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Yet Another Value Podcast
Andrew Walker interviews investors about actionable value and event-driven ideas, with each episode centered on a company, security, or investment thesis.
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Kontrarian Korner's Ben Kelleran on Sable Offshore $SOC
Sable Offshore’s Santa Ynez restart is nearing a regulatory inflection point: its first platform is producing into the onshore facility, but commercial sales await State Fire Marshal certification amid litigation.Low decline, 80% fixed lifting costs, and potential 70,000-barrel-per-day output support Kelleran’s roughly $1.2 billion EBITDA estimate against $3–3.5 billion EV.Certification, the $800 million–$1 billion Exxon PIK refinancing, and roughly 14% short interest frame the catalysts and risks.