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1000x · · 53 min

What Avi's Betting on Outside of Crypto

Avi FelmanJonah Van Bourg

YouTube
TL;DR
  • The episode's core is Avi Felman's full portfolio walkthrough: NASDAQ and S&P index as the base, plus HOOD as a bet on "the increase of gambling culture around the world" — revenues keep growing and a coming social feed "is going to bring people in for gambling. Huge."
  • Gold and silver are "no-brainers" on a 5-year view: the world is fracturing, the dollar is down a huge amount against other currencies this year, and "a dollar dependent world is just not true anymore." The kicker stat — gold warehoused in Shanghai has 7x'd in the last year, and buying here means "front running the biggest DAT in the world, which is the central banks accumulating gold." Silver catches the bleed-over.
  • Super bullish uranium via URA: as free trade breaks down, leaders conclude they can't rely on Russian or Kazakh oil and "nuclear power is the best way" to energy independence. The politics that held it back are flipping — Canada and Germany "changing the tune" — so the advice is to "buy and stockpile as much uranium as you possibly can right now" because it'll last forever.
  • Jonah Van Bourg adds that renewable energies are "going through the roof because of this"; Avi Felman agrees, "mainly on the uranium part," and says "it's a changing in politics."
  • Long Tesla as the only public robotics play: "every other robotics company is private" — Tesla will be "the leader in terms of robotics in the future," so people are "going to crowd Tesla again."
Digest · the substance, structured for research

1. The book: index beta plus a gambling-culture bet

  • Avi Felman's portfolio: "just NASDAQ, S&P," plus HOOD — "revenues continue to grow," and a social feed launch "is going to bring people in for gambling. Huge."

2. Gold is "front running the biggest DAT in the world"

  • The 5-year case: a fracturing world, the dollar down hugely against other currencies this year, the US "doesn't want to be a leader anymore" — "a dollar dependent world is just not true anymore."
  • The specimen stat: gold warehoused in Shanghai has 7x'd in the last year; buying gold means "you're basically front running the biggest DAT in the world," which is "the central banks accumulating gold," and "that's going to bleed over to silver."

3. Uranium: politics is the catalyst, URA is the vehicle

  • "One, dude, just look at the chart" — but the real driver: when free trade breaks down, nuclear power is "the best way" to achieve energy independence, especially for countries that don't necessarily have direct access to other resources. Canada and Germany are "changing the tune." The advice is to "buy and stockpile as much uranium as you possibly can right now" because it'll last forever.
  • Jonah Van Bourg adds that renewable energies are "going through the roof because of this"; Avi Felman concurs, narrowly: "I think so too — mainly on the uranium part. I think it's a changing in politics."

4. Tesla because everything else is private

  • "It's the robotics play" — no other public company offers access to the robotics revolution, and Tesla will be "the leader in terms of robotics in the future"; "people are going to crowd Tesla again" because every other robotics company is private.
Avi Felman

Look, my entire portfolio right now is just NASDAQ and S&P, which I don't need to explain to you. That's just an index. HOOD, because I want to bet on the increase of gambling culture around the world, and I think HOOD is doing an amazing job at capturing that. I think it will continue to be the winner. Revenues continue to grow, and they're launching a social feed, which is going to bring people in for gambling. Huge.

1. Gold Becomes The Core Hedge

I own gold because I think that—and this is like a 5-year bet—gold and silver specifically are no-brainers, man. The world is trending into a more fractured state. The dollar is down a huge amount against other currencies this year. People don't trust the U.S. to be leaders anymore because the U.S. doesn't want to be a leader anymore. It wants other people to take care of its own problems.

2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold

The idea of a dollar-dependent world is just not true anymore. If you look, there's a chart published today that shows the amount of gold warehoused in Shanghai has literally increased 7x in the last year. That's going to continue, and it's going to continue across the world. You're basically front-running the biggest DAT in the world, which is central banks accumulating gold. That's going to bleed over to silver.

3. Uranium Gains Geopolitical Momentum

Uranium—I've talked about this thesis before, a while ago, but I'm super bullish on uranium specifically. One, dude, just look at the chart. But from a geopolitical perspective, resources are getting more highly sought-after because, in a world where free trade breaks down, you don't want to have too many dependencies on countries that could turn against you.

4. Nuclear Power Drives Energy Independence

That's what a lot of leaders are thinking longer-term right now. They're thinking, “Okay, well, we need to be—we can't rely on Russian oil or oil from Kazakhstan. We can't—we need to be energy independent.” Nuclear power is the best way to do that, and it's been held back for a long time specifically because of politics. You're seeing that change. You're seeing Canada change its tune. You're seeing Germany change its tune. You're seeing all these countries that used to be against nuclear energy changing their tune, thinking, “Okay, maybe we should actually invest in this because it's the only way to be energy independent for countries. This is especially true for countries that don't necessarily have direct access to other resources. Basically, you just buy and stockpile as much uranium as you possibly can right now because it'll last you forever. You want to start generating electricity within your own borders. Very simple stuff.”

Jonah Van Bourg

I think renewable energies are going through the roof because of this.

Avi Felman

Yeah, I think so too. Mainly on the uranium part. I think it's a change in politics.

Jonah Van Bourg

Which ETF are you long?

Avi Felman

URA.

Jonah Van Bourg

URA. Okay. And then—

5. Tesla Will Lead Robotics

Avi Felman

I'm long Tesla because I think there are no other public companies on the market where you can get access to the robotics revolution. People are going to crowd into Tesla again because it's the only—it's like the robotics play, right? It's going to be the leader in terms of robotics in the future. Every other robotics company is private. Tesla is not. Buy Tesla.

What Avi's Betting on Outside of Crypto | BidClub