Jonah Van Bourg

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi’s GP dispute alleges holders publicly promised to hold while selling concealed inventory, making on-chain wallet behavior the key test of verifiable trust.Both hosts contrast meme-coin speculation with positive-sum crypto built on “good product, good revenues, good team,” citing Avi’s ZRO-versus-ETH trade and Robinhood’s perpetuals rollout through Bitstamp.They frame five-year mega trends, retail investors’ tolerance for volatility and AI-driven concentration as the durable signals, while leaving the best expression—broad exposure or concentrated winners—unresolved.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

A sovereign-authorized USDT oil purchase, despite a failed $230M Venezuelan deal, signals stablecoins entering commodity settlement while the underlying failure reflected diligence, not crypto.AI-driven copper scarcity and Meta’s frontier push sharpen the competitive map, but model prices at 1–10% of frontier offerings and a roughly two-year superintelligence timeline leave unresolved disruption risk.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Bitcoin’s failure to clear $80K has Jonah turning short-term bearish, with a “quite high” probability of falling below $70K.Stocks migrating onchain through Lighter and Hyperliquid could leave Nasdaq behind, while $LAPTOP’s fall from $1.5B to about $630M highlights political-token extraction risk.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

MemeFi is rotating between stories rather than attracting a broad 2020–November 2021-style wave, while Robinhood Chain’s weekly volume rose from $500M to $1.5B.Jonah says value may accrue to FOMO, exchanges, Vlad Tenev, or underlying protocols rather than ordinary traders, leaving sub-1% sizing, multi-cycle durability, frontier-model productivity, and Iran’s Hormuz leverage as risks to monitor.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg × Santiago Santos

Santiago Santos is winding down Inversion’s crypto thesis after finding Remitly and Wise “not making money” with no pricing power, while stablecoins remain a real dollar-rail use case.The pivot favors mandated, recurring cash flow such as critical-power servicing, where fragmented markets, emergency pricing and AI-enabled efficiency may support returns, while Inversion’s holdco structure protects judgment and capital discipline.

Avi Felman × Alexander Good × Jonah Van Bourg

Alex Good’s ad-buying strategy linked acquisition economics to market attention, from long EA/short Booking to Tesla clicks driven by “Elon Musk.”His “goldfish theory” favors recurring attention over forecasting, but fragmentation and trust can break the trade; he is bearish Palantir at 100x sales.He expects AI layoffs within 3 months, while politics and 6% annualized productivity could reshape the opportunity set.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi has turned tactically bullish on crypto as Bitcoin’s sellers appear exhausted and traders rotate from the DRAM selloff, while Jonah sees macro, retail froth and Michael Saylor as unresolved constraints.The disagreement centers on timing and expression: Avi targets Bitcoin at 75–80K and prefers Hyperliquid, Robinhood, Ethereum or Zcash, whereas Jonah favors cautious dollar-cost averaging until a rate-cut cycle or renewed hyper-gambling emerges.

Avi Felman × Ari Paul × Jonah Van Bourg

Ari Paul warns frontier AI labs could face a Los Alamos style lockdown or full US government control within three years, a risk he says markets are not pricing.He also argues AI is where crypto was in 2021-22, with 95% of companies still likely to fail and data-center overbuilding potentially echoing late-90s fiber.The monitor is whether nationalization, stolen IP, private alpha, rotating bottlenecks, and locked-in distribution reshape which AI economics reach shareholders.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Crypto’s K-shaped reset favors products with users and revenue while most tokens face zero, reframing the asset class around product-market fit rather than category labels.Bitcoin’s risk is concentrated in Michael Saylor as its only active trader, while Hyperliquid’s 3x run trails comparable mega-cap equity moves and exposes crypto’s upside limits.Avi’s 50-55K BTC bid, 20% allocation ceiling, and 50% cash position keep catalysts such as AI IPOs and memory pricing in focus alongside overheating risks.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Global crude could hit operational tank bottoms by September: inelastic demand and an 8mbd supply loss could keep oil above $100, though Avi says $200 would force resolution within two months.A 50% chance of a December rate hike and Kevin Warsh’s possible real-time CPI rebase create an underpriced catalyst for equities and an even harsher risk for crypto, while Jonah argues AI’s marginal dollar remains far from exhausted.