Empire

Stablecoin proliferation is shifting toward corporate treasury, as banks and multinationals may issue white-label coins to capture float.CLARITY’s 49–50 failure hit Coinbase roughly 10% and Circle 12%, while the SEC’s five-year exemption may accelerate tokenized-securities innovation but remains reversible.Arc’s more than 190 partners showed Circle’s reach, but its memecoin-heavy debut obscured a payments strategy designed to offset lower rates.

The SEC’s 402-page proposal offers $5 million and $75 million token exemptions plus a safe harbor for exiting securities treatment.Rob sees a fit-for-purpose federal framework enabling Delaware entities and buybacks, while Santi says reversibility and unresolved cash-flow linkage make it “a nothing burger.”After a 60-day comment period, a full rule is probably not until ’27; CLARITY Act odds sit near 18–20%, making a September vote the nearer catalyst.

Jason Yanowitz × Santiago Roel Santos

Blockworks logged more sales calls than in any recent period, while inbound leads rose as fintechs and brokerages rolled out crypto.CLARITY remains uncertain; SEC and CFTC rulemaking could catalyze innovation, but unclear token value accrual and falling CEX volume leave institutional adoption unresolved.

Jason Yanowitz × Greg Xethalis

The Clarity Act would shift spot-market crypto oversight to the CFTC, preempt state digital-commodity rules, and place crypto intermediaries under a federal framework.Passage remains uncertain: Polymarket prices a 37% chance of a 2026 signature, while ethics language, developer protections, illicit-finance negotiations, and later SEC/CFTC/Treasury rulemaking remain unresolved.

CLARITY remains blocked by Trump-family ethics; absent progress by August 7, November passage looks difficult and failure could defer action two years.Robinhood captured roughly $816K from chain activity versus about $80K for Arbitrum and $1,500 for Ethereum, sharpening debate over ETH value capture.Base’s reset and Kobe’s expanded responsibilities may not be priced into Coinbase stock as it works to reconnect with crypto-native traders.

Michael Selig

CFTC Chair Michael Selig calls the first U.S.-regulated Bitcoin perpetual in over a decade a watershed, with leverage starting at 10x and expansion subject to Bitnomial and Coinbase data.His tiered onshoring framework limits access by asset and requires registered-exchange trading, while prediction markets provide risk-priced information and tailored hedging; OIRA rules, CLARITY Act implementation, and state-preemption disputes remain catalysts and risks.

Jason Yanowitz × Santiago Roel Santos

Stablecoins are emerging less as peer-to-peer payments than as a settlement layer, with a LatAm AP and bill-pay company at $80–90M run-rate revenue and growing 40% month-over-month.Rain is adding roughly 20% monthly growth and Visa-settled volume is doubling every few months, but Santi remains bullish only on less than five names and questions transfer economics.

Jason Yanowitz × Santiago Roel Santos

Hyperliquid’s SpaceX pre-IPO market has become a mainstream price oracle, with SpaceX around $2.1T versus indicated pricing of $1.5–1.75T and hedge funds using it to handicap the open.HYPE’s roughly $700M revenue and HIP-3’s 45% non-crypto volume support a differentiated growth case, but at roughly 60x run-rate earnings it is “fully valued”; CFTC regulation and the SpaceX IPO remain key tests.

Jason Yanowitz × Santiago Roel Santos

Hyperliquid is emerging as Wall Street’s crypto entry point, as one hedge fund bought its DAT after being unable to hold HYPE, seeking an uncorrelated position.Weekend commodities trading gives TradeXYZ a price-discovery role, while US approval could rerate the asset and Kraken’s Deutsche Börse investment and possible SpaceX-linked IPO add catalysts.