Jonah Van Bourg

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi’s GP dispute alleges holders publicly promised to hold while selling concealed inventory, making on-chain wallet behavior the key test of verifiable trust.Both hosts contrast meme-coin speculation with positive-sum crypto built on “good product, good revenues, good team,” citing Avi’s ZRO-versus-ETH trade and Robinhood’s perpetuals rollout through Bitstamp.They frame five-year mega trends, retail investors’ tolerance for volatility and AI-driven concentration as the durable signals, while leaving the best expression—broad exposure or concentrated winners—unresolved.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi frames ten-year yields above 5% as distrust in the Fed, supporting his long-and-strong stance on Bitcoin, Intel, and Nasdaq.AI-driven copper demand may push copper toward $8, while lab-grown diamonds at $6 per carat expose monopoly economics.Cheaper AI could expand usage and GDP, but rising yields pressure real estate as Jonah watches early-to-mid-2027 for capitulation.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Bitcoin’s failure to clear $80K has Jonah turning short-term bearish, with a “quite high” probability of falling below $70K.Stocks migrating onchain through Lighter and Hyperliquid could leave Nasdaq behind, while $LAPTOP’s fall from $1.5B to about $630M highlights political-token extraction risk.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

MemeFi is rotating between stories rather than attracting a broad 2020–November 2021-style wave, while Robinhood Chain’s weekly volume rose from $500M to $1.5B.Jonah says value may accrue to FOMO, exchanges, Vlad Tenev, or underlying protocols rather than ordinary traders, leaving sub-1% sizing, multi-cycle durability, frontier-model productivity, and Iran’s Hormuz leverage as risks to monitor.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Bitcoin’s 25% rally toward $80K reflects a shift from AI productivity to Treasury and Fed-driven debasement, after equity vol cooled and Bessent deployed capital to defend yields.Avi sees a reasonable chance of $95K-$100K within six weeks and substantial ZCAF flows, with $15.5M in day-one volume comparable to BSOL as a percentage of market cap.The key risk is that this remains an early-innings lockout rally rather than a new bull trend, while NVDA’s crowded short positioning creates a potential one-to-two-day rebound catalyst into earnings.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

The yen intervention may be a Treasury backstop designed to prevent Japanese reserve sales from pushing U.S. yields higher, reinforcing a policy regime where Washington’s favored assets and lower rates shape positioning.Avi sees metals rotating as central-bank selling reverses, while Jonah prefers copper’s supply bottleneck and direct exposure; crypto remains resilient, but HOOD offers a higher-margin expression and political risk could redefine the rally.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Only 2.2% of US households pay for AI subscriptions, leaving a large adoption runway that could flow to Micron, MSFT, Meta and Google.A 40% memory drawdown has not ended Avi’s thesis, but Korean margin calls show bubble-like leverage, making forced selling and earnings misses the risks to monitor.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi sees the hyperscaler-to-memory melt-up becoming fully priced, prompting a rotation toward indexes and AI downstream beneficiaries such as ARKG and Reddit.Jonah still sees fundamental support in Micron at 7.5x forward earnings, while both debate dollar strength, Bitcoin’s 1-2 year outlook, and whether rising volatility demands smaller Intel positions.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Oil’s fall from above $100 to the 80s, with energy accounting for 35-40% of recent CPI growth, gives Warsh room to avoid a disastrous pivot; Jonah’s closing call is that rate cuts are not dead.Markets barely sold off through full-blown war and a closed Strait of Hormuz, reinforcing the flows-over-fundamentals regime, while SpaceX’s 4% float makes its August/September unlocks a key risk window.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

SpaceX’s $135 IPO reached $177 within 35 seconds, valuing the debut at $1.77 trillion and keeping attention on mega-trend pricing.Its low float, high FDV, and forced index inflows support the rally, while insider unlocks and OpenAI and Anthropic listings could create a liquidity test.