PERSON DIRECTORY
Sarah Paine
Sarah Paine appears in 7 indexed conversations across Dwarkesh Podcast. This directory brings every appearance, source, TL;DR, digest, and transcript into one searchable feed.
Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War
The Soviet collapse emerged from converging pressures: defense spending reached 40–50% of GNP, oil revenues masked economic rot, and central planning produced unusable information.Paine’s warning is that the West barely won; alliance strength, institutions, and Marshall Plan-style win-wins remain the variables to monitor in Cold War II.
Sarah Paine – How Hitler almost starved Britain
Narrow seas constrain China and Russia: Ukraine showed drones, shore ordnance, and planes can force a navy from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk.A Taiwan war could destroy the chip foundry, while sanctions cutting Chinese growth by 1–2pp would stretch doubling time from 25 to 75 years.The Atlantic’s outcome depended on radar, cryptography, escorts, production, and alliances, making coalition cohesion the live variable.
Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)
Sarah Paine argues that net assessment must include adversary culture, not just American actions, because Bushido equated willpower with strategy and operational victories with strategic success.Japan never exceeded 1/13th of US steel and coal output, while stovepiped commands hid losses and failed to protect shipping; the same framework points to risks involving Russia, sanctions, and unlimited war aims.