its own population of individual recurring investors writing quite small checks for the reasons of the math we discussed earlier. It's got many times the number of participants, all of whom are able to get this favorable government-backed financing, line up investors, buy these attractive businesses at low multiples, and often don't have MBAs but have a lot of useful professional experience or are just outside those top MBA schools. It is a big, big place out there. Rick, would you add anything to that?

Rick Ruback

Yeah, I would say I agree with every word you've just said. I run into unfunded searchers everywhere. I coach little kids' ski racing up at Mad River Glen, a really small mountain relative to corporate skiing these days. The other day, I was having lunch and realized that there were 3 people I could throw French fries at who were searching for businesses at some stage of conducting self-funded searches.

It was a little place in Vermont. What are all these people doing there? It's just everywhere. So it's become mainstream, and I think the reason it's become mainstream as a career path is that you can build the life you want to live, earn a great living, and have independence in a way that you just don't get from a boss.

There maybe was a time when working for a big corporation had this safety to it, but I think that's pretty much gone. I think people recognize that you can work for your big company for 25 years, and they can eliminate your division or send it to South America or Asia or whatever, and you're going to be out of a job.

We like to distinguish between the risks you can see and the risks you can't. When you're running your own business, you can see those risks. When you're working for a big company, you can't see those risks. They just happen to you.

4. The Coming Seller Wave

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe say a word about what drives the trends and what drives the availability of these businesses for sale—the sellers, who they are, and where they come from. My suspicion is that a lot of this is baby boomers who built their businesses and are now ready to sell them without some other option that they prefer, and we know the stats about how big that generation was and how many of these companies exist.

If you compare the next 10 years to the prior 10, do you think the supply side of the story is better? Will there be more of them that are more fit to be bought?

What trends do you see, if at all, in the base of companies and in the motivations of the sellers?

Royce Yudkoff

I think your description is exactly right, Patrick. The seller who is at the center of the bullseye for searchers is someone who is an expert in a product or service, started their business, spent 25 years building it, and now is 65 years old and has run the business for 20 years.

Several things have changed. One is that the business has gotten larger, and at the top, it no longer needs an expert artisan. It really needs a trained manager, and this person isn't that in most cases. If it's a blue-collar business, maybe it was an HVAC guy who got fired, bought a truck, and built up a business. It makes $1.5 million a year, but it really needs a manager at this point because it employs 60 people and has lots of customers.

Second, the business is at a size where he really doesn't have an understudy CEO. It's not like a larger company, which has a thick bench of talented middle managers. He or she needs someone who can not only organize the capital for the transaction but can then step in and run it because there is no internal successor. If there were, they could retire and just keep owning the business. Some businesses are suited to that, but most businesses aren't.

And the third thing is that they've reached an age where, as Rick and I like to say, they now have more money than time, and they're behaving accordingly. They don't want to work Fridays anymore to launch a new territory, but a searcher who's not wealthy, energetic, and hungry does.

Rick Ruback

And levered.

Royce Yudkoff

And levered. So this is the catalyst moment. This is why these sellers sell to searchers, and this is why the searchers see opportunity there. But Rick, I don't know if we have a view that somehow we're at a peak of supply.

Rick Ruback

That's a really interesting question. I think if you go back to the world before COVID—you've heard of COVID—the world before COVID proceeded in an orderly fashion, as much as the world ever proceeds in an orderly fashion. I think lots of baby boomers who owned businesses got to the position where they said, “Wow, COVID's been really bad for my business. COVID's been really great for my business. COVID's really disrupted my business. I need to wait and see what's going to happen.”

For the businesses that did really poorly, some of them bounced back. For the businesses that did really well, some of them have bounced down. So they're still juggling. They're still looking for a steady state.

When you go to buy a business, you want to look at 4 or 5 years of prior cash flows. That's going to include COVID still. There has been enough movement in results—just COVID-induced movement in results—that I feel like there have been a lot of sellers who are just treading water. “I'm going to wait till next year. I'm going to wait till next year. I'm going to wait till next year.”

One of the sad things about waiting for next year is that things don't stop happening. You've got tariffs, you've got inflation, you've got all kinds of crazy things that happen in the marketplace. While small firms are probably less impacted than the big public firms, it does boil down.

I think there are lots of sellers who are waiting and waiting for times to settle down. And, of course, I don't know—do things ever settle down? I don't know. I think there are a bunch of sellers who are now reaching the end of their patience and health and are going to become more interested in selling as time goes on.

So I think what you're going to see is—luckily, we'll never know if these predictions are true—I don't think the Patriots are going to win the Super Bowl next year. I do think the Celtics will win the NBA championship. And I do believe that there will be some surge over the next 3 or 4 years of pent-up selling, and then it will go back to some steady-state level. But there are a lot of businesses out there that need to transition.

5. Durable Sectors And Outliers

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I have lots of questions under the umbrella category of technology. The first is related to the types of businesses that you do and don't see people buy, and we have such a big sample now. I'm sure there are some central tendencies. You always hear roofing or HVAC, or stuff related to the home or basic things where in 10 years there will still be roofs, and probably an AI won't install them. If it does, all bets are off.

Do you ever see people buying more traditional software- or technology-driven businesses as searchers at all? And maybe just say a word about the central pockets or tendencies of the kinds of businesses that meet the 3 or 4 criteria that you laid out earlier, and what doesn't, despite being important businesses.

Rick Ruback

There are certainly people who buy software businesses. What we find, though, is that they tend to buy niche software businesses. They're software for podiatrists. They're software for small municipalities. They're things where you're unlikely to get big disruption and unlikely to have these cataclysmic shifts. So it's software where the underlying market is fairly steady.

What we don't find—or, at least, if we find it, we throw it away really quickly—is people investing in very fatty software, the latest computer app or social media, whatever it is. So there's less of that. But there is, if you will, the business of established software: improving it, growing it, maybe migrating it to the web, while the market is niche. That seems to be a pretty sustainable investment thesis.

Royce Yudkoff

I agree with that. And dealing with the other part of your question, Patrick, when you list off the businesses that you did—and Rick and I could list more, but just for our listeners—roofing, HVAC, veterinary services, there are a whole series of these that have attracted the interest of searchers.

When Rick and I look at them, the services are all different at a superficial level. You're fixing your roof or you're taking care of your dog. But when you look beneath that, the reason searchers are attracted to them is that they all look alike when you're looking at the economic characteristics. They have recurring or reoccurring revenues and a very diverse customer base and vendor base. They're not economically cyclical because you have to purchase that service when something prompts it. That's why searchers are drifting into these areas.

It turns out that, amazingly, despite all these smart people looking for these opportunities, every year or two there seems to be a moment of epiphany: “Oh my goodness, there's another area. There's overhead garage doors,” or, “There's automotive repair.” A new area becomes hotly pursued, like HVAC began to be 5 or 7 years ago. I think it's these businesses with these characteristics that are being unearthed.

Rick Ruback

Sometimes what they're doing is bringing management talent and skill to a segment that didn't have that management talent and skill. We just did a podcast with one of our former students, Logan Leslie, and he's doing a roll-up of auto repair facilities.

What was fascinating is that it used to be what would happen is—you can imagine, think about an 8- to 10-bay automotive repair facility—the way this gets started is somebody starts repairing vehicles, and the person is probably a pretty good mechanic and pretty good at repairing things. As the place gets bigger, suddenly you're hiring and ordering and doing accounting and doing a whole bunch of back-office stuff.

Then, as you get to a certain size, the founder is no longer pulling wrenches and changing water pumps. All they're doing is management activity. They might be fabulous mechanics, but it's unlikely they're both a fabulous mechanic and a great manager.

What Logan has done is said, “Let's let the fabulous mechanics be mechanics, and we're just going to take the management piece and do that centrally.” It has been a fabulous success and really clever. And as Royce says, it is an application of the same idea, whether it's veterinary services, concierge medicine or apparently automotive repair or HVAC. What you're doing is allowing enough specialization for management talent to bloom.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of the things that we've been studying recently is Asurion, thanks to a project with Will Thorndike covering that company. It makes me wonder how often you've seen what I'll call an extreme outlier, venture-type multiple-of-capital outcome from this space, versus the lower-variance, whatever the 33% a year for 10 years math is for MOIC.

How often are you seeing true outliers emerge from this style of investing, in that bizarre category of Asurion, which you could put up against any venture investment of all time?

Royce Yudkoff

I would say that's extremely rare. What's not rare is that if you persistently invest in this space, you will get money multiples of 3×, 3×, 3×, 3×, 8×, 3×, 3×, 3×, 10×, 3×, 3×, 3×, 7×. You can make a living doing that. That's really okay.

Rick Ruback

You might have some 1×s mixed in there, too.

Royce Yudkoff

Rick's right. You'd have a few 1×s mixed in there, too, but I think that is much more representative of the space. I think any private equity firm in the world would love to hang its hat on those kinds of multiples of invested capital.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of my favorite lines of yours, Royce—I think you said this to me—is that the lower middle market is the only industry in the world where your best competition leaves every year.

Royce Yudkoff

Yes, that's right. I did say that.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Can you talk a little bit about that observation and dynamic?

Royce Yudkoff

It's the nature of the professional investment management industry that you're basically paid very much by the amount of money you manage. And so you enter at the bottom end because usually you can raise a small amount of money, because that's a very fruitful part of the market. Those people who go in there and do a great job have more money offered to them, and they raise a larger fund.

And to make sense of that portfolio, they buy bigger companies, and so it goes. The most talented teams just move up in assets under management, move up in investment size, and leave the space that they were so good at, making it available to new entrants in the market. It happens in no other industry, right? Coca-Cola executives don't wake up and say, "Oh, we've done a fantastic job here. Let's make garden furniture and give this up." But private equity does that all the time.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Yeah, it's a fascinating dynamic at play, which I guess makes it an evergreen opportunity set. Back to thinking about the companies, I'm curious what the most common subtle red flags are that, through pattern recognition and just seeing a million of these, through your students and directly yourselves, you've built up over time.

I'm not talking about the obvious ones, like terrible customer concentration or completely nonrecurring revenue—the opposite of the things that you've said—but more just the little ones, like, "Ah, watch out for this thing or this thing." Maybe we'll call them yellow flags, not red flags. What are some of the most interesting things in that category?

Royce Yudkoff

I'd say it's a job, not a company. You misjudge something about the owner-CEO, where it's a set of personal relationships or personal expertise that's really driving the company, and it's not really a business. It's too much her or him. That would be a red flag that you don't pick up in the numbers.

Rick Ruback

I always focus on the ability to get the deal done, because no company is very good if you can't actually get a transaction completed. For me, the biggest red flag is multiple owners. If you have an owner in their 70s and another one in their 50s, and the owner in their 70s has been working on the sale, there's just an unbearable probability that when the person in their 50s finds out or understands what the transaction really means, they're not going to sign.

And you can go months and spend money on QoE and attorneys, write asset purchase agreements, and feel like everything's going great, because you're only communicating with the partner who wants to sell. Everything's going really well until it just never closes.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

That's a great one.

Rick Ruback

I hate that. Committed sellers are at least as hard to find as good companies. You really need to pay attention to why people are selling and whether they really are selling. And if you have more owners, you have more places where you can fall off.

Royce Yudkoff

Here's another one. This is really unique to small firms. In small firms, the owners, to some extent, live inside the company. It's routine that, in a $1.5 million EBITDA business, the owner is spending $100,000 on personal expenses and running them through the business.

As a buyer, that's his decision. You're going to add that back to EBITDA because it's really EBITDA spent in another form. That's just common. I'm not making a moral judgment on it; it's just common.

But what you have to watch out for is that sometimes you see these companies where the owner has just gone wild, and there's a gigantic amount of living within the company. It's not 5% or 6% of EBITDA; it's 50% that's getting added back.

And the issue you have to start thinking about is not even documenting that to make sure it's true. It's that if this person is so willing to take those kinds of risks and color outside the lines, how is he going to treat you as the buyer? No matter how much due diligence you do, the information advantage is asymmetric and in the seller's favor.

And so, at some point, you have to say, "There's an ethical question here that could stab me in the chest." That's a small-firm thing. You don't encounter that when you're buying shares of Microsoft or dealing with companies that go into big private equity firms.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

It brings to mind the question of the same accumulated pattern recognition of what people do well that helps them close transactions, whether it's negotiating tactics or just communication style, or methods or processes that they follow. Have you learned anything about just increasing the probability that, once you have a deal, the transaction itself closes, something that you've observed in your students?

Rick Ruback

Well, weekly communication helps a lot. You need to have a meeting. I like to have them on Wednesdays. The reason I like to have them on Wednesdays is that you get Monday and Tuesday to cram, to get the stuff that you promised last Wednesday done.

Royce Yudkoff

And so does the seller. And so does the seller.

Rick Ruback

And so does the seller. You get Thursday and Friday to actually do it in an orderly fashion. So I love Wednesday meetings, but you need to have a Wednesday meeting where you say, "What's going on? Where are we at? You were going to do this. I needed that last week. The banker needs this. The lawyer needs that," whatever that is. So that's really helpful.

The other thing that's really important—and this is so hard, what I'm about to say—is that you want to pay a price that allows you some margin of safety for due diligence surprises. In a lot of small firms, Royce's example was the owner perhaps being a little bit nefarious. But sometimes the owners are not nefarious; they just don't really know.

They think they have contracts, and they don't really have contracts. They think they have what we would call contractually recurring revenue, and they don't. They think they have all the documents. They think they have all the licenses. They think they've been paying all their sales tax.

And as you dig in, a lot of those things—the broker talks to the owner, or the broker writes down what the owner says, puts it in fancy language with some pictures, and produces a CIM. You bid on that CIM.

If you bid a full price based on that CIM and then discover maybe revenue quality isn't as high, or they've been underinsured and you have to have higher insurance, or employees haven't had raises in 5 years, or there's a bunch of accrued bonuses that need to be paid, if you've paid a full price, then your only choice is to go back and say, "We need to readjust this price."

Sellers, when they sign their LOI, think about how they're going to spend every penny of that price. They've purchased their vacation homes. They've designed their boats. They've planned their trip around the world, and they've spent every penny of that $2 million or $5 million that you want to spend, that you plan to buy the company for.

And when you say, "Well, it isn't going to be $5 million anymore. It has to be $4 million," they're going to go kooky. It becomes irrational at that moment. Those deals tend to bust.

So I would say you want to give yourself enough room so that you can absorb some due diligence disappointments. But having said that, the LOI process is competitive, and brokers want every penny they can get.

Sure, they care about whether you have funds and what's the likelihood of closing, but since most buyers are one-time buyers, they don't have a track record of saying, "Well, we're not the highest price, but you should take our bid because we always close."

6. Value Creation After Closing

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of the amazing things about this process is that, as you said before, you don't really need growth or margin expansion to get your return. The magic is in the multiple, as you said.

But when you have observed margin expansion or top-line growth, which of course is beautiful gravy given the purchase prices, what has been the most common reason that becomes possible? Is it something common that the new CEOs and owners are doing? Is it the installation of better technology and processes? Are there common trends to when you do see margin expansion or growth go in a different direction?

Rick Ruback

As part of the transition into ownership of the business, they go talk to their customers, and they discover that there are services and extensions that their customers are so eager to get. The seller might have said, "Well, that's a lot of work. I don't want to do that." These young whippersnappers have a lot of energy. They say, "Oh, yeah, we can do that. We can do that." And they're able to grow because their customers actually want what they provide.

I think the small-firm space is capitalism done well. You find entrepreneurs working on their businesses so that their businesses delight the customers. The customers are thrilled to pay for the services or goods they're getting.

Nothing succeeds like success. If you have a vendor that's doing really good stuff and never disappoints, delivers on time at high quality, and when something goes wrong, makes it right instantly, and the owner gives you their cell phone number, boy, those businesses are going to grow.

Royce Yudkoff

I agree with that. That's the pattern we see again and again.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I have an unrelated-to-the-business question, but a question about improvement and growth. I think you should both be proud that you've built this class that has now influenced—when I was asking around ahead of our conversation today, it's pretty unbelievable the number of people whose trajectory and career you've now influenced.

That must be a special feeling. It's on the back of this thing that you've built. So you've had all these reps teaching students these ideas, and I know that the class is now, I think, the top-rated class at one of the most competitive, one of the best places in the world where you could teach a class like this, arguably the best.

So that's a pretty cool achievement. Talk me through how you've done that. If you were to, on the side, teach a class to other would-be professors who wanted to follow in your footsteps, what have been the keys to making the class so popular, improving it over time, and making it consistent? Reflect on the class itself a little bit, because it's had a huge impact.

Rick Ruback

That's a new question for us, Royce.

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah. Rick, I entered academics 15 years ago to partner up with you. You've been in this longer, so I'm going to be really interested in what you say.

I would offer 2 things that we've done consistently. One is, the class is extremely practical. There's very little theory taught because we think that the students come to this class because they want to evaluate whether they want to do this as a profession, and then, if the answer is yes, they want to stack the odds in their favor of doing it. Every time we write a case, every time we develop a teaching plan, we're always thinking about what practical lesson we're teaching these students.

The second thing we do is bring in the case protagonist for almost every class. Part of this lets the students ask questions and breathe some additional life into the case. But really, the reason we have them there is that there are 2 questions that Rick and I know are on the students' minds. They can look at this person and listen to this person, and they can answer: “Do I want to be this person, and can I do what this person does?” That's hard to teach but easy to show.

Those are 2 of the things that I think Rick and I have found are very powerful, and students routinely comment on them in their end-of-year evaluations. So that's what I would offer as things that we've done well. Rick, thoughts?

Rick Ruback

I'm going to do the rare thing of disagreeing with you. We teach a lot of theory, but we teach it in the context of practice. So we're teaching a lot about how to think about business, how to think about management, and how to think about corporate finance, but we're always doing it in the context of a concrete, meaningful example.

It's not that we're not teaching theory; we're teaching theory in a more digestible form, perhaps, than equations on the blackboard. There's one case we teach that just always amazes me. Every time we teach it, I look at the teaching plan and say, “This just can't work.” And we go ahead and teach it, and it's like, wow. Students come back and say, “Wow, I learned so much today.” It's an amazing case.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What is it?

Rick Ruback

I'll leave the protagonist out because it's an unfortunate situation. Former students buy a business, and things go badly. Demand falls. It just so happens to be the moment of the Great Recession. They're aware of the Great Recession, but they hadn't thought it through in their particular business.

Demand falls, they have a sticky product, and they decide to cut the price 10%. We ask students, “What is the implication of cutting the price 10% to profitability?” What is remarkable is that, after a year and a few months of business school, our students are mesmerized by this question. It never occurs to them to say, “Well, let me see. If my cost of goods sold is unchanged and my SG&A is unchanged, but I cut the price 10%, wow, all that money is just coming out of profits. My profit margin was whatever it is, and so, boy, I've just taken out my entire profit margin.”

Then Royce will go on to say, “And if you're 70% debt, what does that do to the equity holders?” And they say, “Wow, I've just destroyed all the equity value with this 1 decision.” Now, there's a lot of theory in that discussion, but it's an interesting example.

Some other things that I think have really been helpful: first, Royce and I have a fabulous partnership. We really enjoy working together. Interestingly, our students think about us as perfect substitutes for each other. I'm the pointy-headed academic who got his PhD at 25 and hasn't really left academia, and Royce is the super-successful consultant and private equity founder.

We have very different backgrounds, we have a lot of mutual respect, and I think when our teaching works really well, we're bringing the best of both of our backgrounds to it. So that's really important.

The other thing that's really important—I don't know how this will sound; I truly believe it—is that we really like our students. We have fabulous students. They're accomplished, clever, thoughtful, hardworking, and serious. They're great. We can go years before we cold-call a student and find them unprepared. It just doesn't happen. So we really respect and like our students. That is really helpful.

We also think—at least, I'm pretty sure I speak for Royce in this—we're really die-hard capitalists. We really do believe that if you go out and run a small business better, you're making the world a better place. We really believe that. For us, we feel like it's not evangelism by any means, but we feel we're really helping the world and we're really helping our students.

We're showing them a new career path, and they're going on and doing wonderful things for their workers and communities. It's super fulfilling for us. I've been at Harvard Business School for a long time, nearly 38 years now. Before I did this course, I taught everything in corporate finance, and I could go decades without somebody saying, “You really changed my life. Thank you so much.”

Teaching discounted cash flow just doesn't evoke that kind of emotion in people. I don't know why. It does in me. But I don't know that we hear that every day; we hear it quite often. We see it in our students, and we see students coming back over and over again saying, “Your class was pivotal in my life.” We hear it in our podcast, so it's really great.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How much do you teach capital allocation? That strikes me as something where, on average, the seller is going to basically have never thought about or been taught the basics of smart and thoughtful capital allocation, whereas the average student in your class probably has thought about it a lot and been taught it, maybe by you. That could be a hugely powerful lever in some of these businesses at some stage. Is that true, or am I missing the mark?

Royce Yudkoff

I would say we direct our students to businesses that are capital-light. Once they buy a business—and we probably should have put this on our list of qualities—we're nudging them toward business-services companies where EBITDA almost exactly equals free cash flow.

So capital-allocation decisions are very episodic. They usually center around a tuck-under acquisition. Sometimes they're expenses that are really investments, like launching a new sales force. Of course, they're taught how to do projections and see what kind of return there is on an expense. But I don't think there's a lot of allocation that goes on in these businesses because of the nature of the businesses we suggest they buy.

Rick Ruback

I mean, the nature of small business is that they're generally undercapitalized and have to ration capital. By the time they go to make capital investments, usually those decisions are pretty apparent: “I have demand for another technician. That technician needs a new van. I'm going to buy a new van.” There's a lot of that.

One of the things we do talk a lot about, Royce, is IT investment, and we're generally negative on it.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Oh, interesting.

Rick Ruback

We generally say our students are of a generation that can't get home without checking their phone to find out how to drive there. It hadn't occurred to them that they could just go the same way they went yesterday. They can't just go to a restaurant; they need to do whatever they do on their phone before they go. Anyway, this is a generational thing.

What we think is that many of our students want to go into a business, particularly if it's being sold by somebody who's in their 60s or 70s, and it's probably technologically light. Our students always have this great desire to spend a couple hundred thousand dollars on a CRM. We have 2 answers to that.

One is that a couple hundred thousand dollars is a lot of your free cash flow. You've got to be thoughtful about that. Certainly, in your early years, if you're SBA-financed, you don't have debt covenants, but a lot of them are conventionally financed, and they do have covenants. They need to be mindful of those.

So one is that it's pretty expensive, and two, you don't really know what the business should be like in your first year. You've got to really wait. If the old owner managed it with sticky notes, buy some sticky notes. Go to Staples. They're not very expensive. You could buy a lot of sticky notes for the cost of a new Salesforce application. Try that for a year and see what you really need.

Royce Yudkoff

Because you'll be a better manager at the end of year 1, and you'll know exactly what you need then. That's a part of this.

Rick Ruback

That is 1 form of capital investment. And, by the way, our students routinely ignore our advice on this, but we feel good giving it.

7. How To Find A Business

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What advice would you give to those listening who haven't gone to school for this or studied it in an academic setting but want to do it? They want to conduct a search to buy a business. We haven't talked much about the literal process of a successful search. Where do people begin? Are there databases of companies? Is it best to first identify a vertical that interests them and then go pound the pavement? What does the process of a successful search look like?

Rick Ruback

It's not pole vaulting. I always wonder how people actually do the first pole vault. How do they do that? Or a ski jump. Put somebody on this thing that's taller than the Empire State Building and say, “Just don't turn. Go straight.” “It'll be okay.” I don't know how that actually...

“Here’s a stick. Stick it in the ground when you get close.” “When you land, it’ll be fi—” I don’t know how that happens. This is a mystery to me, but searching is not. You just commit to it. There’s this thing called Google. You can find brokers. You talk to brokers. You get on their lists. You do some searching. You look at some databases. You try to find what companies are out there.

It’s like so many things in life: just do it. Just decide you’re going to do it, and then just do it. Royce and I describe it step by step in our book. I think those steps can still be followed. But it is the case that most people discover that it’s a highly personal activity. They’re going to do a geographic search in a small geography. They’re going to move to that geography, and they’re going to go to every chamber of commerce event they can find. They’re never going to have breakfast or lunch by themselves. They’re going to meet people, meet people, meet people, and find the business. They’re going to go door to door if they need to, but they’re going to meet every business owner in the locale.

If people are doing a national search, it’s a very different process. But again, it’s heavily brokered, or maybe it’s direct outreach in an industry. What I think doesn’t work is theorizing about what industry might be exciting in the future and spending 6 months theorizing about an industry before you actually call. So when we work with new searchers, we say, “Your goal for this week is to have an owner’s meeting. Just have a telephone conversation with an owner. Just do that.” That leads to something.

Royce Yudkoff

I agree with everything Rick just said, and I’d add a couple of numbers that add to this sense of possibility. In the United States alone—and searching has become global—there are approximately 3,000 small-business brokers, professionals who do nothing but intermediate small businesses. And there are something like 300,000 small businesses that change hands every year when the seller sells.

So it is not that hard to get into the flow of this. It’s harder to filter and find a good business at the right price with a committed owner. But getting started and bathing in a flow of companies—which is how you learn and how you find—is really not that hard.

8. The Searcher Long Game

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

A lot of what you said makes me wonder about value creation and the duration of the opportunity. Three things come to mind. One is the magic is in the multiple; the difficulty of finding a company and getting a transaction done; and the fact that lots of the margin and growth comes from the initial conversations with customers. These are all things very early in the story of one of these transactions, which makes me wonder: Is the vast majority of the value created pretty much up front? How long do you see the typical person running one of these companies? What does that distribution look like?

Rick Ruback

I want to think a little bit more about your example, because everything you said made perfect sense, but that’s not the way the empirics look. What it looks like is that people buy their businesses, and then they all project 5% or 10% growth in their conservative case in their first year, and they all have 5% or 10% losses in their first year. It’s 5% worse than their base-case year.

Some of that is because sellers sell in good years, and so there’s this averaging, central-limit kind of thing. But it’s also learning the business, meeting customers, distraction, the seller’s distraction, and the business having some degradation during the sale process. All those things happen.

But I think the idea is that what you said is right. The first 2 are about getting to the transaction—that is, getting the transaction done. The talking to the customers happens often during that first year, but you’re not able to capitalize on or make good on those ideas, usually for a year or 2. So what we see is that year 3 is the really good year. Do you agree with that, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, totally. That’s when these entrepreneurs have really learned what the customer wants and start to come up with programs and service lines that address that.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What is the normal life cycle, and who do they tend to sell it to when they’re done?

Royce Yudkoff

Before we go to that, I want to say one more thing. Will Thorndike, who you know well and we know well, and has been a longtime and thoughtful investor in this space, has actually looked at a lot of the data and concluded that everyone sells too early: that the successful companies really compound their success in years 7, 8, 10, and 12, and that there really should be much longer holds.

I think we agree with that idea because the successful searchers we know really well keep getting better and better, and the companies keep growing. What takes searchers out more than anything else early—meaning in year 5 or 6 of operating the company—is that they have 95% of their net worth in this one company. It’s a good company, but their capital allocation is just not sensible anymore.

They’re an entirely different manager than they were when they were a newly minted MBA. They are now an accomplished CEO entrepreneur with 7 years of experience, and maybe there’s a different economic deal that they could get on next. In many cases, this propels a sale, which I think, Rick, I know you’ll speak to this too, but I think we have questions about that.

It’s a little bit like if you bought a business, went through the J-curve of the initial investment, and sold right after that. Here, you’ve finally become a really expert CEO in this business. You’ve got the business pointed in the direction you want. It’s really doing well. Why would you deny yourself the next half-decade of that? I think it’s a capital-allocation issue.

Rick Ruback

Yeah, I think it’s diversification.

Royce Yudkoff

Diversification issue. Thank you.

Rick Ruback

That’s another way of putting words in Royce’s mouth. Some investors are willing to recapitalize and re-incentivize the CEOs. It’s a cumbersome thing because you don’t really know what the value of the business is. It’s really hard, and a lot of it depends on the business.

CEOs, because they’re so focused on their business and have such a concentrated position in their portfolio, may have a key 3-year contract. They won each of the last 3 years, but they get convinced that the next one won’t be won. I don’t think it’s because the facts on the ground have really changed that much. I think they look and say, “Oh, my word. If I don’t get that contract, it’s going to have huge consequences for my personal wealth, and I don’t want to bear that risk.”

So I think as you have more to lose because you’ve accumulated wealth and have an illiquid, undiversified position, that tends to drive people to sell. Whether they sell too early or not, I don’t know, because I think from an investor standpoint, they might be selling too early. From an entrepreneur’s standpoint, they might be selling at just the right time because they’re living with this really high cost of capital, because they’re bearing all this total risk, not just the diversifiable risk.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Thinking about the topic of transitions, Royce, I’m curious if you’d be willing to talk a little bit about your decision to leave private equity and go do this instead. You talked me through this when we were together a month ago or so, and I thought it was so interesting, your thought process for making a big decision, frankly, kind of at the peak of your private-equity powers.

I think anyone who looked at it—if you built an HBS case study and ended it exactly when you made your decision—it would be very easy to say, “Yeah, this thing goes on to be one of the dominant private-equity firms.” And I think you built the firm a little differently than many others did. Can you say a few words about your choices in building that business, and then especially why you made the decision you did at the end?

Royce Yudkoff

Sure. I co-founded it with someone named Andrew Banks, who had been my partner previously at Bain & Company. When we started it, it had a strong sector focus, which was different and new in the late ’80s and early ’90s. Today, it’s table stakes in the private-equity business, but it was a powerful driver of Apry Partners’ success.

Andrew and I ran the firm for a quarter century. We did it for 25 years. It was a wonderful experience. Metaphorically, I ran to work every day because I enjoyed myself. What I’m about to say is true about Andrew as well. We started to envision how we would reflect on our lives at the age of, say, 75 or 80, looking back. If we spent the incremental 15 years—not a quarter century, but 40 years—running a private-equity firm, would we think that was a really sensible allocation of our professional lives?

The answer was no, it really wouldn’t be, because 25 years was a great experience, but there are other things in life that are different and interesting. So that really motivated us to want to do something different. By the way, it helped that the firm was doing well. We had a talented group of partners in the next generation who could step up, and this would be good for the investors and for them. That was important, but that was really what was driving our thinking.

I will add 2 things. One is that there was a catalytic event for me. I was working late one evening in my office, and my dear friend and longtime partner, Andrew Banks, came in. I always think of this a little bit like Charles Dickens’s A Christmas Carol, when Jacob Marley comes in and wakes up Scrooge and tells him what the future will be like if he doesn’t listen to his partner, Jacob Marley.

Andrew said, “Royce, when we started this thing, we had more time than money, and now we have more money than time, and we ought to act accordingly.” I thought to myself, “That is really good advice.”

I'm not gonna admit it to Andrew. It'll just ruin him. I guess I just admitted it. Hopefully, he doesn't listen. But those were the reasons for leaving. And when I left, it was very disorienting because I was leaving something I was very good at. What could I do to replace that? I had the immense good fortune of partnering with Rick Ruback and building this in a partnership with him, and boy, I'm so glad I did it.

9. The Future Of Business Education

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Rick, I have a related question for you. You said 38 years now at HBS—an incredible run, with every kind of experience as a teacher of young people. What would you say about the state of higher education platforms and classes like the ones that you teach—how effective they are and how they need to evolve in an AI world where you can learn whatever you want at your fingertips if you're curious and enterprising? What needs to stay the same based on all your experience, and what needs to change?

Rick Ruback

Well, that's a hard question, and I think I'm not the best person to answer that because I'm really limited by my experience because I'm not a very techy guy. I can log into my computer, and I got a new phone. I don't even know how to shut it off. So I don't know. I'm not a person who really thinks deeply about how AI is going to change our educational experience.

But what I can say is I taught at MIT before I came to Harvard, and at MIT, we taught things. At Harvard, we really teach situations, and what I find is that our students are extraordinarily good at pattern recognition. It's hard to see how this learning happens. It's hard to measure it day by day. It's hard to quiz them on it. But what is absolutely true is that after 2 years of a case-based education, you've seen hundreds and hundreds of situations, and life is going to give you those situations.

So I can't tell you the number of times I'll meet with an alum and they'll say—we'll be talking about something and they'll say, “Oh, that's just Butler Lumber.” Now, it's not about lumber distribution in the 1950s, whenever that case was first written. That's not it. But it is the case of a company that, in the case of Butler Lumber, makes financial profits but no cash profits because all the cash goes into working capital. So there's that pattern recognition that just sticks with people, and I think it's really hard to Google your way to pattern recognition.

It's like so many other things. There's no gizmo to teach you how to be a really good alpine skier. There's no piece of AI or science that's gonna make you stronger in the weight room or faster on the track. I think you just have to do the work. As I like to say, success only comes before work in the dictionary. I think that is true in learning. I don't think there's an easy way to learn. I think there are fun ways to learn, but I think you actually have to put in effort to learn.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Anything you'd add to that, Royce, about your 15 years now of experience at the school—how things should stay the same and/or change?

Royce Yudkoff

I so agree with what Rick said on this. I think at great institutions, there's a tension between research and practical teaching. Schools have to find a balance because different constituencies want different things out of those institutions. Faculty, alumni, and the general public want the benefits of the research and new ideas that come out of them. Often, the students want a very practical education, and you're operating one enterprise that's trying to produce both of these. Finding the right balance between those two is an eternal challenge for a fine school.

I've been very struck, being inside Harvard as a faculty member, by how challenging it can often be to deliver both of those. As a student, you experience the faculty just in their capacity as teachers, and you don't see that there's this huge other component to their careers.

Rick Ruback

One of the things that's special about the Harvard Business School is that we understand we're a business school. We're not an economics department. We're not a behavioral science department. We are very much a business school. So while as faculty members we spend more than half our time doing research, that research has to have a business focus for it to be valued by the institution.

Now, what that business focus is can be almost anything. It can be some behavioral way, or it can be a new way of managing a workforce, it can be a new way of managing a portfolio, it could be all kinds of things. But I used to like to apply the rule—and I don't know if the institution would still agree with this rule, but I do—which is, if you're working on a research project at the Harvard Business School, you need to imagine that somebody would actually pay for the results of your work. Maybe not the cost of the research, but they should be willing to pay something for the results of your research. And if nobody cares enough to pay for your research, then maybe you should be doing it in the economics department or, God forbid, the Kennedy School. But not here.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of the coolest things about what you do is that you get to have these ongoing relationships with students beyond just the couple of years that you're with them in the classroom. I've talked to a couple of your former students before this, and they all say the same thing: They still call you for advice, for commiseration, or just to catch up, and you have relationships with them for a long period of time.

What do people most commonly call you with, looking to you for sage advice or someone to talk to? What are the most common reasons that you continue to get those calls beyond just having a great relationship with a person? And maybe that's the right answer.

Rick Ruback

We certainly get questions about specifics in the small-firm space. “I'm considering this deal. The seller wanted to do this. Does that make sense? Does this equity rollover make sense? Does this structure make sense? I'm having a problem with somebody on my board. How would you approach that?” So we certainly get those practical business questions.

I think we get questions when people are struggling with something. Something just isn't clear to them, and they want to go back and have somebody to talk to that they think is smart or clever or nonjudgmental or something. So we get a lot of those phone calls, I think. Do you agree, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

I do agree with you, Rick. I would add to the list that these are very smart people, and often when they're dealing with a problem, it's because you could go either way on that problem. They call for a second set of ears that they trust to listen to this. More often than not, if you force them to make a decision, they would make the same decision you're making, but they just need to hear someone else who understands business and whom they trust saying, “Yes, that's sensible.” So I think there's a bit of that. Before they jump, they want to get a confirmation from us.

Rick Ruback

I was gonna say that often they call me when they have this sense that they might be wrong.

Royce Yudkoff

Because you always say, Rick, “Feedback is a gift,” and so—

Rick Ruback

I say feedback is a gift, and I'm willing to say to somebody, “That's really stupid. Have you thought about that? Why would you do such a stupid thing?”

Royce Yudkoff

This is a really interesting thought because I never considered this. When they suspect they're wrong, they call you, and when they suspect they're right, they call me.

Rick Ruback

I think that's correct because you're always more cheerful after those phone calls than I am. I'm like, “What happened to these students? Why do they wanna buy such a crappy business?” And you're like, “Oh, I talked to so-and-so. They have such a great deal. It's 80% recurring revenue.” And I say, “I don't get those.” They call me with a pizza joint.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I guess that's why you have such a great long-term partnership.

Rick Ruback

Yeah, that's right.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Since I've interviewed you both before, I've already got to ask you my traditional closing question, so I have to come up with a new one this time. The one I thought would be fun is to ask each of you what your favorite case has been to teach your students, and maybe tell us a little bit about that case and why you like it.

Royce Yudkoff

The first or second case we teach each year is a case called Nashton Partners, and it's about 2 HBS students who actually graduated a few years before we started the program. Before there was any entrepreneurship through acquisition teaching, before it was a thing, they cottoned on to it and they did a laborious search. They bought a small municipal extermination company that had great revenue qualities, and it took a few years to figure out how to crack the code.

Once they cracked the code, it led them to 7 years of fantastic growth, both organically and through acquisitions, and they sold it for a huge price. It's a template journey of how people who were never in the multifamily extermination business figure out a business, how they find a company that has the qualities you wanna find in these businesses, and why they can do a job that the owner before couldn't do.

It's a way of shining a light on this and saying, “There are many forms this can take, but this is a good picture to remember when you think about ETA.” And I just love that case because it explains the journey we're gonna take them on. It has a great place in my heart. We've been teaching it since, I think, 2000.

Rick Ruback

That is a great case, and it's nice to start off with one that we know is gonna work out pretty well. We usually do that as our very first case of the year. I was gonna pick one that will probably make your teeth hurt. Can I pick 2? Because they're actually very similar.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

No rules here.

Rick Ruback

One is a company called Capital Digital. What I really, really like about Capital Digital is that it was purchased by a student of ours, Nick Anderson.

And as all good cases came, I was at another student's wedding and happened to be sitting beside Nick, and I said, “How are things going?” He said, “I can't tell.” He described his 1st year of owning the business, which had its challenges, but what was hard for Nick was that it was almost impossible to figure out what was really going on.

It highlighted how special small business is. Small businesses are small, their information systems are small, and the evolution of information is small. In this instance, there was nothing wrong with the business, but it sure looked like there were things that were wrong with the business. It was just that the firm needed to worry about its product mix a little more carefully than it was doing, but it was very subtle, and it took them a few years to figure it out. Once they figured it out, they've been tremendously successful in the years since. It's this evolution of information that I find fascinating.

My other favorite is a really odd choice, Royce. It is Brian Bonk and the Pelfries case. We close our course with this case. Every time I'm getting ready to teach this case the night before, I say to myself—and sometimes I even call Royce—and I say, “Royce, whose stupid idea was it to have this case as the last case?” This is just a terrible, terrible case.

It's a story about a young man who gets his PhD in biology at MIT. While he's in the process of getting his PhD in biology at MIT, he comes and takes our classes and decides there's a lot of smart biologists in the world, but there aren't a lot of smart biologists who own small businesses. So he's going to go buy a small business. Royce and I work with him, and we really enjoy working with Brian. He finds this business. Can I say what it does, Royce? Is that okay?

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, absolutely.

Rick Ruback

He finds this business that is in the most unusual marriage of businesses you can imagine. It is the largest rabbit slaughterhouse in the United States. Who doesn't want to own that and just be able to say to their grandchildren, “I killed 5,000 bunnies this week”? I have to be careful. My grandkids sometimes listen to this.

And a biotech version that takes the byproducts of the rabbit meat and turns them into biological products that turn out to be essential in the development of so many things, like Prevnar and a whole bunch of vaccines. So it is a really interesting business. Half of it really appeals to Brian, as you might imagine.

Anyway, the last case is about Brian's attempt to close the business. I think it takes—we have the number of days in there—but it's like 280 days or something crazy like that. Moses got to the Promised Land more quickly than Brian gets to the closing.

It's a video case, and the way we did the case was we had Brian record his impressions whenever he wanted to on his iPhone. Then the magic of editors pulled that all together into this video case, which is about an hour long. You see this journey, and it's like, “Well, I thought this issue was resolved.” Brian says, “Well, this issue's back. I thought it was resolved. This is the 4th time it's not been resolved. I don't know what to do. I'm just so frustrated. I guess I just have to get back to work.”

It just shows the frustration of search, the challenge of search, and why it's hard, because information isn't always available at one time. Anyway, that's kind of a favorite of mine. It's a weird favorite, right, Royce?

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, I love it.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

It makes me wonder if there's anything that, when people like me ask you questions about this whole domain, you're surprised they don't ask about. What's something, if anything, that comes to mind that I haven't asked about at all today that's essential or interesting to you, having spent more time in this space than just about anybody else?

Rick Ruback

The question I always have is why more people don't do it.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Hmm.

Rick Ruback

We have 920 students graduate every year. There ought to be 100 people searching. We get somewhere around 20–25 a year.

Royce Yudkoff

And then probably another 20 out of that class over the next 3 or 4 years.

Rick Ruback

Right.

Royce Yudkoff

Not 100, for sure.

Rick Ruback

But not 100, and that doesn't mean there aren't great jobs in private equity and in corporations and in consulting. But for my taste, this is such a better career path than working for somebody else.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Is it perceived as low status?

Rick Ruback

Not anymore.

Royce Yudkoff

Yeah, I don't think it's a low-status thing. If I were to think about the people who choose to go into large enterprises, the things they would say are important to them, I used to believe they weren't rational and that they only needed to listen to the preachers, Rick and Royce, for long enough. But what I've come to realize is they have a bunch of values that are sensible—

Rick Ruback

And different.

Royce Yudkoff

—and different. Thank you, Rick. That's exactly right.

Those would be, in no particular order, that they want to work in an enterprise that has lots of resources so they can do the polished work that they've been trained to do and get satisfied by. They want to be surrounded by coworkers and colleagues who are like them—highly educated, who show up at work wanting to be the best they can be—because work is a social activity.

They want to be part of something larger than themselves, not limited to but including a great brand name. They want to be part of the team that brings Coca-Cola to China. These are things that are really important. If you say, “Well, wouldn't you rather be more independent and not have a boss?” they'd say, “Sure, of course, but I want these other things more.” I think that's why people look at this path and say, “It just doesn't fit with me.”

Rick Ruback

I agree with every word you said. I would also add 1 minor thing. Maybe this is my thought, and this may not be true, but I think if you somehow dug and peeled their hair away and dug inside their brains for a little bit, you would find that not everybody is comfortable with doing the most difficult thing that a CEO does, which is write down the to-do list.

It is so much easier to work for somebody and have them tell you what the to-do list is. “I work for a private equity firm. They've told me to work on this deal,” or, “They told me to source in this industry.” They're not telling me to pick any industry and source it and have my entire wealth tied to that industry. And even if I do do that, they're not telling me to run the firm after I've bought it.

There's a sense where you say, “When you're managing a small business or finding a small business, you're saying, ‘This is important to me, this is important to our firm, and this is the direction we're going to take.’” Not everybody's comfortable with that.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I have learned so much from you both. That's my question too: from multiple perspectives, from the investor perspective and from the searcher perspective, I think you learn so much running a business that you can't learn any other way. Obviously, your work has done this. Hopefully, conversations like this one get more people curious.

I encourage people to read your book, listen to your podcast, and immerse themselves in the ideas that you've accumulated over 15 years together. Thanks so much for doing this with me again, and for your time, and for everything that you've done. It's so much fun to do it 10 years later, and I guess I'll see you in another 10.

Rick Ruback

I'm looking forward to that.

Royce Yudkoff

Thank you, Patrick. This was really great. It was as fun this time as it was 10 years ago.

Royce Yudkoff 与 Rick Ruback:收购式创业——[Invest Like the Best,第423期] — 文字稿与摘要 | BidClub