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NoRush Invest · · 38 分钟

Groq 创始人、TPU 创造者 Jonathan Ross:GPU ♥ LPU——你想知道的一切|Nvidia GTC 2026

Jonathan Ross

YouTube
TL;DR
  • Nvidia 与 Groq 的整合已经落地,范围广泛,并开始交付。 Ross 确认,LPX 机架“已经投入生产”,Q3 可供货——这“可能是半导体史上最快的爬坡之一”(“可能”是法务要求加入的措辞)。从 Groq COO Sunny Madra 联系 Jensen、询问能否接入 NVLink,到交易在数周内完成,Ross 于12月25日开始在 Nvidia 全职工作。
  • 这套产品将 LLM 的解码工作拆分给两类芯片。 FFN 层运行在 LPU 上,attention 层运行在 GPU 上——Ross 用物流网络作比喻:18轮卡车代表 GPU 的长距离吞吐,配送面包车代表 LPU 的低延迟。结果是两类芯片的利用率都得到提升,帕累托曲线在高速区间“向上弯曲”,达到“每秒数千个 token”这一“原本不可能实现”的水平。
  • Ross 预计,快速档位的定价仍将保持超线性。 Anthropic,以及很可能包括 OpenAI,已经对快速档位收取超线性价格;Ross 用煤炭与石油作比喻:石油每 BTU 成本约为煤炭的7倍,但人们仍愿意支付,因为“你不能用煤炭让飞机起飞”。企业应把超高档位的 token 配额给最优秀的工程师;如今每月花费1万美元的客户“可能还只是低端”,未来可能走向工程师每年消耗数百万美元 token。
  • 速度就是智能,甚至可以胜过模型质量。 Groq 内部发现,Qwen-32B“是一个不错但算不上顶尖的模型”,仅仅通过增加迭代次数,就能比 Anthropic 的 Opus 更快、更便宜地解决每一道形式化推理数学题——快速反馈循环胜过更少但昂贵的迭代。
  • 推理驱动收入循环。 “训练规模取决于研究人员数量,推理规模取决于用户数量。收入来自用户,而不是研究人员。” 这会形成正向循环:推理侧领先,带动客户收入增长,进而推动客户购买更多训练硬件。
  • 能源正在限制推理规模。 “现在全球没有足够的推理算力,也没有足够的能源来驱动足够的推理算力。” 混合机架的核心卖点,是提高每兆瓦的 token 产出;这正对应 Jensen 提出的关键问题:在吉瓦级数据中心里运行什么,才能最大化收入。
  • 从内部看,NVDA 的文化是:即便有超过4万人,也和450人的 Groq 一样快,丝毫不慢。 Ross 称 Nvidia“几乎没有真正的官僚主义”,并在台上针对 Google 的推进速度作了意味明确的调侃。
摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. 从主动联系到圣诞节:这笔交易如何达成

  • Ross 讲述的起点是:2025年初,Nvidia 向合作伙伴开放 NVLink 后,Groq COO Sunny Madra 联系 Jensen,问道:“我们能接入这个吗?” Jensen 回答:“当然,为什么不?” Groq 随后演示了一个通过普通以太网实现的 GPU/LPU 拆分工作负载方案;演示结束3天后,Jensen 打电话提出“更紧密地合作”,3周后交易完成,Ross 于12月25日正式加入 Nvidia、开始全职工作。
  • Ross 给现场的建议值得记下:“Nvidia 的核心就是帮助合作伙伴成长……如果你有想用 NVLink 的点子,就联系我们。整个事情就是这么开始的。”
  • 关于时间表和出货,台上公布的 LPX 机架目前已经投入生产,Q3 可供货——“可能是半导体史上最快的爬坡之一。Nvidia 的法务部门要求我们加上‘可能’这两个字。”

2. 架构:FFN 上 LPU,attention 上 GPU

  • 工作机制是:FFN 层放在 LPU 上,attention 层放在 GPU 上;约40层 decoder 意味着约40次往返。如果把所有工作都放在一颗芯片上,就会出现利用率不足——无论是让 LPU 跑 attention,还是让 GPU 跑 FFN,都会如此。“把它们放在一起,两边的利用率都会提升。”同时,LPU 不需要反复从外部内存取数,因此同一套硬件可以同时获得更高吞吐和更低延迟。
  • Ross 的标志性比喻是18轮卡车与配送面包车:“最佳答案是两者兼有。”单独使用 Ruben,目标是“最低 token 成本”;混合方案则是在高速区间让帕累托曲线“向上弯曲”,而不是继续向下,箭头会“相当远地指向右侧”。
  • 衡量框架是每兆瓦吞吐量——也就是 Jensen 所问的:在一个吉瓦级数据中心里运行什么,才能最大化收入。Ross 说,Groq 过去的问题是:“我们有非常快的 AI,但没有足够的吞吐量来交付它……客户总想采用我们,但他们做不到。现在引入 GPU,就可以规模化实现。”
  • 对于问答环节有人提出 LPX 比 NVL72 更便宜,Ross 并不认同:“那个机架里有很多硅。”它的优势是更高密度,而不是更低价格。至于如何掩盖激活值传输延迟,Ross 称:“Nvidia 最不为人知的秘密之一,是我们的网络能力非常强”(Mellanox),而且后续还会继续改善。

3. 为什么人们愿意为速度付费:石油胜煤的论点

  • 经济学逻辑是:石油每 BTU 成本约为煤炭的7倍,但人们仍理性地为此买单,因为“你不能用煤炭让飞机起飞”。程序员如果能在5分钟而不是10分钟内拿到结果,每天就能完成2倍迭代。真正的认知核心是:“我们不知道快速 AI 能做成什么,因为此前还没有过这种能力。”这就像早期家电直接拧进灯泡插座;两人也都提到了 Bezos 在 TED 演讲中提出的“薄薄的横向赋能层”(“thin horizontal enabling layer”)比喻。
  • Ross 更大的判断是,AI 并不是互联网那种信息时代技术——互联网“在概念上与印刷机是同一种东西”。“AI 不是复制数据,而是在创造此前不存在的答案……它比电力更大。它的基础性更强,因为人类此前从未有过把创造力外包出去的能力。”
  • 企业可以分成两类:价值守成型公司用 AI 降低成本,价值创造型公司用 AI 增长收入;而创造价值需要更快的迭代。Ross 举例称,一位客户提出的功能需求,在会议结束“不到1小时”后就已由 coding agent 实现。“如果当时速度更快,会议结束前就能完成。”

4. 速度就是智能——语音是试验场

  • 最有说服力的实证来自用形式化推理证明电路正确性:Opus 用最少迭代得出答案,但成本最高;Qwen-32B 只是不断迭代直到得到答案,却更快、更便宜地解决了每一道数学题。“对于存在调试闭环的问题,能力较弱的模型也能更快地完成迭代。”
  • Ross 讲了一个女友的例子:ChatGPT 语音模式中的“这是一个很好的问题……让我想想”,本质上是在争取生成时间——“这些填充词比沉默好,但好不了多少。”如果答案即时出现,对话会让人感觉“像是在读心”。
  • 语音正在取代打字。Nvidia LPU 团队的一名工程师完全通过手机语音指挥 Codex 或 Claude Code;Ramp 的工程师则说自己“什么都不打字了”——“这对开放式办公区来说不会是什么好事。”

5. 元层面的教训:AI 让实验变便宜

  • Ross 坦言自己差点否决这次实验:“一开始我反对它。”原因纯粹是机会成本:工程师数量有限,而且当时都有客户项目。Sunny 坚持推进后,Ross 只拨出“一小支人马”;主持人问,这个实验是否可能让公司价值增加5倍或10倍,Ross 回答:“更多。”他的总结是:“如果当时有今天这种水平的 AI,它会直接去做这个实验……相对于错失的机会而言,成本很低。”
  • Sunny 提供了一个体现复利效应的例子:“Claude Code 会写 Claude Code”(“Claude code writes Claude code”),从而让更新发布频率超过每天1次。
  • Ross 自己的日常也说明了这一点:他约在早上6点醒来,先看 AI 生成的每日简报,内容包括邮件、日历、Polymarket、Kalshi 和论文;睡6小时后,他几乎不停地用 AI 写代码——“开会时只想着赶紧回去写代码”。在 AI 出现前,他已经完全停止写代码。“AI 正在教我认识 AI……循环一层套一层。”

6. 问答:瓶颈无处不在,RSI 的表述极其谨慎

  • 关于什么限制了帕累托前沿,Ross 给出了一个关键的技术回答:对某个近期开源模型的一层进行电子表格分析后发现,不同算子分别受制于内存容量、内存吞吐量、计算、网络延迟和网络带宽。“这是相当均衡的架构,需要同时改进很多环节,才能带来明显提升。但未来仍有很大空间。”
  • 关于递归自我改进,Ross 的表述高度谨慎:“纯属推测……据我所知,这不是一个已经被深入开展的领域。”人类之所以能够高效学习,是因为好奇心会主动寻找异常;在强化学习场景中,更快的 rollout 可能通过更精准地选择目标,缩短训练所需的迭代轮次。
  • 对于自 CES 以来 Groq 的角色是否先收窄、后拓宽,Ross 表示:“Jensen 喜欢先设定预期,再超额交付……内部做了大量工作来验证这一点,之后才更广泛地推出。”现在已经进入生产阶段,因此“可以说得更多”。

NoRush Invest

I want to start out.

Jonathan Ross

Thank you very much for asking me to do this with you. It's a great honor.

NoRush Invest

Let's get into what the partnership is and how this came about. And first of all, thanks for David coming. He normally doesn't do this kind of thing, so thank you very much.

1. NVIDIA Partners With Groq

Jonathan Ross

It all started early in 2025, when NVIDIA released NVLink and was going to allow partners to connect to it. That's when Groq's COO, Sunny Madra—raise your hand—yeah, that guy right there—reached out to Jensen and said, “Hey, can we connect to this?” And Jensen said, “Sure, why not?”

So we got some GPUs. We didn't have NVLink at the time; we just had Ethernet. But we got some GPUs and started trying to get something working across GPUs and LPUs, where we took different portions of the workload that ran on different chips, or ran better on each different chip. It worked. We presented it to Jensen.

Three days later, Jensen called up and said, “Why don't we work more closely together?” Three weeks later, the deal was done, and 1 day after that, I was at NVIDIA working full-time. That was actually December 25th—Christmas. That's when I got my laptop and started working.

NoRush Invest

Perfect. So can you tell us what the product is?

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. Let me start with—I can't see the slide, so I have no idea.

NoRush Invest

Oh, uh-oh.

Jonathan Ross

Why don't we start off with me explaining it with words, then? All right, we're going to do this a cappella.

2. Hybrid Chips Split Workloads

The best way to describe it is: If you were building out a logistics network for the entire United States and I told you your 2 options were that you could either use all 18-wheelers or just delivery vans, which one would you pick? The 18-wheelers are great for long-haul freight transport. The delivery vans are great for the cities, but you certainly don't want to use 18-wheelers in cities.

The best answer is both. So the product is that we actually take the decoder layer of the LLMs, and we take the sort of weights and the FFN portion—

NoRush Invest

Oh, we can see it now? I don't think they can see it, though.

Jonathan Ross

Oh. Okay, great. Perfect.

So we're going to start off a little bit backwards here. What we do is we take the FFN layers and put them on the LPUs. Then we take the attention layers and put them on the GPUs. If you have about 40 decoder layers, there's going to be about 40 round trips.

This is why we started talking with NVIDIA when NVIDIA offered NVLink to the ecosystem. This is a really important point: NVIDIA is all about growing its partners, making new partners, and building the rest of the ecosystem. So what I would recommend is, if you have an idea where you can use NVLink Fusion, reach out. That's how this whole thing got started.

This actually allows us to bend those curves that you saw in the presentation. Ruben is great if you want the lowest-cost tokens; it's your best option. It also bends the curve so that you can get faster tokens. But you see that LPU or LPX that's brought in, and it sort of flattens out the curve there and raises it up.

Now, when you put them together, you can go all the way to this ultra-performance level, which is otherwise just impossible: thousands of tokens per second. That little arrow there that points off to the right goes quite far off to the right.

So why is this important? I'm going to go back to an analogy. Let's talk about the economics here. When you buy energy, if you produce that energy from coal versus oil, it costs you about 7 times as much per BTU that you get out of oil versus coal.

People aren't dumb. They're not going to overspend on something. So why are people willing to spend 7 times as much per BTU from oil versus coal? There are things that you cannot do with coal. You can drive a railroad with coal; you cannot fly a plane with coal. You need velocity.

If you're trying to code and you have to wait 10 minutes to get a result, you'll accept it if you have no alternative. But if someone else is able to get the results in 5 minutes, they can get twice as many iterations per day. That means they can get to what the customers want in half the time.

That speed is very important. You're trying to get a report done. If you can get the report in half the time, or 1/10 the time, it fundamentally changes what you can do.

So what does this mean for everything else?

NoRush Invest

You were saying earlier—one of the things we were talking about on the phone—is that speed is really important, especially when AI starts talking to other AI.

3. Agentic AI Needs Speed

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. Well, let's try and explain agentic AI really simply. Who here finds AI useful in getting tasks done? Okay. Would you be surprised to find out that AI finds AI useful in getting tasks done?

When AI invokes AI to solve a task, that's agentic AI. There are all sorts of reasons why it does this rather than just doing everything itself. One is that it can fork the context, right? There's a certain speed at which you can get those tokens out. If I can fork and try 10 things at the same time, then I can try those 10 things.

On the other hand, if I'm able to do something in 1/10 the time, I can change what I'm doing at each step based on what I just learned. So you get those feedback loops faster.

In agentic AI, there have been some breakthroughs recently where 100,000-plus-line browsers have been written by AI. If you could do that not in days but in a couple of hours, then you could start iterating on that design pretty fundamentally.

It's simply a way to do research, to explore. And, actually, just stepping back for a moment, we just don't know. The bottom line is, we don't know what we don't know. We don't know all the things that can be done with fast AI because we haven't had it yet.

It's like when you first got oil: What did everyone do? They started running ships with oil. You didn't need oil to run a ship. It was cleaner; it was better, right? But what we knew was that ships being powered by energy was useful.

We couldn't have imagined that we would have an internal-combustion engine that could fly a plane. We don't know everything that's going to be done with speed. We all know that we want it. We all know that we want the answers faster. We're going to want to code faster, and we're going to want our results faster from research reports.

But there are going to be things that can be done. Think about having a conversational agent speaking to you where, instead of when you ask it, “What is my bill?” it goes, “That's a very interesting question,” trying to buy time in order to generate an answer. What happens if it immediately answers? You're going to feel more engaged. You're going to feel like you're in flow, and that conversation is going to feel much better.

This is something I was actually talking to Jeff Bezos about, because the way he describes AI—you can go back on YouTube and see this TED Talk he gave 18–20 years ago—he was saying that there are these inventions of new technology that are thin, horizontal enabling layers.

He said electricity was one. He talked about the internet as another one. And the way he describes AI, he talks about this thin, horizontal enabling layer.

What he told me—and he said this in the talk—was, “Listen, when we invent electricity, we weren't inventing electricity. We were trying to put lighting in a house.” But then there's no way, after you did that, you could have possibly prevented all the different ways that electricity was going to be used. You just know it was going to go everywhere.

NoRush Invest

Yeah. And so your point was, with AI, we know it's there; we can't predict what is going to be created with AI, and we certainly the hell cannot predict what's going to be created with super-fast AI.

Jonathan Ross

Correct. Okay. So, going back to that point, when electricity was first invented and put in houses, and you started getting other appliances like washing machines, they didn't have prongs where you'd plug them into an outlet. You screwed them into a light-bulb socket.

NoRush Invest

So you've seen this because he talked about that. Okay. I don't know if it's the same source, but yeah.

Jonathan Ross

He talked about it in the TED Talk. You couldn't imagine that you would have other uses besides lighting. Yeah. But going back to this, AI is not like the internet. It's not like telephones. Those are information-age technologies.

Information-age technologies are about taking information, duplicating it, and distributing it. Some are better than others, but the internet is conceptually the same thing as the printing press. It's just faster. It's just cheaper. It's more convenient. But you're copying data and replicating it.

AI is not copying data. It's creating answers that didn't exist before. So AI is not an improvement like electricity. It's bigger. It's more foundational, because we've never had the ability to offload creativity and this other kind of mental labor before.

NoRush Invest

Okay, this is perfect, because we were talking earlier about how one of the biggest problems you had back at Groq was getting people to understand why speed matters. And the conversation we were having earlier was about the difference between a company trying to preserve what it has versus a company that is going to generate new value. So what will speed do to the second kind of company?

4. Value Creation Runs Faster

Jonathan Ross

Well, there are 2 kinds of companies: value preservation and value creation. If you're in value preservation, you're going to use AI to reduce costs. If you are in value creation, you're going to use AI to increase your revenues.

One of the most important things when you're increasing your revenues is that you're going to want to iterate more quickly. A lot of SaaS companies, a lot of web companies, can push a new build once a week.

What if you could do it once a day? What if you could do it once an hour? To give an example of something that we did as a team, we were meeting with a customer and got a customer request in that meeting. I sent a message to 1 of our engineers who, using a coding agent, implemented that feature, and it was done, I think, less than an hour after the meeting was over.

Now, if we had more speed, that could have been done before the meeting was over. Just imagine you meet with a customer, they have a problem, and before the meeting is over, it's solved. We just don't—we're not able to wrap our heads around that because we can't do it yet. This is what that's going to enable.

NoRush Invest

Explain why people are always going to want to spend more money to go faster. Think of it as competition.

Jonathan Ross

So, actually, let's take NVIDIA. NVIDIA went from us starting on December 25th to us unveiling the LPX rack onstage today. Do you want to be half that speed? Everyone's going to want to be as fast as they possibly can.

NoRush Invest

The best businesses move fast, and you're an expert in this. I'm going to ask you: Is that true?

Jonathan Ross

Yeah, of course. What business wants to move slower than everyone else? Especially when there's value creation, the faster you can create those new features, those new products, and those new abilities, the faster you can bring that revenue in.

I think the important point you were making on the phone call we had earlier is that the product is already in production.

NoRush Invest

Yeah.

Jonathan Ross

It's already being produced right now. As Jensen announced, Q3 is when it's going to be available. It's probably 1 of the fastest ramps of a semiconductor in history. NVIDIA's legal department wanted us to insert the word “probably” there, just so you guys know. That's not a joke.

NoRush Invest

Oh, I'm sorry. Not supposed to curse either. We have plenty of time. Why did you say that being the king of inference is a big deal at NVIDIA?

Jonathan Ross

Everything started with training. We had to get models that worked. Training scales with the number of researchers you have, and inference scales with the number of users you have. Revenue comes from users, not researchers.

The better your training is, the better your inference is. But the better your inference is, the more revenue you generate, and the better your training gets. It's a virtuous cycle. If you are the best at inference, it means that you're going to be enabling that revenue for your customers, and they're also going to buy more training hardware.

But you can't be just 1. There's a virtuous cycle.

NoRush Invest

Can you explain in detail how you made it both faster and more cost-effective?

5. Hybrid Design Bends the Curve

Jonathan Ross

The way we did that was—remember that Pareto curve? Let's go to this one. What we're really showing here is throughput per megawatt.

It goes back to what Jensen said: You're going to buy a gigawatt data center, and you're going to fill it with hardware. The question you're going to ask yourself is, what are you going to run in that data center? How are you going to run it to earn as much revenue as you can, or to get as much productivity as you can for your workforce?

What you see is that the faster those tokens are produced, the fewer tokens you get per megawatt or per gigawatt. That's the trade-off. The LPU is really good at low latency. The GPU is really good at high throughput.

Going back to the logistics network, if you deliver the first mile—the long-haul part—with the 18-wheeler, and then hand it off to delivery vans to deliver the rest of it, you're going to get the most cost-effective delivery network.

What you see here is that bend in the curve. If you compare Blackwell to Reuben with LPX, you see that it doesn't just keep going down like it did. It bends up as you start going faster. That's because the LPU is particularly good at the high-throughput matrix multiplies in the decode layer.

If you were to run something purely on GPU or purely on LPU, there would be different matrix multiplies that got different utilizations. If you ran everything on the LPU, you'd be underutilizing it on attention. If you ran everything on the GPU, you'd underutilize it on the projection, or the FFN, layers.

Putting them together, the utilization goes up for both. The speed also improves because the LPUs don't have to wait to fetch things from external memory. So now you actually get more throughput out of the same hardware while getting better latency.

It's not simply just faster is better. It's faster at what cost? It's faster at what capacity? The world right now doesn't have enough inference compute. It doesn't have enough energy to power enough inference compute. But if you can get more tokens out of the same amount of energy, then you can start to provide high-performance tokens to everyone.

One of the things at Groq that was great was that we had very fast AI, but we didn't have the throughput to deliver it to those customers. We couldn't run anything large, and customers always wanted to adopt us, but they couldn't.

Now you mix in the GPU, and you can do this at scale.

NoRush Invest

Can you tell the story that you told me earlier about using a model that's average and how you were using your technology to actually have it solve math theorems?

6. Fast AI Unlocks New Work

Jonathan Ross

One of the points here is that speed is intelligence. Just think about it: The faster someone thinks, probably the smarter they are, right? It's the same with AI. But why is that?

There was a great example. We were doing formal reasoning on the LPUs, trying to prove correctness of portions of the circuitry. One of the folks at Groq did an experiment, and they realized that if they ran something on Anthropic's Opus, at the time they got the answer in the smallest number of iterations, but at the greatest cost.

When they ran Qwen-32B, a good model—not a great model, but a good, solid model, especially for its size—it would take more iterations, but it solved every single 1 of the math problems faster and cheaper than Opus did because it would just iterate until it got the answer.

On programming problems, where you can get a debug—for example, you get an error on compile, you test-run, and you get an error—you can actually iterate much more quickly with a less capable model. Now, if you have a more capable model and it can run fast, that's even better.

NoRush Invest

You were doing that internally at Groq, correct?

Jonathan Ross

Yes.

NoRush Invest

What are some ways other people use this technology outside of Groq that have surprised you the most?

Jonathan Ross

I would probably go back to voice again. Voice was pretty heavily used.

NoRush Invest

Can you tell them why your girlfriend gets mad at voice?

Jonathan Ross

My girlfriend uses ChatGPT, and she mostly uses it in voice mode. When she asks it a question, it starts off by answering, “That is a very good question.” Then it'll go, “Hmm, let me think about that.” She's like, “I just want the answer. Stop telling me all this.”

It's because it's slow. You do that because you're adding filler words.

NoRush Invest

You're adding filler words.

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. Those filler words are better than silence, but they're not much better. I don't know. I think I would prefer silence. She certainly would.

If you think about the most engaging conversations you've ever had, those are conversations where, as you are stopping speaking, the other person is saying something that answers your question. They're not going in a different direction. They understood you. They really got you. They're aligned.

But they're answering immediately. It feels like they're reading your mind. That's why speed is going to matter.

NoRush Invest

If you will, explain why this applies to voice and the other ways that you think it's going to apply to voice, besides customer service. We used the example of calling call centers, but what else?

Jonathan Ross

Coding. Some of the engineers here at NVIDIA—1 of them on the LPU team—has connected up, I think, to either Codex or Claude Code. I don't know which 1, but they just have their phone connected to it, and they talk to it and have it make all the updates.

They're not typing anymore. They're just using the computer to interact with the applications and stuff, but all of the direction of what the AI should do is voice.

NoRush Invest

Our mutual friends Eric and Karim from Ramp told me the same thing. They have a bunch of engineers in their companies who say they're not typing anything.

Jonathan Ross

Yeah.

NoRush Invest

Which is not going to be great for open-floor plans. If you created this technology and invented this technology, but you were sitting in the audience, what are some ways that you think you'd be using this if you were in their shoes?

Jonathan Ross

I would probably focus on giving your premium customers speed. You certainly don't want to be slower than anyone else. In these charts, we refer to this as a free tier at the—

NoRush Invest

Go to the dollar.

Jonathan Ross

Oh, yeah.

NoRush Invest

Yeah, that 1 should just be a permanent display. Look at this. I was asking you before we even came out here: Which plan would you use?

Jonathan Ross

I always pay for time. Yeah, Ultra.

NoRush Invest

So basically the only thing I buy.

Jonathan Ross

Exactly. So it's a little bit pricey.

NoRush Invest

There you go.

Jonathan Ross

The thing is, speed matters. Another way to think of it is: If you have engineers who aren't worth giving the Ultra package to, are they good enough to hire? Don't you want all your engineers to be so good that it's worth speeding them up?

You should be giving the fastest-speed tokens to all of your best engineers. Then the other engineers are going to ask, “Why don't I get the best tokens?”

NoRush Invest

You were mentioning the other 2 companies, Anthropic and OpenAR. Are they doing this as well?

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. They already offer plans where you can pay to get a speed-up, and I believe it's superlinear. They charge more than linear for the speed-up. So this is something that's already needed.

NoRush Invest

I was using open-source models on Groq LPUs because, even though when I would ask a question it normally wasn't perfect, I could immediately ask a follow-up and it would correct it. Rather than having to wait 5 or 10 minutes for my answer on a better model, if I could get a really good answer in a second, I'll take that every time.

There's one more analogy here. When we're looking at how much token capacity we're willing to give to engineers, there are people spending $10,000 a month right now. That's on the high end, but that might be on the low end of where this is going. In fact, there are plenty of careers where people are responsible for things that are worth tens or hundreds of millions of dollars. Pilots fly airplanes that are worth tens of millions—actually, hundreds of millions of dollars. If you can generate the revenue, that makes sense. It probably won't be long until engineers are actually using millions of dollars of tokens per year, and you're going to want to give them the fastest tokens possible because they're the best engineers.

I have a weird question that just popped to mind. Your name's Sunny, right? Okay. You're essentially encouraging them to find creative ways to use the latest technology, right? This is a very old idea from the history of entrepreneurship. Andrew Carnegie, in his autobiography, talked about the fact that you have to invest heavily in technology. The savings compound; it can be the difference between a profit and a loss and give you a massive competitive advantage over your slower-moving competitors, which he applied to one of the most valuable industries in the world at the time, during the Industrial Revolution: steel.

Do you remember the breakfast we had in New York, like, 2 years ago?

[Speaker?]

Yeah. It wasn't that long ago.

Or 1.5 years ago—I don't know. It feels like it does, right? This was before you called Jensen and asked for access, right? That one idea of, "Hey, this new thing came out. Let me figure out creative ways to use this new technology." What was the difference in value in your business? The state of Groq—I mean, Groq was doing okay, but certainly not... That was life-changing, correct?

Jonathan Ross

Okay. So this is really important. Sunny proposed this to me, and at first I was against it—not because I didn't think it was a good idea. I just didn't know if it was going to work, and there were a whole bunch of other things that were going to work.

NoRush Invest

But what was the state of the business at that time?

Jonathan Ross

We were hitting some revenue targets, but they weren't nearly as big as the deal that was done.

NoRush Invest

Exactly. So it might have increased the value of the business by 5× or 10×?

Jonathan Ross

More. But I'm actually making another important point.

NoRush Invest

I hope he got paid.

Jonathan Ross

Oh, yeah. Sunny's okay. But I'm actually making a more important point here, which is we almost didn't do it. Whereas if we could have had AI at the time—because AI wasn't at the state where it is today, which was less than a year ago, so it's crazy—if we had AI where it's at today, it would have just tried the experiment.

NoRush Invest

Wait, say it again.

Jonathan Ross

We'd have just tried the experiment of seeing if we could get it to work. We'd have had AI go do it. I run experiments all day long. Today, it would have been no question. The only question was opportunity cost. We had a finite number of engineers. We were trying to deliver things for customers. Those customers told us how many dollars they were going to give us if we delivered, and so we were on a path.

Sunny advocated for this, and I said, "Fine, take a small contingent and do it." It took longer than it would have, but now with AI, you can just run experiments. It's cheap relative to the lost opportunity.

NoRush Invest

So imagine you advocated—I would imagine you advocated pretty hard. Imagine if you said no: the difference in the valuation of the company is 1/10, 1/20, 1/50?

Jonathan Ross

I mean, it wasn't that much of a difference, but it was big.

NoRush Invest

Yeah, substantial. So AI is going to allow you to run experiments. It's going to allow you to run them quickly, and if we run the experiment faster than someone else, then we have the advantage. I guess this is the main point: you're developing new technology to make other businesses more valuable. You're almost like your own proof of concept for that.

Jonathan Ross

Yeah, so I can't disagree with that.

NoRush Invest

Yeah, it just came to mind. Well, you want a different example.

Jonathan Ross

Claude Code writes Claude Code.

NoRush Invest

Yeah. So Sunny just said, "Claude Code writes Claude Code." If you look at how fast it updates, more than once a day they're updating, right? He's saying more than once a day it's updating. I run experiments so quickly now on things that I just whispered in your ear. They were doing the introductions. I don't know if you want to talk about this or not. I was like, "What are you hacking on?"

Jonathan Ross

Yeah, I'm not going to—

NoRush Invest

I was going to show you now.

Jonathan Ross

Okay, you show.

NoRush Invest

Okay, show me after.

Jonathan Ross

I'm just doing AI coding—nonstop. It's all I'm doing right now. You're like, "What's your schedule?" I wake up at around 6:00 a.m. and spend the first couple of hours doing... I start off with an AI-delivered daily briefing. It tells me all the most important things from my email, my calendar, and world events. It integrates Polymarket, Kalshi, everything—market numbers. It tries to give me an update on everything that's going on. It takes news and integrates it.

I read through that and ask it follow-up questions. In fact, I told it to stop writing long descriptions. Just give me the title, and if I'm interested, I'll ask a follow-up question. That's the first thing I do, and that takes me a little while to go through. It organizes all my emails for me and drafts things for me.

After I get past that, I'll start coding a little bit. Then I'll start sending some emails to people, and then I come into the office. When I'm in the office, I'm in meetings just dreaming of getting back to coding. I wasn't coding pre-AI—I had stopped coding. I just didn't have the time for it.

Now, even while I'm in a meeting, I'll have an idea, and I'll type it, run the experiment, and go back to the meeting.

NoRush Invest

How much sleep are you getting?

Jonathan Ross

Oh. 6 hours a night.

NoRush Invest

A lot of people are coming here because they want to hear you speak. Right before we got on stage, you said, "Sometimes I wonder why anybody wants to hear me speak." I'm like, "Jonathan, are you crazy?" You have this very unique lived experience. You have stuff in your head—very important, valuable information about the most important thing going on. Of course people are going to hear you speak.

Who do you go to learn about other things that you don't know about AI? Where do you get that information?

Jonathan Ross

Actually, I just go on X and hear things from Andrej Karpathy. I hear things from... Actually, the daily brief usually has a bunch of new papers in it, so I'll just read whatever's in there. So AI, I guess, is teaching me about AI.

NoRush Invest

So there you go. It's loops all the way down.

Jonathan Ross

And also, of course, I listen to the Founders podcast a lot.

NoRush Invest

Of course. I was just telling David, "All of your mistakes are a form of leverage." I think I've listened to every single one that has made it to YouTube, and a lot of the lessons for Groq were actually in there.

Jonathan Ross

Oh, that's incredible.

NoRush Invest

Yeah. How much of the purchase price are you going to give to me?

Jonathan Ross

Well, I should have let you invest.

NoRush Invest

I think you did offer it. I said no. I'm pretty stupid with these kinds of things. We have 8 more minutes. I don't have any other questions. I know you said no Q&A, but can I just violate this and have us take questions for 8 minutes?

Jonathan Ross

I'm sorry. I think I did 2 curse words. That's way less than I normally do. I see some nervousness from the press relations team, but yeah, let's do it. What could possibly go wrong?

NoRush Invest

They have microphones set up. Why do you say no questions? All right. So right now, as you guys have said, it's superlinear to get fast mode in Claude or Codex. Do you think that's going to continue into the future?

7. The Audience Tests The Thesis

Jonathan Ross

I do. I think it will be superlinear because there is an increased cost. What we're doing is improving the cost significantly, but there is an increased cost. There's always a point on this chart—which goes way out, way off where this chart is—that some people will want and others won't.

But I just imagine if there's some sort of emergency situation, like a FEMA situation, you're going to want the fastest possible tokens responding to that and trying to action it. There's going to be use for the fastest possible token. But no matter what speed is available here—and it will be—you'll get more of them per gigawatt or per megawatt deployed.

NoRush Invest

Did you guys kill the Rubin CPX?

Jonathan Ross

Well, hey, 1 question per person. What are we doing?

NoRush Invest

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

Audience member

Can I go next? Can you ask my question? I just do LPU stuff. So, I think the LPU rack is cheaper than NVL72. Why limit it to just a premium tier? Why not all workloads?

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. So, the LPU rack is actually very dense and has a lot more hardware in it. So, I don't actually agree that it's less costly. There's a lot more silicon in that rack, or Groq chips in that rack.

Vinay

Hi, Vinay from Microsoft. Slightly technical question, but you spoke about the utilization of both GPUs and LPUs for different portions of the workload, which totally makes sense. But there is still the scale-out latency cost you have to pay to transfer the activations. What secret sauce do you actually use to push toward the right-hand side of the Pareto curve and hide that latency?

Jonathan Ross

Well, one of NVIDIA's best-kept secrets is that we're really good at networking.

For scale-out, we bought this company called Mellanox and have some nice gear there. So, we've gotten the latency down quite a bit on that, but we do have some improvements coming that will make it even better, and so you'll see these tighten up a bit.

NoRush Invest

I actually have a question about something you said earlier that I think is important. Can you describe the speed at which NVIDIA operates? From the outside, you thought they were fast, but now you're inside. We were talking about this earlier—just how fast they actually are.

Jonathan Ross

Yeah. So, at Groq, we were a startup of 450 people, and we moved incredibly quickly. Most people thought it was crazy how quickly we could move. NVIDIA—what are we, over 40,000 people?

Yeah, okay. Getting thumbs up. And we move just as fast. No slower. No real bureaucracy. Things just happen super quickly. When someone is needed for something, they jump on it. The culture is very unique in that way. I've been at other large companies that didn't work this fast. Google.

NoRush Invest

I was trying. I said it, not me. Or him, not him. Oh, yeah. I'm going to get in trouble. Thanks.

Jonathan Ross

No, sorry. You shouldn't invite me. I don't know what to tell you.

Audience member

Regarding RSI, or recursive self-improvement, how does fast AI help with that? I'm assuming that since you can do so many fast experiments, that also blows up RSI.

I'm not on the AI research side, so anything that I say is purely a bunch of speculative tokens here, and some draft model or some verifier is going to have to come by and correct them. That's a joke for a very small number of the scientists.

The way to think about it is that one of the differences between the way that we teach models and the way that human beings learn, and why we're able to learn on so little data, is that we're curious. We're curious about anomalies. We see things that violate our expectations, and then we double-click on them.

When a baby sees something that doesn't make sense—like if you try to trick them and make them think something's hovering in the air or something—they'll look at it intently because they don't understand. That's a very innate thing, and the reason is that whenever something violates your expectations, that's a very interesting thing to generate more data about and to train on.

When we're training these models, we're just training them on a whole bunch of random things. We go, “What's 1 + 1? What's 2 × 3? What's the second derivative of the square of the hyperbolic tangent?” As if that should follow, but it's not ready to receive that information yet. It's too far out.

When you're improving a model based on its interaction with the world, you're actually able to set the difficulty of the problems right at where it's ready to receive that training data. So, what I would expect is that if you were able to generate tokens faster and do the rollouts faster in a sort of reinforcement context, at least, you could potentially narrow the number of cycles needed for training by targeting more carefully.

This is just speculation. This is not an area I'm aware of being done too deeply, but there are possibilities.

NoRush Invest

Makes sense. Thank you. We've got 2.5 minutes.

Nick

Awesome. Thanks for doing this, Jonathan. This is really cool. I'm Nick from Knight Capital on X.

So, basically, my question is: when we were listening to Jensen at CES recently, it sounded like the idea for Groq was, at some point, a little bit narrower. I have the Meta Ray-Ban glasses, and he was talking about how super-low-latency inference would be useful for this type of application, but it seemed like it was a more narrow thing.

Today, I think what we heard was a much bigger rollout of Groq—a platform-wide thing where it's integrated into the entire Rubin architecture. So, I'm just wondering: was the interpretation that I had initially correct, and then there was a change as far as how Groq was going to be integrated? If you can just talk a little bit about that. Thank you.

Jonathan Ross

Well, Jensen likes to set expectations here and then overdeliver. So, I think he's done that again.

The expectations were that it would be used quite broadly, but there was a lot of work done internally to verify that that could be the case before it was rolled out more broadly. At this point, we're in production, so more can be said.

NoRush Invest

Thank you. Thank you. A quick question following up on the question by the Microsoft gentleman. On this Pareto curve, in terms of a performance improvement, can I guess that, right now, the main bottleneck is the rack-to-rack latency and the bandwidth? Or, in other words, how do we get back to over 1.5 million tokens across the X-axis in the future? What's the bottleneck?

Jonathan Ross

Only an LPU could answer that in the amount of time left, but I'll give a high-level answer.

Oftentimes, when doing computer architecture, you get focused on one bottleneck. I did a bunch of spreadsheet analysis on some of the more recent models, and there was a point where, in a single layer of one of the open-source models with all the operations, one of the operations was bottlenecked on memory capacity. One was bottlenecked on memory throughput. One was bottlenecked on compute. One was bottlenecked on networking latency. One was bottlenecked on networking bandwidth.

Literally everything you can imagine was bottlenecking one of them, and if you improve that, something else would be bottlenecked. You're right that if we do that, it will speed things up, but these are fairly balanced architectures where you have to improve a lot of things in order to get noticeable improvement. But there's a lot of room for improvement going forward.