OpenUSD targets Circle with Stripe, Visa and hundreds of partners, but Rob doubts a consortium this large will drive adoption.Robinhood’s Arbitrum-based L2 makes wallet placement scarce, while Cloudflare tests x402 stablecoin settlement across roughly one-fifth of web traffic.Circle’s bank exposure, Saylor’s Stretch overhang and October’s expected DTCC launch leave execution and regulation unresolved.

Jason Yanowitz × Vishal Garg

Better’s mortgage platform runs at an $8B annualized origination rate, with platform revenue above 50% and production costs under $2,000.AI standardizes agency rules; tokenization could cut capital costs 25–100bps, but the planned $500M Sky facility is not live.Coinbase’s product produced a 6.5% fixed-rate mortgage without margin calls; Garg targets adjusted-EVA breakeven by September and calls AI essential.

Mike Cagney × Jason Yanowitz

Connect—not lending—is Figure’s claimed moat: a Six Street-backed guarantor provides a private Fannie and Freddie-style takeout, supporting $1.6B of Q1 volume and roughly 50% adjusted EBITDA margins.First-lien expansion could make TAM 25x larger, but the wallet and native on-chain vision still depend on moving TradFi dollars and securing durable legislative clarity.

Markets have improved without a clear fundamental reset: STRC’s reflexive bid could support Bitcoin and enable another $5–10B of Strategy deployment.Kelp’s rsETH/Aave cascade exposes pooled DeFi’s collateral, bridge, and multisig risks, strengthening isolated pools and rate limits while weakening the host’s AAVE thesis.USD.AI and Venice add differentiated AI-linked watchpoints, but GPU collateral, emissions, and personal software economics remain unresolved.

Jordi Alexander × Justin Bram × Taiki Maeda × Dim Selk

Strategy’s April 20 purchase was its third-largest, at mNAV 1.1–1.2 rather than above 2, supporting Taiki’s bottom thesis.With STRC roughly $8.5B, rising mNAV could enable issuance and buybacks, but Jordi sees only about 1.5 years of dividend coverage.Drift and Kelp hacks leave DeFi’s shrinking TVL and security budget unresolved.

DeFi Dad × Nomatic × Ellis Osborn × Kevin Li

Saturn is bringing Strategy’s 11.5% Bitcoin-backed STRC “Stretch” preferred on-chain, with global access, 4–6x leverage through Morpho/Aave, and composable Pendle and Strata products.An internal model sees $500 billion to $1 trillion by 2035 if Bitcoin reaches about $1 million, while sUSDAT passes through depeg losses and requires 3–7 days to unstake.

Harry Stebbings × Sebastian Siemiatkowski

Siemiatkowski argues that near-zero software creation costs and one-click data migration could push threatened SaaS revenue multiples from 5–10x toward utility-like 1–2x, while enterprises reorganize around secure Lego-like components and agents.Klarna’s workforce fell from more than 7,000 to fewer than 3,000, with fewer than 2,000 possible by 2030, but whether AI-driven information compression reduces compute demand or consumer generation overwhelms those savings remains unresolved.

Harry Stebbings × Raaz Herberg

The panel frames 2026 as a potential IPO supercycle, with SpaceX, Anthropic, and Databricks potentially representing $1.4T of market capitalization and roughly $700B returned to venture, though timing remains exposed to market conditions.AI-app valuations such as Harvey at $8B depend on sustained growth and market dominance while deep-reasoning advances could obsolete today’s products, and Airwallex’s $8B price highlights both Asia-discount opportunity and China data-risk scrutiny.

Peter Diamandis × Anatoly Yakovenko × Dave Blundin × Salim Ismail × Alexander Wissner-Gross

Solana’s differentiated role is execution: valuable order flow makes traders pay for priority, while stablecoins could move $1 trillion to $10 trillion on-chain over five years and make settlement programmable.The catalyst is cheaper global capital formation, but adoption still depends on better interfaces and legal recognition of limited liability for smart-contract participants.

Vlad Tenev × Jason Calacanis

Robinhood’s tokenization thesis prioritizes access to inaccessible, illiquid assets over 24/7 trading, using stablecoin-like reserves and one-to-one minting to offer exposure to assets including OpenAI and SpaceX across 31 countries.Public stocks provide the cleaner regulatory starting point, while private shares offer greater long-term significance but raise issuer-consent and disclosure issues; Robinhood is also expanding its integrated financial platform as Harmonic develops formally verified mathematical reasoning and software.