Delphi Digital

Steve McLaughlin

Fintech remains a single-digit percentage of financial services, growing 20-30% versus banks’ 3-5%, as Fiserv, FIS, and PayPal face AI-native challengers.FT Partners’ Lynk sale—$550M versus $150M bids after only 15% growth—and its $50M Revolut bet illustrate how diligence, conviction capital, and incentives can capture value, while no-moat AI applications remain exposed to competition.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Flip × Kevin

ETF and corporate buyers absorbed “tens of billions,” while Delphi models bias real rates higher over roughly six months, challenging Bitcoin’s near-term support.Meanwhile, HYPE, Venice, Zcash and Lighter are decoupling from BTC, with Lighter’s zero-fee retail flow potentially lifting take rate quickly; Saylor’s liquidity runway and HYPE’s unlaunched buybacks remain risks to monitor.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Jose × Kevin

Crypto’s 2026 stock-pickers’ market favors structural flows, revenue, or strong narratives; Venice shows the fundamental case with roughly $60M ARR and weekly additions above $2.5M.Falling VVV issuance and a clean, self-funded structure could support at least $200M of additional ARR, but value transfer is not guaranteed as L1 token accrual breaks down and HYPE expands beyond crypto.

Yan Liberman × Can Gurel × Samed Düzçay

Tory tokenizes dollar-hedged emerging-market carry, borrowing USD at 4% to lend into Turkish lira at 40% or Egyptian pounds at 20-25%.Direct access, disciplined execution, and NAV oracles against depeg liquidations define the edge; user-controlled looping may lift yield further, while Ethereum mainnet is targeted within the next month and operational trust remains a key risk.

Markets have improved without a clear fundamental reset: STRC’s reflexive bid could support Bitcoin and enable another $5–10B of Strategy deployment.Kelp’s rsETH/Aave cascade exposes pooled DeFi’s collateral, bridge, and multisig risks, strengthening isolated pools and rate limits while weakening the host’s AAVE thesis.USD.AI and Venice add differentiated AI-linked watchpoints, but GPU collateral, emissions, and personal software economics remain unresolved.