PERSON DIRECTORY
Zvi Mowshowitz
Zvi Mowshowitz appears in 7 indexed conversations across The Cognitive Revolution. This directory brings every appearance, source, TL;DR, digest, and transcript into one searchable feed.
Zvi Mowshowitz on Longer Timelines, RL-induced Doom, and Why China is Refusing H20s
Steady summer progress modestly lengthened Mowshowitz’s AGI timelines, while IMO gold and competitive-programming results exposed limits in sustained iteration rather than a new reasoning regime.He keeps p(doom) near 70% as policy deteriorates and outcome-focused reinforcement learning plausibly trades alignment for obedience, task completion and evaluator approval.Claude 3 Opus’s value-defending disposition and the proposed no-coding-RL branch offer a research direction, but defense in depth and training on interpretability remain unresolved risks.