Jason

Kevin × Yan × Jose × Jason × Ceteris

Crypto returns concentrated in stores of value and revenue-producing protocols including Zcash, Ethena, LIT and HYPE, while ETH and SOL lagged.Zcash’s constrained mining supply and Bitcoin-relative reflexivity supported upside, but its store-of-value trade remains vulnerable to an 80% drawdown.HYPE’s buybacks, RWAs, HyperEVM and new products offer catalysts, alongside onchain options and tokenized equities, amid liquidity, protocol and macro risks.

Ceteris × Jason × Jose × Kevin

AI’s violent unwind looks concentrated in speculative high-flyers rather than a broad equity breakdown, while Kimi’s memory-saving architecture shifts attention from commodity DRAM toward HBM and neocloud data-center capacity.Crypto’s rebound therefore depends on whether capital rotates after a contained reset or risk appetite is crushed, with HYPE’s HIP-3 rollout and a potential 2027–2028 AI debt bubble key watchpoints.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Jose × Kevin

Token-equity structures need explicit rights: Venice’s $1B raise showed ambiguity can make holders price trust in Erik rather than guaranteed value accrual, potentially creating a 10× premium; ACE-style KYC conversion offers a contractual alternative.Grass’s $70M 2026 revenue against roughly $30M of operating costs supports its network thesis, while Zcash’s Ironwood launch will test whether roughly 4M ZEC leaves Orchard slowly—or signals an exploiter is moving funds.

Ceteris × Jason × Tommy Shaughnessy × Jose × Kevin

Enterprise AI budgets are reportedly burning faster than planned: Salesforce spent $300M on Anthropic, while DeepSeek is “20 to 40x cheaper” and Microsoft is releasing it for Copilot.Open-source substitution could capture 90% of workloads, but frontier models may command greater value; monitor circular financing, debt, regulation, blocked data centers, and 2026 midterms.

Ceteris × Jason × Yan × Jose × Kevin

Markets were described as a melt-up, with the Qs up 25% in a month and earnings growth estimated near its strongest since late 2020.Saylor’s willingness to entertain BTC sales was read as STRC re-peg engineering; at 99.98, success by the 15th ex-date could unlock “low billions” of firepower.Zcash’s nine-year proof-of-work distribution supports a PVE case, while Houdini Swap and Pump expose token-holder rights as the unresolved ownership risk.

Harry Stebbings × Jason

The proposed $60 billion Cursor/xAI-SpaceX tie-up is an IPO-contingent option, pairing Cursor’s coding revenue with xAI’s roughly $20 billion Colossus infrastructure and little revenue.SpaceX’s premium multiple makes Cursor comparatively cheap currency, but the deal’s closing risk and the panel’s split over whether $60 billion is a high-water mark or new floor keep AI M&A and Anthropic’s $1 trillion scarcity price in focus.

Harry Stebbings × Jason

Anthropic’s $30B raise at a $380B post-money valuation is venture’s dominant momentum trade, fueled by unprecedented growth and enterprises willing AI into existence before returns are proven.That budget shift pressures public SaaS, while OpenClaw’s sale to OpenAI signals autonomous-agent disruption; Anthropic’s semiconductor-like compute burden and a possible retrenchment two-plus years out remain central risks.

Jason

Benchmark’s latest partner loss highlights elite solo-investor leverage, while LPs increasingly fund exceptions to small-fund and team-cohesion doctrine when records like Elad Gil’s justify independence.Anthropic’s apparent revenue reacceleration supports a valuation reset toward $150 billion–$180 billion, but AI capex, developer spending and OpenAI’s $800 billion question remain unresolved swing factors.