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Sourcery
Molly O'Shea interviews leading investors, CEOs, and founders about technology companies, markets, and company building.
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Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence
Thrive’s $29B OpenAI entry reflected belief in GPT-4 and a claimed moat in generating successive large-model paradigms; reported valuation later reached $500B, with users surpassing a billion.Cursor grew from low-single-digit millions of ARR to hundreds of millions in 18 months, while Wiz paired six-figure deals closing in weeks or months with almost no churn.The next catalysts are reinforcement learning entering production software and intelligent hardware targeting well north of 50% of global GDP.
Inside $6.8B+ AUM Fund Behind 80+ Public Companies, 165+ M&A
Goodfire, staffed by early Anthropic, DeepMind, and OpenAI interpretability researchers, is Das’s marquee “brain surgery for AI models” bet.Demographic decline makes AI for unhireable insurance, trucking, and logistics jobs a need-now market, not a future-capability wager.Carta’s 30% AI Series A premium may reward genuinely deep teams, while over-raising and RL bottlenecks keep pricing and timelines unresolved.
Inside OpenAI’s $500B Valuation | Altimeter’s Largest Bet
Altimeter made OpenAI its largest-ever investment at the $150B round, betting ChatGPT’s 700M weekly actives and announced $10B revenue run rate can scale toward a $200B consumer opportunity.Its power-law concentration rests on ChatGPT’s retention smile curve and release speed, while GPT-5’s benchmark jump from just under 60% to 81% highlights upside; whether OpenAI remains the winner and value shifts beyond semis remain unresolved.
How Altimeter Is Investing $100M+ Checks | Anduril, SpaceX, K2 Space
Anduril is Erik Kriessmann’s largest Altimeter position, based on a software-linked modern defense prime whose acquisitions brought capabilities to government and warfighters.K2 Space’s 20 kW buses stack ten on Falcon 9 at roughly a 10X price reduction, potentially reopening MEO and GEO after SpaceX changed launch economics.Concentration amplifies exposure, while certification, range testing, and private-market exit bifurcation remain risks.