Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Chamath PalihapitiyaJason CalacanisDavid SacksDavid FriedbergBrad Gerstner
Brent’s swing from $84 to $119 and back toward $100 pushed Goldman Sachs’ PCE forecast from 2.1% to 2.9% and GDP growth down 30 basis points, while oil’s fall to $90 suggested a short disruption.AI revenue is accelerating as Opus 4.6 and ChatGPT 5.4 shift spending into labor budgets, but durable demand remains disputed amid canceled data centers and backlash.
Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Chamath PalihapitiyaJason CalacanisDavid SacksDavid Friedberg
Congress’s removal of federal AI preemption leaves roughly 70 state laws and more than 1,000 proposed bills, potentially creating a compliance moat for incumbents and slowing startups.America’s power race is increasingly constrained by supply chains and permitting: gas turbines ordered today may wait until 2030, while new nuclear may arrive in 2032-33, making AI-driven growth dependent on capacity execution.
Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Chamath PalihapitiyaJason CalacanisDavid FriedbergDavid SacksThomas Laffont
Trump’s opening week reset national strategy around energy, technology and private capital, with DOGE confronting agencies’ spending incentives and Stargate proposing $500 billion for AI infrastructure.The decisive tests are whether compute earns an adequate return, whether electricity and nuclear deployment can scale, and whether TikTok’s proposed ownership structure avoids government picking winners.


