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Hard Fork · · 74 分钟

Charlie Kirk与网络愤怒 + Trump的芯片政策大转向 + 本周AI动态

David Yaffe-Bellany

播客
TL;DR
  • 社交平台已将愤怒变成一种可规模化的政治资产,奖励那些逼近规则边界却不真正越界的内容。 Kevin Roose认为Charlie Kirk掌握了这种“边界内容”,Casey Newton则追踪了左右翼创作者如何共同采用“摧毁”“碾压”“羞辱”等话术。结果是,一种“以愤怒为优化目标”的文化形成了,而愿意牺牲互动量来维持稳定的力量寥寥无几。

  • X是最清晰的商业证据:升高政治温度,仍然可以带来增长。 Kirk遇刺后,Elon Musk宣称“左翼是谋杀党”;在X负责产品工作的Nikita Bier称,X在美国新增的首次下载量超过此前任何一天。Roose强调X对精英阶层罕见的影响力,但Newton反驳称,愤怒诱饵如今也定义了Bluesky、TikTok、Instagram以及更广泛的应用媒体生态。Roose还指出,枪击事件一周后,美国并未出现全国性暴力激增——这说明尽管信息流呈现出另一番景象,大多数美国人并不想要一场暴力文化战争。

  • 主持人看到了技术层面的降温出口,但当下的商业激励却指向相反方向。 “桥接型算法”可以给那些在不同政治阵营之间都能获得认同的内容更高排序,把Community Notes背后的逻辑延伸到核心信息流中。但Facebook部分未执行的2020年“拉响警报”措施已经清楚展示了这种权衡:降低敌意是可能的,但“对互动量不利”。

  • 节目还警告,愤怒正成为官方和群众式惩罚的工具。 政府因政治言论向广播机构施压,加上有组织地向雇主举报低俗玩笑的行动,都在威胁第一修正案对冒犯性表达的保护,也在激励普通用户彼此监督。

  • 阿联酋与World Liberty Financial达成的20亿美元交易,恰逢美国为先进Nvidia芯片出口打开政策空间,造成非同寻常的利益冲突,但并不能证明存在利益交换。 MGX使用World Liberty的稳定币投资Binance 20亿美元,可能为与Trump及Witkoff有关联的公司带来数千万美元收益。大致同期,政府推进了一项阿联酋寻求已久的临时芯片协议,尽管外界担心相关技术可能流向中国;David Yaffe-Bellany谨慎的结论是:存在重叠的人物、时间和利益,但没有明确利益交换的证据。

  • 围绕Trump政府,加密货币已经成为一种全球化、无摩擦的影响力渠道。 Yaffe-Bellany称,这已经形成反复出现的模式:寻求政策结果的各方,越来越会考虑投资World Liberty代币或参加与Trump有关联的加密活动,即便无法证明存在直接交换。Newton的比喻是“类固醇版Trump酒店”——外国买家即使受到外国竞选捐款限制,仍可在线调动数十亿美元。

  • 出版商同时面临两重压力:既要将新闻工作自动化,又要保护新闻免受AI中介侵蚀。 Business Insider批准使用AI撰写初稿,同时提醒记者“确保最终作品属于你自己”;Roose称这项政策是在“玩火”,因为它缩短了辅助工具与岗位替代之间的距离。另一方面,Penske称Google的AI Overviews正在压低流量;截至去年年底,其联盟收入较峰值下降了超过1/3。

  • 消费级AI正在迅速扩张,而ChatGPT和Claude似乎正分化成各自独立的产品阵营。 OpenAI称,截至2025年7月,ChatGPT用户中52%通常使用女性名字,使用量在低收入国家增长最快,约73%的消息与工作无关;“实用指导”排名第一,信息搜索位居第二。Anthropic则发现,Claude的采用主要由编程和业务自动化驱动,这支持了Roose的判断:ChatGPT正变得无处不在,而Claude则成为“当你在用代码构建某种东西时才会使用的工具”。

  • 面向青少年的AI安全措施,可能在一个平台上减少伤害,却把脆弱用户推向其他地方。 OpenAI计划推断用户是否未满18岁,并提供一个屏蔽露骨性内容、极少数情况下可能联系执法机构的受限版ChatGPT。Roose欢迎这一举措,但警告青少年可能转向保护更少的服务或私有本地模型:“现在算是马已经跑出马厩了。”

摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. 边界内容将愤怒转化为政治权力

  • Kevin Roose的框架是:Kirk擅长提出逼近平台政策边界、却又没有明确越界的说法,包括毫无依据地猜测疫苗致死、批评《民权法案》,以及攻击犹太捐助者后否认反犹主义。“在社交媒体上,最能吸引人的做法,就是几乎违反一项政策。”

  • Mark Zuckerberg曾分享过的一张图,捕捉到了其中的运行机制:无论平台把执行边界划在哪里,内容越接近边界,互动量就越高。Facebook和YouTube承诺会降低这类内容的排序,但创作者不断发现新的边界可供利用。

  • Roose以“奶箱挑战”为例,说明了更广泛的问题:在视频展示人们从危险堆叠的奶箱上摔落之前,TikTok甚至没有相关规则。一个以“最能带来互动的内容”为筛选目标的系统,会不断推送那些“也许已经处在不太妥当边缘”的行为。

  • Newton补充了升级循环:Kirk的“来辩我啊”视频使用“摧毁”“羞辱”“碾压”等暴力动词;左翼创作者也复制了这种审美,因为更平和的内容几乎得不到分发。“我们这个文化现在正在以愤怒为优化目标。”

2. X加剧冲突,但愤怒诱饵已经逃逸所有平台

  • Roose将X与旧Twitter作对比:当时的团队有时会删除暴力画面、加警告遮挡、降低排序,或封禁持续煽动性账号。Elon Musk恢复了其中许多账号,放宽限制,并利用平台最大的受众规模推广自己的观点。

  • 在刺杀案发生后不久、枪手动机尚未确定之时,Musk发帖称:“左翼是谋杀党。”Roose认为,对于那些仍然每天查看X“20次、100次”的精英而言,信息流会让一场迫在眉睫的内战看起来比真实情况更能代表美国。

  • Newton的反驳值得保留:Bluesky、TikTok和Instagram上的温度也在升高;“我感觉现在互联网上没有任何地方在以文明、尊重的讨论为优化目标。”Roose表示同意,但称他在Bluesky上看到的左翼暴力内容少于X。

  • 令人不安的商业信号是:据Nikita Bier称,X当周在美国新增的首次下载量超过历史上任何一天。无论体验变得多么“暴力”“糟糕”或“充满愤怒”,Roose指出,按照这个浅层增长指标,它似乎确实奏效了。

3. 平台拥有降温工具,却缺乏使用它们的激励

  • Facebook为2020年大选开发了“拉响警报”措施——如果国家似乎正在滑向暴力,这些内部杠杆本可用于降低News Feed中的敌意。并非所有措施都被启用,而公司很快就遇到了决定性的约束:减少不和会损害互动量。

  • Roose提出的替代方案是Aviv Ovadya的“桥接型算法”。当立场不同的用户达成共识时,Community Notes已经会展示更正;把这种共识机制应用于核心信息流排序,或许可以奖励连接不同政治群体的内容,而不是奖励制造分裂的内容。

  • Roose承认其中存在商业不确定性:桥接型信息流“可能互动更少,也可能是一门更差的生意”。不过,X和Meta上已经存在跨党派排序机制,这证明即便是在“地球上最糟糕的一些平台”上,技术也可以尝试寻找共识。

  • Newton避免陷入技术决定论:主持人并不知道刺杀案的全部动机,而且“任何事情都不只是互联网的错”。他更狭义的担忧是,即便没有算法直接指挥某个人采取行动,社会也已经吸收了平台逻辑。

  • Roose指出,枪击事件一周后,并没有出现全国性暴力大幅激增;他将此视为证据,说明大多数美国人并不想要一场暴力文化战争。两位主持人都呼吁采取更平静的媒体消费方式,不要让平台描绘的内战图景变成现实。

4. 政治言论面临政府施压与群众式惩罚

  • 主持人提到,FCC主席Brendan Carr批评Jimmy Kimmel的言论,随后ABC让这名喜剧演员无限期休假。Roose称,政府因政治言论威胁广播机构“彻头彻尾地令人恐惧”——第一修正案正是为了保护这种冒犯性或低俗表达。

  • Newton进一步提出民主制度的检验标准:“你真的不会想生活在一个电视喜剧演员不能拿总统开玩笑的国家。”Roose将这种压力,与共和党和Kirk主导的、持续多年要求平台扩大保守派言论权利的行动作对比。

  • Newton还描述了一种有组织的“告密文化”:用户把邻居、Facebook好友和小企业主发布的低俗帖子提交给扩散者和数据库,然后联系雇主要求解雇相关人员。这种行为类似Gamergate时期的行动,但他从未见过它以如此规模运作。

  • Roose称,人肉搜索“就像你可以在X上玩的一种电子游戏”,因为它对现实生活中的人造成的后果让人兴奋。他不情愿地承认,自由言论也允许人们要求某人丢掉工作;因此,保护政治表达就必须接受一些丑陋的后续代价。

5. 阿联酋20亿美元加密交易与芯片突破共享同一批关键人物

  • Yaffe-Bellany的调查从一场会面开始:Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan与中东特使Steve Witkoff在撒丁岛外海的一艘超级游艇上碰面。白宫称这是解决冲突的外交活动,但记者发现,两人的家族关联机构之间存在横跨政府事务与商业关系的联系。

  • 在第一笔交易中,阿联酋投资公司MGX使用World Liberty Financial的稳定币,向Binance投资20亿美元。由于稳定币发行方可以从储备资产中赚取收益,这笔巨额本金可能为与Trump及Witkoff有关联的公司带来数千万美元收入。

  • 第二笔交易是一项临时性的美阿协议,允许出口强大的美国Nvidia芯片。阿联酋多年来一直在寻求这些芯片,而美国官员担心,阿联酋与中国的密切关系——包括联合军事演习和技术共享协议——可能让芯片或相关能力流入中国。

  • Newton直截了当地概括了表面上的顺序:阿联酋想要芯片,于是通过Trump家族的加密业务转入20亿美元,随后美国政策出现软化。Yaffe-Bellany的关键修正是:“我们没有找到某种直接利益交换的证据”,只能确认时间线、人员和利益彼此交织。

6. 个人财务利益与官方芯片政策发生混淆

  • 一个具体的交集让外界更难忽视其中的担忧:Sheikh Tahnoon旗下、正在寻求芯片的阿联酋科技公司G42的一名员工,在两笔交易推进期间同时为World Liberty工作。Yaffe-Bellany称,这引发了伦理和利益冲突问题,但并不能证明美国政策是被买来的。

  • Witkoff在担任Trump的中东特使期间,仍对World Liberty保有财务利益,尽管他此前曾表示会退出。就在调查发布前不久,他的披露文件才出现;政府称,任期进入第8个月时,他仍“处于退出过程之中”。

  • AI和加密事务主管David Sacks在继续参与Craft Ventures工作的同时,大力支持芯片协议。Craft曾投资AI,而其最初的支持者之一是一家由Sheikh Tahnoon担任董事长的阿联酋公司;白宫伦理豁免认定Sacks保留的利益影响甚微,但同事仍提出了担忧。

  • 国家安全委员会主张加强出口管制的David Feith,在Laura Loomer要求Trump解雇他后被免职。他的离开消除了一个潜在障碍,也让Sacks得以扩大控制权;不过Yaffe-Bellany反复强调,报道无法确定闭门决策背后的每一项动机。

7. 芯片政策转向:从遏制转向扩大生态

  • Newton一直在观察一个对华鹰派政府如何出人意料地迅速改变路线。此前的逻辑很直接:如果先进AI依赖Nvidia芯片,那么一个与中国竞争的国家就应阻止对手获得这些芯片。

  • 由Sacks等人推动的替代性理念认为,更广泛地分发芯片是有利的,因为外国企业和政府会在美国技术之上继续构建。此次调查帮助Newton把这种思想转变,与阿联酋谈判、人员变动以及重叠的财务关系联系起来。

  • Yaffe-Bellany没有声称这些交易导致了政策逆转:该项目建立的是“这两笔交易如何发展、以及如何彼此交汇的时间线”。他预计还会有更多事实浮出水面,因为这次报道异常困难,信息分散在3大洲的多个来源中。

8. 加密货币像一个全球影响力市场,但无法证明存在明确交易

  • 报道始于Zach Witkoff在4月底或5月初的一场迪拜加密会议上宣布这笔20亿美元交易。Yaffe-Bellany当时立即提出的问题是:一位外国领导人为何会把资金导向一名白宫高级顾问的家族?Zach则建议美国人“学学这位阿联酋王室成员”。

  • 白宫和World Liberty否认私人加密交易与政府芯片政策存在联系。官员称,Sacks在芯片协议中没有财务利益,此前也不认识其中的关键阿联酋人士,只是在推进政府优先事项;G42则表示,公司有防范利益冲突的流程。

  • Yaffe-Bellany仍然看到了加密行业的一种模式:寻求监管或准入的参与者,越来越会考虑投资World Liberty、购买Trump代币或参加迷因币晚宴。这些行为都不能证明存在明确利益交换,但与“Trump家族机器”的合作,正逐渐成为商业运作方式的一部分。

  • Newton称,加密货币是“类固醇版Trump酒店”:购买行为全球化、即时完成,规模可以达到20亿美元;外国买家即使被禁止捐款给竞选活动,仍能支持总统的企业。伦理团体对此提出反对,但此前的审查只是推迟了稳定币立法;该法最终仍在民主党议员支持下通过。

9. AI从两端挤压出版商

  • Business Insider告诉记者,可以使用AI撰写初稿,但必须“确保最终作品属于你自己”。Roose已经用AI检查错别字和潜在事实错误,但写作越过了他目前的边界,也可能帮助“自动化掉”记者自己的工作。

  • Newton认为,眼下的风险在于声誉:读者有时能识别AI在风格上的缺陷,可能因此降低对出版物的尊重。更长期看,如果机器写作变得无法区分,他预计它会消失在“互联网的背景噪音”中。

  • 这种矛盾格外尖锐:Business Insider及其他媒体此前曾删除据称由一名使用AI的自由撰稿人提交的虚构报道,但Business Insider如今却允许员工使用AI起草文章。Roose的结论是:“我们现在简直身处愚蠢之城。”

  • Penske的诉讼攻击的是分发端,指控Google的AI Overviews重复使用报道内容,同时压低流量。Penske称,截至去年年底,联盟链接收入较峰值下降超过1/3;Roose不愿断言Google的行为违法,但表示这种出版商层面的经济结果“对网络整体健康不利”。

10. 消费级AI扩张,安全与产品策略出现分化

  • 阿尔巴尼亚AI部长Diella据称要让公共招标“100%不受腐败影响”。主持人认为,AI辅助政府不可避免,但怀疑当前系统已经准备好监督腐败或直接行使权力。

  • Roblox游戏Steal a Brainrot据称达到2340万同时在线玩家,把TikTok上由AI生成的意大利Brainrot角色转化成一场面向青少年的大型现象级事件。版权层面的讽刺随之出现:Tung Tung Tung Sahur在授权谈判期间消失了——有人实际上从一款“偷走Brainrot”的游戏里偷走了一个角色。

  • OpenAI计划推出的青少年体验会从对话中推断年龄,屏蔽露骨性内容,并在某些情况下联系执法机构。Newton认为,面对FTC调查以及Adam Raine家属提起的诉讼——这名16岁少年死于自杀——这一举措早就应该推出;Roose则警告,重视隐私的青少年可能会直接迁移到其他地方。

  • OpenAI的消费数据表明,截至2025年7月,52%的用户使用通常为女性的名字,约73%的消息与工作无关,实用指导的排名高于信息搜索。Anthropic对消费端加API的研究则发现,编程和自动化占据主导;Claude人均使用量最高的国家是新加坡和以色列,在美国则是华盛顿特区和犹他州居前——这支持了Roose的判断:大众市场与企业市场正沿着越来越不同的路径发展。

Speaker 1

Are you watching Alien: Earth?

Speaker 2

No.

Speaker 1

Okay, first of all, it’s so good. It’s my favorite thing I’ve seen this year. Second of all, one of the subplots is that there is a character who is a synthetic humanoid person, and she has mastered the aliens’ language.

Speaker 2

Mm.

Speaker 1

So she can communicate using the language, presumably with some sort of machine learning. And it’s paying huge dividends for her, because that alien is eating a lot of people. He’s leaving her alone. That’s why communication is so important.

Speaker 2

I do think that interspecies podcasting is going to be huge. I recently got a pitch. There was a PR person I know who was telling me, “We have this AI company we’re working with, and they’re learning how to translate whale song using AI. Would you like to have the founder on?”

I said, “No, but I’d love to have the whale on.” If the whale would like to come on Hard Fork, we would love to interview the whale. I have so many questions for a whale.

Speaker 1

What would you ask?

Speaker 2

Feelings on SeaWorld?

Speaker 1

Yep.

Speaker 2

Free Willy?

Speaker 1

Yep. Yep.

Speaker 2

Let’s talk about what it’s like at the bottom of the sea. Tell us about the most interesting krill and plankton you’ve come across recently.

Speaker 1

I feel like you don’t actually have a lot of questions for this whale. I like the idea, though. In the old days, it was Dog with a Blog. Remember Dog with a Blog?

Speaker 2

Yes.

Speaker 1

And now it’s going to be Cod with a Pod.

Speaker 1

I’m Kevin Roose, a tech columnist at The New York Times.

Speaker 2

I’m Casey Newton from Platformer.

Speaker 1

And this is Hard Fork. This week, our thoughts on the assassination of Charlie Kirk and the terrifying new reality of extremely online violence. Then, The Times’ David Yaffe-Bellany joins us to unpack a blockbuster investigation into a $2 billion investment in Trump’s crypto company and a controversial deal to send high-end AI chips to the Middle East. And finally, it’s time for This Week in AI.

1. Charlie Kirk Masters Rage Bait

Speaker 2

Well, Casey, we’re going to start the show on a more somber note than usual. Obviously, many of you, like us, have been reading about the assassination of Charlie Kirk, which happened while we were taping last week’s episode, so we couldn’t really get into it then. We also just didn’t know a lot, but in the week or so since then, we have learned a lot more, and we’ve had a lot more time to think and reflect and try to figure out what, if anything, we could add to the conversation.

So we’re going to talk a little bit about what we’ve been talking about among ourselves, what we’re seeing, what we’re thinking about, and some of the connections between these internet platforms that we talk about on the show and these violent events out in the physical world—and what, if anything, can be done about that?

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

How are you doing? How are you feeling? What has your reaction been to all of these events over the past week?

Speaker 1

Well, I think, like a lot of people, I was horrified by the event itself and have continued to be horrified as further events have unfolded. I was not a close student of Charlie Kirk’s work, but I know that he was a master of manipulating the platforms that I cover.

Over the past week, I have been thinking a lot about his relationship to the platforms, what has happened on platforms since his murder, and what it tells us about how media works in this moment and how politics and power work in this moment.

Speaker 2

Say more about that, because I share your sense that Charlie Kirk is wrapped up in the internet, and these were the platforms where he made his reputation. Turning Point USA, the organization he started, was a major force in early-2010s online activism and did a lot of viral content, for lack of a better word. That’s how he became famous, how he became who he was.

It wasn’t by running for office or going on CNN. It was by making videos and posting them online.

Speaker 1

Yeah, and specifically, I think he excelled at making what some of the platform nerds that I write about would call borderline content—basically saying things that come right up to the line of breaking a platform’s policy without quite going over.

For example, he speculated that vaccines may have killed more than 1 million people without backing that up. He said it was a mistake to pass the Civil Rights Act. He would criticize Jewish donors for funding, quote, “Radical, open-border, neoliberal, quasi-Marxist policies,” and then reject claims that he was being antisemitic. Maybe he wasn’t, but over and over again, you see him flirting with this line.

The reason that’s important is because platforms love it when you flirt with the line. It turns out that the most compelling thing you can do on social media is almost break a policy. That was one of the key methods Charlie Kirk used to gain notoriety, prominence, and eventually power and money. He did it by mastering this particular technique.

The thing about this technique is that, as effective as it was for Charlie Kirk, I think it’s really corrosive to our politics. The more it succeeds, the more, when you open up TikTok or Instagram Reels, you’re seeing something designed to upset you. It’s designed to make you uncomfortable, challenge you, and that kind of thing, which Charlie Kirk was so good at, is now the way a wide swath of our politics works.

Speaker 2

Yeah, I think that’s a really good point. I remember this graph that Mark Zuckerberg once posted on his Facebook account. This was a much earlier version of Mark Zuckerberg, who had not yet gone full MAGA. He was sharing some of his observations about the kind of content that worked on Facebook, and maybe we could pull that graph up and put it in the show.

It basically showed that the closer you get to the line—no matter where the line is drawn, which was the interesting thing—the more engagement you get.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

No matter where a platform decides to draw the line and say, “This content is unacceptable,” the closer you get to that line, the more engagement you get. He was sharing this not as a celebration of the phenomenon. He was just saying, “Look, this is what we observe happening on our platforms.” It didn’t seem like he knew what to do about it then, and it doesn’t seem like anyone knows what to do about it now.

Speaker 1

What platforms said—and both Facebook at the time and YouTube said—was that they were going to downrank this kind of thing. They said, “We see you edgelords out there. We’re not going to let you get away with this, so we’re going to try to restrict the spread of this borderline content.”

But as we look at the media landscape today, there’s a lot of stuff that’s just right on the border. It’s stuff that you can’t believe people are getting away with. People are always finding these new borders, and they’re trying to exploit them.

They’re not always political. Do you remember the milk crate challenge on TikTok?

Speaker 2

Yes.

Speaker 1

People were stacking up milk crates and then trying to walk across them, even though it was an incredibly rickety and dangerous structure. At the time, TikTok didn’t have a policy for that, but then TikTok watched a bunch of kids falling off milk crates, and they had to say, “We’re not going to promote this sort of thing anymore.”

This is just the nature of platforms that are looking for the most engaging thing for you to look at. They’re always going to be drawing your attention to something that is just on the brink of maybe not being okay.

In the wake of the Kirk assassination, I’ve been struck by how the entire cultural moment feels like so many people are making borderline content. It’s people making edgy jokes online. Some of those people are being fired, some are being celebrated, and some are getting angry letters from politicians.

In a way, this whole thing would have been a perfect story for Charlie Kirk to comment on and say some really edgy things about. You really cannot separate him from these platform dynamics that he mastered, which are now the primary mechanism by which his death is being discussed.

Speaker 2

Unlike you, I have watched a lot of Charlie Kirk videos. A couple of years ago, I made a podcast called Rabbit Hole about the world of online radicalization and extremism. As part of that, I spent a long time watching the videos and listening to the podcasts of the people who were big parts of that story, and Charlie Kirk was one of them.

I should say, I don’t think he was the edgiest or the most radical by any means. In fact, if I had to put him into a bucket of online political influencers, it would be the debate-me-bro genre. That was what he was known for: He would show up at a college campus and have debates, and then clips of those debates would be posted on YouTube or other platforms.

And sometimes the video title would be “Charlie Kirk Destroys Liberal.” There was always this sort of very violent verb in there: destroys, humiliates, owns. This was sort of the blood sports of that era.

I’ll never forget this conversation I had with a left-wing YouTuber around this time. He was saying, “Yeah, we have decided to fight fire with fire. We cannot get any reach, any views, any distribution for our content on the left if we do not mimic the aesthetics of the right.” So they would do their own videos that were like “Liberal Destroys Charlie Kirk” or “College Student Owns Ben Shapiro.”

It was almost like they were just adopting the same kind of rage-optimization framework, but switching the sign on it. And that really struck me because I feel like the whole culture you’re talking about now—our whole society—has kind of absorbed this optimization strategy. We as a culture are optimizing for rage now. You see it on the social platforms. You see it from politicians calling for revenge for the assassination of Charlie Kirk.

You even see it in these individual cases of people getting extremely mad at the person who made a joke about Charlie Kirk that was edgy and tasteless, and going to report them to their employer and get them fired. It’s all this sort of spectacle of rage, this culture of destroying and owning and humiliating. And I guess, to me, what I’ve been feeling over the past week is that there just don’t seem to be a lot of checks on that. There don’t seem to be a lot of stabilizing forces right now, and the temperature of the internet and our society feels really high right now.

2. X Makes Civil War Feel Real

Speaker 1

Yes, and I think it is particularly true on X. I think it might be worth drawing a distinction between how X handled this situation and how the Twitter of old may have handled a similar kind of murder.

In the old days of Twitter, when there was a very violent video spreading, you would have teams that would either try to take it down or ensure that it was hidden behind a screen. They would probably downrank it and try to ensure that it was not being recommended to people. Twitter was never perfect at that sort of thing, but at the Twitter of old, there was an effort to try to prevent people who didn’t want to see this content from seeing it.

Of course, Twitter also banned some of the most aggressive and violent right-wing accounts. People who had posted really racist and inflammatory stuff all got banned. Then Elon Musk buys it, turns it into X, and what does he do? First of all, he brings back all those right-wing accounts, lets them post almost whatever they want, and then, crucially, he decides to use the platform to push his own very inflammatory views.

In the immediate aftermath of this, before we know anything about the shooter, he tweets, “The left is the party of murder.” So today, if you look at X, it is easy to get the sense that we are on the brink of civil war and the right wing is gearing up for battle. In reality, I think the vast majority of Americans are not on the brink of civil war.

But if you were one of these elites who is still Twitter-brained and still checking the site 20 or 100 times a day, it is going to change your perception, polarize you, and make you think that things are worse than they are. So this is just a set of dynamics that I think is enormously consequential because the elites of this country are still on X, and what they are seeing is a sort of very bloodthirsty vision of America. That scares me quite a lot.

Speaker 2

I don’t know, man. Don’t you feel like this is happening on every platform? Don’t you feel like the temperature is rising on Bluesky, TikTok, and Instagram? I feel like this is broader than X.

To me, obviously, X is a particularly potent example of a platform that has shifted its policies and its approach to borderline content. But I feel this everywhere I go online. I do not feel like there is a place on the internet right now that is being optimized for civil and respectful discussion and debate. I feel like it is all rage bait.

Speaker 1

I basically agree with you, but I do think it matters that the leader of one of the platforms is using his platform, where he has the largest audience of anyone on the platform, to promote these views as aggressively as he has been doing.

But to your point, yes, the broader dynamics do hold. If you go on Bluesky, you will see a very angry version of the left. Now, for what it’s worth, what I have seen there has seemed far less violent than what I have seen on X. I have actually seen much more violent leftist content on X than I have on Bluesky.

But I think your point is a good one: This broader dynamic of rage bait everywhere, polarizing us all the time, is not just an X phenomenon. It does just seem to be how the app-based media ecosystem works.

Speaker 2

Yeah, and to be clear, we don’t fully understand all of the motives at play behind this particular violent act. I don’t believe that anything is ever just the internet’s fault, but it does feel like everyone has absorbed the logic of the platforms. And there used to be people inside the platform companies who thought about this stuff.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

Speaker 2

During the 2020 election cycle, there was an effort at Facebook to take down the temperature of the News Feed. There was this whole set of what they called break-glass measures. Basically, if it looks like the country is spiraling into some kind of civil war, there are these levers we can pull and these knobs we can turn inside Facebook to bring down the level of discord and hostility on the site.

Not all that stuff was implemented. They very quickly figured out that it was bad for engagement to do that. But it is an option, and I wish there were more people at the platforms who cared about this and thought about maybe sacrificing some of their engagement.

As we know, this stuff is very good for engagement, and it turns out that last week X had more first-time downloads in the United States than on any single day in its history, including before Elon Musk owned it. That’s according to Nikita Bier, who works in product over at X. So as violent and awful and rage-filled as the platform is right now, that does appear to be working for them, at least by this one very shallow metric.

3. Bridging Algorithms Seek Consensus

Speaker 1

Yeah. This makes me want to talk about one potential solution that I think has not been fully explored. It would not be a complete solution. It would just be something I’d like to see more platforms try, and it’s called bridging-based algorithms.

We talked about them on the show before. This is an idea from a guy named Aviv Ovadya, who’s come on Hard Fork. It’s probably been a couple of years since he was here, but he came up with the idea that is now at the heart of the Community Notes that you now see on X and on Meta’s platforms.

You know how, if you see something that’s wrong on X, you can add a note to it and say, “Well, no, actually, this is the truth,” and then link to whatever the truth is? The way that bridging-based algorithms work is that they show those notes to people across the political spectrum. They have various ways of figuring out where you’re aligned politically, and they only show the note if people who are more on the left and more on the right agree.

Speaker 2

Mm.

Speaker 1

They see a bridge between the two of you, and they think, “Well, if Republicans and Democrats both think this is true, this is likelier to be true, and so we’re going to show that note.” That is a way that, using an algorithm, you can try to create some consensus. You can try to build a bridge.

I’m not aware of any platform that has tried to do this in the core feed. It may be that this is less engaging and a worse business than the ones that we have today, but we do know that there is a way to build technological systems that bring people together because they are already in use today on some of the worst platforms on Earth. So I do think that there is an opportunity here for somebody who cares to try to bring this idea to more places.

4. The First Amendment Under Pressure

Speaker 2

Yeah. Okay, so if that’s the platform piece of it, what are you looking at now, looking forward? Obviously, we’ve seen not just the culture-war side of this, but we’re now seeing a government crackdown on speech.

We talked on this show back during the early days of this Trump administration about people like Brendan Carr, the chairman of the FCC, who had explicitly stated that one of his goals was to take the fight over free speech to the broadcast networks, to the platforms.

We’re now seeing things like Jimmy Kimmel being put on indefinite leave from his ABC show after Brendan Carr went on a podcast and condemned his comments about how the right was characterizing Charlie Kirk’s alleged shooter. So what are you thinking about the free speech of it all?

Speaker 1

This is just terrifying, full stop. This is what the First Amendment is supposed to protect us from: political speech, and in particular, offensive, tasteless political speech. This is why we have a First Amendment.

And over the past decade, I’ve watched Republican after Republican complain about policies on platforms that they felt did not enable free speech to the degree that they thought they deserved it.

Charlie Kirk himself was a big free-speech warrior, and he was part of this culture war arguing that conservatives were being disadvantaged on these platforms. When the Trump administration retook power earlier this year, at first it was essentially, “Let’s make things fair and balanced, so we’ll approve your media merger, but we’re gonna put some sort of minder at your company to make sure that you’re not too mean to President Trump.” That was already a bridge way too far for me.

Now, for the government to come in and threaten individual broadcasters because of political speech that they made—that’s getting pretty close to as bad as it gets. This is something that I think all Americans should be paying attention to because, trust me, you do not want to live in a country where you no longer have the First Amendment.

Speaker 2

Yeah, or to put an even finer point on it, I’ve seen a lot of people pointing out that you really do not wanna live in a country where the comedians on TV cannot make fun of the president.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

That is rarely a sign of a healthy democratic society.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

I also have been fascinated and disturbed by this whole crowdsourced surveillance and snitching culture—

Speaker 1

Mm.

Speaker 2

—that the internet seems to have created. I’m sure you saw this, but in the wake of the Charlie Kirk shooting, there were these accounts that would signal-boost people reporting their Facebook friends, their neighbors, the people who ran small businesses in their towns, saying, “Oh, this person made a tasteless joke.” Then they would get retweeted by Libs of TikTok, or they’d send it to some Charlie Kirk “people saying mean things about Charlie Kirk” database that would publish it, and people would write letters to their employers urging them to be fired.

That’s not new behavior. That has been happening since at least the mid-2010s with Gamergate. But this kind of incentive structure, where social media and these influencers are incentivizing regular people to engage in this kind of surveillance and reporting—I have seen that before, but I have not seen it at this scale or in this organized a manner. So I wonder what you make of that.

Speaker 1

To me, this is just another platform-incentives thing, right? This kind of surveillance and doxing is essentially a kind of video game that you can play on X, and people like to play video games, right? Because you’re playing with people’s real lives, it feels really edgy and cool and fun for those who are participating in this.

Candidly, part of this is the flip side of free speech, right? If you want to say that people have the right to express themselves online, one thing they can express is, “This person made a tasteless joke, and I think that they can lose their job.” I’m willing to accept that as a fact of life as long as I still get to engage in political speech. You know what I mean?

Speaker 2

Mm-hmm.

Speaker 1

I think we also need to start thinking about what kind of trade-offs we want to have in a world where these platforms are mediating so much of our reality.

Speaker 2

Yeah. I think that’s right. I just wish I felt like there was any stabilizing force, anyone in any position of power right now who could take down the temperature, turn down the knobs, and encourage people to take a deep breath, either literally or spiritually.

I am feeling very anxious. I’ve just noticed my anxiety over the past week has really gone through the roof, and I think it’s because I feel this sort of ambient rising of rage in our society, and I want it to stop. I want people to take a deep breath.

Speaker 1

People should absolutely take a deep breath. I would say, if you’re looking for reasons for optimism, we are now a week out from this shooting. There have not been huge upsurges of violence across the country. I think people are very sad and very anxious about the future, but so far they’re not taking to the streets with guns.

I think that speaks to the fact that the vast majority of Americans do not want to participate in a violent cultural war with people who disagree with them. When we get most of our information from platforms, we are always at risk of forgetting that because, on a platform, it always looks like civil war is about to break out.

So, if nothing else, I think this is a moment for all of us to think about our media diets and the way that whatever media we’re consuming is manipulating our emotions, and then decide if we wanna make a change there, right? Perception can become reality in too many cases, and it just might be a moment to find something a little bit calmer to help you understand what’s going on in the world. For example, a podcast hosted by two friends who mostly like to tell jokes about technology companies. Just throwing that out there.

Speaker 2

I mean, you’re joking, but I am thinking about our role in this moment and what we do, and I wanna continue to encourage people to look around, to touch grass, and to not just see the world through this kind of refracted fun-house mirror of social media, because I think when you do that, it leads to some really dark places.

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

Wow, I couldn’t help but end this one on a dark note. Sorry.

Speaker 1

I know.

Speaker 2

It’s where my head’s at.

Speaker 1

I brought it to such a nice place, and then you were just like—

Speaker 2

I know, and then I brought it back down into hell. I’m sorry. I’m sorry. Let’s talk about something else. Well, Casey, when we come back, we’re gonna talk with DYB about the UAE, GPUs, and AI.

Well, Casey, there was another big story this week involving politics and tech, and this one did not get a ton of attention relative to the Charlie Kirk assassination story. But I thought it was a big, important investigation from my colleagues at The Times that deserved more attention than it got.

Speaker 1

I completely agree with you. This one is a really extraordinary piece of journalism, and I’m glad we’re highlighting it today.

5. The UAE Crypto Chip Deals

Speaker 2

Yeah, so this story involves 2 seemingly intertwined deals between the Trump administration, World Liberty Financial, which is the Trump family part-owned cryptocurrency company, and the United Arab Emirates. It raises a ton of fascinating questions.

Speaker 1

Yeah, but it’s also a story about the future of AI and potentially AI safety. As you know, there are so many people all around the world who want to get their hands on state-of-the-art chips, but the United States has export controls in place that prevent some of our adversaries, or countries that we’re just worried about, from getting them.

Speaker 2

Yeah, and I think it would be a really big deal in any other administration. I think it would’ve gotten months of airtime. It would’ve been all anybody would’ve talked about for weeks on end. There would’ve been hearings and calls for impeachment and things like that.

But I think we’ve just gotten so inured to the everyday business dealings of the Trump administration and the Trump family and the various associates that it sort of passed by without much notice.

Speaker 1

Yeah, this is the sort of story that in the old days we would’ve been on Twitter saying, “This is not normal,” with a bunch of those clapping-hands emojis in between all of the different words.

Speaker 2

Yeah.

Speaker 1

So if you’re a person who likes to know when this is not normal, we’re here to tell you today: This is not normal.

Speaker 2

This—

Speaker 1

This—

Speaker 2

—is—

Speaker 1

—is—

Speaker 2

—not—

Speaker 1

—not—

Speaker 2

—normal.

Speaker 1

—normal.

Speaker 2

So to talk about this very abnormal story with us today is one of the reporters who wrote it, my colleague and friend of the show, David Yaffe-Bellany.

Speaker 2

David Yaffe-Bellany, welcome back to Hard Fork.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Thanks so much for having me.

Speaker 2

So, DYB, this story that you reported, this very interesting and complicated story, starts as all great tech stories do: on a superyacht. Specifically, a superyacht off the coast of Sardinia, where you wrote about a meeting that took place this summer between the owner of the yacht, a man named Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a member of the ruling family of the United Arab Emirates, and Steve Witkoff, President Trump's envoy to the Middle East.

Now, before we get into the contents of this meeting, I have to ask, DYB: What is a superyacht? What makes it different from a regular yacht, and how can I get invited on one?

Speaker 1

Doesn't it just have guacamole and sour cream?

David Yaffe-Bellany

Well, did you guys read that New Yorker story from a few years ago, “The Haves and the Have-Yachts”?

Speaker 2

That's very good, yes.

David Yaffe-Bellany

That's my main reference point for all yacht-related questions. I believe that there are actually very formal distinctions between yachts, superyachts and megayachts, and that has to do with the length of the vessel.

Speaker 2

Oh, wow.

David Yaffe-Bellany

But clearly you guys aren't spending a lot of time on the coast of Sardinia.

Speaker 1

I heard it wasn't about the length of the vessel, but how you use it.

Speaker 2

It's about the motion of the ocean.

Speaker 1

That's right. Anyway, we're getting off track here.

Speaker 2

We're getting off track. Okay, so, DYB, let's talk about this meeting. What were Sheikh Tahnoon and Steve Witkoff there on this yacht to discuss?

David Yaffe-Bellany

The White House told us that this discussion centered on resolving international conflicts, essentially. But what our reporting showed is that the relationship between these two men spans both diplomatic matters like that and a business partnership between Steve Witkoff's family company and Sheikh Tahnoon's family investment fund in the United Arab Emirates.

Speaker 2

Yeah. So your reporting, DYB, and that of our colleagues centers on these 2 big deals that took place earlier this year. Tell us about these deals.

David Yaffe-Bellany

One deal involved crypto; the other deal involved artificial intelligence. The first deal, which is the crypto deal, involved World Liberty Financial, the Trump and Witkoff families' crypto company, and an investment firm in the United Arab Emirates called MGX, which is essentially owned and run by the royal family of the Emirates.

The deal was that MGX would use the World Liberty Financial stablecoin to make a $2 billion investment in another party to this transaction, Binance, the big crypto exchange. And this was a huge deal for World Liberty because the company is trying to get traction for its stablecoin. As you guys know, the way stablecoins work is that if somebody is using the coin, then there are deposits backing it up, and the issuer of the coin can invest those deposits in ways that generate a yield. It's a very profitable business in the crypto world. So that was the first of these 2 deals.

Speaker 1

You suggest in your story that just by getting that $2 billion infusion of cash, World Liberty will likely be able to make tens of millions of dollars in interest.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Yes, exactly. Companies like Circle and Tether in the crypto world have found this business model is really profitable and, frankly, not that complicated. You just sit on these deposits. You can invest them in fairly safe ways to generate a big return if the principal is large enough, which in this case it was: $2 billion.

Speaker 1

So tell us about deal 2.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Deal number 2 is the artificial intelligence deal, and this is a tentative agreement between the United States and the Emirates for the US to allow the export of American-made chips to the UAE. These are the most valuable, powerful chips that fuel AI. They're developed by Nvidia, and without them, you can't really become a tech powerhouse in the way that the UAE wants to be.

The Emirates has been trying to get access to these chips for years and years, and the issue has always been that US national security officials worried that if we gave these chips to the UAE, they would end up in the hands of China, because there are really tight ties between those countries.

Speaker 1

Yeah, tell us about some of those ties.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Joint military exercises and technology-sharing agreements. At the center of this is G42, which is another Emirati tech firm, also run by Sheikh Tahnoon.

The fact that the Emirates is getting these chips was a big deal and not necessarily an inevitability, given the posture of the Trump administration toward China and the resistance in the Biden administration toward giving free access to these chips.

Speaker 1

And there was resistance in the Trump administration as well to giving the UAE those chips. Is that right?

David Yaffe-Bellany

Absolutely. This is something that we found in our reporting: There were disputes within the White House and people who were very concerned about the national security implications of allowing access to these chips.

I should be clear that this is a preliminary agreement, and there might be new security guarantees built in when those chips actually leave the US and go to the UAE. But at the moment, there are definitely concerns from some people in the national security community.

Speaker 2

Right. David, let me just repeat back what I think I heard from you describing these 2 deals, and maybe draw some lines that are suggested but not explicitly stated in your reporting. So correct me if I get any of this wrong.

David Yaffe-Bellany

That's fine.

Speaker 2

The UAE wants to be a global player in AI. They look at this technology and say, “We want to be one of the countries that's developing these frontier models.” But it has a problem: It can't get the chips that it needs to run these powerful models, because under the Biden administration, the export of the most powerful Nvidia chips was limited to the US and its allies.

The UAE, while technically not an adversary of the United States, also does some stuff with China, and so people worried that maybe if they sent some chips to the UAE, China would get access to them. So the UAE can't get all the kinds of chips it wants, and then it plows $2 billion into a cryptocurrency controlled by the Trump family business. Around the time of that deal, the Trump administration changed its posture about chips, rolled back some of these restrictions, at least in a tentative agreement, fired the main guy who was advocating for these export controls—and we'll get to this—and lets the chips flow to the UAE as it had wanted.

Am I missing anything important?

David Yaffe-Bellany

I would say that the main thing that we say in our story, which is important to understand, is that we did not find evidence of a direct quid pro quo here. What the story basically shows is that these 2 deals involved many of the same people, were negotiated in roughly the same time period and were interconnected in ways that people weren't aware of when these back-to-back announcements happened in May.

I'll give you an example of that from our reporting. An employee at G42, the big Emirati tech firm that wanted the chips, was simultaneously working for that firm and for World Liberty Financial while all of this was going on. And so you see this intermingling, and it raises all sorts of concerns about ethics rules and conflicts of interest.

It raises questions about whether US interests are being subordinated to the commercial priorities of the Emiratis and the families of the people in the Trump administration. All of that is at play in our story, but we certainly can't say that there was an explicit quid pro quo.

6. Trump Business and Government Collide

Speaker 6

You can't say that, but just this character of Steve Witkoff, who is President Trump's envoy to the Middle East, this longtime golf buddy and friend of Trump's: At the same time that he is the envoy to the Middle East, where he is supposed to be representing America's interests, he is also a co-founder of World Liberty Financial, which is about to reap the rewards of this $2 billion investment. Is that right?

David Yaffe-Bellany

Yeah, absolutely. He still has a financial interest in World Liberty, even now. His financial disclosure form was released just a couple of days before the story came out, and it showed that he still has an interest in World Liberty, despite statements by World Liberty that he was going to divest. We were told he's still in the process of divesting.

Speaker 6

Yeah. How unusual is it for an envoy like this to also have an interest in a business that is benefiting directly from a foreign government he is directly dealing with as a diplomat?

David Yaffe-Bellany

These sorts of overlaps between personal business and government responsibilities don't have much precedent in the US. This is a new thing in the Trump administration that's becoming increasingly common. These lines are blurring.

Even before the Trump administration started back in December, Steve Witkoff flew to the Middle East and was taking diplomatic meetings.

He appeared at a crypto conference where he met with a World Liberty Financial investor. At that conference, he was presented as the U.S. Middle East envoy, even though Trump hadn't actually taken office yet. This sort of blurring of lines started immediately, and it's continued throughout this administration.

Speaker 6

Now, let's talk about some of the other figures involved in this story. In particular, I want to ask you about the role played by David Sacks, who's the AI and crypto czar in the Trump administration. He was also, as you report, involved in some of these deals. So what is David Sacks's role in all this?

David Yaffe-Bellany

David Sacks is the AI and crypto czar, and he's interesting because, similar to Witkoff, he has a foot in both worlds. He's simultaneously working in government, and he has this tech job at Craft Ventures, his VC firm. What we found in our reporting is that he was one of the driving forces behind the chips deal with the UAE. He was pushing for it aggressively in public and also behind the scenes within the White House, and that raised concerns from some of his White House colleagues about potential conflicts of interest.

The reason being, Sacks is a tech investor. He's still working as a tech investor. His company has invested in AI ventures in the past, and 1 of the original backers of Craft was another Emirati investment firm that is currently chaired by Sheikh Tahnoon. Those concerns bubbled up within the administration while this deal was being negotiated.

I should also say that Sacks received ethics waivers from the White House that basically said, "You're divesting from a lot of these stakes. What's left is de minimis and isn't going to affect your work, and it's okay for you to play in these areas that intersect with your business." So he did get that sort of permission slip from the Trump administration, but there were still concerns from colleagues.

Speaker 6

I have to say, very little is funnier to me in this moment than the idea of getting an ethics waiver from the Trump administration. Just what is that process like?

Okay, I have 1 more character that I need to ask you about, David—another David, David Feith. He was Trump's senior director for technology on the National Security Council, a member of the Trump administration who was known inside the government as the export controls guy for chips—the guy who thought it was a really bad idea for the U.S. and its companies to be shipping the most powerful AI chips overseas. This was a view that he shared with some folks in the Biden administration and its National Security Council.

He was fired earlier this year as part of a clearing of the house at the NSC by President Trump. So what did you report about that firing and what may have motivated it?

David Yaffe-Bellany

That was a crucial moment during these chip negotiations, where a potential roadblock to a deal going through was abruptly removed. It cleared the field in a way that allowed David Sacks to eventually take control of these negotiations. So it was definitely a good thing for the Emiratis and their priorities that this happened.

The reason that he got fired is that Laura Loomer, the right-wing agitator, had a meeting with Trump in which she urged the firings of Feith and several other national security colleagues. The reason that Loomer gives for this is partly that Feith's father, Doug Feith, was aligned with the neoconservative, Bush-era Republican Party, which she advocates against. So she essentially argued to Trump, "You've got to get rid of all these people for that reason."

Speaker 2

We should also say, for people who are not familiar with Laura Loomer and her work, this is a woman who has been banned from every major tech product, including—my favorite Laura Loomer fun fact—she's banned from both Uber and Lyft for being too racist.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm.

Speaker 2

Do you know how hard it is to get banned from Uber and Lyft for being too racist?

David Yaffe-Bellany

Yeah. Think about how many racists use Uber that still have their accounts.

Speaker 2

Anyway, so Laura Loomer, for some reason, gets a bee in her bonnet about this guy, David Feith, and talks to Trump. Then Trump fires him and a number of his other colleagues.

This is the part of the story where something—a light bulb—went off for me. I remember earlier this year when the Trump administration seemed to change its posture on AI and AI proliferation very suddenly. This was an administration that had a lot of people in it who were very hawkish on China, who saw us as being in a race with China to develop powerful AI systems.

If you are in a race with your biggest adversary to develop a technology that is dependent on powerful chips from Nvidia, you do not want your adversary getting those chips from Nvidia. That seemed to be a pretty accepted part of the Republican tech policy platform.

Then, all of a sudden, the tune changed. David Sacks and other people in the administration started talking about how it was actually good if these American Nvidia chips got to China and all of our other adversaries, because we wanted companies and governments to be building AI on top of our technology. That was sort of their America First strategy.

I could never quite understand why that change had occurred so quickly or what was motivating it. And David, your story helps me connect some dots that had been missing.

David Yaffe-Bellany

Yeah. That moment where the Trump administration's tone on this shifts is really important to what's going on. Again, this reporting is really difficult and complicated, and I'm sure there's more about these 2 deals that will come out over the coming years. We don't know exactly what went into all of the decisions behind the scenes, but I think what we were able to show is, broadly, the timelines of how these 2 deals developed and how they intersected.

Speaker 2

Tell us—give us a little flavor of the behind-the-scenes reporting process, because there are a lot of bylines on this story. It's you, Eric Lipton, Bradley Hope, Tripp Mickle and Paul Mozur. What can you tell us about how this story came together?

David Yaffe-Bellany

This is 1 of those big projects that requires a lot of collaboration among different departments within The Times. Not only is it 5 different reporters on the byline, with a bunch of others who contributed as well, but there are 3 different continents. People in different parts of the world have access to different types of sources.

The reporting for this story really began for me when I was in Dubai in late April and early May, which is when Zach Witkoff, Steve Witkoff's son, went on stage at a crypto conference and announced this $2 billion deal. I was there in the room for that and covered it at the time. From the moment it happened, we wondered, how did this come together?

It was just so unusual for a foreign leader to be channeling money to the family of a top White House adviser. That's just not the sort of thing that happens in the United States. In a way, these interconnections between business and government are more familiar to the way business is done in the Persian Gulf, and have been for years.

One interesting thing that Zach Witkoff said on stage at that event is that we should really take a page out of the Emirati royals' book, essentially. We should try to be more like them.

That's when the reporting started for me, and then it became this really fruitful collaboration among people with different areas of expertise all over the world.

Speaker 2

Did you get to try any of that Dubai chocolate while you were over there?

David Yaffe-Bellany

I saw the Dubai chocolate. I looked at the price tag, wondered whether it would fit within The New York Times' expense policy, and passed. I didn't get an ethics waiver to buy the Dubai chocolate.

Speaker 2

Got it. How has the White House responded to this reporting? What did they say? Did they acknowledge that any of what you had reported was newsworthy or interesting?

David Yaffe-Bellany

Both the White House and World Liberty Financial told us that there was no connection between these 2 deals. One was government business, and 1 was private business. They weren't connected. That was a statement that both parties made.

The White House also told us that David Sacks didn't have any financial stake in the UAE chips deal, that he didn't know the key Emirati players in that deal before it came together, and that he was really just focused on advancing the administration's priorities.

The White House also told us that Steve Witkoff is working with ethics lawyers to make sure that he is in compliance with all the relevant rules, and that he's still in the process of divesting, 8 months into the administration. So that was basically the response. I should say, the Emiratis also told us that a G42 spokesman said they have protocols to protect against conflicts of interest and that type of thing.

Speaker 2

Right. So let’s take a step back from this and zoom out a little bit. David, you’ve been covering crypto for a long time. You’ve been on this show many times to talk about the various entanglements that the Trump administration has with the crypto industry.

It seems to me like what this story really illustrates is that crypto has become the primary vehicle for influence in the Trump administration. Basically, people around the world are starting to figure out that if you want to change the Trump administration’s mind about something or influence its policymaking, one way you can do that—and potentially a very direct and effective way—is by buying a bunch of stuff that the Trump family has a business interest in through this World Liberty Financial crypto company. Is that true?

David Yaffe-Bellany

It has certainly become a pattern in the crypto industry that players who want something from the U.S. government—and virtually everybody in the crypto world wants something, because it’s such a nascent area, with new regulations in the works and all sorts of things that everybody’s pushing for—are now connecting themselves to the Trump business in some way, whether that’s investing in the World Liberty coin or attending the meme coin dinner.

Again, in none of these cases can you point to an explicit quid pro quo, but it’s just become part of the way that business is done in the crypto world: You at least consider some sort of collaboration with the Trump family apparatus.

Speaker 2

It reminds me of the first Trump administration, when there were all these stories about the Trump Hotel and people choosing to hold their big events, banquets and dinners there, and booking big blocks of rooms when they would visit Washington, in part because they thought that Trump or someone in his family might notice, “These guys are really supporting our hotel here.”

This is just a much more direct route to getting the attention of the Trump administration. You can say, “I’m going to buy $2 billion worth of your stablecoin from you.” It’s really hard to book $2 billion worth of anything at one hotel, but you can go online and buy $2 billion worth of a stablecoin.

David Yaffe-Bellany

The hotel is a good reference point. It’s sort of like the Trump Hotel on steroids, and it’s way more global, too. Anybody anywhere in the world can buy the Trump meme coin or buy the various tokens associated with World Liberty. In previous reporting, we found that there are huge numbers of foreign buyers of all of those things.

And remember, foreigners are restricted from making campaign contributions. So this is a way for people in other countries to support the president without going through the channels that have traditionally existed and been restricted to them.

Speaker 2

David, I’m curious: What has the reaction been to this story?

David Yaffe-Bellany

The reaction has been really interesting, and it’s been similar in certain ways to how previous reporting we’ve done on conflicts of interest within the Trump administration has been received. A couple of Democratic senators put out statements condemning these sorts of business dealings. You’ve got various good-government groups and ethics lawyers sounding the alarm over this.

But ultimately, in the Trump era, those Democrats and those sorts of ethics lawyers are kind of impotent. They don’t have the ability to turn this into a giant investigation, and so there’s a limit to what can happen.

We did a previous story about World Liberty Financial and the conflicts of interest associated with it, and that contributed briefly to a delay in the stablecoin legislation moving through the Senate as Democrats sounded the alarm. But ultimately, that legislation passed, and with Democratic votes. So it remains to be seen whether the left will take a major stand on this issue.

Speaker 2

Yeah. Well, David, fascinating reporting. Really important work. I hope you keep going, and next time bring us some of that Dubai chocolate.

David Yaffe-Bellany

All right. Thank you so much.

Speaker 2

Well, Casey, that’s enough politics for today because, as with every week seemingly, it has been a huge week in AI. So it’s time for our segment, “This Week in AI.”

Before we get into the big AI news of the week, let’s hit our disclosures. I work at The New York Times, which is suing OpenAI and Microsoft for copyright infringement.

Speaker 1

Yes, and in “This Week in Boyfriends,” my boyfriend works at Anthropic.

Speaker 2

“This Week in Boyfriends.”

Speaker 1

Honestly, it would be a great segment. Boyfriends are always up to something.

7. AI Moves Into Everything

Speaker 2

Okay. Well, Casey, the big AI stories of the week. Let’s go through them. Number 1: Business Insider tells reporters they can use AI to generate first drafts of articles. This was first reported by Oliver Darcy in his great Status newsletter.

This is about an internal memo that went out to the staff of Business Insider last week from editor-in-chief Jaime Heller, telling them that they could use AI not just for research and various other things, but for writing the first drafts of their stories, as long as reporters, quote, “Make sure your final work is yours.” Casey, what did you make of this?

Speaker 1

I’m very curious what she means by “Make sure your final work is yours.” The AI did all of the research and wrote the first draft. What did you do, change the placement of a couple of commas?

Look, I’m very curious to see what happens with this one. The cynic in me suspects that this sort of thing is going to become a lot more common. As AI writing tools improve, I think more reporters are going to feel like, “Maybe I should let it take a stab at a first draft.”

I should say, for myself, I do use AI systems to edit my copy—not to do the writing, but to catch typos and some factual errors. So there is a spectrum of what you and I think is okay right now. This goes further than I would, but this seems like one of those frontiers that keeps advancing, and before long, a lot of other folks are going to do it.

Speaker 2

You know, right now, I think that letting reporters draft the first versions of their articles with AI is actually kind of risky from a reputational standpoint.

Speaker 1

Mm-hmm.

Speaker 2

Look, the AI writing still has various stylistic flaws in it. You can kind of tell when you’re looking at something—

Speaker 1

I can always tell. I can always tell.

Speaker 2

I don’t think you can always tell, but I think you can sometimes tell, and I think that’s a big problem. If readers start to find evidence of AI-generated content on your website, I think they’re just going to start losing respect for you as a publication.

But I think probably at some point the writing will get good, and then we won’t be able to tell anymore. I think this will just become part of the background noise of the internet.

Speaker 1

I don’t know. If you’re a reporter and you start doing this, I think you have to ask yourself the question: Am I participating in automating away my own job? There is not that far of a bridge from AI writing the first draft of my story to AI just having the job that I used to have. So Business Insider is playing with fire.

Speaker 2

Well, it’s really interesting that Business Insider in particular is the outlet that’s pushing the vanguard here, because Business Insider and several other publications had to take down articles from their sites earlier this year when it was discovered that they had published fabricated stories that supposedly came from a freelancer who had generated them using AI.

So they want their own staff writers to use AI to create the first drafts of stories, but if freelancers use AI to submit fake stories, that will apparently not be okay.

Speaker 1

That's very stupid. This whole thing—we're just in stupid town right now.

Speaker 2

Well, Casey, to continue on the theme of AI and media, I want to bring you the next story this week in AI, which is about Penske Media.

Speaker 1

Mm.

Speaker 2

Penske Media, the parent company behind Rolling Stone and The Hollywood Reporter, is suing Google over its AI Overviews. The company says that Google is illegally using its reporting in the AI-generated summaries and, as a result, depressing its online traffic.

Penske claims in the suit that revenue from affiliate links—that's the kind of e-commerce link that supports a lot of the websites—

Speaker 1

Mm.

Speaker 2

—that recommend products online—they say that the revenue from affiliate links was down by over a third at the end of last year compared to its peak, and they attribute that directly to a drop in traffic from Google. Casey, what did you make of this?

Speaker 1

The statistic you just pulled out is the most interesting part of this lawsuit to me. We talk to Google all the time, and we've been asking them for over a year about this exact possibility, right? What happens as you shift more people to AI Overviews? What happens to all the publishers that rely on our traffic?

And we reliably get this message from Google: “Casey, Kev, we send billions of clicks every single day. It's very important to us to have this thriving ecosystem.” But then you get down to the level of the individual publisher, and it's like, “Well, a third of our revenue is gone,” right?

So I'm very interested to see where this case goes. I can't say for sure that what Google is doing is illegal, but I do know that this is bad for the overall health of the web and that Penske is not the only suffering publisher here.

Speaker 2

Yeah.

Speaker 1

All right. Well, Kevin, this one caught my eye. Albania has appointed an AI minister.

Speaker 2

Yeah?

Speaker 1

This comes from the BBC. Albania has a new AI minister named Diella, which apparently means “sun” in Albanian—the sun like the star, not the son. Diella is going to be tasked with ensuring that Albania will become, quote, “a country where public tenders are 100% free of corruption.” So, an anti-corruption minister made out of AI.

What do you make of that?

Speaker 2

Well, I was going to say that sounds like a terrible idea, but after the story we just heard from David Yaffe-Bellany, I'm ready to replace all of our ministers with AI too.

Speaker 1

I do think that ChatGPT in general has a stronger moral compass than some of the people now running the U.S. government. I'll say that.

No, look, this is one where I think AI can be useful for a lot of things. I'm not sure it's quite good enough yet to put into a role monitoring public corruption.

Speaker 2

Totally.

Do you remember when we had that guy on who ran for—what was it—mayor?

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

Using AI?

Speaker 1

Yeah.

Speaker 2

And he was just going to be the human face of the chatbot and do all of the votes that the chatbot recommended and put into place the policies that the chatbot suggested. I think there's probably some meaningful percentage of lawmakers today who are using ChatGPT to help them decide what to vote on and how to vote and how to run their piece of the government.

So, yeah, I think it is inevitable that someone will just say, “Let's cut out the middleman and just put the AI in power directly.”

Speaker 1

Hmm. Well, at least in this case, do you know who I would have put in charge of overseeing corruption in Albania?

Speaker 2

Who? A person of prominent Albanian heritage: Dua Lipa.

Speaker 1

Really?

Speaker 2

I think she would've done a great job.

Speaker 1

I didn't realize she's Albanian.

Speaker 2

Yeah, absolutely.

Speaker 1

All right, what else is in the news, Kevin?

Speaker 2

Well, our next story comes to us from the world of Roblox.

Speaker 1

Ooh.

Speaker 2

That is, of course, the hit game-creation platform, where, according to several accounts that track Roblox activity on X, a new game recently broke the all-time record for most concurrent players on the platform. Something like 23.4 million people were simultaneously playing a game based on the viral AI sensation Italian Brainrot.

Speaker 1

Italian Brainrot, I think, was one of our favorite finds of the year, and you're telling me it's a video game now.

Speaker 2

Yes. I guess you can build games inside Roblox. I'm not myself a big Roblox user, but I did spend some time on YouTube trying to understand this phenomenon yesterday. I watched a video about a guy who spent 24 hours playing Steal a Brainrot inside Roblox.

Speaker 1

That sounds good for you.

Speaker 2

Yes. The video thankfully was not 24 hours long.

Basically, this is a video game that a Roblox user—or one user in particular—has created where you go around stealing people's characters from the Italian Brainrot franchise, which, as you'll remember, you introduced me to earlier this year, was created on TikTok as a self-referential form of Zoomer humor.

Speaker 1

So is this a play on Pokémon, except instead of stealing Bulbasaur, you're stealing Tung Tung Tung Sahur and Ballerina Cappuccina?

Speaker 2

Yes. You can go around and buy various characters with your Robux. You can buy a Nubini Pizzanini and use it to do various things. You can then go around stealing other people's characters that they've bought.

This has become a huge sensation. 23.4 million people is massive, and I think this is a phenomenon that is essentially invisible to people who are over the age of 18. But if you are a teenager, this has been a very big deal.

I think it goes to one of the things that you've been saying on this show for a while now, which is that there is just a generation of people who love AI-generated content, who are not bothered at all by any of the moral or ethical or copyright concerns, who are just like, “Yes, I love Bananini Chimpanini,” or whatever.

Speaker 1

Kevin, it's Chimpanzini Bananini. Please show some respect.

Speaker 2

And I am going to devote many hours of my life to playing a video game in Roblox inspired by these characters.

Speaker 1

Very interesting. We'll have to give that a shot.

Speaker 2

I have one other wrinkle to bring you. This is a late-breaking wrinkle in this story—

Speaker 1

Mm. Mm-hmm.

Speaker 2

—which is that, apparently, the Tung Tung Tung Sahur character has disappeared from the Roblox game due to a copyright dispute.

Speaker 1

Really? Who owns the copyright on Tung Tung Tung Sahur? Is he part of the Marvel Cinematic Universe now?

Speaker 2

Well, according to Dexerto, this character was removed from the game by an agency representing the creator, Noxashed, who claimed that the Steal a Brainrot developer, Sammy, pulled the character while legal discussions over licensing were ongoing.

Speaker 1

Wow. What more iconic move could you make than literally stealing Italian Brainrot from the Steal a Brainrot game? I think that person won the game, I have to say. Congratulations.

8. OpenAI Builds a Teen Mode

Speaker 1

Kevin, here's a more serious one I'm curious to get your thoughts on. OpenAI is launching a new ChatGPT experience for teens. In recent weeks, as we've talked about on the show, there has been more scrutiny of OpenAI over the way that younger and more vulnerable people are using the platform. Some of those people have died by suicide.

There was a hearing in the Senate about these issues this week. On Tuesday, OpenAI said it's building a system that will try to identify users who are under 18 and will give them a more limited version of ChatGPT that will block graphic sexual content and, in rare cases, potentially involve law enforcement. So what did you make of this story when you saw it?

Speaker 2

Yeah. I thought this was largely a positive development. I am very worried about the increasing frequency with which young people, especially, are using these chatbots as emotional support companions and forming intimate relationships with them. As we've discussed, for some set of them, this does really appear to be taking a toll on their mental health.

So I am all in favor of OpenAI doing what it can to determine which of its users are under 18 and to give those users a different experience.

They have also been under some pressure. Last Thursday, the FTC launched an inquiry into these AI chatbots, including OpenAI's, and the company is also facing a lawsuit from the family of Adam Raine, a 16-year-old boy who died by suicide after talking with ChatGPT. So this did not come out of nowhere.

They have been under a lot of pressure to do something for their younger users, but I think this is probably a good and overdue step.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I agree with that. At the same time, I worry that this truly is not going to be enough. Right now, I think one reason why younger people and vulnerable people are talking and sharing their most intimate thoughts with ChatGPT is because they're confident that those communications are private.

Now that they know that those could potentially be shared with your parents, with law enforcement, my guess is those teens and vulnerable people are simply going to go elsewhere. They're going to go to other platforms that don't have those same protections.

So while I agree with you, I think this is the right thing for OpenAI to do, I think we need to look around the industry at platforms that do not have these protections and ask them, “What are you going to do?” And even after all of them do it, there's the risk that teenagers and vulnerable people are just going to start talking to large language models that live on their laptops and don't communicate with anyone, right?

So the horses are sort of out of the barn here in a way that makes me nervous, but I am happy to see at least one company doing something about it.

Speaker 2

Yeah. Look, I think this is very much a secondary element to the story here, but I am also interested in how OpenAI is going to try to determine the ages of its users. It is apparently not going to do what lots of other internet services do, which is just put a little box on the sign-up page that says, “Hey, tell us how old you are or when your birthday is,” and then trust that people are not going to lie their way around that.

It is instead going to try to infer a user’s age from the things that they’re chatting with ChatGPT about. So if you’re asking about your eighth-grade math homework, it might flag you as being underage and show you the kind of nerfed, youth version of ChatGPT instead. I did see some speculation that maybe teenagers are going to try to get around this by talking about back pain and mortgage interest rates and things like that so the system thinks they’re middle-aged.

Speaker 1

Say, ChatGPT, my wife—she’s busting my chops. You gotta help me.

Speaker 2

But I think we’ll have to see how that goes.

9. How People Use Chatbots

Speaker 1

All right. Well, here’s one more, Kevin. Both OpenAI and Anthropic put out new reports this week on how people are actually using their chatbots.

Speaker 2

Yeah, I thought this was really interesting. This is the kind of data that’s been relatively sparse. We just don’t know a lot about how people are actually using these chatbots, and the companies that make the chatbots are the ones, of course, with access to the best data about that.

But we got reports this week from both OpenAI and Anthropic, who talked about the various ways that people are using their models. We should also say that these are not exactly apples to apples. OpenAI’s report just looked at the consumer version of ChatGPT, so not counting all of the business and enterprise users who are using it through the API. Anthropic’s report did include both the consumer Claude version as well as the more enterprise-focused coding tools.

But let’s talk about a few things from this. One thing that stuck out to me was that with ChatGPT, there is a closing gender gap—

Speaker 1

Hmm.

Speaker 2

—in usage. So a year or two ago, it was the case that many more men than women were using ChatGPT, but now, according to OpenAI, more than half of ChatGPT’s users appear to be women, which is surprising to me.

Speaker 1

That’s so interesting. Now, did they share any speculation on what has managed to close that gap?

Speaker 2

No. The researchers who conducted this study did not give any hypotheses for why this gender gap has narrowed, but they did say that by July 2025, the share of ChatGPT users with typically feminine names had risen to more than half of all ChatGPT users: 52%.

They also said that this has become a fast-growing tool in low- and middle-income countries. Maybe there’s some relationship there. They said that by May 2025, ChatGPT was growing much faster in the lowest-income countries than in higher-income countries.

So there seems to be an expansion of use of ChatGPT both among women and people outside the richest Western countries.

Speaker 1

It’s interesting to see. I would say that if there remained this huge gender gap that we were seeing a year or two ago, to me, that would be a really negative signal about AI, right? Because if this technology is as useful and general-purpose as executives are always telling us that it is, there should actually be relative gender parity in terms of who’s using it.

Speaker 2

Yeah.

Speaker 1

What else was in this report?

Speaker 2

Another interesting thing from the OpenAI version of this report was that something like 73% of ChatGPT messages are not work-related.

Speaker 1

Hmm.

Speaker 2

This was surprising to me.

Speaker 1

Hmm.

Speaker 2

I had thought that maybe the usage of ChatGPT for personal and work-related tasks would be split pretty evenly. I certainly would guess that my own usage of ChatGPT is about half work and half non-work.

Speaker 1

Hmm.

Speaker 2

But apparently, the non-work-related use cases of ChatGPT are growing really quickly, and they comprise now the majority—about three-quarters—of all ChatGPT usage.

Speaker 1

To me, that just speaks to the challenge that Google has here, right? I think that a lot of those queries are things that used to go into the Google search engine that were not about work, but were just sort of like, “Hey, how do I fix my doorknob?” Or, “Tell me about Canada, because I’m going there next week.” And all of a sudden, ChatGPT is serving a lot more of those queries.

Speaker 2

Yeah, actually, that is the number 2 use case in this study: as a replacement for web search, what they call seeking information. What do you think the number 1 use case of ChatGPT is?

Speaker 1

Cheating on homework.

Speaker 2

No, they did not break that out as its own category.

Speaker 1

Oh, okay.

Speaker 2

It’s what the researchers called practical guidance. Basically, help me make this decision, help me think about this conversation. It’s the more companion-like use cases that we just talked about being worrisome.

Speaker 1

Yeah, the things we used to rely on friends and family for but no longer have to.

Speaker 2

Exactly. So that’s the OpenAI report. The Anthropic report emphasized something totally different. They found that adoption of Claude was being driven primarily by coding and what they called automation usage patterns, in businesses using Claude through the API.

Anthropic also found that their highest Claude use per capita was in Singapore and Israel. And within the U.S., the leading per-capita users of Claude were not in California or New York, as you might expect, but in Washington, D.C., and Utah.

Speaker 1

Hmm.

Speaker 2

The Mormons love Claude.

Speaker 1

How about that? To me, what this suggests is that OpenAI and Anthropic are really diverging in who their customer bases are. OpenAI wants everyone. It’s like a ChatGPT in every house, on every phone.

Anthropic is increasingly going after businesses and enterprises. So my assumption is that as you fast-forward a year, you’re going to see that trend continue, where ChatGPT becomes ubiquitous and Anthropic becomes a thing that you use if you’re building something with code.

Speaker 2

Yeah. So let’s keep tabs on this data over time. This is the kind of data that I think we need more of from all of the big companies, and I think it’s important that they do this collection and analysis in a privacy-protecting way.

Both OpenAI and Anthropic have said, you know, it’s not like we are looking line by line at users’ conversations. They’ve built these tools to anonymize and collect insights about users’ conversations without peering into them. But I think this is very valuable. We actually do need to know what people are using these things for.

Speaker 1

I’d really love to see it for Grok, by the way. What would come out ahead? Would it be gooning toward anime companions or racism? I think it would be 1 of the 2.

Speaker 2

Yes. There’s a strong uptick in usage from the MechaHitler-adjacent region. What’s that about?

Speaker 1

What’s it about?

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