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Invest Like the Best · · 62 分钟

Chris Pedregal——打造 Granola——[Invest Like the Best,EP.412]

Patrick O'ShaughnessyChris Pedregal

播客
TL;DR
  • Granola 正以会议笔记为切入口,打造一个富含上下文的 AI 工作空间,未来知识工作者或许大部分工作都能在其中完成。 如今它把用户寥寥几句的判断与实时转录结合起来;Pedregal 更大的愿景,是在会议开始前实时生成参会者档案,并最终让 Granola 将跟进邮件、投资备忘录和日程安排做到“80%、90%、95%的完成度”。他认为,产品距离愿景目前仅“走了5%”。

  • 应用层真正可守的机会,存在于那些高频且必须做到极致的任务;低频、做到“还不错”即可的工作,最终会被通用助手吞并。 Granola 可以在不同基础模型之间自由切换,因此它明确的差异化不在于拥有某个模型,而在于提供针对特定工作流的界面。对于“Anthropic 难道不会做这个吗?”这一问题,Pedregal 的回答是,专用工具仍然可以更好,因为“界面针对这一用例做了优化”。

  • Granola 当前的优势,是积累下来的个人上下文和持续不断的产品迭代速度,而不是对基础模型技术的永久控制权。 更多会议历史会提高迁移成本,但 Pedregal 认为这些成本以及其他护城河都很小:“你自满3个月,就会陷入麻烦。”他真正担心的竞争对手,是那个尚未发布、却可以从现有玩家已经学到的一切出发的创业公司。

  • Granola 最清晰的产品教训,来自砍掉最有魔法感的演示:实时 AI 补全笔记让用户更难专注于当下,直接违背了产品的初衷。 Granola 花了6个月试图完善这一交互,之后才把 AI 工作移到每场会议结束时进行。最终的“魔法时刻”比理想中的前20秒来得更晚,但用户仍可通过普通的可编辑记事本掌握控制权。

  • Pedregal 预计,AI 记忆辅助会变得如此有价值,以至于“可能18个月内”,不使用它工作都会像一种障碍;但能否普及,取决于一份看得见的社会契约。 Granola 只做转录、不存储音频,以牺牲回放和语气为代价,减少对用户的侵扰;相比之下,会议机器人会保留音频和视频。他倾向于把手机公开放在桌上,并拒绝一枚隐藏的吊坠监听一切的愿景。

  • 基础模型可以大幅压缩打造大型软件公司的劳动力需求,但无法消除产品品味或混乱的边缘案例。 Granola 的 CTO 正在主动减少工程师亲自编写的代码;Pedregal 则预计,2025年之后新设的客户体验部门会更小,组织结构也会截然不同。他认同,拥有约20名员工、估值100亿美元的公司是可以想象的,尽管 Granola 的雄心仍然需要招聘。

  • 长期的设计边界,是把机械工作外包出去,却不外包人的判断,因为“写作就是思考”,而生成式想法可能悄然收窄人们的认知边界。 Pedregal 希望 AI 提供最有价值的上下文,由人来解读、决策和创作;令人意外的是,如今的模型仍会给不同的人几乎相同的答案。对投资人而言,这意味着应用层仍是一个“探索模式”市场,具体的产品洞察和共同的世界观,比对执行的自信预测更重要。

摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. AI 的下一次跃迁,是动态生成上下文

  • Pedregal 从“人类是工具制造者”讲起:写作和记事本把记忆外置,相当于把可用的“内存”扩展到大脑物理极限之外。数学符号同样改变了人类的计算能力;罗马数字限制心算,而现代记号让处理巨大数字的长除法变得可行。

  • 他最喜欢的例子,是一位叫 Playfair 的人物——他认为名字可能是 William——大约200年前把数值数据映射到一个视觉平面上。由于人类能迅速解读图像,图表让人一眼就能感受到一组数据是在上升、下降还是加速;这种智力能力,往往只有在工具出现后才显得理所当然。

  • LLM 带来了性质不同的能力:它可以“在一个人需要的那一刻,把极其相关的上下文带到他面前”,并针对具体情境动态重写。Pedregal 只能想象未来几步;但10年或20年后,他确信这些工具会和今天的产品“完全不像”。

2. 会议笔记,是进入知识工作空间的切入口

  • Granola 目前像一本会听取并转录内容的数字记事本。用户只记录自己认为重要的洞察;会议结束后,AI 再利用转录内容扩展这些片段,把机械记录工作外包出去,同时让人的注意力和判断留在对话中。

  • 因此,重度用户往往只写下几条主观观察:“这个人有点咄咄逼人”“他们看起来情绪有点低落”,或“担心某人回避了一个问题”。他们回来后,也越来越多地通过聊天提出具体问题,而不是重新翻阅几页笔记。

  • Pedregal 写博客的流程体现了这种更广泛的行为变化。他记录了几个人给出的建议,边走边口述另一轮头脑风暴,把所有内容放进 Granola 文件夹,再让 AI 提炼主题并提出可能的结构。文章仍由他自己写,但在综合信息时,较少有有价值的想法被遗漏。

  • 更大的愿景,是在每场重要会议前实时生成一份外交官式“档案”。一个尚未公开发布的内部功能,已经可以找出与某个人或某个主题相关的跨会议脉络;最终,Granola 应利用这些上下文,将邮件、备忘录和其他会后工作做到“80%、90%、95%的完成度”。

3. AI 记忆通过明确的社会契约走向日常化

  • Pedregal 认为,“可能18个月内”,没有类似 Granola 的工具辅助工作,可能会让人觉得受到了不必要的限制。但他不确定社会最终会如何划定有用性与监控之间的边界:目标是“最大化有用性”,同时做到“最低程度的侵扰”,但他无法给出一个有把握的终点。

  • Granola 有意选择实时转录,但不录制或存储音频。这意味着无法精确回放,也失去了说话语气,确实牺牲了一部分用户价值;但 Pedregal 认为,这仍明显比进入通话、并在不确定期限内同时保留音频和视频的机器人更少侵扰。

  • iOS 应用“即将发布”;那些有1/3会议在线下进行的用户表示,自己会感到“像是双目失明”或“赤身裸体”。Pedregal 倾向于把手机公开放在桌上,让所有人都看见正在记笔记;他讨厌隐藏式吊坠,并预计,尽管职场记录会逐渐普及,隐藏吊坠录音仍会引发类似 Google Glass 的反弹。

4. AI 原生公司可以用更少的人,并需要新的运营直觉

  • Granola 继承了基础模型提供的巨大能力,让小团队可以专注于端到端体验。但质量仍取决于隐蔽的技术边缘案例:在多声道 Zoom 通话中摘下 AirPods,可能需要精确处理某些没人预料到的行为,直到出问题的版本让人觉得“很差劲”。

  • Pedregal 预计,2025年之后设立的客户体验部门会发生根本变化。Granola 的首位客户体验员工,正处于整个职能借助 AI 转型的更大趋势中:更少的人做着不同的工作。对成熟部门进行改造,会比从一开始就围绕新范式搭建更难。拥有20名员工、估值100亿美元的公司是可行的,尽管这不是对 Granola 的预测。

  • CTO Vas 的明确目标,是尽量减少每位工程师亲自编写的代码。在一次公司外出活动中,他还纠正了 Pedregal 写得很差的烧烤提示词:烤架照片和标有西班牙语的虾补足了缺失的上下文,也说明虾其实已经熟了。这个教训是“给它上下文”——AI 原生员工会本能地提供更多证据,而不是假设自己已经理解了情况。

  • 收集邮件、笔记、文档和推文会变得容易;真正困难的是判断当下什么重要。Pedregal 把聊天界面比作早期汽车上用一根粗糙操纵杆控制的驾驶系统:低速时尚可,高速时却很危险。AI 仍需要自己的“方向盘”——一块拥有细粒度控制和流畅协作能力的共享画布,而不是命令与回答交替出现。

5. 模型竞争把差异化推向聚焦型工作流

  • 从应用构建者的角度看,模型供应商之间的竞争是“有史以来最好的事情”。Granola 在不同位置使用多个模型,并会切换到“某一天最好的模型”。热切换在概念上很简单,但要建立可信的评测体系并不容易。

  • Pedregal 用两个轴来划分应用:使用频率和所需输出质量。对于低频、做到“还不错”即可的任务,通用助手应该接手,尤其是那些使用频率低到不足以形成独立习惯的消费者场景。高频、高质量工作则属于“专业工具象限”,主要由针对性产品设计守住。

  • 教育领域强化了他的判断。GPT-4 语音模式和他5岁、7岁的孩子玩捉迷藏,展现了人机交互的一种惊人新形态;但他预计,通用助手仍会吃掉大量辅导需求。由于一对一辅导可以把一名中位数学生提升到前5%或前10%,他认为这类服务“应该免费”,并应建立在开源模型之上,而不是被商业激励扭曲。

  • 相比旧式机器学习,专有数据作为护城河的确定性已经下降。专用系统有时只需要50,000个样本,而不是“数百万、数千万、数亿个”。随着应用创作像手机摄影一样普及,Pedregal 怀疑,品味可能恰恰因为人人都能做出点东西而获得更高溢价。

6. 伟大的产品设计从情绪出发,也要经得住痛苦的反转

  • Pedregal 的核心设计测试很简单:“这让我感觉如何?”用户可能在大约500毫秒内就感受到杂乱、不确定、复杂或不安。假设有一台“情绪录音机”把体验慢速播放,很多需要改变的地方都会暴露出来。Granola 对应的原则是用户控制权,包括提供可编辑笔记,而不是静态 PDF 式的输出。

  • 选择 Mac 应用,起初把 Granola 限制在 macOS 13.4 上,覆盖的 Mac 用户约为15%,也带来了巨大的技术痛苦。但这一选择让产品的行为更像“笔记本和铅笔”:无论在 Zoom、Slack huddles 还是线下场景,都保持一致,打开即用,而不是埋在50个浏览器标签页中。

  • Granola 最初的演示是让用户输入一个关键词、按下 Tab,然后看着 AI 实时补全笔记。6个月后,团队接受了一个事实:即便生成文本质量很高,也会迫使用户阅读和编辑,而不是专心倾听。把魔法时刻移到会议结束时,削弱了即时满足,却让底层产品明显变得更好。

  • 产品的使用场景早已超出最初的工作会议定位:有人在陪伴伴侣与医生讨论癌症时发现 Granola 不可或缺;有人对着它大声头脑风暴或安排一天的优先事项;还有学习者在观看 YouTube 视频时用它记笔记。Granola 的 AI 前沿用户——创始人、投资人以及各家 AI 创业公司的员工——在5月上线后异常活跃,知名 CEO 甚至把 Pedregal 的 Twitter 私信变成了客户支持渠道。

7. 产品速度取决于能否区分探索与执行

  • Granola 明确区分“探索模式”和“利用模式”。当答案已知时,团队应做出最小可行版本,设定截止日期,交付给真实用户,并缩短迭代周期。但把这套打法用于尚未解决的问题,只会奖励团队快速交付一个糟糕的方案,却无法真正找到好的解法。

  • 公司在发布前做了1年,尽管用 Pedregal 的话说,它在 AI 笔记领域已经“晚了7年”。这段私下开发期保留了替换核心交互的能力。如果产品公开发布,用户会围绕实时补全形成习惯,之后几乎不可能完成必要的转向。

  • 他对竞争的回答很直接:“你需要比别人更快地做出更好的东西。”积累下来的上下文会形成一定迁移成本,但这不是放慢速度的许可。Granola 必须交付下一批有用的会议功能,同时完成从记笔记到工作空间的更大跃迁,让用户在那里写文档并完成大部分工作。

  • Granola 选择担心的竞争者,是“那个尚未发布的产品”——一家可以站在他人经验之上起步、并利用这一领先优势执行的创业公司。Pedregal 对大科技公司快速转向 AI 的能力印象深刻,但决定回应不等于真正执行;创业公司往往会成为大科技公司的研发部门,而具备跨代生命力的公司,则能把更早的发现放大成巨大的成果。

8. 人的判断是设计边界,探索能力是投资检验

  • Pedregal 想要的是“让我们更像人、也成为更好的人的工具”。AI 应该移除无聊、机械的工作,同时保留判断、创造力,以及写作中包含的思考。他个人的动机,呼应了早期一位老板说过的话:“积极实现人的潜能”,既包括他自己的潜能,也包括全人类的潜能。

  • 他梦想中的工具,会打破信息孤岛,动态呈现一个人一生经历以及更广阔世界中最有价值的材料。一位朋友的原型会在有人说话时,以每秒约5或8帧的速度生成略有差异、类似 Midjourney 的图像,暗示了更丰富的思维辅助形式;但要让实时增强真正有帮助,而不是变成令人着迷的干扰,仍然很难。

  • 如今持续令人意外的是,模型缺乏个性化:Patrick 和 Chris 向同一个模型提出同一个问题,收到的答案几乎完全相同。Granola 则有意为不同参与者生成不同笔记,因为每个人真正关心的内容并不一样;Pedregal 认为,这种个体化相关性是一个基础能力,但目前仍远未成熟。

  • 他给 AI 投资人的建议,也遵循同一套运营区分:基础模型可能正在进入“利用模式”,但应用仍处于“完全探索”阶段。冷启动外联如果包含对产品行为的具体观察,就会脱颖而出,包括指出 Granola 可能做错的地方。Pedregal 想要的是长期合作伙伴:他们共享一套世界观,并能深入思考产品,因为每一个执行细节都会改变。

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Chris, I thought a fun place to begin our conversation today is with some of your ideas around the value of tools for thought that technology has given humans over the centuries. Obviously, you're building one of those tools now, and we'll get into that in great detail. But the first time we chatted, I was so intrigued by the way that you approached this and thought about this unlock of value for people. I think you used the XY plot as a good example of one of these tools for thought. Maybe you could riff for a while on this line of thinking and why you're so interested in it.

1. The Tools That Extend Thought

Chris Pedregal

I love this topic. I think fundamentally, humans are toolmakers. It's one of the things that sets us apart from other animals. If you look back at history, there have been these inventions—tools that were invented that just enabled humans to do so much more.

The interesting thing about that is that some of those are explicitly tools for thinking. Examples could be writing, which is a great example, or different mathematical notation. With Roman numerals, you can only do math up to a certain number in your head without an abacus. Whereas with the notation we use now, you can do long division of massive numbers, and that's fine.

My favorite example is this idea of being able to visualize data. What you brought up is this guy called Playfair. I think his name was William Playfair. It was something like 200 years ago that he was the first person to graph data visually, so you could use your eyes. Humans have evolved to bring in images and make sense of images really quickly.

The idea of mapping numbers to the visual plane and being able to intuitively feel, "That graph's going up or down, or it's going up much faster than it was before," is just crazy. Two hundred years before I was born, no one had done that.

All of this is to say that I'm sure we'll get into this in more detail. You have mathematical notation or writing, data visualization, then there's the computer, and I think with AI, we're just entering a new realm where the tools for thought will be exponentially more powerful and more useful. God knows what that's going to look like in 10 or 20 years. I guarantee it'll look nothing like it does today.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe just talk about that transition. Mention what you're building at a high level first, and then we'll go into it in much more detail later. As we transition into understanding what new tools are possible, built on top of this new technology, how are you personally approaching that? What were the original things that you thought of when you saw some of these LLMs? Walk us through this phase change.

Chris Pedregal

One observation I think is interesting about these tools for thought is that oftentimes what these tools do is let you externalize things that you have to hold in your head. One of the most ubiquitous tools for thought today is a notepad and a pencil. When you use a notepad and write things down, it means you don't have to hold everything in your head, and you can look at these ideas or look at these notes.

To use an analogy, it's a bit like extending your RAM. The amount of RAM that we have in our heads is hard-coded by physical limitations, and these tools basically give you more RAM, more memory.

I think what's incredible about LLMs—the real unlock here—is that you can use LLMs to bring extremely relevant context to a person in the moment they need it, and that context can be dynamically generated to match the needs of that moment.

I think it's as if being able to write your ideas on a piece of paper in a notepad makes you much more capable in a meeting or when you're talking with someone. Imagine if a computer can bring in all the relevant context to make you brilliant in that moment, so you have it at your fingertips. Because LLMs can rewrite content on the fly and pull that stuff in for you, I think that'll be an incredible unlock for people.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How does that manifest? Is it that everything in my life—everything I've read and every conversation that I have—is ultimately stored, and then there's some mechanism for me to feed my current context back to some system, and it serves up ideas or brainstorming concepts? Make this a little more real in terms of your vision.

Chris Pedregal

Before you ask me to talk about what we're building at Granola, I can talk about that. I think in the realm of AI, it's easy to talk about the next two steps, and it's really, really hard to talk about what the world is going to look like 10 steps down the line.

2. Granola Is A Digital Notepad

AI, really simply, is like a digital notepad. Think of it like Apple Notes on your computer. It's an app on your computer. You can write notes. The main difference is that it's also listening to what's being talked about.

If you use it in a meeting, you can jot down whatever notes or thoughts you have. Granola is listening to the conversation and transcribing it in real time. Then, when the meeting ends, it'll take whatever notes you've written and flush them out to make them great.

You no longer have to write down everything that's important. You can really focus on the key insights or thoughts that you had in that meeting—the key judgment that you bring to that situation—and outsource all the busywork, the rote work of writing down information or facts to the AI.

What's so powerful about this—and we still don't fully understand how it's going to change the way people work—is that I know it's going to change the way people work because I work differently, and Granola users work differently. We're maybe 5% down the path to our vision.

When you look back at your notes, you have the full context of the meeting. You can then go and chat with Granola and ask it questions about what happened or pull out themes. Right now, we have a feature internally that we haven't launched publicly where you can look at all your meetings with a certain person or all your meetings on a specific topic and pull out themes across those meetings.

It makes this context that otherwise is lost or forgotten immediately accessible and useful. You wrote it down somewhere, but you don't know where that notebook is. You don't look it up when you're making a relevant decision, and it just makes it immediately accessible and useful.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe talk about how you work differently than others, having been the person most exposed to Granola. What are the actual behavior changes so far? Then I want to ask about the 5% to 100%. But starting with just the 5% penetration, how has it most tangibly caused you to behave or work differently?

3. Work Gains A Context Window

Chris Pedregal

This is something that I think will be widespread. Knowledge workers, folks like you and me, are constantly going to be thinking about, "What's the context I need right now to be the smartest I can be?"

For folks listening, when you're using something like ChatGPT or any LLM, there's this idea of a context window. You can put X amount of information into that context window, and it's basically like giving it, "Here's the situation. Here's the stuff you need to know to be able to think about it."

That way of thinking is also going to apply to us, to people. We're going to be thinking about that all the time. A concrete example: I need to write a blog post. Before, I would have just sat down with a notebook, scribbled down a bunch of ideas, and then tried to type it up.

What I did now was first talk to a few different people who had good advice on this blog post, and I used Granola. Now I have notes and the full transcript from those conversations. I then used the Granola app and walked around, speaking out loud about different ideas. I did a brainstorm where I was just recording it, and then I put all of that in a folder inside Granola and started chatting with the AI, asking it to pull out themes or suggested formats.

At the end of the day, I’m going to write the blog post, but that process was such an incredible way of synthesizing all this advice that I guarantee I would have dropped different parts along the way. That’s one example. I think another example—and this is something we’ve observed with Granola users—is just the way they approach notes is completely different from how they used to approach notes.

If you look at the notes of Granola users who use Granola a lot, they only write a couple of notes per meeting, and those notes are usually the internal thoughts that they had. It’s not the stuff that’s in the transcript. It’s like, “Oof, this person was a bit aggressive,” or, “They seem kind of down,” or, “I’m concerned about this area because they didn’t really answer my question.” These are really critical thoughts, and everything else is deferred to the AI transcription.

When they come back to use the Granola notes, they’ll often be chatting. Instead of reading lots of notes for your meeting, they usually have a specific question in mind or a piece of information that they’re looking for, and they find it more efficient to just ask that question and have a really high-quality answer written for them.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe now talk a little bit about that 5-to-100 vision of what this could become. I know you can only think a couple of steps ahead with LLMs, but thinking 2 or 3 steps ahead, where do you think this goes next?

Chris Pedregal

I think at the end of the day, the central question—what’s the information I need right now to be able to make the best decision possible?—is a central one. There’s this image that, if you’re a diplomat, you get this dossier before you go into a high-stakes negotiation that gives you all the background information that was crafted for that moment. I think we’re going to live in a world where everyone’s getting those in real time whenever they go into any meeting.

I think the interesting questions are: What context is useful for that? Is it just the previous meeting? Is it all your emails? Is it all the information in the world that goes in there? And then what does the actual interface look like?

I think my view for Granola right now is that Granola helps you generate the best meeting notes out there, but tomorrow, Granola should help you do all the work you want to do. You walk out of a meeting, and you need to write a follow-up email. You need to write an investment memo. You need to schedule an event with a whole bunch of different people. Granola, or a tool like Granola with all the necessary context, should be able to take you 80%, 90%, or 95% of the way there.

Something that’s very important to me and the folks at Granola is that we see the role of AI as being a tool to make you better. We think you can use AI to replace a person or take away a task from a person, or you can use AI to augment a person’s abilities, augment their intelligence, and augment their abilities. We’re really big believers in this idea of tools that make humans do more, achieve more, and think more.

Everything we’re building is based on this idea: Can you get Granola to do all the busy work of writing up that follow-up email? But then you add your judgment to it, which is actually what really matters here: “This is what’s going to convince this person, so I’m going to twist it slightly,” as opposed to worrying about all the specifics I need to get in there.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I’m curious about some of the nitty-gritty issues that you’ve encountered so far. One is just the recording aspect. How do you think the world will evolve, and how do you handle it today, where it seems to be becoming more and more normal that someone will ask to record a meeting? At first, it really turned me off, and now it’s just become normal.

Do you think we reach a point where the assumption is just that everything is being recorded? I know Granola handles this very thoughtfully. Maybe you should explain how you do it, but I also want to know where you think it’s going.

4. The Recording Privacy Tradeoff

Chris Pedregal

I think as a society, we just need to be really thoughtful about the trade-offs. That’s the answer. I believe that in a couple of years—maybe 18 months, because the speed of AI is so fast—doing meetings and doing work without something like Granola will feel like such an impediment that no one’s going to want to do it. Everyone’s going to be using tools like this because they will be so useful.

There’s a real trade-off, like you said, on invasiveness and privacy, and I think as a society, we need to thread the needle where you get maximum usefulness from these tools with the minimum amount of invasiveness. Where that line is going to be and how we navigate that, I don’t know. I don’t know where we’re going to end up.

When we first created Granola, we made a very conscious decision not to record and store any audio. Even though Granola is listening to the audio, it basically transcribes in real time, but it doesn’t store any of the audio. Everyone kind of laughed at us for that. Why wouldn’t you? Wouldn’t the audio be useful?

Of course it would. You want to be able to go back and listen to exactly what someone said and what their tone of voice was. There’s definitely a loss of value for the user because we’re not recording the audio. But what it means, though, is that Granola is way less invasive than any of those other AI meeting bots that join your meetings.

Those bots record the audio, record the video, and store it. Who knows how long that stuff is around for? That feels completely different, in my opinion, from something like Granola, which is generating really nice notes, and you have a transcript, and it’s super useful, but it’s much less invasive and much less intrusive.

I think there’s a real question, which is: What’s it like when we’re walking around the real world? On a Zoom call, it’s one thing. Usually, there’s a specific reason for meeting, and people understand the context of that meeting and what the expectations are.

I think the norms in our social lives will be very, very different from those in the workplace, is my guess. I don’t know exactly where that will end up, but I see a pretty stark distinction. In the workplace setting, most people want all these things captured because the AI can provide so much value to the user, whereas in our social surroundings, I think that’ll be a very divisive issue.

We’ll see how that goes. I remember when Google Glass came out, there was a huge backlash. I could see a similar backlash happening when AI pendants start becoming popular. You have that one guy showing up at a party, recording everything, and pissing off everyone else.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How soon do you think it’s the case that in-person work meetings have the same expectations as a Zoom meeting? I’m actually already there. I’m already frustrated that, with no nefarious intent, I just wish I had a memory assistant with me so I didn’t have to think about notes. I could just be engaged in a conversation.

I wish that was the norm today, and maybe there’s just a social thing that happens where you decide, at the beginning of a meeting, whether it’s being recorded or not. I wish that was easy. I would wear the pendant now, just because I meet so many interesting people. I can’t keep all this stuff straight in my head. I furiously try to take notes afterward. It doesn’t feel that different. When do you think we get there?

Chris Pedregal

Our iOS app is launching soon. Sam, my co-founder, and I built this because we wanted it ourselves. We thought it would be useful. We thought it was interesting. Quite frankly, we were really surprised by how it took off and by how, once someone starts using Granola for all their important work calls, they’re basically outsourcing some of their long-term memory to Granola.

You start to have this expectation that you can go back and look up these important things from any conversation. Some of the most upset emails we get from users say exactly what you’re saying: “Hey, a third of my meetings are in person, and I’m flying blind. I’m naked in those meetings. I desperately need Granola in person.”

I’m speaking about Granola right now because that’s what we’re building. Maybe it’ll be us, maybe it’ll be someone else, but I guarantee you a tool will be used by everyone, basically, in this context.

As to what the norms are going to be, I personally hate the idea of a hidden pendant that is listening to everything. I know in Silicon Valley that’s one of the visions for the future, and I personally don’t like that vision.

I think in a work context, the phone is great because you basically put it down on the table, and it’s an easy social contract with the people in that meeting about what’s happening. That’s how we do work at Granola. Basically, every meeting at Granola, it’s very clear if there’s a phone out and whose phone is taking notes.

I think the social contract really matters. It’s up to the individual to manage this, just as it’s up to the individual to manage everything in the work environment. If you put the phone out and you’re upfront about it, everyone benefits, and I think that change will happen much faster than you expect. Whereas in social circles, it will be very different.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

One of the things that I’m so curious about right now in the world of AI application companies is this small-team meme, where some of the most incredible tools are built by teams smaller than 25 people, and as they scale their user base or their revenue, the teams really aren’t getting bigger.

They don't need bigger teams. Can you describe what it's been like in all its aspects, abstracting away a little bit from the product itself, but just building a company in this space relative to prior companies that you built or were a part of in the pre-AI era?

5. Small Teams Ride The AI Wave

Chris Pedregal

The 2 defining characteristics that are different about this space in this moment are, 1, the speed at which the technology is getting better is nuts, and 2, Granola is built on top of LLMs, so it's an app-layer product. We get so much benefit from riding these incredible technological advancements that are happening at the LLM layer. We spend a lot of our time really thinking about what makes a great user experience end to end.

If we weren't building on top of this foundational technical layer like LLMs, we'd need a massive team to be able to do what we're doing today. We really do benefit from that. That said, a lot of what makes Granola great is sweating the details of all these technical edge cases—stuff you'd never think of. It's like you're in the middle of a meeting and you take off your AirPods, and it's on a Zoom call that has multiple channels, and all of a sudden Granola needs to do something very specific to make that feel seamless that you never would have thought of until you built it and realized it felt crappy if you didn't do that.

We use as many AI tools as possible for as many things as possible inside of Granola, but some of the tools, at least on the development side, aren't quite there yet. We're so close to taking that end to end, so we still have to do a lot of work there. Again, I hate doing time-horizon guesses here because it's basically impossible to know. If you fast-forward 3 years, I think the way we would work and what we would be able to outsource to AI would be completely different.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Is that mostly engineering challenges, where you would expect that using Cognition and Cursor and whatever else, your team would be able to effectively be a manager versus an engineer and just tell it what to do, and you wouldn't have to actually engineer the endpoints?

Chris Pedregal

That's right. Our CTO, Vas, has a goal. Basically, minimizing the number of lines of code every engineer writes at Granola every day is a goal of his. It's an active goal.

We just did this off-site, and the theme was basically, use AI everywhere for things you wouldn't expect to and push ourselves outside of our comfort zone. There's this great example. I was trying to barbecue some shrimp for the team. We bought some shrimp. This was in Spain, and I've never barbecued shrimp before. I'm typing into ChatGPT, "Okay, how do you barbecue shrimp?" And Vas was like, "No, give it the right context." So he's like, "Take a photo of the barbecue and take a photo of the shrimp."

He was totally right. I was like, "Yeah, yeah, yeah. Give it the context." So I did this. It turns out the shrimp was already cooked. We didn't realize it because it was in Spanish, so we didn't have to cook it at all. We just needed to heat it up, which I never, ever would have figured out if I had just typed it in.

An interesting point there is there's just a completely different intuition you need to have around how you use these tools and how you build with AI. Perhaps it's similar to when the web came along and people pre-web wouldn't automatically default to using Google; they'd go elsewhere. People who had grown up and were young enough when that happened would always default to using Google.

I think there's going to be a very, very, very similar divide here, which is basically that AI natives will just understand what context they need to give AI and how to work with AI. When in doubt, you should probably give it more context and see what it's going to say, as opposed to assuming you know what's right.

I'm 38. I'm very happy the team is constantly pulling me. I'm literally at the forefront in thinking about this all the time, and I don't use AI as much as I should be using it. If that's the case for me, think about the general population.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Is one of the key lessons there that a lot of what needs to get built, both technically and as an expectation for people, is context-gathering tools? You're doing one, obviously, for conversation, and that's one mode of input that's really, really, really important, especially for work. How do you think we'll capture the rest? Riff on context gathering as a function.

6. The AI Steering Wheel

Chris Pedregal

Gathering the context, just getting all the data, isn't that hard. It's only a matter of time before you can plug all your email into Anthropic or ChatGPT, along with all your notes, all your company documents, and all your tweets, and it'll have all that. I think there's a different question, which is: Which of that context is really relevant for the thing I'm about to do right now? That may be a technical problem. That may be a UI problem. I don't know.

So that's on the context side. I do think a huge blocker for unlocking the power of collaborating with AI is: What's the UI? What's the interface for collaborating with UI? I really think we're in the terminal era with old-school computers, where you type in a command and then the computer would literally spit back a command. The way we work with ChatGPT, I don't think chat's going away, but I think it will feel archaic in how little control you really have as a user.

I was looking this up. I was trying to find an analogy for this. The first cars that came out didn't have steering wheels. They had basically a stick that you could turn left to right, and it was fine if you were trying to go really slow. The moment you went fast, the stick was unusable. You'd move it too much, and you'd crash off the road, and it was a big security problem. Finally, someone came up with a steering wheel, and a steering wheel is a UI that gives you so much fine-grained control when you're trying to turn.

I think we still have to invent what the steering wheel is for when you're working with AI and collaborating with AI. Right now, we have some very coarse controls, and it's turn-taking. It's like I write something, then the AI does something, then I react back to it. I think it's going to be a lot more fluid and a lot more collaborative once we figure that out.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Bring that to life a little bit more for me, the fluidity aspect. How could you imagine that being, versus the back and forth?

Chris Pedregal

It depends on the tool, but right now it doesn't feel like you and the AI are working on the same canvas. It's like we're working on 2 separate canvases next to each other. This is a very basic thing, but when you're using ChatGPT or Claude, you can't go and edit the response that the AI gave you. You don't go in there and be like, "Oh, actually, no, this point was dumb, and let's change the language here." You tell it, "Please make it shorter," as a command, and you hope that it rewrites it in the right way. That's just going to feel like madness not too long from now.

I guess there's a historical parallel here. In the early computing days, when you were in a text editor, the first text editors had this idea of modes. There was a mode where you were in text-insertion mode, and you'd go in and write some words. Then you'd exit that mode, and you'd go into deletion mode or copy mode. You'd have to enter that mode and make that change.

Larry Tesler basically went on a vendetta to change this. Now you should be able to type and delete and cut and copy and do all that fluidly without entering different modes. That was unthinkable before we made that jump. It's hard to imagine what that's going to be for AI, but I guarantee it'll feel completely different from what we have now. I think granularity of control and speed of collaboration are the 2 things that are going to go way up. It should be way more fluid.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Have you been surprised by any of the ways that users use Granola?

7. Granola Evolves Through User Feedback

Chris Pedregal

There are a few things that have jumped out. One is the variety of use cases people use it for. We built it for work meetings. Very quickly, people started telling us, "My partner has cancer. We have all these meetings with doctors. Granola has become absolutely invaluable in that process. I actually don't know how I would've managed it before." There's the use-case thing that was unexpected.

Then the other thing is people are finding creative ways to get more context into Granola, even though it's just not designed for it. This is the, "I am brainstorming an idea, and I'm just going to create a meeting in Granola and a note in Granola and just talk to myself," or, "I need to plan out my day, so I'm just going to talk about the different things going on and then use Granola to help prioritize what I'm doing." Or, "I'm watching a YouTube video on a subject I'm trying to learn. I have Granola open, and I'm taking notes in there because of that."

That's probably the biggest surprise. The other behavior change, I think I mentioned this before, is that when people go back into Granola, less and less they read the notes that are there, and more and more they ask the Granola chat what they're looking for.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

As an app builder, what is your perspective on the battle between model providers for your attention and business?

Chris Pedregal

It's the best thing ever. It's fantastic. I fully support it. For us, we build on top of foundation models, and the speed at which models have gotten better over the last 3 years is incredible. I believe that companies like Granola benefit tremendously from the competition between the providers, and as a result, I think users are benefiting tremendously.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How is it built? Are you sort of hot-swapping the best model in, and that's just something that you could do in a morning every time? Anthropic apparently is coming out with this new model soon.

Will it just be a function of a quick eval and then hot-swap that thing in as the primary driver? And then switch again in the future if a new one comes out? Is it that simple?

Chris Pedregal

That's exactly right. I think evals aren't simple, but what you described is exactly what we do. We don't just use one model in one place. We use lots of models in lots of different ways inside of Granola, but we will switch to whatever the best model is on any given day.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How do you think about the competitive dynamics of what you're building versus what might be achievable by using a model directly alone? Everyone always used to ask, “Won't Amazon just build this?” or “Won't Google just build this?” Now it's, “Won't Anthropic just build this?” How do you think about building in such a way that's protected from the future in which the model companies come to eat your lunch directly?

Chris Pedregal

I don't have a crystal ball here, but here's the way I view this. There may be 2 axes that matter. One is, how common is this as a use case for me? Is this something I do once a month or twice a month, or is this something I do 500 times a day? And 2, how great do I need to be at this task?

I think everything that is low-frequency, where you don't need to be great at it, will be eaten up by the general assistant. I'd say most consumer use cases actually fall in that quadrant, because it's basically impossible to build a habit of using a new tool for a low-frequency use case. And if it's something where you just need it to be pretty good, then a universal assistant like Claude is perfect. Actually, the more you use that, the better that assistant will get for you.

I think the other end of that quadrant is basically a high-frequency use case where your output needs to be really, really good, and that's basically the power-tool quadrant. There'll always be that pro tooling for the people who really want to do a fantastic job at something. I think that's where Granola sits.

You might be like, “Oh, but why can't the general assistant do that as well if the model just gets smart enough?” My answer there is that it's not a question of intelligence. It's actually about how great the UI is optimized for this use case. If you have a product that is solely dedicated to being phenomenal at that use case, it will be a better experience than a general tool will be. I think the limitation there, what separates them, is really the product design and optimization of the user experience, not the underlying technology.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Do you have a crystallized product philosophy that guides your decisions?

Chris Pedregal

My personal approach is that you can boil down most great product thinking and design to a very simple question: when you use a product, look at it and really ask yourself, “How does this make me feel?” Just keep asking yourself that question and really, really, really listen to the answer. Then, once you've done that 100 times, put that same product, UI, or button in front of another person. Just ask them that question over and over.

I think when you do that, you realize that within the first 500 milliseconds of looking at a product, you feel about 10 things. Oftentimes, those things tell you exactly: “Oh, it's too complicated. It's too cluttered. I don't know what to do. It makes me feel insecure.” There are so many emotions, and they go by in a flash of an instant.

If there's an emotional recorder and you could play it back in slow motion, that would tell you all you'd need to do to make your product great. There are lots of other things that matter, but I feel like that one question is an incredible guiding force.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

You gave the personal one. Is there anything that's different about the Granola-specific product philosophy?

Chris Pedregal

The Granola-specific one is all about giving the user control. Granola is a tool to make you better, which means you drive the tool, and every decision we make ties back to that in one way or another.

Even the most basic one: it is an editor. Most AI apps that generate notes don't generate them in an editor where you can edit them. They give you a PDF kind of thing or an email: “Here are the notes.” There are tons of micro-decisions that all map to that idea.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Are you at all surprised by who your users are, what types of jobs they do, or do they tend to cluster in a couple of sectors? What have you learned just based on the raw data of who they are?

Chris Pedregal

This is actually pretty interesting, and it might have implications. The people who use us are the people who are AI-forward, so it's folks who are leaning into these new tools and these new ways of doing work. That, interestingly, maps to a ton of founders, a ton of investors, and a ton of people across all disciplines who are working in the AI space. The number of AI startups where the marketing person is using Granola is extremely high.

It's interesting how there's a very stark line between the people who are leaning into these tools and those who aren't.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Yeah, it makes sense, right? It's very much in Geoffrey Moore's Crossing the Chasm framework: early adopters, natural early adopters.

Chris Pedregal

One of the weird things—I remember when that happened. We launched Granola in May, so it was 8 or 9 months ago, and I've been building product for a long time. This was surreal, though. We launched it, and we were happy that some people tweeted about it. It wasn't a crazy big launch or anything, and we just expected to keep building.

A few weeks later, these really famous CEOs whom we did not know just started tweeting and then DMing me on Twitter with a whole bunch of product feedback that they wanted to give. It clearly resonated with a very specific type of persona, and then that persona was really loud on social media. My Twitter direct messages basically became a customer-support channel for CEOs of big tech companies, which is a really weird experience.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

That's what I did to you. It's the same exact thing. This is such an interesting way to meet people quickly. I'm curious, in this whole building process, is there any plot twist that you look back on that turns out in hindsight to have been a blessing or a gift in your whole product-building experience?

Chris Pedregal

We made the decision early on, at least with Granola, to make Granola a Mac app—an app that sits on your computer—rather than a bot that joins meetings or something on a website. There are lots of different ways you can build it, and that was a huge pain in the butt for a whole bunch of reasons. When we started off, it was only possible to do what Granola does for users who were on macOS 13.4, which was, I think, 15% of Mac users at the time.

The reason we did it, again, was this idea that we wanted it to be like a notebook and a pencil. We wanted you to be able to grab Granola and use it no matter where you are, whether you're on a Zoom call, in an in-person meeting, or in a huddle on Slack. We don't want you to have to think about it. An important thing about a tool is that it is reliable and works in a consistent way, so you know how to use it.

There have been so many downstream great things about being a Mac app, about being an app on your computer. It's so much more immediate and in your control, and it's so easy to get to. Basically, the way people use Granola, which I'd say is quite intimate, is largely a function of the fact that it's an app on your computer rather than a tab lost within 50 other tabs on a website that you have to find.

I think we can take a little bit of credit for that, but I think that was a way better decision than we realized at the time.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Has the process made you change your mind in a major way about anything?

Chris Pedregal

Yeah. When we started off building Granola, we had a completely different interaction pattern in the app. The thing we pitched and the first version we built were very different. You would type in a keyword or 2 in Granola in real time, and you'd hit Tab, and then Granola would write the full note for you in real time.

It's a really cool demo. It felt kind of magical when you used it. I'd say something like, “Mac app.” You'd type in “Mac app” and hit Tab, and then it would write this: “Chris is really glad that he made the decision to build a Mac app.” We then basically spent 6 months trying to make this work, and we just couldn't.

What we found out was that no matter how great the notes we wrote were, if a computer is writing notes for you in real time during a meeting, you can't help but read it. What ends up happening is that you're incredibly distracted. The whole point of Granola is that you can be more present in the meeting, and what was happening was the exact opposite. People were just looking at the notes, and if they were not exactly how they wanted, they were editing the notes. Then they realized they had not been paying attention to the person speaking, and it was just really bad.

We ended up completely changing the interaction pattern to being something way more mundane, which is that during the meeting, it works just like a regular text editor, like a notepad. You type stuff, and then all the magic happens at the end. The magic moment—the value of Granola—you only realize after you've used it for a whole meeting, which is not great. Ideally, when you're building a product, you want that magic moment to happen in the first 20 seconds.

It just made it a way better product. Like I said, we spent 6 months trying to make this wrong thing work until finally we kind of accepted that there was a better way to do it.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

If you think about the model providers as one vector of competition for the job to be done, how do you think about the other vector, which is other app builders, and the ways in which architecting the product might defend you because it's becoming more and more sticky and valuable to the user, so that even if another Granola 2.0 comes out that's a little bit better, they're not going to adopt it?

Do you think a lot about that sort of thing, even though you’re super, super young, and I’m sure mostly just focused on building something great for users? Does that line of thinking enter your mind?

8. Winning Means Building Faster

Chris Pedregal

I think the only answer here really is you need to build something better than other people faster. In this space, there are switching costs and small moats, but I think the only way you win is you need to consistently build better stuff than other people faster than they’re building it. And doing that in a space that’s moving this quickly is not a small feat.

Something we talk about as a team all the time is that, with something like Granola, there’s an inherent switching cost because the more context Granola has, the more useful it’s going to be for you. Something would have to be much better, I think, for someone to switch off of Granola. But I think you get complacent for 3 months, you’re in trouble in this space.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Tell me how you do that with your team. I’ve heard a few different fascinating methods for engineering product velocity in a company building an app on top of AI. How do you think about it and do it? What’s worked? What experiments have failed? How do you engineer product velocity?

Chris Pedregal

Something we’re pretty explicit about is knowing, when we’re working on a feature, whether we’re in exploit mode or explore mode, because you need 2 completely different approaches to that. What that means is: Do we know what needs to be built here? Is there a clear idea, and is it just about executing it as quickly as possible? Or do we not know what the answer is here? Is this an unsolved, open problem where you need to do some exploration first and then figure out what the right solution is?

For the one where you know what you need to build, at least from our experience, it’s the basic advice that everyone hears, which is to build the minimal thing as quickly as possible, give yourself deadlines where you will ship it to real humans—maybe not to everybody, but to real people—and then try to increase the shipping iteration speed as quickly as possible.

I think we’ve gotten in trouble before, and it’s easy to not know what mode you’re in and use that philosophy for the open-ended problem. What ends up happening is you ship something crappy to people, and you tick it off. You’re like, “Oh, we shipped it in 2 weeks. This is great.” But actually, you didn’t solve the problem to be solved. The thing you did was ship, as opposed to figuring out what a great solution for people is and doing that.

Interestingly, I’d say that is extra important in this space because there’s so much pressure to move quickly that, every now and then, taking the extra time to think about how to do this is really important. A good example is that we were working on Granola for a year before we launched, and we were already so late to the AI note-taking game. We were 7 years late when we founded Granola, and we didn’t launch for a year.

You know how I talked about that interaction? We completely changed the core interaction of the product. If we had launched that publicly, we never would have been able to switch it. There’s no way, because users would have learned a new behavior. Users would have said, “Oh, this is cool.” The ones we would have retained would have liked it, but we wouldn’t have retained that many users. That would have been it.

I think it’s very important to protect your ability to change direction with the product until you have a lot of confidence that you’re in the right direction. How do you manage that while also moving really quickly in a fast-moving space? That’s the whole challenge.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How do you think about dialing your own degree of ambition? If it’s 1 through 10, where do you think it is, and has it moved a couple of points up since you started? What is the process of sussing out and dialing one’s own ambition? How have you experienced that?

Chris Pedregal

I ask myself if we’re doing this correctly every day. Sam and I, when we started playing with LLMs, became convinced that all the tools for work that we use are going to be rebuilt or reinvented on top of LLMs. We became convinced that there’s going to be a new class of software.

In the same way that, if you’re a developer, you probably spend all day in Cursor or Visual Studio—some IDE—we think there’s going to be a new class of software. It doesn’t have a name yet, but people like you and I will spend all day in it and do our work there. Folks whose jobs revolve around people, communication, projects, meetings, and all that are going to have a new workspace, and that’s what we set out to build from day 1. That’s exactly what we’re setting out to build now.

I think the interesting question for us is that it’s really important, if you’re not OpenAI or Anthropic, that you are really, really good at a use case today. You can’t just be building a fantastic product for the future. You need to be damn useful at a very specific thing today, and every step along the way, you need to be super useful to people.

I think there’s a real tension there, which is how much time do you spend building the next obvious 5 things that are going to be really useful to people, versus taking the big swing? For us, we want to move from a world where you use Granola for notes to one where you use Granola to do most of your work. If you’re writing a document or a memo, it should be way easier to do that in Granola because of all the context we have about the work you’re doing that’s related to that. But that’s a really big swing. Getting that right is going to take a lot of work and a lot of iteration.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

If you think about existing companies that do aspects of what Granola does better now, or may do in the future, which are the ones that you think about the most? If you were a VP at one of these companies, which ones should you be worried about because major disruption is coming?

Chris Pedregal

My view on this is you can worry about a million things. You should choose selectively what to worry about, because there are very few things out of your control. The competitor that we’ve chosen to worry about at Granola is the one that hasn’t launched yet. It’s the startup that can look at what we’ve figured out, what other people have figured out, start at that point, and execute on it more quickly than us. That’s what we’re thinking about.

I was surprised at how quickly the big tech companies reacted to AI. There was this moment when ChatGPT went mainstream, and then you saw every big tech company pivot and try to adapt to that strategy. I was impressed by the leadership there. Just because you choose to do something doesn’t mean it’s easy for you to execute on it.

One of our investors has this saying: “If you list out all the AI features that you use on a daily basis, how many of them were built by big tech versus how many of them were built by startups?” I think a surprising number of those were built by startups, even though every big tech company is out there investing a tremendous amount of money to build AI features.

Does that get figured out over time? Maybe. Startups are oftentimes the R&D wing of all the big tech companies, and then, once something’s figured out, they can incorporate that into their large user bases. But generational companies figured something out earlier, and they were able to leverage that into becoming something massive.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

If I was forcing you to put your mega-dreamer hat on and set aside feasibility as part of your consideration, what do you dream most about tools being available 5 or 10 years from now as tools for thought, which we opened our conversation with?

9. Tools That Make Us More Human

Chris Pedregal

I want tools that make us more human and better humans. By that I mean tools that unlock our creativity and our ability to do all the things that humans are incredible at, that no one else can do.

I think the people who are building tools with AI need to be very intentional about that because there’s a fine line. You want to outsource all the rote work, all the boring stuff, all the mindless stuff, but you really don’t want to outsource the judgment.

When you were talking about generating ideas and asking AI to generate 100 different ideas so you can choose the right ones, that’s great. There’s a danger, though, that that’s what everyone is doing, and now we’re only looking at the ideas that are coming from AI. That’s just one example, but it trickles down to everything.

It’s like, “Oh, okay, well, this idea of writing is thinking, and if AI is doing the writing for you, a lot of that writing is just rote work. There’s no value in it in any way.” But some of it is where you do your thinking, and if you’re not careful about what you outsource, I think there’s a real danger there.

The tool that I would want would be one that addresses the fact that, right now, we have so many silos of information and so many silos of where knowledge, inspiration, or information comes from. Oftentimes, I’m only really looking at data and information from one of those silos when I’m thinking about a topic.

What I want is a tool that will pull out the most relevant and best stuff from my personal life and my context, but also from out there—from what humans have figured out—and present that to me dynamically, on the fly, in a way that I can interpret and make use of in real time. What that looks like, I don’t think anyone knows.

I saw this amazing demo a friend of mine made. There was a microphone hooked up to something like Midjourney, but it was running at something like 5 or 8 frames a second. What it was doing was, in real time, as you were talking—for this conversation, for example—it would project imagery on the wall that was related to what we were talking about but slightly divergent.

He was using this for a Burning Man creative experience. You could imagine something like that in a work context, where it's helping you think out loud, but it's also extending and bringing in ideas or useful information that you wouldn't have had otherwise. I think doing that in a way that's helpful and not distracting is really, really hard, and there are a lot of these ideas in science fiction that sound fantastic and then, in practice, don't work for really silly tactical reasons, like notes being written for you in real time and being distracting.

I think there's a lot about the human experience that defines what works and what doesn't. I can talk about this for hours. I gush on it. I just think it's such an incredible moment to be alive and to be building things.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Micky Malka, the great investor, has an art installation that does what you just described, where, as you talk in the conference room, it visualizes—

Chris Pedregal

Oh, really?

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

...what you're talking about. It is quite distracting, I will say, in a good way. You can't look away from it. It's just so mesmerizing. But to extrapolate that, I saw that 6 months ago or something, and these things get better at an alarming pace.

One question is always: What are these models bad at? Everyone's very bullish. Everyone's very excited. They're great at a million things, and they're going to get better and better. I think everyone is coming around to that. Is there anything across the model generations that you've been surprised isn't getting better? Things that they just don't do well and consistently haven't done well that are real limitations?

Chris Pedregal

I think it's good to separate the reality today from what's a reality that will persist, and what limitations will persist in the future. It is surprising to me how unpersonalized any of these models feel today. If you ask it a question versus me asking it a question, the answers are going to be identical or almost identical. Given we're X number of years into this cycle, I think that's really surprising.

This is a small thing we do at Granola that people like, but if you were using Granola in, let's say, a meeting and I were using Granola in that meeting, your notes and my notes would look completely different, and that's just because we built it that way. We're like, “Okay, the things that matter to Patrick in this meeting, we think, are this. The things that are going to matter to Grace are this.” But the low level of personalization is surprising to me.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What advice would you have for investors? You've raised money from great investors, and I'm sure you've talked to a ton of them. Most investors in the technology world and in private markets are mostly or entirely focused on investing around this wave of AI technologies, and so I think they're all trying to answer the question: What is the best, most productive way to interact with company founders and new applications and all that?

I'm curious what advice you would give to those people who are trying to do their best job of allocating capital to the highest and best use. What would you tell them? Maybe the way to answer is: What have the best investors you've encountered done with you, and what have the worst ones done that we could avoid?

Chris Pedregal

I'm not an investor, so it's hard for me to give advice to investors. I can tell you what speaks to me. The same way I talked about how, when you're building a feature, you need to know: Is this exploit mode or explore mode? I think AI as a whole is an explore-mode problem. No one knows what the right thing is. I think maybe foundation models are now more in exploit mode, but everything else, especially at the app layer, is total explore.

When you're in explore mode, you need to have a certain sensibility there, which is, in my opinion, very product-centric, and a certain exploration and depth of thought around what's actually going to be a good product or good for people. Not many investors talk about that or think in a deep way. The stuff that stands out from the noise for me—there have been some really good ones—but if I get a cold email and they write a very specific insight about their usage or product behavior in the space that they've thought about, maybe something Granola gets right or we get wrong, that really makes me pay attention, because if something's hot, you just get inundated with messages.

My inbox is hard to manage right now, and that's just because AI is exciting right now. It may not be exciting tomorrow, and what I want, at least, when I partner with an investor is a partner I'm going to work with for a very long time. I want us to agree on an outlook on the world and how we think about a problem. All the specific execution, all of that's going to change. It's an adapting world, but do you have a similar worldview on how you should go out and solve problems? I know that's a very generic answer, but I have that with my investors. I think they're great product thinkers, and I think they can engage at a bunch of different levels, which is a huge unlock.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

If I forced you to build something else in this space—Granola ceases to exist, and you're not allowed to build Granola 2.0—what's your instinct on where you would go to get into explore mode?

Chris Pedregal

Before I started Granola, I was thinking about what I should start. My previous startup was an education AI app called Socratic, and everyone was like, “Oh, why don't you go into education?” I was like, “Oh, I think there are a whole bunch of reasons why I don't want to start another education company or an education AI company.”

But I've been playing with GPT-4 voice mode—you know, the Scarlett Johansson voice thing? With my kids, you can actually turn the camera on, and they were playing hide-and-seek with ChatGPT, which is kind of nuts. My kids are 5 and 7. They were hiding behind the table and then peeking out, and she would be like, “Oh, I can see.”

Tutoring is one thing, or what's going to help you get good grades, but that interaction was something that caught me off guard. I just haven't seen an interaction like that between a kid and technology. I don't know what the product would be, but there's definitely a there there, and I think the way you design that really matters.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What's hard about education? What did you learn building Socratic that you'd caution others building in that space about, or encourage them to do?

Chris Pedregal

The holy grail in edtech is basically building one-to-one tutoring. There are all these studies that show if you have a one-to-one tutor, the median student actually performs at the level of a top 5 or 10% student, and that's kind of been true throughout history. A lot of the great people we read about in history books had a tutor. Was it Peter the Great who had Aristotle as a tutor? I mean, of course you're going to do well. That's an unfair advantage.

I think that's the holy grail. Everyone wants to have a one-on-one tutor. It should be free. It should just be an open-source model. It should be free. Everyone should build on top of it. It's just better for everybody. I don't want to build a business there. The incentives around making money in that space versus what we want for society aren't super aligned, and I think you're also going to get competition from the generic assistants.

As you were asking before, what kind of use cases are going to get eaten up by the ChatGPTs of the world? I think most of education will fall under that category.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Can you imagine a successful tool that doesn't have a data advantage, either unique data that it has access to or first-party data like the data you've built, where, as a person uses it, they're building a dataset that's custom to them? Is it possible to imagine a dataless AI application that is nonetheless still very successful, or do you think data is just an absolutely critical component of sustainability and edge?

Chris Pedregal

With a lot of this data, you don't need that much of it anymore, and getting a little bit of data isn't that expensive or that hard. The way the world's going, you get these foundation models that can understand the world and do a whole bunch of different things, and then, with a little bit of data on top of that, you can really hone it into a use case.

Whereas before, with the old machine-learning paradigms, you'd need millions and millions and millions of examples of something. Now, it's crazy that we can get away with 50,000 examples, and even if it's a very expensive data type to get, 50,000 isn't that hard. I think about what kind of data is ungettable. I don't know. I guess I'm split.

This idea that soon anyone is going to be able to build apps, I think that's going to happen, and I think that's going to happen relatively soon. It's less clear to me what the effects on the world are going to be. I've been thinking about historical examples. Does that make people who are really good at building apps less valuable or more valuable? I don't actually know.

In the beginning of photography, it was almost impossible to take a photo. If you just had a camera, that's it, you're winning. Then cameras became more accessible, but they were still expensive, and you had to spend a lot of time to get good at it and learn about different lenses. Then everyone had a phone in their pocket.

In a lot of ways, everyone's a photographer, and it's amazing what people can do. At the same time, I feel like there's a premium on taste now. If you're actually really great and you can stand out in that, it's almost like you're more valuable. I'm curious what you think. What's going to happen with software? What's going to happen with apps? Is that it?

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

I think about this a little bit like music. I would be surprised if, in the future, everyone just has all their own music.

I think there's some shared consciousness, shared experience thing that matters for how good something is. In the same way, there's a social-proof thing, or something like the wine studies where the label and knowing how much it costs makes it taste better. Knowing how popular a song is might make you like it more.

Maybe something similar applies to software. Of course, I don't know, but it seems hard to imagine that everyone's going to have the will and interest to build their own version of an app versus just being lazy and clicking the app that everyone else uses, even if it's not entirely perfect for them. I don't think everyone's going to be an app builder in the future, because not everyone's an entrepreneur now.

With Stripe Atlas and cloud providers and all these things, it's massively easier to be an entrepreneur, and not everyone's an entrepreneur. That's what I think. I think the future will often look a lot like the past, and it's really exciting because I can't wait to build some stuff with it. That's my tendency, and other people have different tendencies. I don't know. We'll see.

Thankfully, people like you are building this stuff that's going to make it possible. Another question it brings to mind is that we talked earlier about the small-team meme and how many people are going to be required to build very big businesses. Can you imagine a world where Granola has 1,000 employees? Is that still going to be— I mean, it is a thing objectively. There are plenty of AI companies that have big employee bases, but for you specifically, maybe we're entering a zone where there could be a $10 billion company that has 20 employees or something like that?

Chris Pedregal

I think so. Here's a very real example for us: We just made our first customer-experience hire. We have lots of people writing in, and we interviewed a ton of candidates. I'm pretty convinced that you're going to be able to look at a company and say, “Was their customer-experience department created before or after 2025?” Maybe this is the year.

The ones created after 2025 are going to look completely different. They're probably going to be a lot smaller in terms of people. The way they use tools and what those people do will be very different. I think the departments that are created before then will have trouble. It's much harder to change something that already exists than to build something from scratch on a new paradigm.

We're very ambitious at Granola, so I think we're going to need a lot of people. But when you read about these companies that have thousands and tens of thousands of employees, the world in which that's necessary at Granola seems very small.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

This has been so much fun. I'm so interested in what you're building and how you're building it. I think it's such a great example of the new things that are possible and how they're being built in this new world. Thank you for doing this with me.

When I do interviews, I ask everyone the same traditional closing question: What is the kindest thing that anyone's ever done for you?

Chris Pedregal

My dad spent a lot of time giving me a lot of feedback on things, oftentimes critical. I always felt very loved and supported, but oftentimes quite criticized. Now that I'm in his shoes with my kids, I realize just how hard and tiring that is, and there's not a lot of upside for you as an individual to do that.

Sometimes something just needs to be said to someone, and there's a lot of upside for the individual who gets the feedback and only downside for the person giving it. I appreciate just how hard that must have been and how kind that was, because it was really all for my benefit.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

How do you think you're most different, in terms of how you think and behave, from how you would be had he not done that?

Chris Pedregal

I think I have a much more honest assessment of myself. People talk about first principles, and I think that phrase gets overused. It's easy to hide behind justifications or philosophies to feel good about something, but I think oftentimes the reality is pretty straightforward.

I can hold his voice in my head quite often, which is interesting because he was never an entrepreneur. He never worked in tech, none of that stuff. But the number of times I hear his voice saying, “That sounds like bullshit”—maybe it's bullshit I'm telling myself, or something someone else is saying—it's in there a lot.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Maybe in closing, how does all that translate into how you would articulate the why behind building Granola?

Chris Pedregal

The most honest answer to that is that it's a very personal thing. I'm happiest when I'm trying to build something that I believe in and that I think is important, and I'm pretty unhappy when I'm not. I'm just wired that way.

I think a boss I had early in my career put this philosophy well. He was like, “Aristotle believed in the active realization of human potential.” That phrase stuck in my mind. When do I feel like my time is well spent? Do I feel like I'm actively trying to realize my potential, but also humanity's potential?

I think that comes for me primarily through my work, but also as a parent, which is something I didn't expect but kind of makes sense now that I'm on the other side.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

A beautiful place to close. Chris, thanks so much for your time.

Chris Pedregal

Thank you, Patrick.

Chris Pedregal——打造 Granola——[Invest Like the Best,EP.412] — 文字稿与摘要 | BidClub