Sohn Conference Foundation

Kevin Salimian

Kevin Soleymani argues Infineon is entering a multiyear growth and margin transformation as AI power semiconductors rise toward 16% of revenue by 2027 and 25% by 2029.Supply constraints, pricing above normal content growth, completed auto destocking, 60% in-house manufacturing, and Dresden support margins above consensus, with high-single-digit auto growth expected later this year and a €94 end-2027 target.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy × Gavin Baker

Anthropic added $11B of ARR in March while tech reached its cheapest relative valuation in 10 years, making the drawdown a differentiated demand signal rather than a capitulation event.At a rumored $900B on $50B ARR, Baker estimates unconstrained run-rate revenue of $100–200B, while TSMC’s capacity choices remain the key bubble test and orbital compute threatens terrestrial power-and-cooling ramps.

Jonathan Ross × John Yetimoglu

Memory’s pricing power may be self-limiting: Deep Seek’s V4 reportedly compressed likely KV cache by 90%, while the proposed response is to build more memory fabs as bottlenecks attract solutions.The unresolved intelligence debate matters for AI economics, with agentic systems and self-training potentially favoring the smartest model despite humanly invisible differences.

Gavin Baker × Jas Khaira

Gavin Baker says every memory cycle signals “sell,” but this may resemble the mid-90s capacity cycle, leaving him taking the over on AI infrastructure forecasts.He sees TSMC constraining supply, Trainium 3 gaining significance, and neoclouds earning premiums through utilization, while orbital compute threatens terrestrial power and cooling industrials within two years.