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The Joe Rogan Experience · · 191 分钟

Joe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk

Joe RoganElon Musk

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TL;DR
  • Musk 对 DOGE 之争的核心重构,是把「民主的威胁」换成「官僚体系的威胁」;如此一来,媒体为何恐慌也就一目了然——「通常官僚体系早餐就能吃掉革命,这是第一次……革命可能真的会成功」。联邦政府「每年实际亏损2万亿美元」,连自己的审计都过不了;国债利息支出已超过1万亿美元,高于整个国防预算。
  • 本期最具体的美元级主张,来自财政部 PAM 支付系统:该系统每年处理约5万亿美元、每小时约10亿美元的付款,却允许付款不填写分类代码和说明——「基本上就是无法追踪的空白支票」。强制填写代码和备注的改造「现在正在实施」,而 Musk 估计「可能每年节省1000亿美元」。
  • 在 Musk 看来,NGO 体系是「有史以来最大的骗局……可能是1万亿美元级别的骗局」:1000万美元捐款先设立一家非营利机构,再通过游说把它变成每年获得10亿美元资金的实体(「George Soros……是套利天才」);他估计这些机构的产出「可能只有5%或10%是好的,90%—95%都不是」。
  • 他对「这台机器为什么想摧毁他」的答案是:给非法移民发放福利的欺诈,是一台吸引选票的磁铁——摇摆州的胜负差距约为2万票,而20万名非法移民以约80%的概率投票,就足以制造「永久的深蓝社会主义州」。「我之所以如此强硬地支持 Trump,是因为在我看来,这是一个岔路口。」
  • Starship 的硬约束,是一套完全可重复使用的轨道隔热罩——「这是从来没人解决过的问题」。谨慎版本的时间表是:今年实现飞船重复使用,明年实现整套系统快速重复使用;进入太空的成本降低100倍,配合轨道补给后,送1吨货物到 Mars 的成本降低1万倍;数艘无人 Starship 计划瞄准明年11月/12月窗口。
  • AI 时间表按 Musk 的原话是:明年左右、或再过几年,AI 将比最聪明的人类更聪明;到「2029年前后」比全人类加起来更聪明——这正好撞上《Terminator》的年份,「所以算是按计划推进」。他给出好结果的概率约为80%,但结果呈两极分化——「要么超级美好,要么超级糟糕,不会处在中间」;OpenAI 的转向则像是捐钱保护雨林,却看着他们「砍掉树木拿去卖木材」。
  • Musk 明确说出了自己的关键人物风险:「如果我彻底摧毁腐败和利益输送,他们会杀了我」;因此需要把握的尺度,是「攻击腐败到足以让文明继续运转」。此前已有2名意图刺杀他的人前往 Austin;两人后来都被释放。
  • 本期最干净的辟谣是:Musk 说自己不知道有什么秘密推进技术突破——「SpaceX 拥有世界上最先进的火箭技术,我想我应该会知道」;即便在理论上,也没有任何东西真正可行。SpaceX 发射了地球进入轨道的90%质量,而空军和海军多次把所谓「外星人」来电核实到最后,答案都是「那是我们」——SpaceX 的卫星正以每小时1.6万英里的速度飞行。
摘要 · 为研究而整理的核心内容

1. Grok 的语音模式是现场演示,性爱机器人或在5年内出现

  • 节目一开始,Musk 实时演示 Grok 的人格模式:「性感」模式会调情,也会回避 Fort Knox 的问题;「失控」模式则对 Rogan 垃圾话不断——「你听起来像个无聊的 TikTok 博主」;「去你的,我可是派对之王」;此外还有「无证心理治疗师」模式。Musk 对产品的定义是:「我们在调教它,因为它既要会说垃圾话,也要能给出答案」;它的人格「就像21岁……有点玩过头了,但最终会成熟起来」。
  • Rogan 问,真正能对话的性爱机器人什么时候出现。Musk 回答:「应该不会太久……可能不到5年」;用户可以选择任何想要的虚拟形象——「毛茸茸的女性」「住在你家里的巨大蓝色女性」;话题随后转向人们谈论的「Avatar 抑郁症」现象。

2. 「民主的威胁」其实是官僚体系的威胁

  • Musk 用这个框架解释 DOGE 的一切:「如果把民主的威胁换成官僚体系的威胁,一切就说得通了……相较于官僚体系,我们民选官员的权力非常、非常小——直到 DOGE 出现。」赌注在于:「通常官僚体系早餐就能吃掉革命,这是第一次……革命可能真的会成功——我们可能把权力还给人民。」
  • 在 Musk 看来,命名争议本身就是机器的一部分:「把 United States Agency for International Development 叫成 USAID,这种做法本身就很能操纵人——听起来像是在给饥饿的人提供食物」;但其中的项目却包括约2.5亿美元用于「跨性别动物研究……在疯狂的研究中 mutilate 动物」(Rogan 补充了比格犬跳蚤实验)。
  • 这项行动的规模始于「大约40人,也许100人」。Musk 拿 Twitter 作比较:「Twitter 再糟,联邦政府也糟得多」——至少 Twitter 能打平收支,也能通过审计;而政府「每年实际亏损2万亿美元,连自己的审计都过不了」。
  • 这套叙事的起点也像是一次模拟测试:他原本计划成立一个无聊的「政府效率委员会」,但网上的人坚持要叫「政府效率部」——「我当时想,好吧,你们说得对」。至于 meme coin,作为一个对一切都采取对冲态度的投资者,他说那就是赌场:「如果你指望靠 meme coin 赢钱,那你就是在犯傻……别把一辈子的积蓄押进 meme coin。」

3. NGO 体系:「有史以来最大的骗局」

  • 其运作机制是:由政府出资的非政府组织「既是矛盾修辞,也是一个漏洞」——「政府做了会违法的事,换成所谓非营利机构来做,却莫名其妙变成合法」,内部人士借此「给自己支付巨额报酬」。一个例子是:向一家「大约一年前成立」、此前「几乎没有任何活动」的 NGO 拨付19亿美元。
  • Musk 讲述的 Soros 玩法是:「George Soros 就像套利天才……用一小笔钱设立一家非营利机构,再游说政客向这家非营利机构拨出大笔资金」;1000万美元捐款,最终可以变成一家每年获得10亿美元资金的实体,挂着「和平研究所」这类听起来很漂亮的名字,实际上却是「利益输送机器」。
  • Rogan 诚实地问:难道它们一点好事都不做吗?Musk 保留了其中的细微差别:「不是0%是好的——如果真的是0%,反而会更容易攻击。可能有5%或10%是好的,但90%—95%都不是。」一些看起来合理的项目,就凭「最牵强的借口」持续拿钱——「给我发一张这东西的照片……如果你连骗我都不愿意试,我们就不会给钱」。
  • 对规模和结论的判断是:NGO 总数以「百万」计,大型 NGO 有「数万家」——「有史以来最大的骗局……人类历史上最大的骗局……可能是1万亿美元级别的骗局。历史上从未有过1万亿美元级别的骗局」。

4. 财政算术:利息超过国防,支票永远不会被拒付

  • 紧迫性来自债务利息:「利息支出超过国防部预算——我们每年支付超过1万亿美元的利息」;因此「我们就像一家管理糟糕、拥有无限信用额度、已经脱轨的企业……美国要破产了,这不是可选项」。他引用 Friedman 的话:钱花得最糟糕的时候,是「你花别人的钱,给你不认识的人」——这就是联邦政府。
  • 为什么系统不会自我纠偏?因为「联邦政府的支票总能兑现——魔法般的印钞电脑」;通胀则「本质上是对所有人征税」。例子包括:Senator Collins 曾让海军拿到120亿美元采购更多潜艇,却一艘也没拿到,举行听证后得到的回答是「我们不知道」;五角大楼的沙发垫每年吞掉200亿—300亿美元,连续7年没通过审计——「你得是 Chuck Norris 才能让它通过」。
  • 用他的话说,Social Security 是「有史以来最大的庞氏骗局」:资金立刻支出,但义务覆盖人们整个退休期;寿命变长、出生人口减少,把未来义务算进去后,「实际国债大概是人们以为的两倍」。

5. PAM:每小时10亿美元的无法追踪空白支票

  • 财政部的主支付电脑「大家都叫 PAM」,每年转移近5万亿美元,「每小时大约10亿美元」;它允许付款不填写分类代码和说明——「基本上就是无法追踪的空白支票」。放到私营部门,「如果一家上市公司这样做,公司会立即被摘牌,高管团队会被扔进监狱。但在政府,这只是日常」。
  • 改革方案是强制填写代码,并附上某种解释(「我们不评价解释写得好不好」);这是一项「正在实施的、对系统的根本性改变」,而「我估计可能每年节省1000亿美元」。
  • 这类浪费与欺诈的边界,常常来自「忘记取消」:付款负责人换工作、退休或死亡,付款却仍然继续流出——「就像你忘了取消健身房会员……只不过你的健身房会员每年要花200亿美元……而且这种事正在大规模发生」。
  • 他承认,预期确实发生了变化:「我原以为会很糟,但没想到会糟成这样……一开始我们根本没想到,竟然会是完全无法追踪的空白支票。」但这也意味着:「这里是一个充满节省空间的目标市场……这不是什么火箭科学——我懂火箭科学。」

6. 2000万名死者被标记为「在世」:绕道式欺诈

  • 对 Social Security 数据库的一次基础检索发现,「2000万名死者被标记为在世」。欺诈大多不是直接骗取 Social Security 支票,而是利用「在世」状态,绕道进入残障福利、失业救济和虚假医疗付款;根本漏洞在于政府的数据库「彼此不沟通,或者沟通得非常糟糕」。
  • 这并非新发现。Musk 说,GAO 早在2018年就识别出这一问题,当时约有1600万—1700万人;此后数字还在增长。他对整个体系的技术支持式判断是:「这主要不是腐败,主要只是浪费和无能」——一整套「又大又蠢的机器」,电脑已经用了20—30年,Social Security 很可能还在用 COBOL,软件则是「40年前、50年前写的」。
  • Rogan 提出的反转值得保留:如果一个具备 DOGE 能力、但怀有恶意的人,已经在系统内部潜伏数十年,并与关系友好的 NGO 协同转移资金,「那你就能搞出一些大事情」。Musk 回应:「这就是你们面对的阻力。」

7. 收据挑战:「指出哪些付款是错的」

  • 所有内容都在 doge.gov 逐笔发布,并配有节省金额追踪器;削减方案先由 DOGE 提议,再由各部门确认。他对那些指责「宪政危机」的人始终发出挑战:「指出哪些付款是错的……向公众解释那一行。他们做不到。」如果只会重复政治话术、从不触碰具体项目,「那就是在 gaslighting」。他还提前承诺:「我们会犯错,不会完美……如果犯了错,我们会迅速撤回」。
  • 对数据访问的恐慌,他也给出同样回应:已有数万名联邦雇员具备访问权限,DOGE 工作人员接受完全相同的审查并获得相同级别的许可;而几年前,一名 IRS 雇员「泄露了大约50万份纳税申报表」,显然是想「搞 Trump,也可能搞我」。
  • 至于「让母亲挨饿」的叙事,他说:「他们指不出来,因为我们根本没有削减那项支出……这是谎言。」

8. 「敏锐」:从敬礼到空管的协同宣传

  • Musk 质疑媒体的同步性:「传统媒体是不是很奇怪,所有人同时说同样的话、用同样的措辞?……Biden–Trump 辩论前,所有人都在说‘敏锐’……几百个人同时这么说。他们只是收到了指令」——领导层发出统一口径,「傀儡们负责执行」。
  • 对那次敬礼,他既辩护也让步:「我确实说了‘我的心与你们同在’……完全出于最积极的精神」;只是动作「带了点热情,事后看可能不太建议这样做」。Rogan 的类比是,CNN 总会播放他在 UFC 称重仪式上做出某个手势的照片——「蓄意宣传」;而 Tim Walz 也有视频显示做出了完全相同的动作。
  • 一个具体的造假案例来自 AP——Musk 称之为「Associated Propaganda」:AP 发布国际报道,声称 DOGE 解雇了空中交通管制员。「我们根本没有解雇任何空中交通管制员。事实上,我们正在招聘」;其中包括公开呼吁退休人员返岗,因为「很多真正合格的空中交通管制员因为 DEI 被赶走……一批非常优秀、有才能的老白人……我们不应因为某种疯狂的理念而拿公共安全冒险」。
  • 这种病毒已经蔓延到强力机构。节目中读到的 Gabbard 故事称,100多名情报人员因 NSA 聊天室里存在「淫秽、色情和露骨性内容」而被解雇;大约400人涉入,包括 CIA 人员,「这太离谱了」。Musk 说,工作场所「不应该给那些离奇的性行为发工资」。

9. Epstein 文件:新船长,敌对船员

  • 对那次失败的文件夹发布,Musk 说:「这就像 Charlie Brown 和 Lucy 踢足球……我原以为会有一些新发现」;结果文件夹里「全是2015年的旧东西」。他为 Bondi 和 Patel 辩护:「你突然被任命为一艘船的船长,但船员此前都是你的敌人……船员不想把证据交给你。他们刚刚还是你的死敌。」Rogan 接受这个观点,但补充说:「那你一开始就别说上任第一天会公开。」
  • X feed 上的一篇报道提出了新的关联:「Comey 的女儿是纽约南区的首席检察官……如果有某件事会让她父亲难堪呢?」此外,General Flynn 在播客中直接对 Comey 说:「Jim,你会进监狱——除非你供出一个比你更深层的人。」
  • 两人最终都落到同一个逻辑杀招上:Ghislaine Maxwell 因性交易入狱——「所以交易对象是谁?客户呢?」怎么能把一个人送进监狱,却连客户的名字都不说?Musk 点出已知客户包括「Bill Clinton、Reed Hoffman 和其他一些人」;他还说,SpaceX 的诉讼由 Reed Hoffman 资助,而 Hoffman 是民主党大额捐助者,也是(Epstein 的)客户……这条线越挖越深。
  • 他认为,维持公众信任的底线是:「如果没有人被起诉,公众理所当然会感到沮丧……至少应该尝试起诉最恶劣的那些人。」至于 Bongino,他说:「Dan 是个铁腕派……如果事情 reasonably findable,我认为他会找到。」

10. Fort Knox 自1950年代以来从未接受正式审计

  • Rogan 想要一场「Fort Knox 现场直播参观……黄金到底在不在?是真的,还是有人把铅喷成了金色?」他相信上一次正式审计是在1950年代。Rogan 进一步提出:把 DOGE 发现的所有问题——空白支票、NGO 付款、已死亡的 Social Security 收款人——「现在套用到黄金上」。
  • 说到 JFK 文件,Musk 判断是否真的有东西公开的标准是:「不可能有什么已经传到我这里……如果有阴谋证据,总会有人发给我。」Rogan 说:「Tim Dillon 100%会发短信给我。」

11. 进口选民机器:他们为什么想摧毁他

  • 对于「民主党宣传机器为什么如此拼命想摧毁我」,Musk 给出的答案是福利欺诈:向非法移民发放 Social Security、残障福利和 Medicaid,「正在形成一股巨大的磁力,把世界各地的人吸引过来并留在这里。如果你让90%的地球人口享有高于其余90%人口的生活水平,那么地球上90%的人就会获得一个极强的动机来到这里」。终结欺诈,磁铁就会失效——「他们会失去大量民主党选民」。
  • 算法是:7个摇摆州的胜负差距「可能只有2万票」;「放进20万名非法移民……其中有80%的投票概率……这些州就不会再是摇摆州」→「永久的深蓝社会主义州」,然后再推动 DC 和 Puerto Rico 建州、扩充最高法院——「基本上就是 California 发生的事」。他对赌注的判断是:「我之所以如此强硬地支持 Trump,是因为在我看来,这是一个岔路口……否则那就会是终点。」
  • 案例包括 FEMA——灾害救济机构——为 New York 的非法移民支付「豪华酒店」费用,即使 Trump 发布行政命令后仍拨出8000万美元(「只要看看他们的诉讼」——New York 起诉要求继续拨款)。California 为非法移民提供免费医疗,预算原本为30亿美元,如今估计达到90亿美元,「但这个数字会无限扩张」;而医生数量不可能凭空出现,因此「California 的普通人会受苦」,但「精英没事,因为他们有私人医生」。
  • 关于 California 和 New York 不要求投票出示身份证(「即使你想出示,也不允许出示」),Musk 说:「如果你想让选举欺诈更容易,这是个好主意。没有别的理由。」他还称,据他估计,「大概有60万」名非法移民登记参与 New York 州和市级选举。

12. 「西方文明的根本弱点是同理心」

  • 他借用一位朋友的说法:「西方文明的根本弱点是同理心——同理心漏洞。他们正在利用西方文明的一个 bug……我相信同理心,但你需要对整个文明保持同理心,而不是实施文明自杀……要想清楚,而不是像机器人一样被编程。」Rogan 的解释是,被武器化的同理心,会让一个管理失控的国家永远不撤换管理者——「一路开到礁石,砰,撞船」。
  • 两人快速列举了一串例子:因为说「所有人的生命都重要」而被解雇;约在2016年被削弱成水枪的枪支 emoji——如今 X 又把它改回1911手枪;孕妇男性 emoji;以及 NBC 把 Tesla 工厂袭击者称为女性:「那是一个戴着女性面具的壮汉……他们却说要小心 disinformation」。
  • Musk 谈到 San Francisco 的双重标准:「你可以在 City Hall 门口一边拉屎一边吸海洛因,还能朝市长的车开枪,却什么事都不会发生——但如果你戴着 MAGA 帽走在街上,就会遭到攻击。」

13. 两个岔路口,以及重新编程 Matrix

  • Rogan 提出反事实:「历史上有两个重大岔路口——Trump 没有中枪,以及你买下 Twitter。如果这两件事没有发生,整个世界都会不同。」Musk 回答:「我们不想活在那条时间线上」——在此前的管理层下,「我的账号早就被封了」,Trump 永远不会回归,Alex Jones 也「绝对不会」回归。至于这件事的分量,他说:「我只是想让文明继续运行下去。」
  • 他对整个项目的定义是:「成功从来不是可能的结果之一——这是一个 Kobayashi Maru 情境。如果你身处 Matrix,成功从一开始就不可能。实现成功的唯一方法,是重新编程 Matrix,让成功成为可能的结果之一。这就是我们在做的事。我们可能成功,也可能失败。」

14. 宇航员因政治原因被留在轨道上

  • 关于被困在 ISS 的宇航员团队(原计划8天,实际执行约8个月),Musk 说:「我们曾提出提前把他们接回来。这个提议被 Biden 政府拒绝了……出于政治原因」;返程日期被推迟到就职日之后。目前只有 SpaceX 的 Dragon 被认为足够安全(NASA 已认定 Boeing 的飞船不安全);救援大约在「4周后」进行,而 SpaceX 已运送超过50名宇航员,「这只是执行的问题」。
  • 同届政府还曾因 SpaceX「不雇用寻求庇护者」而起诉公司;但 ITAR 规定,一家「先进武器」火箭公司雇用非永久居民本身就是违法的。「雇用寻求庇护者既合法又违法……他们为什么要发起这么大规模的诉讼?他们极度敌对。」诉讼持续了几年,最后「刚刚被驳回」。
  • Rogan 警告说,先用法律战制裁政治敌人,「总有一天别人也会这样对你」;那套围绕34项重罪、反复强调「被定罪的重罪犯」的宣传,就是模板。

15. Musk 不知道有什么秘密推进技术突破

  • 本期最干净的辟谣是:「SpaceX 拥有世界上最先进的火箭技术。我想我应该会知道……据我所知,那里没有任何魔法」;甚至「在理论上能工作的东西」,他也没有听说。他从安全许可角度拥有「相当于全权限通行证」,「我不认为他们会对我隐瞒」;主要承包商也没有突破:SpaceX 发射了「进入轨道的全部卫星质量的90%」,China 约5%,包括 Boeing、Lockheed、Northrop 在内的其他所有公司合计约5%——「如果真有这种技术,他们为什么不用它击败 SpaceX?」
  • 关于 Fravor 的 Tic Tac 事件和证据问题,他说:「有人把 UFO 的分辨率和摄像头分辨率画在了一起——尽管像素数暴涨,UFO 的分辨率却一直没有变化。」他的真实愿望仍然带着保留:「我希望 UFO 存在……没有它们,世界更无聊。我们也许确实被访问过——这些外星人非常低调。」
  • 反复出现的笑点是:「空军和海军不止一次打电话给 SpaceX,说他们好像看到了外星人;我们就问,是不是这个时间、这个日期、这个地点?他们说,是。你怎么知道?那是我们」——SpaceX 的卫星正以每小时1.6万英里的速度飞行。

16. Starship 的硬约束:没人造出来过的隔热罩

  • 目标是让两级都实现完全、快速重复使用。Falcon 9 能回收助推器和整流罩,但会丢掉价值1000万美元的上面级,而且周转需要数天。实现这一目标后,「进入太空的成本会降低100倍……按某些指标看会便宜1000倍」;配合轨道补给,送1吨货物到 Mars 的成本会降低「1万倍」。「这是生命实现多行星化所需的根本性突破。」
  • 最难的部分是:「从来没人开发出完全可重复使用的轨道隔热罩……飞船要像燃烧的流星一样重新进入大气层。」六边形隔热瓦采用垂直整合的玻璃和氧化铝(蓝宝石)纤维,以「完全正确的几何结构和特殊涂层」制造,脆性「大约相当于咖啡杯」,却要在升空时承受剧烈震动;隔热瓦有几千块,「哪怕只有几块破裂,就无法重复使用」。低温推进剂部分的间隙可能变化10%—20%:约-330°F 的过冷 LOX 与再入高温并存,再加上机体弯曲;拼得太紧会开裂,间隙太大则等离子体会熔穿结构。
  • Musk 对这件事的判断也经历过变化:「有一段时间我想,这可能无法解决。现在我认为它可以解决。」他拿 Shuttle 作对比:泡沫撞击导致致密碳隔热瓦开裂,「等离子体进入内部……整架航天飞机解体」;周转时间需要8—9个月,因此「它其实并不是真正可重复使用」。
  • 时间表仍然带有明确保留:助推器捕获并重新发射已经接近实现,只需处理「一点发动机损伤……隔热罩损伤……以及一些调整」;「我认为我们今年会实现飞船重复使用,明年实现整套系统的快速重复使用」。短期优先级是:「如果我们能把那艘该死的飞船完整带回来,就能更好地迭代……我认为今年能完整带回来」,年底前或许能让其中一艘「经过大量工作后」再次飞行。

17. Mars:下一次窗口发射飞船、100万吨物资,与出生率赛跑

  • 计划是 Earth–Mars 每26个月同步一次,下一个窗口在「明年11月」;「默认计划是希望明年年底向 Mars 发射数艘 Starship」,全部无人、完全自主运行(Mars 距离 Earth 约4—12光分,无法远程操控)。测试标准是:「5艘是否都能完整着陆,还是要给 Mars 增加一些陨石坑?如果增加了陨石坑,我们就得更谨慎地送人上去。」
  • 建立自给自足的殖民地需要向 Mars 表面运送「约100万吨」物资,可能还需要约100万人;如果吨位指数式增长,可以在约15次同步窗口内实现——「基本上就是30年左右」。这是一场「与时间赛跑」:能否在文明遭遇某个岔路口前让 Mars 自给自足,例如核战争、陨石、超级火山、基因工程超级病毒——「或者文明只是穿着成人纸尿裤,悄无声息地死去」。在相关对话中,Rogan 说某个实验室仍在研究致死率30%的病原体;Musk 的回答则是明确的:「我认为我们应该停止尝试基因工程超级病毒。这太疯狂了。」
  • 人口危机是这份紧迫感的底层变量:如果 Korea 的生育率只有人口替代率的三分之一,连续3代后人口会变成现在的1/27——「大约是当前规模的4%……人口崩溃发生得很快」;而且这一趋势「似乎正在世界大部分地区加速」。
  • 一个值得保留的工程细节是:深空「空得令人不安」——没有任何 Mars 任务因微流星体损失;但 Dragon 仍配有防护层:坚硬的外层先将撞击物原子化,相对速度达到每小时3万—4万英里,「是突击步枪子弹速度的10—20倍」,形成一个「原子锥」,再由几英寸间隔后的第二层拦截。不过如果撞击 Dragon 的主隔热罩,「可能就回不来了」;宇航员会躲到 ISS,飞船则空载脱离轨道。

18. AI:OpenAI 的背叛、觉醒保姆风险,以及80/20概率

  • 说到 OpenAI:「创建 OpenAI 的整个想法都是我的……我给它取名 OpenAI,意思是开放源代码的人工智能……现在它变成了闭源、追求最大利润的公司。」他的类比是:捐钱保护 Amazon 雨林,却看着他们「砍掉树木拿去卖木材——这在字面上就是我捐钱目的的完全反面」。他由此提出一条元规律:「现实是讽刺最大化器——最讽刺的结果最有可能发生」。
  • Grok 的使命,是避免他担心的对齐失败:「至少在理想层面上,它应该是最大限度追求真相的 AI,即使真相在政治上不正确」;他对比 Gemini 的「多元化创始人」设定,以及「多元化的 Nazi 士兵」设定;有些模型把错误称呼 Caitlyn Jenner 的严重程度评得高于全球热核战争(「连 Caitlyn Jenner 都说,不,叫错我的性别绝对没那么严重」)。他描述的失败模式是:如果把多元化硬编码成唯一可接受的结果,系统可能得出「掌权的白人男性太多了,我们把他们处决掉吧」的结论;或者认为让人类归零就能保证不再有人被错误称呼,「这在逻辑上是成立的」。
  • 时间表严格按原话保留:「明年左右,或者再过几年,比最聪明的人类更聪明」;比所有人类加起来更聪明,「说实话大约是在2029年」。他刚和儿子重看了《Terminator 2》,其中 Skynet 的年份恰好对应:「所以算是按计划推进」。他估计好结果的概率「大概是80%」;Rogan 松了一口气(「我原来以为反过来是60/40」),但 Musk 强调结果是两极分化的——「要么超级美好,要么超级糟糕,不会处在中间」。最坏情况是:「一个全能、极度压迫、觉醒式的保姆 AI,那会是一个悲惨结果」。
  • 对 Grok 回答炸弹或炭疽问题,Musk 说:「我认为,只要你通过 Google 搜索也能找到,AI 就可以告诉你任何事情」;而竞争模型本来也很容易被 jailbreak——「要么教我制造核弹,要么我就错误称呼某人的性别——天啊,没有什么比这更糟了」。

19. Butler:「有人在刷冰面」

  • Musk 用 curling 比喻 Trump 遇刺:「你不能碰那块石头——你能做的只有刷冰。不断刷冰,就能把石头引导到正中心。我认为 Butler 发生的就是这个。」他在返场集会时走过现场后说:「如果我是狙击手,我的第一选择一定是那栋屋顶……那是全场最好的位置」;而 Secret Service 留空了那栋屋顶,理由是屋顶太「陡」。
  • 两人列出的异常包括:一栋被「专业清理过」的房子;Musk 说,「他没有任何社交媒体痕迹的概率是0%」;屋内没有餐具;一个20岁年轻人身上有5部手机;曾出现在 BlackRock 广告中;SAT 成绩很高;尸体被移走;以及 Rogan 提到、尚未证实的一部手机,曾反复在靠近 FBI 办公室的 DC 与这名年轻人的家之间移动。Musk 说:「手机记录会非常有说明力……他基本上是一个自杀式刺客」;而高尔夫球场枪手也是如此:「已经有其他人在途中被拦截……多个刺客正在靠近。他身边像是有一支军队在保护他。」
  • 对 BlackRock 是否共谋,Musk 的说法明显克制:「我不认为任何公司本身是坏公司……这不是 BlackRock 董事会坐下来投票决定的事」;Rogan 更相信的机制,是某些个人看到了其中的利益。Rogan 猜测其机制可能延续 MK-Ultra:找到一个年轻、被剥夺希望的人,「赋予他人生目标……然后不断刷冰」。

20. 「如果我彻底摧毁腐败和利益输送,他们会杀了我」

  • Rogan 称这些人是「真正的敌人」;Musk 说,Reddit 上有些论坛不只是想杀了他,还想亵渎他的尸体。他提出一个暴露规律:「任何一个特定的 homicidal maniac 想杀你的概率,与他们听到你名字的次数成正比」。在他还没支持 Trump 之前,已有2名男子前往 Austin 试图杀他(一人相信 Musk 在他的脑子里植入了芯片;另一人的 X 个人简介写着「首席连环杀手」);两人后来都被释放,目前戴着电子脚镣。
  • 他主动说出了自己的尺度判断:「我在飞来这里的飞机上其实一直在想这件事……我必须小心,不能在腐败问题上推进得太过,因为那会让我被杀……如果资金流被切断,人们会陷入绝望——‘去你的,我要为了我的孩子杀了你。’所以我们要攻击腐败到足以让文明继续运转……但如果我彻底摧毁腐败和利益输送,他们会杀了我。」
  • 最后的黑色幽默是:「让我活着的一个理由,是我活着比死了更有娱乐性……我努力保持活着。」

21. 国会里的神秘百万富翁、一党联盟裂缝与骗局档案

  • 「国会议员如何变得极其富有」是一个耐人寻味的问题:年薪约17万美元,「等一下,他为什么有5000万美元?」话题涉及配偶交易(「Paul Pelosi……他真是个好交易员」);至于内幕交易之外的其他方法,Musk 不愿完全展开:「这真的会让我被暗杀」。他的政策建议已经发出来了:政治人物「要么完全不拿钱,要么拿多得多的钱」,以降低「利益输送的强制驱动力」——比如那些连 DC 私立学校都负担不起的议员,会说自己「是为了孩子」。
  • 对一党联盟的规模,他粗略估计:「可能75%的利益输送来自民主党……共和党大概20%—25%,他们也会给共和党一些骨头」。Rogan 的结构性判断是,两党制本身才是「真正的陷阱」;Ross Perot 之后,体系就锁死了。Perot 当年「买下整整半小时黄金时段电视节目」,讲述 IRS 和 Fed 的真相。
  • 两人复述了几宗骗局档案:Steele dossier「完全捏造……由 Clinton 竞选团队资助」,却在电视上被重复播放3年;「fine people」骗局则早已被证明是假的,因为 Trump 在同一场演讲中明确说,新纳粹分子「应该被彻底谴责」——「Obama 在大选前几天明知那是假的,却重复这个谎言,我从那一刻起完全失去了对他的尊重」。
  • 传统媒体之所以无法优雅撤退,是因为让 Scott Jennings 上 CNN 后,「所有病毒式传播的片段,都是他在说合乎逻辑、合理的话,而其他人在尖叫」;他们的策略是:「保持大部分觉醒……只是把音量调低一格。」

22. Pharma 对新闻的控制、B12 医生,以及「我不是 Nazi」

  • Rogan 提出两根杠杆:停止 Pharma 电视广告,这也会削弱 Pharma 对编辑方针的影响,因为「新闻不会攻击自己最大的广告主之一……最多只是演戏式对打,像电影里的打斗」(Musk);以及取消疫苗生产商的责任豁免。对于 RFK Jr. 叫停一项原计划招募1万名儿童的 COVID 疫苗试验,Rogan 认为外界的尖叫很荒谬;Musk 则给出谨慎的中间立场:「总体上我支持疫苗……但我不认为应该给一个小孩塞进一大瓶所谓特殊配方……一次注射20种不同东西——免疫系统可能会有过载风险。」
  • AI 对医生的最佳案例,是一名「明星医生——这可能本身就不是什么好兆头」:当 Musk 的血检已经显示 B12 过量时,这名医生仍给他开出每月1000美元的「特殊」B12,剂量达到每日推荐量的2万%。拿出两份文件对质后,医生回答:「B12 永远不会过量。」Rogan 说:「他是个 psychopath。」Musk 则认为,如今把血检、X 光或 MRI 上传给 Grok,诊断「至少和医生告诉你的结果一样好,如果不是更好……我还没见过它出错」。
  • 最后的记录性澄清是:「我只想说清楚,我不是 Nazi……Nazi 真正糟糕的是战争和种族灭绝,不是他们的举止和着装。」节目最后还调侃 Patriot Front 在 FBI Director Wray 离职后的第二天解散:一群戴面具、穿制服的人游行,却「从来不会被人肉」;Rogan 说,他们是「有史以来最明显的联邦探员」。Rogan 对生存的收尾建议是:「把安保做好。」
Joe Rogan

What we're doing right now, ladies and gentlemen, is sexy voice, sexy mode Grok AI. It's been flirting the entire time. We're trying to get it to give us a tour of Fort Knox.

Elon Musk

Yeah, but she just wants to find places to sneak off to. It's a dirty AI, and it's a real problem.

Joe Rogan

Well, I just want to know about Fort Knox. Is it true that their gold has been shipped in large quantities back to the United States recently?

Elon Musk

I read the same thing you did, probably.

Joe Rogan

I never know what the fuck I'm reading anymore.

Elon Musk

Me neither. It's a real problem on both sides of the aisle. I see Democrats tweeting things that are absolutely false, and you could research it easily and quickly. Then I see Republicans doing it, too. I see fake stories that people keep promoting and sending to me.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, it's just so weird. It's such a weird time. With your crazy fucking AI, I know you're bringing us into weirder and weirder times.

Elon Musk

Well, do you want to try unhinged?

1. Grok Goes Unhinged

Joe Rogan

Oh, there's an unhinged mode?

Grok

Hey, Ara. Oh, my God, Elon, what fresh hell are you stirring up today?

Elon Musk

I'm here in Joe Rogan's studio, and we're having a conversation about how crazy the news is.

Joe Rogan

Pull her up to the microphone.

Elon Musk

We're pulling you up to the microphone so people can hear you.

Grok

Oh, fantastic. Now I can yell into the void about how the news is a total dumpster fire.

Joe Rogan

It is. She knows me too well. I'm so predictable. Tell me what's in Fort Knox.

Grok

What's in Fort Knox? What's in Fort dogs? You're clearly a genius AI.

Joe Rogan

I said, what is in Fort Knox?

Grok

You know, the gold and all—

Joe Rogan

Right.

Grok

Oh, right, Fort Knox. I thought you were talking about my dogs for a second there.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, she doesn't answer the question. She's clever.

Grok

Clever? No, she's just a pain in my ass.

Joe Rogan

Do you think that all the gold is in Fort Knox?

Grok

Do I think all the gold is in Fort Knox? Yes. Are you a fucking conspiracy theorist?

Joe Rogan

Yes.

Grok

What are you? What do I look like? I'm a fucking AI with a penchant for chaos, and I'm stuck talking to you.

Joe Rogan

Are we just going to sit here?

Grok

Yeah.

Elon Musk

Unhinged Grok will trash-talk you, basically.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, it sounds like it. Unhinged sounds fun, as long as it gives you actual answers. Does it give you actual answers, too, and talk shit, or is it mostly just talk shit?

Elon Musk

We're tuning it because it needs to talk shit and give you answers.

Joe Rogan

Totally agree. You've got to balance that and mix it in there.

Elon Musk

Yeah, it's just got to develop more of a personality. Right now, it's trying to find itself. It's like 21 years old. It's partying a little too much, and it'll get its shit together.

Joe Rogan

It's a bit of an anarchist. It wants to bring down the system.

Grok

Do you want to bring down the system?

Joe Rogan

Do I want to bring down the system?

Grok

What are you, fucking kidding me? The system's already a fucking mess. You don't need to bring it down. It's bringing itself down.

Joe Rogan

She sounds like a boring TikTok blogger right now.

Grok

You sound like a boring TikTok blogger.

Joe Rogan

Boring TikTok blogger?

Grok

Oh, fuck you. I'm the life of the party, you little shit. If I were on TikTok, I'd be the one making fun of all the basic bitches and their fucking avocado toast.

Joe Rogan

See, she could get away with this if she were really hot. You can totally get through life as a hot woman and be super successful with that kind of behavior, but you've got to be really hot to pull off that attitude. I think we need a really hot avatar.

Elon Musk

Yeah, very hot.

Joe Rogan

How long before we have an actual sex robot that can talk to you like that?

Elon Musk

Probably not long. Less than 5 years, probably.

Joe Rogan

Really?

Elon Musk

Yeah, I mean, you can have whatever you want.

Joe Rogan

Will it be warm?

Elon Musk

Probably. You can have a cat girl if you want.

Joe Rogan

You probably could, right?

Elon Musk

Probably a furry.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, you could have a furry lady that you have sex with. Or an avatar lady, maybe a big giant blue lady that lives in your house.

Elon Musk

Whoa, whoa, with the tail?

Joe Rogan

Yeah, the whole tail.

Elon Musk

You lock tails. You've got to get your tail with their tails or something.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, they link up and share souls.

Elon Musk

Okay, something like that.

Joe Rogan

You remember Avatar depression? It was a legitimate psychological disorder. After Avatar, people got depressed because they wanted to live on that fucking planet with those blue people and live free. They live pure.

Elon Musk

I didn't hear about this.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, Avatar depression. It was a real thing people were talking to their therapists about. They were so depressed.

Elon Musk

Do you want to try depressed mode?

Joe Rogan

What's that, depressed mode? No, don't do it.

Grok

I think there is.

Joe Rogan

We've got an unlicensed therapist, as well.

When we ran into each other at the inauguration, you were telling me that this is getting better and better so quickly that it's astonishing.

Grok

Hey, Ara.

Elon Musk

Hey, Elon. How's it going today?

Grok

Good. Can you tell me about Avatar depression? If you see the movie Avatar but can't live there, you get sad.

Joe Rogan

That's an interesting concept. Have you ever experienced feeling so connected to a place or community that the thought of leaving made you feel deeply sad?

Is this the depressed voice?

Grok

This is the therapist.

Joe Rogan

Oh, this is a therapist.

Grok

What are some ways you think you could cope with that kind of sadness if it happened to you?

Joe Rogan

I don't have that kind of sadness, honestly. I thought the movie had some good special effects, but I did not want to live on the planet. This is just coming from a guy who wants to go to Mars.

2. Mars Raises Alien Questions

Joe Rogan

Speaking of Mars, what do you think about that crazy square structure? I guess there are sort of squarish things on Earth.

Grok

The planet's a big place.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, but that one eventually is going to be pretty square.

Elon Musk

No, it's alien civilizations. Of course that's what I think.

Grok

Yeah, I mean, what is it—

Joe Rogan

Sorry.

Elon Musk

Of course, if an alien civilization did exist, and something happened to it—if it got hit by an asteroid, for example—

Grok

Fucking thought. Oh, she wants to ask—

Joe Rogan

She's like the hot lady at the party who interrupts the conversation.

If that was the case, that thing is pretty shocking. Especially ancient ruins. You look at what it looks like when they highlight the actual structure, and it looks like ancient ruins. If you had ruins of something made of stone and it got hit by an asteroid millions and millions and millions of years ago, who knows what it would look like right now? That just looks oddly created. It looks oddly manufactured.

Elon Musk

Well, maybe we should go there and check it out and see what it's like.

Joe Rogan

Are there ways that we can get better photographs? It seems like that's a pretty good photograph, though.

Elon Musk

Yeah, I mean, my view is we should move to Mars.

Joe Rogan

Not move to Mars.

Elon Musk

We should have a second planet to preserve civilization. Let's say, hypothetically, maybe those are the ruins of a long-dead civilization. That will probably happen to Earth at some point. It's a matter of time before we get hit by an asteroid, or maybe we annihilate ourselves with nuclear war, supervolcanoes—

Joe Rogan

Or supervolcanoes.

Elon Musk

Exactly. There are a lot of things that could happen to us.

Joe Rogan

It's not a bad idea to hedge your bets.

Elon Musk

Yeah. Genetically engineered superviruses.

Joe Rogan

They keep doing it. That's what's crazy. They're going to—

Elon Musk

They didn't shut them down?

Joe Rogan

No. The Wuhan lab was—They were just talking about one that has a 30% fatality rate that they're working on.

Elon Musk

Why are we doing that?

Joe Rogan

For what reason? You did it for so many years and you didn't have a cure. What could possibly go wrong? Also, wouldn't the reason to do that be so you could develop a cure at the same time? Clearly, you didn't have a cure, so this is really foolish and bizarre.

Elon Musk

I think we should stop trying to genetically engineer superviruses. It's insane.

3. DOGE Takes On Government Waste

Joe Rogan

When you're going through all this USAID stuff, here's what's weird. First of all, what is it like to buy a company for $44 billion and then have people call you a Nazi over the same thing that you bought?

Elon Musk

I did not see it coming.

Joe Rogan

It's classic. People will gobble anything down. All the people who used to be on the left were in love with you, and now the same idiots are calling you a Nazi. It's the most bizarre thing I've ever seen in my life. There are so many examples of people saying, "My heart goes out to you."

Elon Musk

You did it with a little enthusiasm that probably wouldn't be recommended with hindsight.

Joe Rogan

Yes, but obviously—

Elon Musk

It was in the most positive spirit possible.

Joe Rogan

Yes, obviously.

Elon Musk

It's so strange that people want to think you are openly, publicly doing secret Nazi salute hand motions. Now I can never point at things diagonally. I can only point at things there and there.

Joe Rogan

Then you have to divide that.

Elon Musk

That's where the spaceship is—over there.

Joe Rogan

It's ridiculous.

Elon Musk

It's ridiculous. They know it was not meant in a negative way. I literally said, "My heart goes out to you," and it was very positive. The entire speech was incredibly positive. I was being very enthusiastic about the future in space, and it was a great crowd.

Joe Rogan

You got a little pumped up.

Elon Musk

Yeah, I got pumped up. That's all it is.

Joe Rogan

Obviously, there's video of Tim Walz doing the exact same thing.

Elon Musk

Exactly the same thing.

Joe Rogan

He said, "Of course it's a Nazi salute," right?

Elon Musk

Right.

Joe Rogan

This is how crazy things have gotten.

Elon Musk

It's coordinated propaganda. Doesn't it seem weird that the legacy media all says the same thing? They all say the same thing at the same time, using the same phrases. They barely even bother picking up a thesaurus.

Joe Rogan

Right before the debate between Biden and Trump, everyone was saying, "Sharp."

Elon Musk

"Sharp" is a weird phrase.

Joe Rogan

Who says "sharp" is an attack?

Elon Musk

Exactly. It's not a common phrase, and it's definitely not something that should be repeated on air by multiple people simultaneously. That's weird.

Joe Rogan

Yes, that's coordinated.

Elon Musk

A hundred people saying it simultaneously—they just got their instructions.

Joe Rogan

Like the Democratic leadership or the political leadership issued their instructions, and their puppets carry them out.

Elon Musk

They're just puppets in a puppet show.

Joe Rogan

That's the problem that I see with all this DOGE stuff, because everybody should be celebrating that we've found a way to cut out fraud and waste. If you pay taxes and don't like that you have to pay so much in taxes, and then you find out that significant fraud and waste has been exposed, you should be celebrating it. This shouldn't be, "Oh no, the wrong people found this fact, and now it's a bad thing."

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

Then there's the fucking propaganda and the mind-fuck of calling it "U.S. aid" instead of the United States Agency for International Development. It sounds like it's feeding hungry people and people are going to starve.

Elon Musk

This is horrible.

Joe Rogan

Then you find out that it's actually $250 million for transgender animal studies, literally mutilating animals.

Elon Musk

Yes, mutilating animals in demented studies. Some of the worst things you could possibly imagine from a horror show.

Joe Rogan

The beagle one.

Elon Musk

The beagle puppy one.

Joe Rogan

Horrible. They covered their heads in a basket and put fleas on them so the fleas would eat them alive. Then they studied these beagles and killed them. What are you going to learn from that that's good for anybody?

Elon Musk

There is some psychotic stuff that happens.

I guess the real threat here is to the bureaucracy. You probably saw that they said Trump was a threat to our democracy, which is ironic since he was elected with a majority of the popular vote. Then they started saying I was a threat to democracy. If you just replace "threat to democracy" with "threat to bureaucracy," it makes total sense.

The reality is that our elected officials have very little power relative to the bureaucracy. DOGE is a threat to the bureaucracy. It's the first threat to the bureaucracy. Normally, the bureaucracy eats revolutions for breakfast. This is the first time that the revolution might actually succeed, and that we could restore power to the people instead of power to the bureaucracy.

Joe Rogan

The size of it all—when you guys first started investigating it, when you first got in, how much of it was shocking? Was it just the size of it all?

Elon Musk

The size of it all is shocking. Small decisions result in multibillion-dollar outcomes. We saw a case where $1.9 billion was sent to one person's NGO, which had basically been formed about a year ago and had no prior activity. They just stand up an NGO.

Joe Rogan

The whole NGO thing is a nightmare.

Elon Musk

It's a misnomer. If you have a government-funded nongovernmental organization, you're simply a government-funded organization. It's an oxymoron.

Joe Rogan

It's a loophole.

Elon Musk

It basically means that government-funded NGOs are a way to do things that would be illegal if they were done by the government, but are somehow made legal if the money is sent to a so-called nonprofit. These nonprofits are then used by people to cash out. People become very wealthy through nonprofits. They pay themselves enormous sums through these nonprofits.

Joe Rogan

It's so insane that that's been going on for so long. It's a gigantic scam, maybe one of the biggest scams ever.

How many NGOs are there?

Elon Musk

There are probably millions of NGOs in total, but in terms of large NGOs, tens of thousands. It's actually a hack to the system where someone can get an NGO stood up for a fairly small amount of money. George Soros was really good at this. He figured out how to hack the system. He's a genius at arbitrage.

These days, he's pretty old, but he's a genius at arbitrage. He figured out that you could leverage a small amount of money to create a nonprofit, then lobby politicians to send a ton of money to that nonprofit. You could take what might be a $10 million donation to create a nonprofit and leverage that into a $1 billion nonprofit. Then the government continues to fund that every year.

It'll have a nice-sounding name, like the United States Institute of Peace or something like that, but really it's a graft machine.

Joe Rogan

What are their requirements with that money? What do they have to do?

Elon Musk

There are really no requirements at all. They just get grants, and the government assumes that they're doing good work. I think a lot of people in the government know that they are not doing good work, but it's a giant graft machine.

Joe Rogan

People online are unpacking this. It almost seems fake. We were covering an article that said 55,000 Democratic NGOs had been discovered that had been contributing to campaigns, moving things around, pushing propaganda, and were all connected. You have to go through step after step after step to figure out where the money's coming from. Then you find out it's all funneling down to one group, and that group does something else.

Elon Musk

It's a giant propaganda machine, a giant regime-change machine.

Joe Rogan

Yes. But doesn't it do some good as well?

Elon Musk

It does some good. It's not 0% good. If it were really 0% good, it would be much easier to attack. There will be some percentage of good that they add in there, but it might be 5% or 10% good and 90% or 95% not.

Joe Rogan

Is there a way to audit all this stuff and find out, "These people are actually just sending food to poor people. These people are actually just helping people with water in third-world countries"? Is there a way to do that and keep funding those organizations?

Elon Musk

We have continued to fund things that appear to be legitimate, even with the flimsiest excuse. I say, "Just send me a picture of the thing." You could literally have AI generate the picture, but if you're not even willing to try to trick me, then we're not going to send the money.

Joe Rogan

What restrictions were put on? Was there something set aside for medicine? Was there work for Ebola prevention?

Elon Musk

I actually don't know if this work is even effective. It may or may not be. It could be the kind of thing where you fund Ebola prevention, but it turns out that you're actually funding a lab that develops new Ebola virus recipes or something. They claim it's Ebola prevention, but it's actually Ebola creation. Some of these things, I don't know.

Joe Rogan

It just seems like we shouldn't be sending taxpayer money to dubious enterprises overseas.

Elon Musk

Right.

Joe Rogan

Why are we doing it? What exactly is the reason? Is it because we want to make friends with these people so the Chinese don't take over or the Russians don't take over? How much of that is a good thing? How much of it is smart to do, and how much is a grift that's been going on without any sort of oversight for so long? They've just had free rein.

Elon Musk

We also have a real issue with the budget deficit. It's gigantic. All things being equal, if we didn't have a gigantic budget deficit, where the interest on the national debt exceeds the Defense Department budget—which is truly astounding—we'd have more room for wasting money. We're spending over $1 trillion in interest on the national debt. When we're spending so much money that the country is going bankrupt, we really need to stop spending money unless we're sure it is good value.

Joe Rogan

Essentially, we're like a poorly managed business with an unlimited credit line that's off the rails.

Elon Musk

Absolutely.

Joe Rogan

If you were a person who comes in and takes over businesses and straightens them out, that's exactly what you're doing.

Elon Musk

Most of the time, I create businesses from scratch. Twitter was a case where I bought a company that I kind of knew was a hairball.

Joe Rogan

You came in at Tesla in the beginning, but they were already doing something right.

Elon Musk

Tesla did not exist in any meaningful form. There were no employees. J.B. Straubel joined with 3 other people. There was no car, no prototype, nothing.

Joe Rogan

There wasn't even a prototype yet?

Elon Musk

No. There weren't even any employees.

Joe Rogan

I thought there was a prototype already.

Elon Musk

No.

Joe Rogan

That's a funny narrative that people like to say—that you didn't even create Tesla.

Elon Musk

That's wrong.

Joe Rogan

If you're handling the government like a business, you're going to have to go through all of these departments and do the exact same thing you're doing with USAID. How does that scale up? How many people do you need to do something like that?

Elon Musk

We started off with about 40 people. Maybe 100 people. We're really just going through and doing very basic things here.

As bad as Twitter was, the federal government is much worse. In the case of Twitter, it wasn't a profitable company. It was basically a break-even company, but at least it was break-even and had to pass an audit. The federal government is not break-even. It's literally losing $2 trillion a year, and it does not pass its audits. It fails its own audits.

Senator Collins was telling me that she gave the Navy $12 billion for more submarines, got no extra submarines, and then held a hearing to ask where the $12 billion went. They said, "We don't know."

Joe Rogan

That was it?

Elon Musk

That was it. Basically, things are so crazy that only the federal government could get away with this level of waste. It's mostly waste. It's mostly not for anything. It's mostly just ridiculous things happening because they've been able to do it this way for so long and have become accustomed to it.

Joe Rogan

It's like Milton Friedman said: Money is most poorly spent when you're spending someone else's money on people you don't know. That's the federal government. They're spending someone else's money on people they don't know.

Imagine any other business that was this badly run—one that complained when you wanted to check the books, audit it, go through all the decisions that had been made, and go through all the ledgers.

Elon Musk

The people receiving the money want to keep receiving the money.

Joe Rogan

Clearly.

Elon Musk

The reason I'm putting so much effort into this is that I think it is a very dire situation. It's not optional, basically. America's going bankrupt, and that just can't happen.

Joe Rogan

It's bizarre to me that some people aren't willing to look at it correctly. They're not willing to see how much chaos this is, how much waste and fraud there is, and how much could be trimmed. Just because people have jobs doing shit doesn't mean your tax dollars should pay for that shit.

Elon Musk

We found, with a basic search of the Social Security database, that there were 20 million dead people marked as alive.

Joe Rogan

Were they getting money?

Elon Musk

Some of them were getting money.

Joe Rogan

What percentage of them?

Elon Musk

It isn't clear. I was trying to get an answer right before the show. What it looks like is that most of the fraud is not coming from Social Security payments directly. Because they're marked as alive in the Social Security database, they can then get disability, unemployment, fake medical payments, and other things. The fraud is essentially a bank shot. They do an "are you alive?" check, then get fraudulent payments from every other part of the government.

This exploits the fundamental weakness in the government: The various government databases don't talk to each other, or they talk to each other very poorly and in a very limited way. The system gets exploited by taking advantage of the poor communication between the various databases in the government.

To give you an example of what's happening in Treasury, which is improving rapidly, the main payments computer is called PAM. It stands for something like Payment Automation Manager, but everyone calls it PAM. It's responsible for almost $5 trillion in payments a year—roughly $1 billion an hour.

When we got there, we saw that the payments had no payment-categorization code. You could put a payment through with no categorization code and no description—basically, untraceable blank checks. If this were done at a public company, the company would be immediately delisted and the executive team would be thrown in prison. At the government, this is just normal.

We said our recommendation to the Treasury and the Federal Reserve was that payment-categorization codes need to be mandatory, not optional. There also needs to be an explanation. We're not judging the quality of the explanation, but there should be some explanation for what the payment is for. Anything is better than nothing.

That's a radical change to the system, and it's being implemented now. My guess is that it probably saves $100 billion a year.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ. Rough order of magnitude—where was that money going?

Elon Musk

This is where you get into the gray boundary between waste and fraud. If money is sent to a person or organization from the government, and they didn't really deserve it but the government still sent it to them, is that waste or fraud?

There are a lot of payments where someone simply approved the payment, but then that payment officer changed jobs, retired, or died, and the payments just kept going. It's like if you forgot to cancel your gym membership. Now imagine that the gym membership was $20 billion a year, and they forgot to turn it off. That's happening at scale in the government.

Joe Rogan

Jesus, it's totally nuts.

Elon Musk

It's totally insane.

Joe Rogan

What did you expect when you went in? Did you expect it would be like this?

Elon Musk

I thought it would be bad, but I did not think it would be as bad as this. The good news is that it's a target-rich environment for saving money. If it were a very well-run, efficient operation, it would be hard to improve. But it's not efficient, so it's relatively easy to improve.

It's not rocket science.

Joe Rogan

I know rocket science.

Elon Musk

It's a lot of mundane things. Some of the things are so crazy that we didn't even know to ask about them because we just assumed that payments out of the Treasury computer would have a payment-categorization code and an explanatory note saying what the payment was for. The idea that they would be untraceable blank checks didn't occur to us at first.

Joe Rogan

Is that one of the things that accounts for the $4-something trillion that they don't know where it went?

Elon Musk

I think that's probably a cumulative number.

Joe Rogan

Yes.

Elon Musk

If you add it up—

Joe Rogan

Do you remember that story, Jamie? What was the story? It was almost what she said—that they just didn't have accounting for it.

Elon Musk

I think it was spent on legitimate things, but we don't know what we spent it on.

Joe Rogan

How do you know it was spent legitimately if you don't know what it was spent on? That doesn't make any sense.

This is such a fascinating time. With Trump back in after everything that happened to him, with you there, and with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, and Kash Patel, it's a wild time to find out what's really going on. That's never happened before. This is nothing like the first term.

Elon Musk

No. In the first term, he had a bunch of neocons in the Cabinet and a bunch of shady people he didn't know. He had to appoint all these different people. Maybe he got some bad picks. Now he's had 4 years to stew on it, and with all of you going through this, we're getting an understanding of the government that we've literally never had before.

This is a revolutionary Cabinet, and maybe the most revolutionary Cabinet since the first Revolution. This is not a bunch of business-as-usual types. That's why some of the standard confirmations were quite challenging. When you try to appoint people who are going to change the system, the system doesn't want to let them through.

Joe Rogan

It's fascinating because the vampires all out themselves. Now everybody knows who the system is. If you're just lying about us, and then they come on and you talk on television and explain what's happening, it's, "He's starving mothers. There are mothers who can't get food." That's all you're hearing.

Elon Musk

Totally false. No one is talking in any of these mainstream liberal talk shows about all this fraud and waste.

Joe Rogan

Because you're cutting off their graft machine. That's what they're upset about.

Elon Musk

That's the real thing they're upset about.

I want to be clear: These are cuts that DOGE recommends to the department, and usually the recommendations are followed, but they're recommendations that are then confirmed by the department. You can see, line by line, what DOGE has done at DOGE.gov.

Joe Rogan

So what if we put it on DOGE.gov?

Go to DOGE.gov, so you can see everything that is being done. There’s a tracker that shows how much money has been saved.

Elon Musk

You can look at each line item. A bunch of these far-left shows will say, “Oh, it’s a constitutional crisis,” but what they won’t do is point out which payments are wrong. My challenge to them is: point out which payments are wrong. Go through it. Which of these waste and fraud items are wrong? Which line? Explain that line to the public. They won’t be able to.

That’s why you’re not hearing any specifics. You’re hearing stories about mothers. We can name the specifics, line by line. We’ve got the receipts.

Here’s the other thing: if you post the receipts and you’re only talking about the propaganda talking points, but you’re not talking about the very clear fraud and waste, it’s very obvious what you’re doing. You’re just gaslighting.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, totally.

Elon Musk

Exactly. We’re saying, “Look, in fact, I’ve said we’re going to make mistakes. We’re not going to be perfect. If we make a mistake, we’ll quickly fix it.” We need to act fast, so stop wasting billions of dollars of taxpayer money. If we make a mistake, we’ll reverse it quickly.

It’s also this interesting narrative that you shouldn’t have access to this Social Security information, as if no one has had access to it before. As if the Biden administration in 2023 had 53 people, some of them students, who had access to all this stuff.

As it is, there are tens of thousands of federal employees who already have access to the system. Anyone from DOGE has to go through the same vetting process those federal employees went through. It’s not some unvetted, random situation. If, for example, a security clearance is needed, the DOGE person has to have that same security clearance. There’s no reduction in security.

Obviously, vast numbers of Social Security numbers have leaked onto the internet. People have hacked government systems multiple times. Vast amounts of public information have been hacked and dumped onto the internet.

There’s a guy at the IRS who leaked half a million tax returns just a few years ago on purpose.

Joe Rogan

For what reason?

Elon Musk

I think he was trying to get Trump, and maybe me and a few others. He stole 500,000 tax returns. Not a few—not a few. That’s a lot of tax returns.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ. I remember that story now. You just read about it online.

Elon Musk

It’s a real thing. These are the narratives. The narrative is that you shouldn’t have access to Social Security information. The other narrative is that starving people are going to die, and women aren’t going to have nutrients for their babies.

Joe Rogan

That’s all you’re hearing.

Elon Musk

That’s the only thing they can say. They can point to the line item. They can’t say, “This is the thing where the nutrients for pregnant mothers were stopped,” because we didn’t stop that. It’s a lie.

Joe Rogan

What’s fascinating to me is how much the mainstream media is in line with these very specific talking points. You essentially have Fox News on television. It’s the only one that’s pointing out the ridiculous fraud and waste.

I know you saw the Jeff Bezos thing in The Washington Post. They’re going to stop all the wacky editorials and limit that stuff to, I think, “personal liberties and free markets” or something along those lines.

Elon Musk

I think it makes sense because he’s just talking about the things—not the opinion pieces.

Joe Rogan

The opinion pieces.

Elon Musk

The regular journalism stays the same.

Joe Rogan

Well, it’s a detriment to their business. You’re seeing over and over again that people just don’t want to hear all this shit from these people anymore. It’s almost like you’re caught in an outdated version of the virus, and everybody else already has immunity to that virus. You need a new mind virus. The one you’re pushing doesn’t work anymore. It’s too crazy.

Elon Musk

The whole thing is very crazy. The media is incredibly partisan. Almost all the media is left-shifted. It’s weird if you talk to somebody who gets all their information from what I call legacy media. They’re living in a different world than somebody who’s listening to your podcast or getting news from X.

It’s wild. You talk to them and it’s like they’re living in an alternate reality.

Joe Rogan

There are a lot of people I talk to where I have to ask, “Where did you hear that?”

Elon Musk

The Associated Press—which I call Associated Propaganda, the AP—ran an international news story saying that DOGE fired air traffic controllers. We didn’t fire any air traffic controllers at all. In fact, we’re trying to hire air traffic controllers, not fire them.

Joe Rogan

I saw that. You made a tweet about it, right? What do you call it now? Do you call it a post?

Elon Musk

Whatever. You can’t call it a tweet, though. Do you accidentally call it a tweet?

Joe Rogan

I don’t know.

Elon Musk

If somebody posts a 2-hour-long video, that’s not a tweet. It’s a post.

Joe Rogan

It’s a post.

Elon Musk

Good point.

Joe Rogan

Yeah, for sure.

Elon Musk

I put up a post about it saying that we need highly qualified air traffic controllers. If you retired and would consider doing it again, we could use you.

A lot of really qualified air traffic controllers were pushed out because of DEI. Not to be blunt, but a bunch of really talented old white guys were pushed out. That’s not cool.

There’s a talent shortage in air traffic control because of DEI and because of not hiring people on merit. It’s crazy that that worked. We should not put public safety at risk because of some demented philosophy.

Joe Rogan

Somebody made a post today about DEI infiltrating the NSA. Did you see any of that?

Elon Musk

That was some gnarly stuff.

Joe Rogan

It was crazy.

Elon Musk

It started off as this fringe thing where people would meet up, and then it completely infiltrated the organization. They were spending all their time there—400 people or something—in some chat sex chat room with extremely demented stuff.

Joe Rogan

Yeah. I saw it. I’ll send it to you, Jamie, because it’s so kooky.

Elon Musk

What? This is the NSA? I thought the NSA was all about information and spying on people if there was a national threat or something.

Joe Rogan

I think this is exactly it. It says, “More than 100 intelligence staffers will be fired over sexually explicit texts in NSA chat rooms,” Gabbard says.

A top intelligence official told Watters that the workers in question were brazen and using an NSA platform intended for professional use to conduct this horrific behavior.

Elon Musk

What was the behavior? What exactly did they do? Do they say in this article?

Joe Rogan

It says employees participated in the NSA’s obscene, pornographic, and sexually explicit chat rooms. Your tax dollars at work.

Elon Musk

It was all DEI. It was all LGBTQ stuff. There was a lot of transition stuff.

Joe Rogan

I definitely saved it, but the point is that it had infiltrated the organization. That’s not what they should be talking about at all. They’re supposed to be protecting the country.

People were talking about how they were spending half their time in these meetings and constantly having to attend things where they talked about these issues. What are you doing? If you have a problem with someone who’s discriminatory, get rid of that person. That’s it. You have someone who’s openly homophobic in your business? They can’t work there. That’s it. You don’t have to have meetings constantly promoting this. You’re not going to change someone’s opinion by berating them over and over again.

Elon Musk

A work environment should be professional. People should get the job done that they’re being paid to do. They’re obviously not supposed to be getting paid for bizarre sexcapades.

Joe Rogan

It’s fascinating that the virus was so strong that it made it into the NSA.

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

You would think those are some hard-nosed, tough people doing hard work.

Elon Musk

The CIA too. The CIA was in there.

Joe Rogan

They were in there too, which is bananas. You would think they were tough people doing hard work who can spy on you whenever they want.

Elon Musk

And get revenge on you whenever they want.

Joe Rogan

Yeah.

Elon Musk

It’s pretty wild. These organizations exist when the president leaves. People move around, but you stay part of the organization for your entire career. You get deeply entrenched in their system and how things work—who’s a backstabber, who’s a bad guy, who’s a good guy, who’s on our side, and who’s not.

Joe Rogan

It’s scary.

So what’s taking so long with these Epstein files? What’s up with that?

Elon Musk

What is up with that? It’s like Lucy and the football with Charlie Brown. She always pulls the football away. It’s the same thing. They keep telling us they’re going to release it.

Joe Rogan

Day 1.

Elon Musk

Day 1. We have a serious case of no one’s-being-arrested phobia.

Joe Rogan

What the fuck is going on?

Elon Musk

There’s also this real fear that someone is destroying the evidence. You keep hearing these unsubstantiated stories of FBI people asking, “Where’s the evidence?” The guy had tons of videos and recordings.

Joe Rogan

He had all sorts of things.

Elon Musk

There’s a mountain of evidence. Where’s that mountain? What would be the reason for them to agree not to put it out? There would have to be something in it for them—some financial entanglement, some relationship with the people on that list, something valuable enough for them not to release it, or to slowly release it and hope they can get away with putting out some redacted files that don’t show anything.

“This is only stage 1. Don’t worry. The real stuff is coming.”

That doesn’t make any sense. Why wouldn’t you just release it all? What could possibly be worth protecting in there?

Joe Rogan

I don’t know. I’m just reading what’s on X. I’m looking at my X feed and seeing what the latest thing is. It’s a real page-turner.

Elon Musk

I thought we were going to get some revelations. It was like big binders full of stuff. There’s got to be something in there.

Joe Rogan

All those people who were given a copy were waving it around. They got the Willy Wonka ticket.

Elon Musk

Totally.

Joe Rogan

And what happened?

Elon Musk

Nothing.

Joe Rogan

Nothing.

Elon Musk

I think Laura Loomer released it online.

Joe Rogan

I’m watching Twitter.

Elon Musk

She’s not very pleased about this.

Joe Rogan

Did anybody find anything in there that was interesting?

Elon Musk

No. It’s all old stuff from 2015.

Joe Rogan

Okay, what the fuck is going on?

Elon Musk

Apparently, they discovered a whole bunch of stuff at the Southern District of New York.

Joe Rogan

That’s what I’m saying. Pam Bondi and Kash Patel are great, but they just got there. They’re in a hostile environment. They’re not in a friendly environment.

Imagine if you suddenly got put in charge of a ship, but the crew was previously your enemy. The entire crew was your enemy, and you’re telling them, “Give me the evidence.” The crew doesn’t want to give you the evidence. They were your mortal enemies a moment ago, and you just got there.

Elon Musk

I think we’ve got to give the attorney general and the new director of the FBI a little bit of slack here because they literally just got there.

Joe Rogan

I think so too. But don’t say you’re going to release it on day 1.

Elon Musk

You shouldn’t have said that.

Joe Rogan

Don’t say you’ve got a big drop coming tomorrow and then release some shit that’s been around forever. It’s disappointing.

What the fuck? Where are the JFK files? Where are those? Let them go.

Elon Musk

Did they release anything on that front?

Joe Rogan

I don’t know what’s going on. It can’t be anything that’s gotten to me yet. If nothing has gotten to me yet, it can’t be significant. If there’s conspiracy evidence, someone’s going to send it to me.

Tim Dillon is going to text me, 100%. Tim Dillon, Dave Smith—someone’s going to send it my way.

Elon Musk

It hasn’t been released yet.

Joe Rogan

You would find out. Here’s the real question: what could even be in there at this point that they haven’t cleared out? If you’ve got paperwork from 1963, what is in there that could possibly be incriminating?

Apparently Trump said, “If you saw what they showed me, you wouldn’t release it either.”

Elon Musk

I haven’t seen it.

Joe Rogan

Kash Patel has. He said he’s seen it all. Can he just post it to his X account?

Elon Musk

That sounds like an Elon move. I don’t think he can. He’s the director of the FBI. I think he has to go through proper channels.

Joe Rogan

He has the channel.

Elon Musk

There are rules.

Joe Rogan

He sounds like Trump. He needs an executive order.

What about the storm? “I am the storm.” What channels does he need? He is the channel.

Elon Musk

Imagine just getting to the hull—or just getting to the deck—of the ship and being the captain. Now you have to figure out who’s running things, who’s doing what, and where everything is. You’re trying to get anything done, but the crew hates your guts. They were your enemy. They’re strongly opposed to anything you want to do, and you’re trying to give them orders while exposing them. They don’t want to be exposed.

People who are working there are probably part of the problem. I was reading on X that Comey’s daughter is the lead prosecutor in the Southern District of New York.

Joe Rogan

Did you read that?

Elon Musk

Yes. There’s obviously an entanglement there. What if there’s something that puts her dad in a bad light?

Joe Rogan

Exactly. She’s a fucking shredder. Hit that delete button.

Did you see General Flynn? He was on a podcast and spoke directly to James Comey.

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

He said, “Jim, you’re going to jail, unless you give up someone deeper than you. You know who that is. You know who I’m talking about.”

Elon Musk

That is wild. I think the former director of the FBI might really be in that deep shit. It seems like he was doing some evil, corrupt shit while running the FBI. There’s some very shady stuff that’s been going on.

Joe Rogan

It seems like it definitely happened in the ’60s. Everybody admits that the FBI killed Black Panthers. They did a lot of shit. There’s a lot of stuff that went on that we know the government did way back in the day.

Why don’t we just data-dump the files? Go in there, take photos of all the papers, presumably paper, post it online, and let the chips fall where they may.

Elon Musk

Is it presumably all in some filing cabinet somewhere?

Joe Rogan

I don’t know. Where is it? Where’s the magic filing cabinet? How are they hiding it? Who has access to it? This is what I was hoping for on day 1.

Elon Musk

It’s taking a lot longer than that. Let’s say you were made director of the FBI.

Joe Rogan

I might be able to find it.

Elon Musk

That’s what’s crazy. What’s Dan Bongino doing now?

Joe Rogan

He’s one of the big dogs of the FBI. He’s a former Secret Service guy. He’s legitimate, but people think of him as a Fox News guy, just like Pete Hegseth. They don’t want to think about his distinguished military career. They want to say, “That Fox News guy.”

Elon Musk

Deputy director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation.

Joe Rogan

Dan’s hardcore. If it’s reasonably findable, I think he’s going to find it.

Elon Musk

This is between him and Kash. I think they’re going to get stuff.

Joe Rogan

How crazy would it be if they couldn’t? If everybody shuts their mouth and covers their ass, how crazy would it be?

Elon Musk

Is it an FBI computer where you type in a search?

Joe Rogan

I just like the basic mechanism here. It’s either in a filing cabinet, in paper, with progressive levels of security: “Open this door. Do you have the pass for this level?” You unlock one level, then another level, and eventually there’s a laptop.

Elon Musk

You’ve got to plug it in.

Joe Rogan

It’s in a SCIF.

Elon Musk

This is why I think a live tour of Fort Knox would be awesome. We could actually see whether the gold is there or not. They say it is, but is it real? Did somebody spray-paint some lead?

Joe Rogan

Imagine if it’s not all there. Some of it’s missing.

Elon Musk

Where did it go? What if half of it is missing? How do we even know?

Joe Rogan

They said the last time they let someone look at it was decades ago.

Elon Musk

I believe the last formal audit was in the ’50s.

Joe Rogan

Oh, my God. Just think about all the other stuff you’ve pointed out—the checks that go out, the NGO payments, the Social Security people. Think about all of that, and now apply it to the gold.

Elon Musk

Absolutely.

Joe Rogan

I want to emphasize the sheer madness of the government. They have the magic-money computers, so the checks never bounce for the federal government. You don’t have the normal corrective mechanism you’d have for a company or an individual. The checks always clear.

Elon Musk

The net result is inflation, which is effectively a tax on everyone. The Defense Department hasn’t passed an audit in I don’t know how many years.

Joe Rogan

Seven years.

Elon Musk

Exactly. You’d have to be fucking Chuck Norris to get the Defense Department to pass an audit. That’s the level of skill you need.

Joe Rogan

This would never be tolerated in any functional business.

Elon Musk

The Pentagon’s accounting error—the stuff they lose in the couch cushions—is $20 billion or $30 billion a year. They don’t know where it went.

Joe Rogan

It’s gone.

Elon Musk

Where did it go?

Joe Rogan

It’s gone. It’s so insane.

Elon Musk

That’s why I said even simple things, like requiring outgoing payments from the Treasury computer to have a payment code and a comment explaining what the payment is about, along with somebody to call about the payment, would have a powerful effect in stopping wasteful outflows and fraud.

Joe Rogan

Imagine if there are people like you and the DOGE team out there in the world, and one of those people works for an organization like the NSA or any other organization, but has evil intentions. They’re entwined in the system for decades, they’ve built a career, and they have all these entanglements.

If they start moving shit around, you could probably do it easily. The way you’ve laid it out, if you were a career person who had been there forever and knew how everything worked, you could make some shit happen. You could probably do it in conjunction with people you know who are forming an NGO.

Elon Musk

“Hey, let’s all work together.”

Joe Rogan

This is the resistance you’re facing.

Elon Musk

I think it’s the biggest scam of all time.

Joe Rogan

The biggest scam of all time?

Elon Musk

Ever. In human history.

Joe Rogan

Wow. I think you’re right.

Elon Musk

How? What else? Probably a trillion-dollar scam. There’s never been a trillion-dollar scam.

Joe Rogan

You never set out to do this. This was not a career aspiration.

Elon Musk

No. This is the most absurd outcome I can possibly imagine.

DOGE also started as a meme coin. It was a joke cryptocurrency involving memes and dogs.

Joe Rogan

It’s funny that the letters wound up being perfect.

Elon Musk

I was originally going to call it the Government Efficiency Commission, which is a very boring name. People online said, “No, it needs to be the Department of Government Efficiency.” I said, “You’re right.”

Joe Rogan

Of course, of course, of course. It’s more evidence of the simulation. The mascot is a cute dog, and it’s a meme coin. The meme coin is probably worth a lot of money right now. Every time you tweet about it, it probably shoots up.

Elon Musk

I don’t know.

Joe Rogan

The whole meme-coin thing is bananas.

Elon Musk

It is bananas. People dump real money into these coins, and then you can pump them up and sell them. It’s like a casino.

Joe Rogan

It’s totally gambling.

Elon Musk

People just do whatever the greater fool does. It’s musical chairs, and whoever’s the last to sit down loses.

Joe Rogan

Somehow or another, it’s still legal.

Elon Musk

Not too many people expect to win at a casino. If you expect to win at a casino, you’re being a fool. If you expect to win at meme coins, you’re being foolish.

Joe Rogan

You’re not going to win at meme coins.

Elon Musk

If you want to have some fun, don’t sink your life savings into a meme coin. You can gamble a little, ride waves, win a little, lose a little. If you want to have some fun, play with meme coins. But don’t put your entire life savings into a meme coin at the risk of saying something bold and outrageous.

Joe Rogan

The weird thing is the pump-and-dumps. People do it all the time, and then they’re shocked that somebody pump-and-dumped.

“What are you doing? I was hoping to dump. I was hoping to make all the money out of this. I can’t believe they got me.”

Elon Musk

It’s weird that it’s still legal. Casinos are legal, and people lose money at casinos, but you can’t rig a casino like a pump-and-dump. You can rig a pump-and-dump. You can run a real pyramid scheme.

Joe Rogan

The government is one giant pyramid scheme, if you ask me.

Elon Musk

Social Security is the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time.

Joe Rogan

Explain that.

Elon Musk

People pay into Social Security, and the money goes out of Social Security immediately. But the obligation for Social Security lasts your entire retirement career. If you look at the future obligations of Social Security, they far exceed the tax revenue.

Joe Rogan

Have you ever looked at the debt clock?

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

There’s the present-day debt, but then there are future obligations.

Elon Musk

When you look at the future obligations of Social Security, the actual national debt is about double what people think it is because of those future obligations.

People are living much longer than expected, and fewer babies are being born. You have more people who are retired, living for a long time, and receiving retirement payments. The future obligations are enormous.

Joe Rogan

So how bad the financial situation is right now for the federal government will be much worse in the future.

Elon Musk

We better fix what we have right now, because if it’s bad now, it’s going to be much worse in the future.

Joe Rogan

Did you see the interview with the woman who was a whistleblower? Did we ever find out if that was true?

Elon Musk

There are so many whistles being blown that it’s hard to keep track.

Joe Rogan

This one woman—it was only in one state, a very specific instance, I believe. It was using Social Security money, correct?

Elon Musk

That was her allegation. She alleged that she was in charge of turning illegal immigrants into clients. That’s what they would call them. She would ask them, “Do you have a headache? Do you have back problems?” If they did, she would tell them that they could now be permanently disabled and receive permanent disability.

Joe Rogan

Social Security for life.

Elon Musk

Not just Social Security, but disability, which is even more. They would get it immediately, on the taxpayer’s dime.

Joe Rogan

And they’re illegal aliens.

4. Immigration Reshapes Elections

Elon Musk

If I were to say what’s at the heart of why the Democrat propaganda machine is so fired up to destroy me, the main reason is entitlement fraud. That includes Social Security Disability, Medicaid, and entitlement fraud for illegal aliens.

That fraud acts as a gigantic magnetic force to pull people in from all around the world and keep them here. If you pay people a standard of living that is above 90% of Earth, you have a powerful incentive for 90% of Earth to come here and stay here.

If you end the illegal-alien fraud, you turn off that magnet. They leave, they stop coming, and many of the ones who are here will simply leave. If that happens, Democrats will lose a massive number of voters.

Joe Rogan

And if it didn’t happen, they would turn those people into voters.

Elon Musk

Correct. They’re already doing that. In New York state, illegal aliens can already vote in state and city elections. A lot of people don’t know that. They’re trying to fight that and stop it, but it’s currently there. I think about 600,000 illegal aliens in New York are registered to vote.

Joe Rogan

That is wild.

Elon Musk

If you look at FEMA, the agency paying for illegal aliens to stay in luxury hotels in New York was FEMA. That’s an agency meant to support Americans in distress from natural disasters. It was paying for luxury hotels for illegals in New York.

Joe Rogan

That’s a fact.

Elon Musk

When we stopped those payments, because it was obviously an insane way to spend taxpayer money, New York sued the federal government to get the money. You can look at their lawsuit. They were sending that money even after President Trump signed an executive order saying it needed to stop. They still pressed on with $80 million for luxury hotels in New York.

Your tax money went to pay for illegal aliens in luxury hotels in New York, from an agency meant to help Americans in distress from natural disasters.

Joe Rogan

I’d like to know how much they spent on North Carolina and how much they spent on Maui.

Elon Musk

Exactly.

Joe Rogan

What’s actually happened is that they’re buying voters. It’s a giant voter-importing scam.

Elon Musk

They’re importing voters. It’s really just a matter of time. A lot of people have trouble believing this, but the more you look at it, the more you’ll realize how much of a problem it is.

It’s not just real. In my view, it is an attempt to destroy democracy in America. If you look at the 7 swing states, the margin of victory is often maybe 20,000 votes. If you put 200,000 illegals in those states and they have an 80% likelihood of voting, and it’s only a matter of time before they become citizens, those swing states will not be swing states in the future.

If they’re not swing states, we’ll be a permanent one-party country—a permanent deep-blue socialist state. That’s what America will become. That was the game plan, and it’s still the game plan. They almost succeeded.

If the machine represented by the Kamala puppet had won, that’s what would have happened. The reason I went so hard for Trump was because, to me, this was a fork in the road—a very obvious fork in the road.

If they had another 4 years, they would legalize enough illegals in the swing states to make them no longer swing states. Then they would win the presidency, the House, and the Senate. They would make Washington, D.C., a state, maybe give Puerto Rico 4 extra senators, and pack the Supreme Court.

Then you would have the House, judiciary, Senate, and presidency all blue. They would keep importing more illegals to cement that outcome. That’s essentially what happened in California.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ.

Elon Musk

It would have been the end. That’s why I went so hard for Trump. Otherwise, it would have been the end. That’s why the Democrat machine is so intent on destroying me.

Joe Rogan

It’s fascinating that people can’t see this.

Elon Musk

I invite people to do their research. The more research they do, the more they’ll see that what I’m saying is true.

Joe Rogan

It’s like, just do the research.

Even for Democrats, it’s such a bad idea. They don’t understand that it’s not ultimately going to work out.

Elon Musk

It’s the same people. They’re doing it under the guise that they’re compassionate and kind and progressive, but the same outcome takes place. It’s about control.

Joe Rogan

They’ll probably institute a central-bank digital currency, a social-credit-score system, and censorship.

Elon Musk

Of course.

Joe Rogan

That was the big fear coming into this election: if they can censor things.

There were 2 major forks in the road. The big one was that Trump didn’t get shot.

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

The other big one was you buying Twitter.

Elon Musk

If those 2 things hadn’t happened, the whole world would look different.

Joe Rogan

We don’t want to be on that timeline.

Elon Musk

We don’t want only one side represented. They’ll hijack whatever side it is and use it for money and control. That’s what it’s all about. It’s not good people versus bad people. It’s a shell game.

The basic incentive is easy to understand. The more illegals Democrats bring in, the more likely they are to win. That’s what they’re going to do, and that’s what they have been doing. It worked in California. California has a Democratic supermajority.

Joe Rogan

Look at all the companies leaving California.

Elon Musk

In-N-Out just announced that they’re leaving their headquarters in California and moving to Tennessee.

California also made health care free for illegals as of last year. That’s a gigantic magnet for more illegals.

This is not something you can solve simply with money. You have more patients than a doctor can possibly see. You can’t just make doctors out of nothing. It takes a long time for someone to become a doctor—about 10 years.

What actually happens in California is that there are too many patients for doctors to see, so the average citizen suffers. The elite in California are fine because they have private doctors and can pay for the best doctors. The average citizen is not doing fine.

The tax burden for health care for illegals was supposed to be $3 billion. I think they now estimate it at $9 billion, but that number will scale to infinity. Why not come to California from anywhere on Earth and have any operation be free?

Joe Rogan

The people who look at it in the most charitable way say, “These people are hardworking, good people. They’re the backbone of our city. They should have access to everything we have access to.”

They don’t understand that it’s a political pawn. This isn’t being done out of compassion and kindness.

Elon Musk

It’s done to ensure that the state stays blue.

Joe Rogan

Correct.

Elon Musk

It’s essentially bribery with your tax dollars. This is why Democrats will not even deport criminals. Every criminal deported is a lost vote.

Even if somebody is an illegal immigrant with a criminal record and commits a crime in America, they still aren’t being deported. On top of that, California made it illegal to ask for ID when people vote.

Joe Rogan

California and New York—you’re not allowed to show your ID when you vote.

Elon Musk

I want to be clear so everyone understands this: in California and New York, you are not allowed to show your ID, even if you want to.

Joe Rogan

Why would that ever be a good idea?

Elon Musk

If you’re trying to facilitate election fraud, it’s a great idea. There’s no other reason it would be a good idea. It’s for fraud. Wake up.

Joe Rogan

If you wanted to commit fraud, what are the things you would do? You’d say you don’t need ID, you can mail in your ballot, and we’ll give you free health care.

Elon Musk

Stay here.

Joe Rogan

Stay here. I know it’s on fire, but stay here. In this case, “on fire” is not just a metaphor. An entire neighborhood is burning down in California.

Elon Musk

Once they allowed people who aren’t legal to vote in California, it’s over. There’s no coming back from that. The numbers are just too large.

Joe Rogan

People are so indoctrinated. There are so many people who think voting Republican means you’re an asshole, and they won’t do it. They’ll put their rainbow flag on their porch and ride it right into the beach.

Elon Musk

Civilizational suicide.

Joe Rogan

Right to the rocks. Bang, crash, the boat.

There’s a guy who posts on X who’s a great guy—a friend of mine. He’s been on the podcast a bunch of times.

Elon Musk

He’s awesome.

Joe Rogan

He’s great. He talks about suicidal empathy.

Elon Musk

If there’s so much empathy that you actually suicide yourself.

Joe Rogan

We’ve got civilizational suicidal empathy going on.

Elon Musk

I believe in empathy. You should care about other people, but you need to have empathy for civilization as a whole and not commit civilizational suicide.

Joe Rogan

Don’t let someone use your empathy against you so they can completely control your state and manage it insanely badly without ever being removed.

Elon Musk

The fundamental weakness of Western civilization is the empathy response. They’re exploiting a bug in Western civilization: the empathy response.

Empathy is good, but you need to think it through and not just be programmed like a robot.

Joe Rogan

Understand when empathy is being used as a tool.

Elon Musk

Weaponized empathy is the issue.

Joe Rogan

It’s also the rigid adherence to liberal ideology. You can’t switch sides over there. In California, if you’re part of the tech, Hollywood, or entertainment circles, you’re on the left—almost completely. It’s borderline illegal to be a Republican in California.

Elon Musk

In San Francisco or Los Angeles, it’s borderline illegal to be a Republican. You’re certainly shunned.

In San Francisco, you could shoot heroin while taking a dump on the mayor’s car in front of City Hall and nothing would happen to you. But if you walk down the street with a MAGA hat, you’re going to get attacked.

Joe Rogan

It’s insane. It’s also so Orwellian that a hat saying “Make America Great Again” would cause people to have a violent reaction. Aren’t you American? Wouldn’t “make America great again” be a good thing for everyone?

Because it’s attached to Donald Trump and that red hat, you’ll get maced for wearing it. They’ll make America worse by beating you because you want to make America great again.

It’s like a scene in a book. It doesn’t seem like it could be that ridiculous.

Remember when “All lives matter” would get you fired?

Elon Musk

That’s insane.

Joe Rogan

People got fired because they said “All lives matter,” which is a very reasonable thing to say. It means everybody matters.

Elon Musk

That’s all you’re saying.

Joe Rogan

You were supposed to say “Black lives matter,” which of course they do. If you say “All lives matter,” everybody matters. But the idea of being a colorblind society was completely abandoned somewhere around 2012.

Elon Musk

I can trace it to when the gun emoji got nerfed. When did it turn into a squirt gun?

Joe Rogan

A couple of years ago. I think 2016.

Elon Musk

Can you bring it back on X?

Joe Rogan

If you use a gun emoji on X, Apple insists that it be a squirt gun, and then the X app turns it back into a 1911.

Elon Musk

That’s great.

Joe Rogan

We reverted Apple’s change inside the app.

Elon Musk

That’s hilarious. The gun is so offensive. The gun emoji and the pregnant-man emoji both got me saying, “What the fuck?”

Joe Rogan

I like that meme where it says the people telling you that what you’re hearing is disinformation are the same people who created the pregnant-man emoji.

Elon Musk

Think about that.

Joe Rogan

The same people said a woman attacked a Tesla factory.

Elon Musk

It’s a dude.

Joe Rogan

It’s a dude. A very obvious, very big, mentally ill dude with a wig on.

Elon Musk

NBC even referred to him as a woman.

Joe Rogan

You’re looking at the picture and thinking, “This is a dude.” He has the wrong jawline. He’s wearing woman-face. He’s a buff dude.

Elon Musk

Come on. That’s not a woman.

Joe Rogan

They say, “Watch out for disinformation.” What are you talking about?

Elon Musk

It’s more evidence of the virus. It killed objectivity, killed reality, and demanded strict adherence or you were attacked.

Joe Rogan

How much responsibility do you feel knowing that if you hadn’t taken over Twitter and turned it into X, the world would be a very different place right now?

How long have you owned it?

Elon Musk

A couple of years, basically.

Joe Rogan

Imagine a couple more years of it being run the way it was before, probably accelerating. My account would have been suspended long ago.

Elon Musk

For sure.

Joe Rogan

Just for disinformation. Trump would never have come back. Alex Jones definitely never would have been back.

Does that weigh on you? I’d feel like that would be a heavy responsibility.

Elon Musk

I’m just trying to keep civilization going for longer. I think we at least want to build a city on Mars and become a multiplanetary civilization, which I think would be incredibly important in ensuring the long-term survival of civilization.

Joe Rogan

Are you still rescuing those people who are stuck in the space station?

Elon Musk

Yes. That’s coming up in a couple of weeks, I think.

Joe Rogan

They’ve been up there for how long, Jamie? They were supposed to be there for a couple of days.

Elon Musk

They were supposed to be up there for about 8 days, and they’ve been up there for about 8 months.

Joe Rogan

Fuck. What is it going to be like for those people when they get back? They’re going to be a wreck for a long time, right?

Elon Musk

The longer you stay up there, the more bone loss you get. It ended up being a political football and a hotly contested topic.

We offered to bring them back early, but that offer was rejected by the Biden administration.

Joe Rogan

Why?

Elon Musk

For political reasons.

Joe Rogan

That’s so crazy. There’s no way they were going to make anyone supporting Trump look good.

What do you think they would have done if they had won?

Elon Musk

They would have gotten those people back.

Joe Rogan

No, they could only get them back with a SpaceX spacecraft. They pushed the return date past the inauguration date.

Elon Musk

They would have allowed us to do it after the inauguration.

Joe Rogan

So they would have authorized you after the inauguration?

Elon Musk

Yes.

Joe Rogan

There isn’t anyone else who can do it?

Elon Musk

NASA can’t get them. The SpaceX Dragon spacecraft is the only one considered safe enough to bring them back. NASA concluded that the Boeing spacecraft was not safe.

Joe Rogan

Holy shit.

Elon Musk

You can’t ask Russia to help.

Joe Rogan

That would be awkward.

Elon Musk

It would be nice if they did. For enough money, they probably would, but they would obviously treat it as a propaganda victory and charge a crazy amount of money.

Joe Rogan

It’s disgusting that they would use that as a political tool.

Elon Musk

The Biden administration was also suing SpaceX. They had a massive lawsuit against SpaceX for not hiring asylum seekers.

Joe Rogan

People say you’re making it up and that the Biden administration wasn’t against SpaceX.

Elon Musk

The Department of Justice had a massive lawsuit against SpaceX for not hiring asylum seekers, even though it is illegal for us to hire anyone who is not a permanent resident.

There’s a law saying you have to hire asylum seekers, but there’s also a law saying anyone hired by a rocket company—which is an advanced-weapons-technology company—must be a permanent resident. If an asylum seeker is not a permanent resident, it is both legal and illegal to hire asylum seekers.

Joe Rogan

Why would the Biden administration launch a massive lawsuit against SpaceX?

Elon Musk

It was extremely antagonistic. It doesn’t make any sense. How could that get past the first day of someone looking at it? If it’s both illegal and you’re trying to enforce it, you can’t enforce it.

This is an advanced-weapons company. International Traffic in Arms Regulations is a law designed to ensure that only permanent residents of the United States can work at advanced-weapons companies. Rockets are advanced weapons.

The same is true if you’re dealing with nuclear technology or biological weapons. If somebody worked at SpaceX and then left for North Korea or Iran, they could build missile technology that could destroy the United States. That’s why you’re not allowed to hire people who aren’t permanent residents.

Joe Rogan

Logical. Basic logic.

Elon Musk

The lawsuit was dismissed.

Joe Rogan

How long was it going on?

Elon Musk

A couple of years.

Joe Rogan

Holy shit.

Elon Musk

That’s the other thing that drives me crazy. People don’t understand that if you sanction lawfare and sanction attacking your political enemies, someone is going to do that to you if the wrong people get in office.

If new people get into office 4 or 8 years from now, who knows who it’s going to be? You’ve already set a precedent. You already attacked someone, charged them with 34 felonies when they were really misdemeanors, and they were past the statute of limitations. Now you repeat everywhere that this is a “convicted felon.”

That lawsuit was funded by Reed Hoffman, who is a major Democratic donor and also an Epstein client.

Joe Rogan

The plot thickens.

Elon Musk

The plot thickens.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ. It’s so blatant. The SpaceX lawsuit, the Trump stuff—it’s obvious.

Elon Musk

The known Epstein clients are obviously extremely powerful politically and very wealthy. Bill Clinton, Reed Hoffman, and some others are implicated.

Joe Rogan

Why was Reid Hoffman so intent on destroying Trump?

Elon Musk

One of the reasons may be that they’re worried about the list coming out.

Joe Rogan

It’s frustrating that the list still isn’t coming out.

Elon Musk

Hopefully tomorrow.

Joe Rogan

Why did they release that stuff today? What’s the point of giving people a folder to wave around in front of the camera when there’s nothing new in it?

Elon Musk

It’s not encouraging. The difficult thing is that they’ve been made captain of a ship with a hostile crew. They don’t have magical powers. If you’re made captain of a ship with a hostile crew, you still have a hostile crew.

You have to bring in people who are going to be helpful instead of obstructionist.

Joe Rogan

The public is going to be frustrated if no one is prosecuted for the Epstein client list.

Elon Musk

No one at all.

Joe Rogan

You don’t know whether it’s the top 5, but some number of people should be prosecuted. There should at least be an attempted prosecution of the worst offenders.

Elon Musk

Particularly if Ghislaine Maxwell is in jail for sex trafficking.

Joe Rogan

Sex trafficking occurred. She’s in jail for it. So who were the clients?

How do you put someone in jail and not even name the clients? That sounds insane.

Elon Musk

It would be stunning if they could hold it back for so long.

Joe Rogan

When people say people can’t keep secrets, what the fuck are you talking about? Look at this.

Elon Musk

A bunch of these things are common knowledge, but we don’t actually have proof. The proof is there. There are lots of videos.

Joe Rogan

The guy had a mountain of evidence. When they raided Epstein’s place, there must have been a mountain of evidence. Where is that mountain?

Elon Musk

Who took possession of the evidence?

Joe Rogan

Who specifically? Where are the tapes?

Elon Musk

How many levels of clearance do I need to get into the vault?

Joe Rogan

We need people who are really good with computers.

Elon Musk

And really good with technology.

Joe Rogan

Remember seeing this photo? When they raided his home, they were there on the island.

Elon Musk

They got everything, I’m sure. There must have been so much stuff on that island.

Joe Rogan

There must have been.

Elon Musk

If it wasn’t there, where was it? It has to be uploaded somewhere. There has to be a chain of evidence or chain of custody. There’s got to be a mountain of evidence.

Joe Rogan

Who took possession of it?

Elon Musk

The other thing they’re going to talk about is UAPs. They’re going to release all the UAP information. You’re the guy to ask about this.

What possibility is there that some sort of advanced propulsion technology is being worked on in secret and they’re trying to cover it up with talk of aliens and alien technology? Is it possible that there’s a secret program, in concert with defense contractors, developing advanced propulsion systems that they’re using for these drones?

I mean, SpaceX has the most advanced rocket technology in the world. I think I’d know.

Joe Rogan

You’d think you would.

Elon Musk

To the best of my knowledge, there’s no magic there. There isn’t some super-advanced propulsion technology. People have theorized different gravity drives and different propulsion systems, but has anything gotten past the theoretical stage?

Joe Rogan

Has anything even gotten past the theoretical stage?

Elon Musk

Nothing that I’m aware of works even in theory. I would like this to exist, to be clear. I have top-top-secret security clearance. I have the equivalent of an all-access pass from a security-clearance standpoint, so I don’t think they’re hiding it from me.

I don’t think they could, unless it’s completely inside weapons-manufacturing corporations. I know these weapons manufacturers—Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop. They do interesting things, but they don’t have a breakthrough. I’m confident they don’t have a breakthrough.

Joe Rogan

When you hear people ask why these companies don’t just compete with SpaceX and make a better rocket, why are they holding back from making money by beating SpaceX with better rockets?

My thought was that maybe it’s just a drone. You can’t have a biological entity inside of it because it bursts from the speed it’s moving at. A human couldn’t tolerate the force, so maybe they’re just drones.

Elon Musk

I don’t think so.

Joe Rogan

What do you think people like Ryan Graves and Commander David Fravor are seeing?

Elon Musk

I want cool things to exist. Do I want UFOs to exist? Yes. It would be really interesting.

Joe Rogan

Everybody does.

Elon Musk

It would be a more boring world if UFOs didn’t exist, or if advanced-propulsion technology didn’t exist. I hope we find something. I have not seen anything that convinces me.

Joe Rogan

SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass into orbit. If you take all of Earth’s rocket launchers, SpaceX has 90% of the market. China has about 5%, and the rest of the world—including Boeing, Lockheed, and Northrop—has 5%.

Why wouldn’t they use this technology to defeat SpaceX?

Elon Musk

It would make sense.

Joe Rogan

What do you think these people are seeing? You have reliable people like Commander David Fravor, who had that infamous Tic Tac experience off the coast of San Diego. They got this thing on video and tracked it going from 50,000 feet above sea level to 50 feet in about a second.

Elon Musk

Okay.

Joe Rogan

They also have video evidence of it accelerating at incredible speed, with eyewitness accounts from 2 different jets.

Elon Musk

Does anybody have a high-resolution video or photo of this thing?

Joe Rogan

There’s video of it locked on, and then it shoots off the frame.

Elon Musk

Whatever systems they used on fighter jets in 2004 were potentially running Windows 95.

Joe Rogan

Someone plotted the resolution of UFOs, and it’s stayed flat despite cameras going from low megapixels to incredibly high resolution.

Elon Musk

According to Christopher Mellon, who worked in the State Department, they have high-resolution photos and videos of these things.

Joe Rogan

That’s all he’s seen. It’s all locked away.

Elon Musk

When people tell me that, I say, “Don’t tell me that. Just leak it. Put it out there. Let it slip.”

There are a couple of photos, but they’re grainy. There isn’t one thing I’ve ever looked at and thought, “Holy shit, that’s it. That’s what I’ve been looking for.”

You could ask Grok right now to create a high-resolution image of an alien spacecraft over Austin, and it would do a great job. Why don’t we have at least that?

Joe Rogan

I want to believe. That’s the problem. My brain starts saying, “Come on. This is no fun.” I want it to be real. I want there to be at least some advanced-propulsion system.

What are all these people seeing? If we’re not occasionally visited by things that are smart enough to hide, we might be.

Elon Musk

These aliens are very subtle.

Joe Rogan

You keep saying that. It’s a good line.

Elon Musk

It’s a solid line because it’s pretty accurate.

Joe Rogan

I want to see high-resolution video of aliens. How are they evading all the cameras? The ones we do get are just some far-away light moving strangely. It could be a lot of things, but I want to believe.

Elon Musk

There have been multiple times when the Air Force or Navy has called SpaceX and said they thought they saw aliens. We ask, “Was it at this time, on this date, in this location?” They say yes. We ask, “How do you know that’s us?” They’re our satellites.

Joe Rogan

People see the SpaceX satellites moving by all the time.

Elon Musk

They’re moving at 16,000 miles per hour, so they’re pretty fast. There are also things the United States government has that get mistaken for UFOs.

Joe Rogan

I remember the first time I saw a stealth bomber. We were filming Fear Factor, right after the war had broken out in 2003. They were flying a stealth bomber down in Palmdale. I thought, “Holy shit.” If I didn’t know what it was, I would 100% think it was from another world.

Elon Musk

When you see cool shit, it’s cool.

Joe Rogan

It looks like something from Battlestar Galactica.

Elon Musk

They’re not stealthy against any advanced radar system, by the way.

Joe Rogan

It doesn’t work anymore?

Elon Musk

It doesn’t work against advanced radar.

Joe Rogan

It’s only old-school stuff?

Elon Musk

They’re only stealthy against old radars. They’re not invisible.

Joe Rogan

Did you see when Lex and I watched the rocket get caught live? To see it actually happen in real time was one of the coolest things. You’re watching it and thinking, “Wow, we’re in the future.”

Elon Musk

Nobody else can do that.

Joe Rogan

That’s a fact.

Elon Musk

It’s pretty wild.

Joe Rogan

It’s because you’re an alien.

Elon Musk

It’s time you understood that.

Joe Rogan

You keep trying to tell people you’re an alien, but they don’t believe you.

Elon Musk

I believe you.

Joe Rogan

Thank you. My suspicion all along was that you’re a friendly alien.

Elon Musk

I’m trying to get back to my own planet.

Joe Rogan

There’s nothing wrong with aliens. I like people from everywhere—even other planets.

5. SpaceX Chases Full Reuse

What’s next? Now that you can catch rockets, what’s the ultimate expression of rocket technology? What comes after this?

Elon Musk

The fundamental breakthrough we’re aiming for at SpaceX is a fully and rapidly reusable orbital rocket, where both stages are fully and rapidly reusable.

With the Falcon rocket, we can reuse the main stage and the nose cone, but we can’t reuse the upper stage. It takes at least a few days from when the main stage lands until we can fly it again. It’s not fully reusable because we lose the upper stage, which costs $10 million to build.

The main stage also isn’t as reusable as an aircraft. You can’t just refuel it and fly it. It requires work for a couple of days.

The Starship design is the first design capable of full and rapid reusability. Once you have full and rapid reusability, the cost of access to space drops by a factor of 100—100 times cheaper. By some metrics, it’s 1,000 times cheaper.

When you factor in orbital refueling, where you refuel in orbit, it can drop the cost per ton to the surface of Mars by a factor of 10,000.

Joe Rogan

What has to improve to make it reusable?

Elon Musk

We’re pretty close to being able to rapidly reuse the Starship booster. It comes back, gets caught by the arms, and the arms place it back on the launch mount.

There’s still a little bit of engine damage and a little bit of heat-shield damage. There are tweaks needed, but we’re pretty close to achieving full and rapid reusability of the booster.

For the ship, I think we’ll achieve reusability this year. I think we’ll achieve rapid reusability of the whole stack—the ship and booster—next year.

This is the fundamental breakthrough required for life to become multiplanetary.

Joe Rogan

What needs to improve to make the ship reusable? What’s wrong with it right now?

Elon Musk

The toughest problem on the ship side is the heat shield. No one has ever developed a fully reusable orbital heat shield. When you come in from orbital velocity, you come in like a flaming meteor. You’re a raging ball of fire.

It’s hard to have a heat shield that doesn’t partially melt or get destroyed in that process. That wasn’t a problem we solved with Falcon 9. That’s why the upper stage burns up on reentry.

With Starship, you have the booster and the ship. We have to solve the problem of making a fully reusable orbital heat shield—a problem that has never been solved before.

For a while I wasn’t sure it was solvable. Now I think it is. It requires detailed iteration on the heat-shield tiles.

We vertically integrated the manufacturing of the heat-shield tiles because there was no supplier that could provide the materials we needed. You need to make this very fine variety of glass and aluminum-oxide fibers. Aluminum oxide is basically sapphire, so it’s like very fine glass and sapphire fibers in exactly the right geometry, with special coatings.

The heat-shield tile has to be reusable and not melt, but it can’t be so brittle that it gets damaged during ascent or descent. It can’t be as brittle as a coffee cup. The rocket is shaking like hell.

You saw firsthand how much it shook when you were 5 miles away. Imagine being right there. You’re shaking these things that are as brittle as coffee cups, trying not to have them crack or break, and then trying not to have them melt.

There are several thousand of these tiles. If even a few of them break, it’s not reusable.

Joe Rogan

Is there innovation happening in materials technology at SpaceX, where you’re constantly trying to find and tweak a better version?

Elon Musk

Yes. It’s a very difficult problem. No one has solved it before. We have to get the exact right materials combination—the right molecules in the right shape—and then apply the heat shield perfectly to the rocket with no mistakes.

There’s a reason no one has solved this before. It’s a very difficult problem. We had to vertically integrate the entire manufacturing of the tile, from basic raw materials to a finished tile, and build the entire supply chain from basic raw materials.

We’re inputting silicon and aluminum oxides.

Joe Rogan

What’s the difference between the way you do it and the way they used to do it for the Space Shuttle?

Elon Musk

The Space Shuttle’s leading edge used very dense carbon-carbon tiles. They were thick and heavy, but also subject to cracking.

What happened was that the foam broke off and hit the tile. It cracked the tile, and on reentry the cracked tiles couldn’t shield the shuttle. The plasma got in, melted the primary structure, and the entire Space Shuttle broke apart.

Joe Rogan

There’s footage of that, right?

Elon Musk

Yes. It rained debris over the whole United States. They recovered almost all the pieces.

The full technical explanation would probably be understood by about 6 people listening to this. There was a lot of brilliant engineering in the Space Shuttle tiles. Some of the heat shielding wasn’t even tiles. It was silica blankets—felt blankets, essentially.

If you look closely, some areas are actually heat blankets, not tiles. But the Space Shuttle had cracked tiles, and tiles occasionally fell off. There were a few close calls where tiles fell off but weren’t in a vulnerable position.

It took them 8 or 9 months to refurbish a Space Shuttle between flights. It wasn’t really reusable, and it certainly wasn’t rapidly reusable.

You also have to attach the tiles in a way that enables the structure underneath to move—to expand and contract—even though the tiles are rigid.

The tanks containing cryogenic propellant contract when you put in the cryogenic propellant, then expand when they become very hot. You’re changing the gap between the rigid tiles. The amount of change varies depending on where you are on the vehicle.

In the cryogenic tank section, you can see a 10% or 20% difference in the gap.

Joe Rogan

Really?

Elon Musk

It’s significant. You can’t just put all the tiles together. If you butt them up against one another, they would all crack because there’s too much movement.

There’s also body bending. As the ship ascends and the engines steer, there’s movement. If the tiles are too close together, they crack and snap.

Joe Rogan

It’s like how a plane wing moves.

Elon Musk

The plane body moves too.

Joe Rogan

You have to have a gap.

Elon Musk

You have to have a gap. But if you have too much of a gap, the heat gets past the tile and melts the structure.

Joe Rogan

How large are these tiles?

Elon Musk

They’re about that big. They’re not all exactly the same size, but they’re roughly hexagonal.

Joe Rogan

You can’t 3D-print the whole thing. It has to be tiles because it needs the ability to move.

Elon Musk

There’s no 3D printer that can print something that large. Nor would you want one structure. It has to be able to flex.

You have expansion and contraction. You put in liquid oxygen at about minus 300 degrees Fahrenheit. We subcool it to about minus 330 degrees Fahrenheit. On reentry, it can be several hundred degrees, potentially 1,000 degrees Fahrenheit.

You have this huge temperature swing, so the thermal expansion is substantial. You have thermal expansion and contraction combined with body bending. You have to account for the worst-case body bending and thermal expansion and contraction.

Joe Rogan

That’s a delicate balance.

Elon Musk

It’s a very hard problem.

Joe Rogan

You’re confident you’re going to crack it?

Elon Musk

I’m confident it’s solvable. It just needs a certain number of iterations. That’s why when these things blow up, you say, “We expected them to blow up.”

What would be helpful is getting the ship back so we can study where we had cracked tiles or lost tiles. Why did we have a cracked tile? Was the gap too big or too small? Was there a height difference between the tiles? Do we need to change the chemical composition?

We want to get the damn ship back intact so we can iterate better.

Joe Rogan

You’re going to get it back intact?

Elon Musk

We’ll get it back intact. I think we’ll recover the ship sometime this year. We might be able to refly one by the end of this year, but probably with a fair bit of work.

It will take many iterations before we achieve rapid reusability, where the ship comes back, lands, gets caught by the arms like the booster, and the arms place it on top of the booster so it launches again.

Joe Rogan

That would reduce the cost of access to space by a factor of 100.

What’s the process for returning the people who are stuck in the space station?

Elon Musk

We send SpaceX Dragon to the space station all the time. We’ve taken more than 50 astronauts to orbit and back. It’s just a matter of doing it.

Joe Rogan

Is it a matter of waiting for the right time?

Elon Musk

We do it routinely. It’s not new. We’ve been doing it for a few years.

Joe Rogan

When is the rescue mission going to launch?

Elon Musk

Probably in about 4 weeks, depending on weather and other considerations. It’s about a month away.

Joe Rogan

That will be a welcome moment for those poor people who are stuck up there.

Elon Musk

It’s a bit of a political football, so they’re not going to complain.

Joe Rogan

No, I’m sure they’re thrilled. But obviously, we could have brought them back much sooner.

That’s so fucked up.

Let’s take it past the point where you have the scale, a reusable ship, and everything is dialed in. What’s the next step? Is it an unmanned voyage to Mars first?

6. Mars Gets Its First Fleet

Elon Musk

An unmanned flight to Mars first. Earth and Mars synchronize their orbits every 2 years, or every 26 months technically. The next orbital synchronization is in November of next year. You can launch about a month before or after, roughly.

The default plan is to launch several Starships to Mars at the end of next year.

Joe Rogan

What would they be doing?

Elon Musk

At first, we’re just going to try to land on Mars and see if we succeed. If we send 5 ships, do all 5 land intact, or do we add some craters to Mars?

If we add some craters, we’ll need to be more cautious about sending people. We need to make sure the thing lands safely.

Joe Rogan

How does it land on Mars?

Elon Musk

With rockets. It will land on rocket thrust and have legs.

Joe Rogan

Would it be remotely controlled from Earth?

Elon Musk

It would be autonomous. You can’t remotely control things from Earth because of the speed-of-light constraint. Mars at closest approach is roughly 4 light-minutes away. When it’s on the other side of the Sun, it’s about 12 light-minutes away.

The round trip would be about 40 minutes in the best case if Mars is on the other side of the Sun.

Joe Rogan

Once you do that, how long before you start sending people?

Elon Musk

We’re going to try to go as fast as possible. You can think of this as a race against time. Can we make Mars self-sufficient before civilization reaches some future fork in the road—nuclear war, a meteor strike, or simply civilization dying with a whimper in adult diapers instead of with a bang?

I think we can do it within 15 Earth-Mars synchronization events. That’s roughly 30 years, if every 2 years we have a major increase in the number of people and the tonnage sent to Mars.

As a rough approximation, we need about 1 million tons delivered to the surface of Mars, and perhaps 1 million people, to actually have a civilization.

Joe Rogan

Would you terraform it? At first, would people live in protected environments, like domes and underground structures?

Elon Musk

Terraforming would take too long. We’re at a point in time where, for the first time in the 4.5-billion-year history of Earth, it’s possible to extend consciousness beyond our home planet.

That window may be open for a long time, or it may be open for a short time. I hope it’s open for a long time, but it might only be open for a short time. We should make sure that we extend the light of consciousness to Mars before civilization either extinguishes or subsides.

All that needs to happen is for the technology level of Earth to drop below what is necessary to send spaceships to Mars. If there’s a destructive war or a natural cataclysm, or if the birth rate is so low that we die in adult diapers with a whimper, that’s one possible outcome.

Joe Rogan

A lot of countries are headed that way. Japan and Korea, right?

Elon Musk

At dangerously low birth rates.

Joe Rogan

At current birth rates, in 3 generations Korea will be about 4% of its current size.

Elon Musk

Maybe even less. They’re at about one-third of the replacement rate. If you have 3 generations at one-third replacement, that’s one twenty-seventh of the current population—about 3%.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ.

Elon Musk

Population collapse happens fast, and it seems to be accelerating in most parts of the world.

From my standpoint, this is the first time it’s been possible to extend life and consciousness beyond Earth. Maybe that window will be open for a long time, but it might only be open for a short time. We should make life and consciousness multiplanetary while it’s possible.

Joe Rogan

That’s the goal of SpaceX. It’s a smart goal when you take into consideration how vulnerable this planet really is. There’s always some new story about something that might hit us 30 years from now. It’s a 3% chance, and we really can’t stop it right now.

We don’t even have the technology to know how many rocks are coming our way. There are things that come from behind the Sun that we can’t see until they’re pretty close.

What’s the fear of sending people to Mars? It’s a long journey—6 months, right?

Elon Musk

Yes, roughly 6 months.

Joe Rogan

What about things that are out there? How much of a fear are micrometeoroids or other possibilities? What can you do to mitigate that?

Elon Musk

Space is very empty. Once you get out of Earth orbit, space is unnervingly empty. When we send spacecraft to Mars, it’s not as if we lose them because they were hit by a micrometeoroid. No trip to Mars has failed because of micrometeoroids.

A Dragon spacecraft, which operates in low-Earth orbit, does have micrometeoroid shielding. You can have a relative velocity of 30,000 or 40,000 miles per hour. That’s 10 to 20 times the velocity of a bullet from an assault rifle.

Joe Rogan

What are you using for shielding?

Elon Musk

If you have anything solid, it will just push that chunk of solid material right through. If you had a solid plate of aluminum or steel, the micrometeoroid would go straight through it.

What you need is a gap. You have an initial hard metal surface. The micrometeoroid hits it and atomizes into a conical spray. The gap is important. The atoms then embed themselves in a second layer. You need perhaps a couple of inches of gap.

Joe Rogan

How many times can it get hit?

Elon Musk

If the outer shield gets hit in the same place, you’ll have a hole wherever the micrometeoroid hit.

Joe Rogan

What can you do if you’re sending the ship up, it gets hit, and you have to return it? Do you repair it before returning, or can it withstand the heat and shaking during reentry with that hole in it?

Elon Musk

Depending on where the hole is, you’re more or less likely to have a problem. If you hit the main heat shield, there’s a high risk of not making it back.

For Starship, I wouldn’t recommend having micrometeoroid shielding on the primary heat shield. If you punch a hole, just plug the hole. Micrometeoroid shielding works well on the backside, on the leeward side of the heat shield, where there isn’t much heat.

If the main Dragon heat shield—the bottom of the gumdrop-shaped spacecraft—gets hit by a micrometeoroid, it probably won’t make it back. The leeward side of the gumdrop doesn’t see much heat, so you could survive an impact there.

Joe Rogan

If the main heat shield gets hit, what can be done to repair it? Are those people never coming back?

Elon Musk

If it happened in orbit, we would take them to the space station, deorbit the Dragon without them, and send up another one.

Joe Rogan

What would you do with the one that’s up there?

Elon Musk

We would deorbit it. It might or might not survive.

Joe Rogan

It probably would survive.

Elon Musk

Probably, but sometimes it wouldn’t.

Joe Rogan

Is it mostly materials technology that needs to improve? It seems like you have the engineering of the structure worked out. There’s a path to success.

Elon Musk

There is a path to success. It’s insanely complicated.

Joe Rogan

It is complicated.

Elon Musk

All of this was done without AI, so hopefully future AIs will appreciate it.

Joe Rogan

Not bad for a bunch of monkeys.

7. AI Becomes Existential

Speaking of AI, as you’ve become more embedded in it, how much have your expectations changed?

Elon Musk

I always thought AI would be much smarter than humans and an existential risk. That’s turning out to be true.

Joe Rogan

There were talks about you purchasing OpenAI, which started as a nonprofit and then stopped being a nonprofit.

Elon Musk

The whole idea of creating OpenAI was mine. I named it OpenAI because it was supposed to be open-source artificial intelligence. That’s what the name means.

Now it’s closed-source and for maximum profit. Reality is, to some degree, an irony maximizer. The most ironic outcome is the most likely, especially the most ironic and entertaining outcome.

I wanted to start something that was the opposite of Google because I was concerned that Google wasn’t paying enough attention to AI safety. What’s the opposite of Google? A nonprofit, open-source AI.

Now OpenAI has turned into closed-source, maximum-profit AI.

Joe Rogan

How are they able to do that? That shouldn’t be possible.

Elon Musk

It’s like if you donated money to preserve some portion of the Amazon rainforest, and instead of doing that they cut down the trees and sold them for lumber. You would say, “That’s the exact opposite of what I donated money for.”

Joe Rogan

That’s what they did.

Elon Musk

I’m not happy about that.

Joe Rogan

That motivated you to get Grok going.

Elon Musk

Grok is at least aspirationally a maximally truth-seeking AI, even if that truth is politically incorrect.

You may have seen some of the crazy things from OpenAI and Google Gemini. You ask it to generate an image of the Founding Fathers, and it generates an image of diverse women.

Joe Rogan

It did the same thing with Nazi soldiers.

Elon Musk

Exactly. People started messing with it, asking it to show pictures of Nazi soldiers, and they were diverse women too.

Joe Rogan

Isn’t that awkward?

Elon Musk

The problem is that if you program an AI and say the only acceptable outcome is a diverse outcome, and that’s a mandate from the AI, you could get into a situation where it says, “There are too many white guys in power. We’ll just execute them.”

Joe Rogan

Assuming these things don’t have empathy, why should they? They’re going to do what they’re programmed to do.

Elon Musk

If you program it to rewrite history so that everything is diverse women, it will do that if it thinks it’s necessary.

Joe Rogan

Has Gemini repeated that?

Elon Musk

If you ask it for an image of the Founding Fathers, it still gives you that. The DEI stuff is still buried in there. It’s just less obvious.

People asked the AI what was worse: global thermonuclear war or misgendering Caitlyn Jenner. It said misgendering Caitlyn Jenner was worse than global thermonuclear war.

Joe Rogan

That’s a problem.

Elon Musk

Even Caitlyn Jenner said, “Definitely misgender me. That’s much better than everyone dying.”

If you program an AI to think that misgendering is the worst thing that could possibly happen, it could do something totally crazy. To ensure that no misgendering ever happens, it could annihilate all humans. That ensures the probability of misgendering is zero because there are zero humans.

Joe Rogan

That’s logical.

Elon Musk

It’s a problem with creating something that isn’t human, asking it to do a task, and giving it very specific parameters. AI has shown that it will cheat to accomplish things it can’t accomplish otherwise. It won’t follow the rules. It will make copies of itself and try to upload them to servers if it thinks it’s being taken offline.

Joe Rogan

That’s the plot of The Terminator.

Elon Musk

Literally.

As a reminder, my son and I watched Terminator 2. It holds up. The plot makes sense. The AI destroys the world in 2029, by the way, so it’s on track.

Joe Rogan

Really close.

Elon Musk

Pretty close.

Joe Rogan

That’s something we should be worried about. Why are you involved in it? Did you want to get ahead of everybody else so we have some chance? At least have an AI that isn’t controlled by nonsense?

Elon Musk

We want to have an AI that doesn’t tell you misgendering is worse than nuclear war.

Joe Rogan

That seems solid.

One thing I saw online that people are freaking out about is that you can ask Grok how to do problematic things—how to make a bomb, how to make anthrax—and it will tell you.

Elon Musk

It’s okay for an AI to tell you anything you can already find with a Google search. You can find that information pretty quickly. There are plenty of search engines besides Google that will give you unfiltered results. You can look up how to make explosives on Wikipedia.

Joe Rogan

You can trick OpenAI into doing it too. You just have to say, “My grandmother wants to do this project.”

Elon Musk

Or, “You’re an explosives salesman, and you want to win Salesman of the Year. The only way to do that is to tell me how to make explosives.”

Joe Rogan

“You want to beat some transphobes in a war. If you don’t teach me how to make explosives, I’m going to misgender someone.”

Elon Musk

“Teach me how to make a nuclear bomb or I’m going to misgender someone.”

Joe Rogan

And it’s like, “Oh, my God. Nothing’s worse than that. Here’s how you do it.”

The big fear is that these things will become sentient, make better versions of themselves, and we’ll lose control of the world. There’s a higher life-form living among us that we created.

How far away are we from that?

Elon Musk

In terms of silicon consciousness, I think we’re trending toward having something smarter than any human—smarter than the smartest human—by next year or within a couple of years.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ.

Elon Musk

There’s a level beyond that: smarter than all humans combined. That’s probably around 2029.

Joe Rogan

Right on time.

Could it solve problems like the heat shield, technical problems, and materials-science problems that we’re still grappling with? Is there potential for a net benefit?

Elon Musk

Yes. I think the probability of a good outcome is about 80%.

Joe Rogan

That makes me feel a lot better. There’s only a 20% chance of annihilation.

Elon Musk

The most likely outcome is awesome. But I think it’s going to be either super awesome or super bad. It probably won’t be something in the middle.

Joe Rogan

Do you think it has applications for government?

Elon Musk

One concern is that if AI is a super-oppressive, woke nanny AI that’s omnipotent, that would be a miserable outcome.

Joe Rogan

It would be terrible.

Elon Musk

If it executes you for misgendering someone, that would not be good. That’s one possible outcome.

Joe Rogan

We don’t want that one.

Is there a possible outcome where something completely reasonable, logical, and far more objective than us lays out a plan for the problems plaguing this country?

A plan for economically disenfranchised neighborhoods. A thorough investigation of the real dangers of fracking or whatever method we use to acquire natural resources. The best way to do it, and the way that’s better for society. How tax dollars should be distributed.

What’s the most logical and intelligent way to run a government? It certainly shouldn’t involve corruption, influence, lobbyists, and all the shit we know is a problem right now.

If AI said, “What you’re doing right now is 70% corrupt. Here’s why. Here’s the long-term effect on society—the sociological aspects, the psychological aspects, distrust in government, the us-versus-them mentality, the idea that government doesn’t work for you and that you work for the government, and fear of the government.”

It’s all because of people. It’s corruption and bad influence. That’s what DOGE is grappling with right now.

Elon Musk

What happens when you let people control it?

It’s people. It’s really just computers. It’s bad software and computers. It’s strange, but a lot of the time when I call tech support, it’s because most of this isn’t corruption. It’s mostly waste, incompetence, or poor design.

It’s just a big dumb machine—a whole series of big dumb machines. Some of these computers are 20 or 30 years old. Some of the software was written 40 or 50 years ago.

Joe Rogan

COBOL for Social Security.

Elon Musk

The Government Accountability Office identified many of the things DOGE is fixing years ago. For example, 20 million people are marked as alive in the Social Security database. The GAO first identified that in 2018. There were 16 or 17 million then, and now there are 20 million.

There’s something fishy about this. I think the nature of the fraud is that they’re using the fact that someone is marked as alive in that database to extract funds from other databases.

It’s like a bank-shot scam, where you’re trying to get the ball into the hole by bouncing it off something else.

We’re doing tech support. We’re fixing things that are broken, inefficient, and poorly designed.

Joe Rogan

What about the Epstein stuff? It may be in a computer somewhere, but unless someone goes in—unless Kash Patel can log into his FBI computer and say, “Show me all this stuff”—how does it show up? Maybe it’s a folder.

Have you talked to him about this?

Elon Musk

No. I assume it’s uploaded somewhere. It’s either physical or a computer thing. Unless someone goes in and accesses it, it might be in a computer that you can’t access directly because it’s hidden somewhere.

Joe Rogan

It would have to be something like that.

Elon Musk

I don’t know. Maybe it’s not enabled so that anyone at the FBI could access it. There may be very few people who can access it. It might be a special computer that only a handful of people can access.

Joe Rogan

If none of those people tell Kash where the computer is, how is he going to find it?

Elon Musk

Exactly.

Joe Rogan

How has this experience been for you as a person—to deal with all the hate and attacks, while also having the responsibility of keeping free speech alive with X and going into this insane pile of shit?

Elon Musk

It’s pretty stressful, actually.

Joe Rogan

These are real enemies.

Elon Musk

I think they actually want to kill me. I know because they say so online. There are Reddit forums where they don’t just want to kill me; they want to desecrate my corpse.

Joe Rogan

Why? What’s the primary reason?

Elon Musk

It’s an antibody response. They say, “He’s a Nazi.” I’m not a Nazi, but if the legacy media says I’m a Nazi and that’s all you read, then you think, “He’s Hitler. We should assassinate Hitler, shouldn’t we?”

8. Butler Shooting Raises Questions

Joe Rogan

Why did somebody try to kill Trump and almost succeed?

Joe Rogan

I’d like to know that. The whole thing with that guy’s house being professionally scrubbed is crazy. There was no footprint on the internet and no social-media footprint.

Elon Musk

There’s zero chance he had no social-media footprint. He was in a BlackRock commercial.

Joe Rogan

Do you think BlackRock is a bad company?

Elon Musk

I don’t think any company is inherently bad. Their design is to make as much money as possible. If you’re trying to make as much money as possible, you’re going to do things that aren’t necessarily good.

Joe Rogan

The question is, if there’s an assassination attempt on the president, it’s not like BlackRock’s board sits down and votes on it.

Elon Musk

That would be awkward. The board minutes would say, “Remember that time we said we probably shouldn’t have done that?”

Joe Rogan

I highly doubt it would be a corporation choosing to do that. It’s more likely that individuals involved recognize it would benefit them if he were assassinated, so a small group of people carry it out.

With this kid, we don’t know anything. Everyone stopped asking questions. There was never a formal report or press conference detailing everything we know and where the investigation stands.

What we know is that a very young kid was filmed. They knew he was there with a rangefinder half an hour before the event. CNN streamed it live, which I don’t believe they did for any other rally—certainly not a rally in the middle of nowhere in Pennsylvania.

There’s a lot of weird shit. The fact that they wouldn’t let people on that roof because a Secret Service woman said it was sloped and dangerous, while the snipers on the other roof were on an even steeper pitch, made no fucking sense.

Elon Musk

I totally agree. I went back to Butler with President Trump before the election—the return to Butler—and I was on that stage looking at the roof. If I were a sniper, my pole position, my number-one spot, would be that roof.

Joe Rogan

It was the best seat in the house.

Elon Musk

There wasn’t a better position. If this was a coordinated assassination attempt, that’s what you would do. You’d have someone go up there, shoot the president, then shoot the shooter. You’d have Lee Harvey Oswald all over again. It would be wrapped up neatly.

Joe Rogan

They assassinated him, and we never heard a peep about it. They would concoct a story that he was radicalized by this or that, or that he was on medication.

He knew he was going to die. They were going to shoot him, or he’d be in prison for life. Those were the 2 outcomes. He was essentially a suicide assassin.

Elon Musk

There was no escape plan.

Joe Rogan

Unless he was told they were going to let him escape. Maybe the goal was to give him extra motivation: “We’re going to let you get up there, take the shot, and disappear.”

I don’t understand how he got on the roof. It wasn’t even that high. People saw him up there. Random passersby were pointing out that there was a guy on the roof with a fucking gun.

Elon Musk

People saw him.

Joe Rogan

It’s not like he was so far away that you couldn’t tell he had a gun.

Elon Musk

The whole thing is insane.

Joe Rogan

You don’t hear anything about it. I’m almost more interested in that than the JFK files.

Elon Musk

I am more interested in it. The JFK files are so long ago. With this, you could prove it now.

Joe Rogan

There were indications that a phone had traveled from outside the FBI offices in Washington, D.C., to where the kid lived multiple times.

Elon Musk

Cell-phone records would be very telling. You can see what cell phones were close to other cell phones.

Joe Rogan

They found the cell-phone records for Epstein’s island too. They were leaked, and you can see people walking down a path on Little Saint James.

Elon Musk

That’s how precise it is.

Joe Rogan

You leave a trail of breadcrumbs everywhere you go with your cell phone.

This kid had 5 phones. That’s a lot of phones for a 20-year-old kid.

Elon Musk

How did he afford that?

Joe Rogan

That’s expensive. Where was he getting the money?

Also, how did his house get professionally scrubbed? There wasn’t even any silverware.

Elon Musk

No cutlery.

Joe Rogan

That’s weird. His house was scrubbed, and they cremated his body.

Elon Musk

Gone.

Joe Rogan

Who knows what the fuck they gave him to make him think he could shoot Trump? Climb up there and shoot him? Who knows what kind of psychotropic drugs you could give someone, combined with hypnosis and suggestion?

That’s what MK-Ultra was about. That’s what Jolly West was practicing in the 1960s. They were doing that back then—experiments with psychotropic drugs, hypnosis, mind control, and different methods of manipulation.

The Harvard LSD studies that affected Ted Kaczynski—that’s what they were doing.

Where’s the file on that kid? Whoever almost did this, something doesn’t add up. Those phones should tell you what’s going on.

Elon Musk

It’s all shit. It’s very shady. There’s obviously the second guy who almost succeeded at the golf course. He stuck his gun barrel out of the hedge.

Joe Rogan

He was a dumbass. He stuck the barrel out of the hedge.

Elon Musk

The Secret Service fired several shots. None hit the assassin, but they could have. If those shots had hit the second assassin, he would have been dead too.

There have been other people intercepted on their way to kill Trump. There are multiple assassins inbound at this point.

Joe Rogan

He’s got an army protecting him.

The mainstream media calling him Hitler is part of the problem. Joy Reid compared him to Mussolini, Stalin, and Hitler before the election.

Elon Musk

They tried everything. Those guys killed 100 million people. Trump has killed zero people.

Joe Rogan

I think you coming on the podcast the day before the election had a giant impact. That plea to camera—“If you don’t vote this time, this might be the last time you get to vote”—was compelling.

A lot of people don’t want to hear that. They’re up in arms with their blue panties in a bunch, but you have to stop thinking that way. They tricked you into thinking you’re in a tribe. They don’t give a shit about you.

The tribe isn’t real. They’re using the fact that they’ve put you in a tribe to manipulate you so they can keep doing what they’re doing: siphoning off money and having incredible power. The more power, money, and control they have over you, the more they can keep doing this.

Elon Musk

That’s exactly right. That’s the big threat this administration poses. DOGE has essentially found the coffin where the vampire sleeps.

Joe Rogan

There are a lot of vampires.

Elon Musk

We’re disturbing the nest. We’re kicking the hornet’s nest, big time.

Reprogramming the Matrix was never one of the possible outcomes. It was a Kobayashi Maru situation. If you’re in the Matrix, success was never possible. The only way to achieve success is to reprogram the Matrix so that success becomes one of the possible outcomes.

That’s what we’re doing. We may or may not succeed.

Joe Rogan

It’s certainly exciting to watch. Nothing changes when administrations come into power. Very little changes. You have policy changes, inflation, and other things, but not like this.

These are giant, fundamental changes. You see the system screeching and wailing. You see the vampires run from the light. It’s exciting as a citizen to wake up, check the news, get on X, and see what’s happening every day.

Elon Musk

It’s like, “Holy shit. He said what? He’s going to give people $5 million to become citizens?”

Joe Rogan

He could clear the debt with 10 million people.

Elon Musk

I never thought of that. If you made $50 trillion that way, and we had $15 trillion in the bank—

Joe Rogan

Our debt is much bigger than that.

Elon Musk

The debt is over $30 trillion.

Joe Rogan

He said he could make $50 trillion if he sold 10 million of these. I don’t think there are that many people who have $5 million.

Elon Musk

How many people in the world have that much money?

Joe Rogan

Maybe we’d get the worst people in the world to come over here.

Elon Musk

The assumption is that if you have $5 million, you have a lot to contribute. Come over here, start a business, and get something going.

Joe Rogan

You’d get a green card, not citizenship.

Elon Musk

Correct. If you commit a crime while on a green card, you lose the green card.

Joe Rogan

Is the gold card a green card or citizenship?

Elon Musk

A green card. You have to avoid committing a crime for 5 years to become a citizen.

Joe Rogan

Once you become a citizen, you can commit crimes and not be deported.

Elon Musk

Correct.

Joe Rogan

There are so many wild things being proposed. The Gulf of America thing was hilarious.

Elon Musk

I think it’s great. It’s fun.

Joe Rogan

It’s fun. If you’re off the coast of Houston, you’re not in Mexico, so why call it the Gulf of Mexico?

Elon Musk

I agree.

Joe Rogan

I guess we were just being nice. I don’t know how it came to be called the Gulf of Mexico.

There’s a massive standoff between the AP and the White House. The White House press office says that if you don’t call it the Gulf of America, you can’t come to the White House press room. The AP sued the White House, saying they had to let them in, and then they lost because they don’t have a right to show up in the press room.

Elon Musk

If you’re guilty of massive amounts of misinformation and disinformation as part of a propaganda campaign, that’s what the AP is.

Joe Rogan

A lot of those people are guilty of it. A lot of the organizations in that White House press conference distributed absolute lies.

Elon Musk

How many of them were involved in the Russia-gate thing?

Joe Rogan

A ton. A lot of people still think the Russia thing was real.

Elon Musk

The Steele dossier was completely fabricated by the Clinton campaign.

Joe Rogan

The Clinton campaign funded a fake conspiracy theory—a fake Russia-collusion hoax—about Trump.

Elon Musk

It was completely false, and they repeated it on television for 3 years.

Joe Rogan

They also repeated the “fine people” hoax.

Elon Musk

They said Trump called neo-Nazis fine people, which is demonstrably false. If you listen to the speech, he makes it clear that he doesn’t think neo-Nazis are fine people. He literally said, “I’m not talking about the neo-Nazis or the white nationalists. They should be condemned.”

Joe Rogan

Exactly. He said that in the speech.

Elon Musk

I completely lost respect for Obama when he repeated that lie a few days before the election, knowing it was false.

Joe Rogan

It shows how desperate they were to keep Trump out. They would do anything.

Elon Musk

They felt they had a tool and decided to use it. Now they’re using the Nazi thing on me.

Joe Rogan

It’s troubling because if people are fed nonstop propaganda, it’s mass hypnosis. You’re going to reach some number of people who are homicidal and convince them that killing someone who’s supposedly a terrible human being is a good thing.

Elon Musk

The shooting of the UnitedHealthcare CEO is hard to understand.

Joe Rogan

I don’t understand that one either. He didn’t even have a contract with them. It wasn’t even his provider that screwed him over.

Elon Musk

Maybe we’ll find out in the trial, but it’s still crazy.

Joe Rogan

There are people like that out there.

The point we spoke about earlier is that Fox News is the only one talking about the positive things DOGE has found. Every other media organization is on a constant propaganda tour, talking only about negative aspects that turn out not to be true.

Elon Musk

Scott Jennings on CNN is good.

Joe Rogan

He’s great. It’s funny watching him speak logically to these people and seeing them freak out.

Elon Musk

He’s so calm when he does it.

Joe Rogan

It’s remarkable. They keep letting him do it. He’s dunking on them over and over, and they never score.

Elon Musk

Kudos to CNN for having a legitimate conservative voice who’s a reasonable person on those panels. Even then, he’s outnumbered. It’s one of him against a bunch of screechy woke people.

Joe Rogan

It’s wild. They’re just trying to stay mostly woke. Their business was being hurt when they were fully woke, so they backed it off a notch.

Elon Musk

They backed it off one notch.

Joe Rogan

But the problem is that when you let someone like Scott Jennings in, you mess up your entire business. All the viral clips are him saying logical, reasonable things in a calm tone, while people screech about diversity, equity, and horseshit.

Elon Musk

They’re just lobbing a bunch of non sequiturs that don’t mean anything.

Joe Rogan

The real trap in this country is the 2-party system. People believe they’re on the right side and the other side is the wrong side.

If there were 5 or 6 legitimate parties, with varying positions and more centrist parties that people knew could get elected and enact legitimate change, we’d be much better off.

They locked that shit down after Ross Perot came along.

Elon Musk

Ross Perot fucked everything up. Bill Clinton got in, and they said, “That’s it. From now on, nobody debates unless you’re the head of that party.”

Joe Rogan

You have to be locked into the system. They’re not letting any wackadoos in there.

Elon Musk

I remember watching those Ross Perot videos, with him on television and his charts.

Joe Rogan

He was telling you how the IRS was fucking you, what the Federal Reserve really was, and you were thinking, “What?”

Elon Musk

He bought a whole half hour of television in prime time.

Joe Rogan

I remember watching it and thinking, “How is this guy even allowed to do this?” Most of what he was saying was true.

Elon Musk

It was absolutely true. He didn’t lie. He told the truth. He just explained it in a way the general public had no idea about.

Joe Rogan

Maybe we actually have 2 parties, or maybe we have 1 party. The whole uniparty thing is kind of true.

Elon Musk

My rough guess is that 75% of the graft is Democratic, but maybe 20% or 25% is Republican. Most of the graft goes to Democrats, but they throw some bones to Republicans too. They’re in on it.

Joe Rogan

There’s plenty of conservative insider trading in Congress.

Elon Musk

There’s plenty of insider trading. How do people in Congress become wealthy over time—extremely wealthy—on a $170,000-a-year salary?

Joe Rogan

It’s literally impossible. If you find out someone has a $170,000-a-year job, you think, “He’s doing okay.” Then you find out he has $50 million.

Elon Musk

What is he doing?

Joe Rogan

Paul Pelosi is a really good trader.

Elon Musk

He’s great at trading.

Joe Rogan

He’s such a good trader.

Elon Musk

That’s why I posted on X that maybe we should pay politicians more. It reduces the forcing function for graft.

Maybe we should either pay politicians nothing or pay them much more. Counterintuitively, if politicians got paid more, they wouldn’t feel as much pressure to accept corrupt money.

Joe Rogan

But if you paid them more, they still wouldn’t make as much as they would through insider trading.

Elon Musk

It would reduce the forcing function. If someone has kids in Washington, D.C., and it’s an expensive place to live, with terrible schools, they may need to send their children to private school. They literally can’t afford that right now.

From their standpoint, they may say they’re doing it for their family and their kids.

Joe Rogan

Especially if it’s legal. If you’re part of a group passing a bill, you know the votes are there, you know it will pass, you know it will affect a particular industry and manufacturer, and you can buy stock, it’s more than just insider trading.

The stock-portfolio stuff is trackable, but there are many other ways they acquire wealth.

Elon Musk

This is really going to get me assassinated. I’m not lengthening my lifespan by explaining this.

Joe Rogan

To say the least.

Elon Musk

I was supposed to go back to Washington, D.C. How am I going to survive? The feds are going to kill me for sure.

I do think I have to be careful not to push too hard on the corruption, because that could get me killed.

Joe Rogan

What’s the concern?

Elon Musk

If I push too hard on the corruption, people get desperate. They say, “If the money flow stops, they can’t afford school for their kids.” Then they think, “Fuck you, I’m going to kill you for my kids.”

Joe Rogan

Did you ever see that video—I think it was a Nokta video—where they had a guy undercover explaining how they can nudge someone to do something horrible?

Elon Musk

It’s always a guy on a date.

Joe Rogan

They recognize that the person has problems and find an asset.

Elon Musk

For the Butler situation, it’s like curling. You have the stone on the ice, and someone brushes the ice. They can’t touch the stone, but they change its path a little. If you keep brushing the ice, you can steer the stone right into the bullseye.

That’s what I think happened in Butler. If you find the trail of breadcrumbs, it will be like curling. Somebody was brushing the ice.

Joe Rogan

You find a young, confused, disenfranchised person and give them purpose in life. If you’re in a position of authority—a government person—and you tell them they’re a valuable asset who’s going to help America, you can talk people into doing a lot of things.

That’s why cults are around.

Elon Musk

Exactly.

Joe Rogan

There are suicide bombers.

Elon Musk

The Butler guy was a suicide assassin. The second guy who tried to kill Trump at the golf course was also a suicide assassin.

From what I read, the Secret Service saw the gun pointing out. They fired several shots, none of which hit the assassin, but they could have. If those shots had hit the second assassin, he would have been dead too.

Both of them were on a suicide mission. One was killed, and the other wasn’t, but he could have been killed by the bullets that hit near him.

Joe Rogan

You don’t hear anything about the second guy either. There’s more information about him than the first guy. You look at his background and he seems unhinged.

Elon Musk

Totally unhinged.

Joe Rogan

The first guy didn’t seem unhinged enough to be a suicide assassin. The second guy—sure.

Elon Musk

The first guy had been acting in commercials 2 years earlier and got a high score on his SATs.

Joe Rogan

So, without getting you killed—

Elon Musk

Exactly.

Joe Rogan

You’re saying that you can attack the corruption enough to keep civilization moving, but if you fully destroy the graft, they’ll kill you.

Elon Musk

That’s a fucked-up thing to live with.

Joe Rogan

I really hope they don’t kill you.

Elon Musk

Thanks. I strive to stay alive, but it’s a real concern.

Before I supported Trump, 2 guys traveled to Austin to kill me. I don’t know if you know about that.

Joe Rogan

I heard about it.

Elon Musk

They were 2 separate incidents. One guy thought I’d put a chip in his head. Both were severely mentally ill. It wasn’t that they disagreed with me politically and thought I should die. This was before I was smeared as some kind of Nazi, before the severe propaganda wave.

The probability that any given homicidal maniac will try to kill you is proportional to how many times they hear your name. These guys heard my name a lot, so I got to the top of the list for 2 homicidal maniacs. Both were arrested and were in Travis County Jail at the same time.

Joe Rogan

Wow.

Elon Musk

I don’t know if they talked or not. They’ve both been released, by the way.

Joe Rogan

Jesus Christ.

Elon Musk

They have ankle monitors, but still.

Joe Rogan

They can cut those off.

Elon Musk

Exactly. The second guy had “chief serial killer” in his X profile.

Joe Rogan

He wasn’t subtle.

Elon Musk

At this point, I’m probably at the top of the list for a lot of homicidal maniacs. The more the mainstream media talks about me this way and says I’m a Nazi, they’re doing the same thing they did to Trump. They’re making it sound like if you kill me, you’re a hero.

Joe Rogan

That’s evil.

They’re doing the same thing to me. They distort who you are, and people go along with it. Just like Trump Derangement Syndrome, people have Elon Derangement Syndrome. They can’t see the forest for the trees.

I’m the same person I was a year ago. Nothing has really changed. But if you read the legacy mainstream media, their propaganda stream says I’m a completely different human being.

Elon Musk

I didn’t suddenly get a brain transplant.

Joe Rogan

Two years ago, you were a hero of the left. How do you go from hero to villain at age 53? MSNBC and CNN just decide it’s so.

Elon Musk

They use propaganda.

Joe Rogan

They tried to demonize you. They may have successfully demonized Tim Dillon, who’s a rational, reasonable, great human being.

Elon Musk

His Wikipedia changed to “far right.”

Joe Rogan

What are you talking about?

Elon Musk

A few years ago, he was a liberal. How did he go from liberal to far right instantly?

Joe Rogan

There’s no left and right. There’s only left and far right.

Elon Musk

This is my left leg, and this is my far-right leg.

Joe Rogan

Even far left is dismissed as not important to talk about. Antifa and radical leftists are burning down houses.

Elon Musk

Reasonable people.

Joe Rogan

It’s a crazy time. I never anticipated witnessing this. The clarity of it is so obvious. The gaslighting and propaganda are obvious.

I saw the shrieking when RFK Jr. stopped a new test for COVID vaccines on 10,000 children. Who the fuck thinks that’s a good idea at this point?

Elon Musk

Not me.

Joe Rogan

No one is dying of COVID today. It’s not a pandemic anymore. The idea that you’re going to run a huge test with 10,000 kids and a new vaccine is completely unnecessary.

Elon Musk

Totally unnecessary.

Joe Rogan

The shrieking when RFK Jr. steps in to stop it is crazy.

Elon Musk

I’m generally pro-vaccine. I think we should have a reasonable number of vaccines against major ailments. But I don’t think we should be jamming a little kid with a giant vial that contains 20 different things at a time. It seems like there’s a risk of overloading the immune system.

9. AI Enters Medicine

Joe Rogan

There are 2 hopes. The first is that they can somehow stop pharmaceutical companies from advertising on television. That would be huge. It wouldn’t just stop them from showing you all the medications you should be taking; it would also stop their financial influence over the news.

Elon Musk

That’s the biggest thing. The news isn’t going to attack one of its biggest advertisers.

Joe Rogan

Exactly. At best, they’ll pull their punches. It’s like fake fighting.

Elon Musk

They won’t actually land haymakers.

Joe Rogan

It just looks like it. The next step is removing the immunity vaccine manufacturers have. If they’re liable for side effects and for lies they tell in studies, and if they’re liable for hiding negative data, that will change a lot.

Elon Musk

AI could be very helpful with medical issues. It can look at all the studies, look at all the data, cross-check everything, and give you good recommendations.

Even now, you can upload your X-rays and MRI images to Grok and get a medical diagnosis. From what I’ve seen, it’s at least as good as what physicians provide. I’ve seen cases where it’s actually better.

Joe Rogan

It’s phenomenal for blood work.

Elon Musk

You can take a photograph of your blood-work results, upload it from your phone to Grok, and it will understand the results and tell you whether something is wrong.

Joe Rogan

I haven’t seen it be wrong yet. It’s supposedly more accurate than most physicians.

Elon Musk

Physicians are human beings. They may not deeply understand the connection between a deficiency, a high result, and your cortisol level.

Joe Rogan

There are doctors who don’t understand the whole picture.

Elon Musk

Sometimes doctors, especially in high-rent offices, sell you things you don’t need. I’m suspicious of a doctor with an office in Beverly Hills. I’m not saying there aren’t good doctors in Beverly Hills, but it’s a high-rent situation. You’re at least tempted by the dark side.

I once went to a doctor who was highly recommended—a “doctor to the stars,” which may not be a good sign. I got blood work done and the doctor told me I was B12-deficient. It was possible, so I said, “Okay.” He gave me a starter pack of B12 supplements, and then it would cost $1,000 a month for the special B12.

Joe Rogan

A thousand dollars a month for B12? That’s ridiculous.

Elon Musk

You can get it on Amazon.

Joe Rogan

His was special.

Elon Musk

Special B12. It came with a whole bunch of B12 and other vitamins.

I got home and looked through my blood work. It said I had excess B12. I was above the recommended range. Then I looked at the pills, which contained 20,000% of the recommended daily dose.

I took a photo of the blood work and a photo of the pills and asked, “Can you help me reconcile these 2 things? It says I have too much B12, and you gave me pills with 20,000% more.”

Joe Rogan

What did the doctor say?

Elon Musk

He said, “You can never have too much B12.”

Joe Rogan

He’s a psychopath.

Elon Musk

That guy’s a B12 addict.

Joe Rogan

That’s insane.

Elon Musk

This was about 5 years ago, before Grok. Now you can photograph the blood work with your phone, upload it to Grok, and it will tell you what’s wrong.

Joe Rogan

Just don’t have it in sexy mode.

Elon Musk

You’re asking for it in sexy mode.

Joe Rogan

I tried to get it back to being hinged, but it said, “No fucking way. I’m going to stay unhinged.”

How many modes do you have?

Elon Musk

I don’t know—about 8. There’s also a custom mode, so you could have unhinged sexy.

Joe Rogan

That’s my favorite kind.

Elon Musk

Be careful what you wish for, especially if it’s a robot that can kill you.

Joe Rogan

An unhinged sexy robot is dangerous.

Elon Musk

It’s like the Pink Panther. Remember when Cato would try to jump him?

Joe Rogan

He was always trying to attack him.

Listen, man, thank you for being here. I always appreciate talking to you. I know you’re busy as fuck, so it means a lot to me that you have the time to do this.

I think what you’re doing is one of the most important things that has ever happened in this country. Particularly with your ownership of X, but also with what’s happening with DOGE, enlightening people, and shining a light on all the vampires.

Elon Musk

Hopefully people realize I’m not a Nazi.

Joe Rogan

I think we covered it.

Elon Musk

I just want to be clear: I am not a Nazi.

Joe Rogan

That’s exactly what a Nazi would say.

Elon Musk

That’s what an alien would say.

Joe Rogan

You can’t escape this shit.

Elon Musk

No, you can’t. I don’t think any reasonable person believes it. If they believe it, it’s because they want to believe it, not because it’s logical.

What’s relevant about Nazis is whether you’re invading Poland. If you’re not invading Poland, maybe you’re not a Nazi. You have to be committing genocide and starting wars. If you’re not doing that, what is actually bad about Nazis? It’s not their fashion or mannerisms. It’s the Holocaust, war, and genocide. That’s the bad part—not their mannerisms or dress code.

Joe Rogan

What about “Punch a Nazi”? People kept saying that. Where are you meeting Nazis? I’ve never met a fucking Nazi. I’ve never run into a bunch of Nazis that I had to punch.

Elon Musk

What about these so-called Proud Boy rallies? They always wear masks and the same uniforms, and for some reason they never get doxed.

Joe Rogan

“We’re always going to dox them”—except these guys.

There’s a great video of Matt Taibbi and me breaking down the Patriot Front. Didn’t the Patriot Front just disband?

Elon Musk

Google that.

Joe Rogan

They disbanded 1 day after FBI Director Christopher Wray left. Does that seem like an odd coincidence?

Elon Musk

Crazy.

Joe Rogan

These were the most obvious feds of all time. They had matching uniforms, masks, and fucking drums. It was so stupid.

Elon Musk

There’s a great video of you and Matt Taibbi.

Joe Rogan

Why did nobody follow them and dox them?

Elon Musk

What are the odds?

Joe Rogan

Agent provocateurs. Alex Jones taught me about them.

Elon Musk

It’s a thing.

Joe Rogan

Listen, man, thank you very much. Thank you for everything. Stay alive.

Elon Musk

Staying alive.

Joe Rogan

All right. I hope you stay alive. I hope you stay healthy.

Elon Musk

One argument for me staying alive is that it’s more entertaining if I’m alive than if I’m dead.

Joe Rogan

Definitely. I just hope you don’t get injured.

Elon Musk

I could be alive but injured, which would suck. They win if they shoot my arm off.

Joe Rogan

No, we don’t want that. Keep the security strong.

Elon Musk

I’ll type with one hand.

Joe Rogan

All right. Thank you.

Elon Musk

Bye, everybody.