Avi Felman × Illia Polosukhin

NEAR Intents processes about $4 billion monthly, with near.com contributing 10–20% of volume depending on the week.Protocol fees convert into NEAR purchases, while perps and Earn also direct fee shares toward buybacks, but Illia gave no cumulative buyback figure.Adoption and integration security remain tests after a partner-built BSC connection suffered a $3.8 million exploit.

Tulip King × Eli Ben-Sasson × Saeed Badreg

Ansem’s October 22, 2026 risk reduction clashes with Tulip King’s “retirement cycle,” as stablecoin use and scaling challenge ETH/SOL value capture.Sunrise’s roughly $160 trillion tokenization opportunity hinges on market makers, mint-and-redeem arbitrage and distribution, not merely cross-chain transfers.Starknet’s L1 exploration adds a post-quantum catalyst, but Ben-Sasson’s “next two years” is a concern window, not an attack forecast.

DeFi Dad × Zaki Manian × Sudo

Zcash’s 2025 rebound followed a usable Zashi wallet and NEAR Intents, with Bitcoin-heavy flows pointing to Bitcoiners as a clear buyer group; at the host’s roughly $1,300 ZEC reference price, Zaki estimates a Z15 Pro’s payback at under ninety days.Ironwood moved over 4 million ZEC out of Orchard, but quantum safety remains incomplete and scarce security expertise leaves scaling versus shielded DeFi contested.

孙宇晨

孙宇晨称，AI 与 Q day 破解密钥的可能性正把 BTC 风险窗口从约两年推前至一年至一年半。新地址可保护主动迁移的 BTC，却无法保护无人控制的旧币；超过 100 万枚中本聪相关 BTC 及可能接近 200 万枚以上的死币或遗失币，或重回流通。他尚无对冲策略，将隔离资产并观察技术社区；ETH 尚未买回，美股仍重仓，纳指中线微微看空，芯片短期过剩风险未解。

DeFi Dad × Nomatic × Alan

Railgun presents itself as Ethereum’s “incognito mode,” using zero-knowledge spending to shield varied assets rather than fixed-denomination mixing; it spans five chains and has roughly $117M TVL cited on DeFiLlama.Payments—not trading—are its leading use case, but privacy sets can be weak for long-tail tokens, while broader DeFi access remains wallet-dependent and Railgun Connect is still research.

Jeff Yan

Hyperliquid is positioning itself as a neutral, protocol-level financial layer, with banks and exchanges potentially adopting it rather than being displaced.Its scarce market slots require 500,000 HYPE and clear through a 31-hour Dutch auction, while roughly 30-something validators and 128GB nodes support the network.Regulatory treatment of deployers and oracle failures remain key watchpoints.

Thread Guy × Mert × Illia Polosukhin × ZK Dragon × Tulip King

Current AI advances have not meaningfully weakened the factoring or elliptic-curve problems securing major blockchains, leaving cryptographic resilience intact for now.Smart-contract hacks appear the more immediate loss risk, while cheaper formal verification and adaptable schemes at Zcash and NEAR contrast with Bitcoin’s rigidity if a breakthrough emerges.

邵艾伦 × 孙宇晨

核心不是押中单一赛道，而是把健康、工作与决策沉淀为可迁移数据，用多模型交叉分析并持续调参。机会集中在数据密集且处理不足的领域，AI基础设施、生物健康金融、全球支付与Agent结算可受益于更低的搜索、分析和交易成本，但波场规模、合规与采用仍待验证。

Doug Colkitt

AI’s progress from contest mathematics to Erdős problems, a claimed Navier–Stokes result, and 400 open problems has widened uncertainty around cryptographic hardness, without showing an imminent break.Doug sees signature forgery as an internet-wide threat, but favors Y2K-style migration over bunker mode today: years could permit hash-signature upgrades, while weeks might not, and formal verification may offer nearer-term security gains.

Jeff Yan

Hyperliquid is positioning composable primitives such as Portfolio Margin as neutral public infrastructure for institutions, not a replacement venue.Real-world-asset open interest rose from $300 million in January to $3.9 billion, while HIP-3 could extend it into regulated markets with opt-in controls.Options are the clearest unmet opportunity via HIP-4, but timing is uncertain and some primitives may never take off.