Building a Power Company for the Next 50 Years | Zach Dell, Base Power
US electricity demand could rise from roughly 2% to around 10% annual growth, with AI accelerating an already broad electrification trend.Base sells electricity rather than $20,000 batteries, owning distributed assets that monetize wholesale markets while avoiding interconnection and transmission constraints; scaling Base Core and long-term utility contracts remain key milestones.
Elon's Former Battery Chief on Making Transformers 100x Smaller | Drew Baglino, Heron Power
Baglino argues properly designed AI data centers can lower electricity rates by raising grid utilization: 800MW average demand versus 1-2kW for a home, with storage absorbing training ripple.Heron Link’s 5MW solid-state transformer halves grid-to-chip losses, adding about 35MW of useful compute per gigawatt; the thesis depends on data centers funding interconnection and utilities avoiding overbuild.
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger creates a full-chain distributor with $75M targeted synergies and water, utilities, and data-center exposure.Buybacks at $10–12 and debt paydown support a cash-flow case, while the conservative-looking 2027 $350M EBITDA guide compares with roughly $400M on 2024 numbers.Reaching $30–32 by 2028–2029 from $16 depends on $300M 2027 FCF and re-rating, leaving ERP execution, macro recovery, and multiple expansion to monitor.
How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Taylor
Valar Atomics treats nuclear as a manufacturing problem, targeting a simple, intrinsically safe “Toyota Camry” rather than a bespoke paper reactor.DOE testing authority enabled its 100 kW W-250 to reach criticality, while passive heat removal and a seven-month milestone interval provide operating evidence.Equity-funded deployment could precede project finance, with AI as an initial catalyst and cheaper energy as the longer-term demand thesis.
Bloom Energy CEO: Why We Aren’t in an AI Capex Bubble | Energy Sovereignty & The Future of Power
AI factories make electricity the binding input, and KR Sridhar frames Bloom Energy’s opportunity against a $5.5 trillion power market versus $2 billion of revenue last year.Oracle’s 50+ MW contract in 90 days and delivery in 55 days support the architecture case, while scaling from 1 GW to over 2 gigawatts by year-end leaves permits, gas supply, and customer buildouts as constraints.
The Founders Who Left Tesla to Rebuild America | a16z
Erin Price-WrightTurner CaldwellDrew Baglino
AI’s constraint is increasingly physical: Mariana Minerals targets mines and refineries, while Heron Power applies silicon and software to grid-scale power conversion.Mariana’s software-first operating model spans design through autonomous operation, but projects can take five years to build and another three to five years to reach operating rate; durable permitting, financing, and grid policy remain catalysts for scaling.
Chadd Garcia drills into LandBridge's value
Chad Garcia frames LandBridge as a higher-quality Permian land and surface-use royalty play, trading at 20–22x EBITDA versus TPL’s 28–31x.Management said 5M bbl/day could be absorbed within five years at 15-cents-per-barrel pricing, implying 25% FCF CAGR despite no long-term guidance.Data-center upside remains a free option, with no Permian hyperscaler definitively announced.
Altius Minerals: Royalty Check - [Business Breakdowns, EP.243]
Altius Minerals is a base-metals royalty outlier whose five-person project-generation team embeds royalties before selling or listing projects, retaining exposure while others fund mine-level CapEx and OpEx.That engine invested about $30M and monetized $200M from equity sales in the last mining cycle, while potash and renewable royalties diversify the portfolio.Net cash and a target to grow royalty revenue from about $60M last year to $200M by 2030 support the thesis, but a takeover by higher-multiple precious-metals peers remains a risk.
Elon's $60B Cursor Bet, Claude kills SaaS, and OpenAI's Mass Departures | EP #249
Peter DiamandisSalim IsmailDave BlundinDr. Alexander Wissner-Gross
Claude Design’s launch pushed Figma down 10% and Adobe about 2%, signaling that frontier labs can reprice SaaS by unhobbling capabilities already latent in base models.Defensibility is shifting toward proprietary data, customer ownership, regulation, physical-world integration, and distribution as code generation, private compute, and Hormuz-linked supply shocks reshape competitive advantage and capital allocation.
From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem
Patrick O'ShaughnessyScott Nolan
America’s zero commercial uranium-enrichment capacity makes fuel the bottleneck for advanced nuclear power, with HALEU scarcity and the January 1, 2028 Russian-import ban creating defined market openings.General Matter targets dollars per kilogram-SWU as its cost metric, while data-center demand and behind-the-meter SMRs could accelerate deployment; execution, permitting, and the economics of nuclear construction remain key risks.









