Delphi Digital

José × Michael Dempsey

Venture momentum is uniquely fragile: without scaled liquidity, dilution and preferred stacks can turn a softening bid into a 100% drawdown rather than 10–20%.Compound’s seed data finds that every valuation bucket above the bottom quartile produces similar top-decile outcomes, while Dempsey sees a 2028–2030 AI window and must rebuild the firm’s edge through higher-order analysis.

José × Andrew Kang

Humanoid robotics may be approaching the pre-ChatGPT phase of AI, with $50,000 robots requiring only 20,000 units for $1B revenue and a projected tens-of-billions industry within two to four years.Robo Strategy (NASDAQ: BOT) seeks to challenge SoftBank through public markets, favoring vertically integrated players with embodiment-specific data; US restrictions on Chinese robots could help, while robotics data businesses face a two-to-five-year durability test.

Ceteris × Jason × Jose × Kevin

AI’s violent unwind looks concentrated in speculative high-flyers rather than a broad equity breakdown, while Kimi’s memory-saving architecture shifts attention from commodity DRAM toward HBM and neocloud data-center capacity.Crypto’s rebound therefore depends on whether capital rotates after a contained reset or risk appetite is crushed, with HYPE’s HIP-3 rollout and a potential 2027–2028 AI debt bubble key watchpoints.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Jose × Kevin

Token-equity structures need explicit rights: Venice’s $1B raise showed ambiguity can make holders price trust in Erik rather than guaranteed value accrual, potentially creating a 10× premium; ACE-style KYC conversion offers a contractual alternative.Grass’s $70M 2026 revenue against roughly $30M of operating costs supports its network thesis, while Zcash’s Ironwood launch will test whether roughly 4M ZEC leaves Orchard slowly—or signals an exploiter is moving funds.

Ceteris × Jason × Tommy Shaughnessy × Jose × Kevin

Enterprise AI budgets are reportedly burning faster than planned: Salesforce spent $300M on Anthropic, while DeepSeek is “20 to 40x cheaper” and Microsoft is releasing it for Copilot.Open-source substitution could capture 90% of workloads, but frontier models may command greater value; monitor circular financing, debt, regulation, blocked data centers, and 2026 midterms.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Jose × Kevin

Markets were described as a melt-up, with the Qs up 25% in a month and earnings growth estimated near its strongest since late 2020.Saylor’s willingness to entertain BTC sales was read as STRC re-peg engineering; at 99.98, success by the 15th ex-date could unlock “low billions” of firepower.Zcash’s nine-year proof-of-work distribution supports a PVE case, while Houdini Swap and Pump expose token-holder rights as the unresolved ownership risk.

Markets have improved without a clear fundamental reset: STRC’s reflexive bid could support Bitcoin and enable another $5–10B of Strategy deployment.Kelp’s rsETH/Aave cascade exposes pooled DeFi’s collateral, bridge, and multisig risks, strengthening isolated pools and rate limits while weakening the host’s AAVE thesis.USD.AI and Venice add differentiated AI-linked watchpoints, but GPU collateral, emissions, and personal software economics remain unresolved.