Sarah Guo × Vlad Tenev

Agentic Trading has attracted more than 150,000 accounts and about 30 million daily tool calls at the last disclosure; Tenev expects sophisticated users to drive early activity, while infrastructure load remains an open question.Robinhood Chain’s DeFi-enabled stock tokens let developers build stock-linked NFTs and meme-coin pairs, supporting Tenev’s forecast that tokens could become a default route to US equities in underserved countries.

Avi Felman × Illia Polosukhin

NEAR Intents processes about $4 billion monthly, with near.com contributing 10–20% of volume depending on the week.Protocol fees convert into NEAR purchases, while perps and Earn also direct fee shares toward buybacks, but Illia gave no cumulative buyback figure.Adoption and integration security remain tests after a partner-built BSC connection suffered a $3.8 million exploit.

Tommy × Tarun Chitra

Robot Ventures led Nous Research’s $90 million round on Tarun Chitra’s thesis that Hermes can own AI’s user relationship through a packaged harness.Unsolicited forks by Chinese small-robot makers provide product-fit evidence grounded in Nous’s training, inference and context research.Enterprise distribution and token-order-flow rebates offer growth paths, but Tarun says demand is not secured until contracts are signed.

Patrick O'Shaughnessy × David Vélez

Vélez sees fintech disruption in its first inning: roughly 90% of the $10 trillion consumer-finance market still runs through branches.Nubank serves 140 million customers with 10,000 employees, at about 3% of traditional incumbents' cost to serve.Its US launch and stablecoin-backed accounts in upwards of 35 countries test whether that efficiency can travel, with organic brand-building the key hurdle.

Michael Arrington

Michael Arrington frames AI panic, sovereign debt, geopolitical tension, and institutional decay as overlapping Fourth Turning symptoms, not one clean “doom” event.He argues US labs cannot slow AI development while China may continue racing; Bitcoin could hedge institutional risk and become autonomous AI’s native transaction layer, while founder psychology and capitulation inform bear-market entry.

Jason Yanowitz × Matthew Prince

Automated traffic has already surpassed human traffic, and Prince says agentic traffic could reach 1,000 times human traffic in five years, challenging ad-funded models.Cloudflare is pursuing a micropayments rail targeting roughly 10 million transactions per second, but regulation, capacity and preserving free access remain unresolved.

Graham Stephan × Jack Selby × Vlad Tenev

Robinhood reached $125B in AUC, up 50% year over year, as record trading, #1 retail options share, and prediction markets producing hundreds of millions in annual revenue extend its “financial home for life” strategy.Default ownership, private markets, and tokenization are the next growth avenues, but agentic trading remains early: 100,000+ accounts, agents sometimes refusing trades, and US stock tokens unavailable.

David George × Will Gaybrick

Stripe’s first-half signups grew 50% YoY, while the median 2026 cohort generates 50% more revenue than 2025’s and its new SaaS-platform cohort is 103% larger.Stripe Minions produce 7,000 weekly one-shot PRs, KAI lifted seller productivity 20%, and Machine Payments Protocol, Link Agent Wallet, and Tempo offer potential catalysts as agentic commerce adoption and execution remain unproven.

Ansem × FaZe Banks × Johann Kerbrat × Austin Barack × Ivan

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness reportedly grew from roughly $400M to $2B, peaked near $4.5B, then faced a leveraged liquidation in AI names before Ken Griffin’s Citadel reportedly bought the open book.Ansem’s warning is that leverage can turn good AI picks into forced selling, especially in illiquid markets, even as Bloom Energy later rose about 25% after the selling cleared.

Tommy × Travis Good

Ambient is positioning itself as an asset-light “Uber for inference,” using 100% logits verification to aggregate stranded GPU supply and guarantee delivery quality.With inference margins of 40-50% versus roughly 10% for rental operators, its routing and token incentives could capture a structural uplift, while falling token prices and a possible two-year AI winter remain the key test.